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USA 2022 House, Senate and Governor elections

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Replies: 779
By:
politicspunter
When: 16 May 22 20:36
It's the craziest market, you simply don't know who is going to be backed next. As volatile as any political market on here ever.
By:
politicspunter
When: 17 May 22 10:09
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/TRF-PA-GOP-Primary-0516-Poll-Report.pdf
.

New poll has...

Oz 28.5%
Barnette 26.8%
McCormick 21.6%

It's toss up country. Voting today.

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.198695927
.

Market here.
By:
politicspunter
When: 18 May 22 00:28
Polls close in half an hour. Very active betting markets on exchanges.
By:
Stickywickets
When: 18 May 22 06:22
Oz wins, Trump's record extends to 76-1
Don't like this guy though, he's pro abortion, trans crap , pro gun control
By:
Stickywickets
When: 18 May 22 06:23
Pennsylvania Democrats just nominated as their Senate candidate a frankenstein who pulled a gun on an unarmed black jogger for the crime of being black while jogging.

He's just about to have open heart surgery too & looks like Sloth from the Goonies
By:
A_T
When: 18 May 22 07:34
Edwards ousts North Carolina Rep. Cawthorn in GOP primary

RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) — First-term U.S. Rep. Madison Cawthorn lost his Republican primary race Tuesday to state Sen. Chuck Edwards, after the pro-Donald Trump firebrand’s personal and political blunders translated into voter unhappiness.

https://apnews.com/article/2022-primary-madison-cawthorn-north-carolina-e3007751b939f8f395ae82b0338e6616
By:
politicspunter
When: 18 May 22 09:54
On a mad night where the betting favourite flipped multiple times, the Pennsylvania Republican nominee market is still unresolved. It looks almost certain to be a recount, with Oz in front of McCormick by around 2600 with roughly 25K mail in votes to be counted that will probably be favourable to McCormick. Barnette was always behind in the count early doors and couldn't make up the difference.
By:
politicspunter
When: 18 May 22 12:59
Red Ferrari spotted unloading boxes at the counting hall in Philadelphia.
By:
politicspunter
When: 18 May 22 14:11
So now, after the last few on the day votes are tallied up, we move on to the few mail in ballots still to be counted. It's going to be close.
By:
politicspunter
When: 18 May 22 16:59
Oz now leads McCormick by 2463. It's difficult to find an exact figure of what is left to count.
By:
politicspunter
When: 18 May 22 17:48
2413
By:
politicspunter
When: 18 May 22 23:35
1520 now the gap.
By:
politicspunter
When: 19 May 22 00:07
1459
By:
peckerdunne
When: 19 May 22 00:10
Donald says his man Oz won and if not they stole it.
By:
politicspunter
When: 19 May 22 00:12
Trump says Oz should claim he has won because it makes it harder for the opposition to "find ballots".

Laugh
By:
politicspunter
When: 19 May 22 00:21
1242 Shocked
By:
Stickywickets
When: 19 May 22 05:51
Get rid of all the machines
Paper ballots ONLY
ONE DAY voting, not ****g voting week
NO mail in ballots
By:
politicspunter
When: 19 May 22 08:52
Not sure who is worse. Trump, who wants his endorsed candidate to say he has won before the votes are counted and before his opponents "find ballots", even though it is a Republican Primary and no Democrats are involved or Sticky who wishes to deny folks that are disabled, in care homes, working away and armed forces their democratic right to a mail vote.
By:
Stickywickets
When: 19 May 22 10:39

May 19, 2022 -- 8:52AM, politicspunter wrote:


Not sure who is worse. Trump, who wants his endorsed candidate to say he has won before the votes are counted and before his opponents "find ballots", even though it is a Republican Primary and no Democrats are involved or Sticky who wishes to deny folks that are disabled, in care homes, working away and armed forces their democratic right to a mail vote.


In France, you must cast your vote in the ballot box on election day. You cannot vote remotely or in advance. If you are unable to go to your polling station on election day, you can issue a proxy in advance, authorising a trusted person to vote on your behalf.

