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USA 2022 House, Senate and Governor elections

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Replies: 779
By:
politicspunter
When: 31 May 22 17:09
https://twitter.com/jonathanvswan/status/1531641422952247298
.

This is quite incredible, even for Trump. He is now accusing his own party of massive ballot fraud.
By:
politicspunter
When: 31 May 22 17:11
Note- If Trump was to win in 2024, one of the places he really must win is Georgia, the place he is accusing his own party of fraud.
By:
shiny new shoes please
When: 01 Jun 22 13:45
Ron DeSantis . Free Florida

Smear Backfires ,Accuser Faces Charges Laugh covid darling
By:
Stickywickets
When: 01 Jun 22 13:58

May 31, 2022 -- 5:11PM, politicspunter wrote:


Note- If Trump was to win in 2024, one of the places he really must win is Georgia, the place he is accusing his own party of fraud.


The GOP are rotten to the core, they are slowly being taken apart by MAGA

By:
politicspunter
When: 01 Jun 22 14:33
I am not sure what you mean exactly. If it is they are being torn in half by MAGA, you are correct.
By:
Stickywickets
When: 01 Jun 22 14:35
the DHS put out a report this week that election machines can be hacked and specifically cited Georgia
By:
Stickywickets
When: 01 Jun 22 14:36

Jun 1, 2022 -- 2:33PM, politicspunter wrote:


I am not sure what you mean exactly. If it is they are being torn in half by MAGA, you are correct.


The GOP is morphing into MAGA, just need to get rid of the deadwood like Mitch & Mutt Romney

By:
politicspunter
When: 01 Jun 22 14:38
On the contrary, the GOP is hopelessly split as recent results in competitive events in Georgia show.
By:
politicspunter
When: 01 Jun 22 14:40

Jun 1, 2022 -- 2:35PM, Stickywickets wrote:


the DHS put out a report this week that election machines can be hacked and specifically cited Georgia


The recent results in Georgia were GOP v GOP primaries. Trump is simply accusing everyone of fraud if his endorsement doesn't win. He has lost a great deal of support in Georgia through these baseless claims.

By:
Stickywickets
When: 01 Jun 22 14:41
That was one blip caused by having a very poor candidate in Perdue, I follow this closely, MAGA is ascending , all young & full of fight

The old khaki countryclub losers are finished , they just don't want to admit it
By:
politicspunter
When: 01 Jun 22 14:42
I follow polls and just stick to the facts.
By:
Stickywickets
When: 01 Jun 22 14:42

Jun 1, 2022 -- 2:40PM, politicspunter wrote:


Jun  1, 2022 --  2:35PM, Stickywickets wrote:the DHS put out a report this week that election machines can be hacked and specifically cited GeorgiaThe recent results in Georgia were GOP v GOP primaries. Trump is simply accusing everyone of fraud if his endorsement doesn't win. He has lost a great deal of support in Georgia through these baseless claims.


He hasn't in reality

By:
Stickywickets
When: 01 Jun 22 14:43
EVERY republican hates Abrams and therefore voted on who they though would be able to defeat her, as he did last time
By:
politicspunter
When: 01 Jun 22 14:44
He certainly has. His groundless claims of industrial level fraud targeting Kemp and Raffensperger were rejected totally by the Georgia electorate.
By:
politicspunter
When: 01 Jun 22 14:45

Jun 1, 2022 -- 2:43PM, Stickywickets wrote:


EVERY republican hates Abrams and therefore voted on who they though would be able to defeat her, as he did last time


This is a good point. It's also fair to say that the GOP Georgia electorate rejected Trumps calls to dump Kemp.

By:
politicspunter
When: 01 Jun 22 17:39
Pennsylvania Republican Primary

Following the first night of results, it became clear that Oz and McCormick were the top two vote-getters in the election; however, the margin between was too close to declare a victor. Due to a mandatory recount, results are expected on June 8. Former President Trump encouraged Oz to declare victory on election night, stating that Oz would only be defeated as a result of election fraud; these claims were noted by Politico as echoing Trump's claims of election fraud in the 2020 presidential election.
By:
Stickywickets
When: 02 Jun 22 16:42
The Florida Supreme Court is leaving DeSantis' congressional maps in place that create four new GOP-leaning districts. They will be the maps used this November.

Excited

100 seats incoming Love
By:
politicspunter
When: 02 Jun 22 16:45
Lol, there is no possible chance of the Democrats losing 100 seats. You clearly have no understanding of American politics as you proved with your multiple losing bets on the 2020 Presidential election markets.
By:
A_T
When: 06 Jun 22 21:45
Arizona judge declines GOP request to block mail voting

PHOENIX (AP) — An Arizona judge on Monday declined a request by the state Republican Party to block most mail ballots for the 2022 election, preserving the voting method used by the overwhelming majority of voters.

Mohave County Superior Court Judge Lee Jantzen ruled that nothing in the Arizona Constitution prohibits the Legislature from allowing citizens to vote by mail.

