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If you just agree with government then what can you expect,they are a complete waste of time,my family won't be voting for them that's for sure,could be in for a drubbing come may losing seats,i expect greens will be the benefactors..
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The tory vote is also down in that poll so no one party seems to be benefitting from Labours apparent loss of support.
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Lack of a focus on general election and polling towards council
elections, I expect. If I'm right, then trend should continue to may... Tories feeding their own councils more money should continue to pay dividends. Bribe them with their own money! |
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UK, Opinium poll:
CON-ECR: 42% (+1) LAB-S&D: 37% (-1) LDEM-RE: 6% (-1) SNP-G/EFA: 5% GREENS-G/EFA: 5% (+1) PC-G/EFA: 1% UKIP~ID: 1% (-1) BREXIT~NI: 0% (-1) +/- vs. 28-29 Jan Fieldwork: 11-12 February 2021 Sample size: 2,006 |
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With all the government's mistakes (both perceived and real) and the tanking economy, Labour should be ahead by double figures. The Tories will be ecstatic at the latest polls and will expect to be miles ahead by the time of the next election in 2024.
When Covid is behind us there will be well over two years before the next election when the economy will become the biggest topic, and the Tories are always trusted far more than Labour with respect to economic prowess. I have no intention of tying my money up for over three years, but 8/11 most seats, and 9/4 a Tory majority look to be very generous odds. |
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Your first mistake is saying that Labour should be ahead by double figures. Why should they? Less than a year ago the Conservatives were ahead by 26%. Personally, I don't think they are ecstatic about losing a lead as huge as that in a relatively short time. The tories came into power for two main reasons, a very poor Labour leader and a single issue General election in the shape of Brexit where Labours policy was at best muddled. Those two issues won't be on the ballot at the next scheduled election. Regarding the odds, I agree that it's pointless tying money up at this stage and none of the prices on offer have any appeal. Current polling suggests tories would accrue roughly 316 seats if the election were held tomorrow.
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no point keep going about that 26% lead. it's a pointless mirage months into a new 5 year term. no one ever even gets 45% these days so a 12-15 point lead is really the absolute extreme of what the tories or labour could lead by
as for brexit being in the past don't think you can say that when starmer was the shadow brexit secretary and hence more or less led the campaign for a 2nd referendum. people in the red wall seats he needs to win back aren't gonna forget that in a hurry |
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The benefit of polls is to guage opinion during the cycle.
You can't get a poll of intent for 4 years time with any accuracy. You can get an idea of limits, but too many are yet to decide rather than being fan boys of a party. |
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The tory tactic is to pin that badge on Starmer.
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failing that the old ed miliband in sturgeon's pocket (if she's still around) trick. english voters don't want the tail wagging the dog at the best of times and she ain't appealing to put it politely to the type of voters in england who decide elections
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Tricks is all they have
But they work on gullible |
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UK (GB), Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll:
CON-ECR: 41% (-2) LAB-S&D: 39% (+1) LDEM-RE: 8% (+1) SNP-G/EFA: 5% GREENS-G/EFA: 5% (+1) REFORM~NI: 2% PC-G/EFA: 0% +/- vs. 8 Feb Fieldwork: 15 February 2021 Sample size: 2,000 |
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Westminster voting intention:
CON: 40% (-1) LAB: 37% (+1) LDEM:7% (+1) GRN: 6% (-1) REFUK: 3% (-) via @YouGov Chgs. w/ 10 Feb |
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Voting intention polls very consistent at the moment. Not sure if that will hold before the May elections?
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I reckon small parties get a boost from locals, we shall see.
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A row breaking out regarding election leafleting. Obviously, door to door canvassing during the pandemic is out so leafleting next option. Government now saying they are non essential so leafleting is out also.