By:
politicspunter
When: 19 May 22 21:37
Gap now 1080.
By:
Stickywickets
When: 20 May 22 15:56
Still counting ballots Crazy, still think the US system is water tight??
Now Mccormick has 100 lawyers contesting the electionLaugh
By:
politicspunter
When: 20 May 22 16:29
The reason they are still counting ballots is because the GOP wouldn't allow Pennsylvania to process mail ballots until after the election day votes were counted, one of the few states where it isn't standard practice!
By:
Stickywickets
When: 20 May 22 16:32
There should be ZERO mail in ballots
By:
politicspunter
When: 20 May 22 16:34
If there were zero mail in ballots no members of the armed forces serving their country would be able to vote or veterans who have previously fought for their country who are now too elderly or infirm to vote in person. Is that what you wish to happen?
By:
Stickywickets
When: 20 May 22 16:38
They are absentee, BIG difference between mail in and absentee
By:
politicspunter
When: 20 May 22 16:48
Feel free to explain the difference for each individual state regarding that.
By:
Stickywickets
When: 20 May 22 18:01
Google it!
By:
politicspunter
When: 20 May 22 18:02
No need for me to do so.
By:
Stickywickets
When: 20 May 22 18:05
SO you now realise there is a massive difference between absentee and mail in
GOOD
By:
politicspunter
When: 20 May 22 18:07
For which state in particular?
By:
politicspunter
When: 20 May 22 18:10
The problem with the states is that the individual rules regarding how you can vote is a lottery from state to state. Jump over the border from one state to another and it is a completely different system.
By:
politicspunter
When: 20 May 22 18:11
It's the Australian election tomorrow where voting is compulsory. I sometimes wonder if we should adopt the same system in order to properly represent the wishes of the electorate.
By:
politicspunter
When: 23 May 22 20:49
Lead now 980 in Pennsylvania.
By:
A_T
When: 25 May 22 07:32
Trump rebuked with stinging losses in Georgia GOP contests

ATLANTA (AP) — Gov. Brian Kemp of Georgia easily dispatched Donald Trump’s hand-picked challenger on Tuesday in a Republican primary that demonstrated the limits of the former president and his conspiracy-fueled politics in a critical swing state.

Kemp will face Democrat Stacey Abrams this fall in what will be one of the nation’s most consequential governor’s races.

The GOP results, combined with the loss of the Trump-backed candidate for secretary of state, served as a stinging rebuke for the former president in a state he prioritized above almost all others. Angered by Kemp’s refusal to go along with his extraordinary effort to overturn the 2020 election results in Georgia, Trump personally recruited former Sen. David Perdue to challenge the sitting governor. He also helped clear the primary field and spent more than $3 million on the failed effort.

https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterms-results-6abc8a67a708c9c90d32022eb08fe544
By:
politicspunter
When: 25 May 22 08:15
Trumps endorsed "The Big Lie" candidates weren't just defeated, they were totally crushed in Georgia. 74-22 against Trump for governor and 52-33 against Trump for Secretary of State. It's now clear that the Republican Party is hopelessly split, with, on these elections, the traditional section having a clear majority over the big lie section of Trump supporters.
By:
Stickywickets
When: 25 May 22 09:25
680,000 DEMOCRATS voted in this election & they voted for Kemp etc
Bizarre open primary rules where anybody can vote
By:
politicspunter
When: 25 May 22 10:48
Kemp total votes so far is 879,397 and you are saying that 680,000 of them are Democrat voters?
By:
politicspunter
When: 25 May 22 11:06
Trump has phoned Kemp and asked if he can find 700,000 votes for his endorsed candidate Perdue.
By:
politicspunter
When: 25 May 22 11:17
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/GA-GOP-Primary-Poll-Report-0524.pdf
.

The Lesson of Trafalgar:
Superior strategy, innovative tactics, and
bold leadership can prevail even over
larger numbers and greater resources.


Trafalgar poll carried out 21st to 23rd May. Poll..

Kemp 51.8%
Perdue 37.7%

Actual result...

Kemp 73.7%
Perdue 21.8%

One of Trafalgars biggest polling misses ever

Laugh
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 25 May 22 11:19
Can't poll for unknown fleets of ferraris
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