The case is the latest piece of a multi-pronged effort by the Arizona Republican Party and its firebrand chair, Kelli Ward, to roll back a system of no-excuse absentee voting that the GOP-controlled Legislature has built since 1991. They’ve pushed to require nearly everyone to cast a ballot in person on Election Day as former President Donald Trump repeats the lie that he lost the 2020 election because of fraud linked to mail ballots in Arizona and other battleground states.

https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-arizona-presidential-government-and-politics-72711f64251e13693da72b8602339fca
By:
politicspunter
When: 28 Jun 22 07:06
For the House of Representatives I now make it...

Republicans 200
Democrat 170
Competitive 65

Roe Wade Supreme Court decision is likely to have a direct impact on the outcome.
By:
politicspunter
When: 28 Jun 22 11:39
Huge shift towards the Democrats in the first poll since Roe was overturned.

https://twitter.com/ScottMStedman/status/1541465419873140740/photo/1
.
By:
politicspunter
When: 28 Jun 22 15:43
House of Representatives ratings.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_ratings
.
By:
politicspunter
When: 29 Jun 22 20:48
I guess it must be something to do with the Supreme Court Roe Wade decision but there are some very favourable polls coming out for Democrats the last couple of days, such as these...

Georgia Senate GE:

Raphael Warnock (D-inc) 54% (+10)
Herschel Walker (R) 44%

@QuinnipiacPoll
, 1,497 RV, 6/23-27

Warnock was previously only one point ahead

Georgia Governor GE:

Brian Kemp (R-inc) 48%
Stacey Abrams (D) 48%

@QuinnipiacPoll
, 1,497 RV, 6/23-27
https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3851

Abrams now drawing level with Kemp who has always been ahead.
By:
politicspunter
When: 29 Jun 22 20:50
And this...

Generic Congressional Ballot:

Democrats 45% (+7)
Republicans 38%

.
@YouGovAmerica
/
@YahooNews
, 1,239 RV, 6/24-6/27
https://news.yahoo.com/poll-confidence-in-supreme-court-collapses-as-just-33-agree-with-decision-to-overturn-roe-v-wade-090021689.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw&tsrc=twtr
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 Jun 22 17:40
Modellers reckon Mark Kelly is 1.6 to win Arizona senate. I agree. Smarkets go 2.0.

https://smarkets.com/event/42420195/politics/us/2022-house-and-senate-elections/2022-arizona-senate-election
.
By:
politicspunter
When: 02 Jul 22 08:18
https://twitter.com/AccountableGOP

Scroll down to Wyoming Republican Primary debate Shocked
By:
A_T
When: 02 Jul 22 08:58
Liz Cheney must be thinking "WTF!?" sharing a platform wih those whack-jobs
By:
politicspunter
When: 02 Jul 22 09:16
The crazy thing is that one of those whack-jobs is miles in front of her in the opinion polls Sad
By:
politicspunter
When: 02 Jul 22 10:14
Ian Millhiser
@imillhiser
·
15h
There is no moral defense of a Senate which treats every person in California as 1/68th of a person from Wyoming.
By:
A_T
When: 02 Jul 22 10:51
but it's what the Founding Fathers wanted - together with slavery, no votes for women, etc. etc.
By:
politicspunter
When: 23 Jul 22 19:16
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/ohio/
.

Here are the polls for the Ohio Senate election. Ryan, the Democrat is ahead, sometimes clearly in most of them, against a clearly unpopular Republican. Can anyone explain why Ryan is the betting outsider in the race?

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.200112977
.
By:
politicspunter
When: 01 Aug 22 11:39
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-far-right-will-republican-primary-voters-go-in-arizona-and-missouri/
.
By:
politicspunter
When: 01 Aug 22 14:52
There are some truly bizarre and quite unbelievable ricks in the midterm pricing, most of which have appeared this week, now that the tory leader election thing has nearly finished.
By:
politicspunter
When: 02 Aug 22 01:16
https://twitter.com/natalie_allison/status/1554250246527586308/photo/1
.

Thought I had seen it all from Trump Laugh

Vote for Eric !
By:
politicspunter
When: 02 Aug 22 01:31
https://twitter.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1554240038745022464/photo/1
.

Surely an all time classic, even for Trump Laugh

Vote for Eric!
By:
politicspunter
When: 02 Aug 22 01:31
I would pish myself laughing if none of the Erics won Laugh
By:
Timber
When: 02 Aug 22 05:05

Jul 23, 2022 -- 7:16PM, politicspunter wrote:


https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/ohio/.Here are the polls for the Ohio Senate election. Ryan, the Democrat is ahead, sometimes clearly in most of them, against a clearly unpopular Republican. Can anyone explain why Ryan is the betting outsider in the race?https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.200112977.