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One party getting wall to wall coverage on tv
No wonder they don't want leaflets Should be allowed by election time, I should think Or tories will be back in court to lose another case, lol |
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Latest Westminster voting intention (17-18 Feb)
Con: 40% (-1 from 9-10 Feb) Lab: 37% (+1) Lib Dem: 7% (+1) Green: 6% (-1) SNP: 5% (n/c) Reform UK: 3% (n/c) |
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Above from YouGov
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Savanta ComRes
@SavantaComRes CON 40 (-2) LAB 38 (+1) LD 7 (-) SNP 4 (-) Green 3 (-) Other 9 (+2) 19-21 Feb (changes from 12-14 Feb) |
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You can't tell anything from 1000 people
I don't know anyone who was asked That's wrong, nobody I know is voting for party X Party x in freefall! (down 2%) Polls are designed to shape opinion not measure it Pollster A is biased for/against party x List of excuses, feel free to add more. |
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Indeed
3% off one onto tother is 6% and within margin of error. The polling seems fairly stable, and they won't be asking the same folk. One election letter received, lib dem, County Council. |
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Scottish parliament voting intention(s):
Constituency: SNP: 52% (-3) CON: 23% (+1) LAB: 15% (+1) LDEM: 5% (-1) GRN: 3% (+2) List: SNP: 47% (-) CON: 22% (-) LAB: 14% (-2) GRN: 8% (+1) LDEM: 6% (-) via @IpsosMORI , 15 - 21 Feb Chgs. w/ Nov |
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UK (GB), Kantar poll:
CON-ECR: 40% LAB-S&D: 33% (-4) LDEM-RE: 11% (+1) GREENS-G/EFA: 6% (+1) SNP-G/EFA: 4% REFORM~NI: 3% (+1) UKIP~ID: 2% (+1) PC-G/EFA: 1% (+1) +/- vs. 21-25 Jan Fieldwork: 18-22 February 2021 Sample size: 1,114 |
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Those Labour and LibDem figures in that Kantar poll look suspicious.
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yep the limp dems are virtually non existent these days. not recovered from swinson's madcap policies at the election
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That LibDem figure (11%) is 4% higher than any other recent poll and the Labour one is 4% lower than any recent one.
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UK, Opinium poll:
CON-ECR: 43% (+1) LAB-S&D: 36% (-1) LDEM-RE: 7% (+1) SNP-G/EFA: 6% (+1) GREENS-G/EFA: 4% (-1) PC-G/EFA: 1% UKIP~ID: 1% REFORM~NI: 0% +/- vs. 11-12 Feb Fieldwork: 24-26 February 2021 Sample size: 2,003 |
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UK (GB), Deltapoll poll:
CON-ECR: 42% (+1) LAB-S&D: 38% (-1) LDEM-RE: 6% (-1) GREENS-G/EFA: 4% (+1) REFORM~NI: 3% (+1) UKIP~ID: 3% SNP-G/EFA: 2% (-2) PC-G/EFA: 0% +/- vs. 21-23 Jan Fieldwork: 24-26 February 2021 Sample size: 1,527 |
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Scottish independence voting intention:
Yes: 43% (-2) No: 44% (+1) Excl. undecideds: Yes: 50% (-1) No: 50% (+1) via @Survation , 25 Feb Chgs. w/ 13 Jan |
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Welsh parliament voting intention(s):
Constituency: LAB: 39% (+8) CON: 24% (-7) PC: 24% (-2) LDEM: 4% (-2) List: LAB: 37% (+6) CON: 22% (-7) PC: 22% (-3) ABOL: 4% (+4) UKIP: 4% (+2) via @ICMUnlimited , 28 Jan - 21 Feb ***Chgs. w/ 22 Feb 2020*** |
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What's abol?
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It's a party who wish to abolish the Welsh Parliament.
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Oh right,lol, I guess it's the freethinkers that were
tory. |
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Welsh parliament voting intention(s):
Constituency: LAB: 33% (-1) CON: 28% (+2) PC: 22% (-1) GRN: 4% (-2) LDEM: 4% (-) REFUK: 4% (-1) List: LAB: 29% (-1) CON: 25% (-) PC: 24% (+1) ABOL: 9% (+2) GRN: 5% (-) REFUK: 3% (-1) LDEM: 2% (-2) via @YouGov , 19 - 22 Feb Chgs. w/ 14 Jan |
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Scottish parliament voting intention(s):
Constituency SNP: 50% (-1) CON: 21% (+2) LAB: 20% (+1) LDEM: 7% (-2) List: SNP: 38% (-2) CON: 21% (+4) LAB: 20% (-1) LDEM: 8% (-) GRN: 11% (-) via @Survation , 25 - 26 Feb Chgs. w/ 13 Jan |
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Abol doing well
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Yes, big jump for them. I wonder who they are taking votes off?
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Refuk at a guess
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