You can't be that stupid ffs
JD Vance will win that at a canter Laugh

By:
politicspunter
When: 02 Aug 22 09:48
Inside the wild Bedminster lobbying spree that led to Trump’s double Missouri endorsement

The former president spent the day surveying allies and former aides about how to wield his endorsement — after announcing an endorsement was coming.
Former President Donald Trump called Republican Senate candidate Eric Schmitt Monday evening, after posting on social media that he would soon endorse in Missouri’s GOP primary, and told him to look out for an announcement.

“You’ll be happy,” Trump told Schmitt.
What the former president didn’t say, according to two people familiar with the conversation, is that the press release would simultaneously back Schmitt and his rival for the GOP nomination, Eric Greitens. Greitens received a similar call in which Trump congratulated him on the endorsement and made no mention that he also endorsed Schmitt, Missouri’s state attorney general.


It marked the end of the chaotic seven hours in Trump world, as the former president’s future daughter-in-law, his handpicked Republican National Committee chairwoman, Missouri’s junior senator and a host of other party operatives and Trump allies jostled over who the former president should endorse in the tumultuous Missouri Senate primary, where polling places were set to open less than 24 hours later.

Trump kicked off the private lobbying spree late Monday morning, when he posted on social media that he would be making his endorsement official that day — without mentioning that he apparently had not yet made his final choice. What transpired over the course of the afternoon illustrates the anarchical nature of Trump’s endorsement process. While the much-coveted endorsement is one of Trump’s greatest assets and his chief political weapon, how he decides who gets one is often more improvisational than scripted.

In this case, many Republican officials feared that the wrong decision could come with serious repercussions for the party. The former governor stepped down from his post in 2018 after his hairdresser accused him of sexually assaulting her. And his ex-wife has accused him in court of assaulting her and their young son in 2018. Greitens has strenuously denied the allegations, but his standing in the Missouri GOP Senate primary has slipped amid a wave of ads focused on those allegations.

At the center of Monday’s episode, according to several people familiar with what transpired, was Kimberly Guilfoyle, the fiancée of Donald Trump Jr. who spent the weekend making the case for Greitens while attending a golf tournament Trump hosted at his Bedminster, N.J. club.

A little after noon, Trump was having a previously scheduled meeting with RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel, where the Missouri race became a topic of discussion. During the sit-down, Trump called Missouri Sen. Josh Hawley, a Greitens foe who referenced a recent poll showing the former governor trailing in the primary.
After being told that Guilfoyle was on the Bedminster property, Trump asked for her to be called in to the meeting.

By the time Guilfoyle made it into the room, Hawley was no longer on the line. McDaniel, who like other senior Republicans tried to dissuade Trump from endorsing Greitens for fear that he could lose the seat to a Democrat in the general election and that his nomination would force Republicans to spent money in a state that should be safe for the party, remained in the meeting. She also argued that a late endorsement would do little to alter the race, with most polls showing Greitens lagging behind in third place, and that it would make more sense for Trump to remain neutral.

Guilfoyle was steadfast in her defense of the former governor, saying that the party establishment had been trying to get Trump to oppose Greitens. McDaniel, meanwhile, reiterated her argument that Greitens would make for a weak nominee given his personal baggage.

As the meeting wore on, those familiar with what transpired say, Trump began to lose patience. At one point it was suggested that he could endorse “Eric,” and that by doing so he would be supporting both Schmitt and Greitens.

It was a madcap exit ramp. But Trump went in on the details, asking if the two candidates’ first names were spelled identically — noting that it wouldn’t work if they weren’t. While Trump was intrigued, he also remarked that it might be too cute. He asked for draft endorsements to review, one announcing his support for Schmitt, the other for Greitens.

At this point, it was still unclear who Trump would endorse by his self-imposed end-of-day deadline, underscoring the rolling, unpredictable nature of how the former president exercises his power. As he has in other races, Trump on Monday reached out to an array of figures for their views. The list included Republican pollsters John McLaughlin and Robert Cahaly, both of whom have conducted surveys on the race. He was given notes from Tony Fabrizio, a longtime Trump pollster who worked for Greitens.

Trump later asked allies Pam Bondi and Matthew Whitaker, both of whom are backing Schmitt, for their views. At another point, he surveyed Chris Cox, the founder of the “Bikers for Trump” coalition, who was also on the Bedminster property. Cox excused himself from the office so he could get a reading of those in his organization. Upon reentering the office, he informed Trump that his crowd was aligned with Greitens.

But Trump circled back to the idea of endorsing the two Erics, reasoning that there were pluses and minuses to both, and that by doing so provide to each the opportunity to win with his support. He drafted a statement that would soon go out.

“I trust the Great People of Missouri, on this one, to make up their own minds,” it read, “much as they did when they gave me landslide victories in the 2016 and 2020 Elections, and I am therefore proud to announce that ERIC has my Complete and Total Endorsement!”
By:
politicspunter
When: 02 Aug 22 09:50
I dearly hope Trump stands for 2024, just to guarantee farcical situations such as this. Laugh
By:
Timber
When: 02 Aug 22 10:05
Trump is the master TROLL, and you shitlibs swallow it all up
I'm not a big fan of Greitens, he's super arrogant and smarmy
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