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A pinch of salt,... Approval ratings

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By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 19 Jan 21 17:07
GOP 2024 Primary Polling (Among 2020 Trump Voters - Above 2%):

-

(With Trump)
Trump: 58%
Pence: 17%
Cruz: 7%
Haley: 4%
Romney: 3%

-

(Without Trump)
Pence: 32%
Trump Jr: 22%
Cruz: 13%
Haley: 7%
Ivanka: 5%
DeSantis: 5%
Romney: 4%
Rubio: 3%

Leger / Jan 17, 2021 / n=372 / Online
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 19 Jan 21 19:34
'Do you intend to get vaccinated?'

Canada (n=1516):
Yes: 71%
No: 15%

USA (n=1003):
Yes: 54%
No: 30%

Leger / January 17, 2021 / Online
By:
politicspunter
When: 19 Jan 21 19:37
Donny, can you post me a link to where you are getting those 2024 Republican polling figures please?
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 19 Jan 21 20:14
Message sent, as I doubt they want idiots spamming them.
By:
politicspunter
When: 19 Jan 21 20:23
Thank you
By:
politicspunter
When: 23 Jan 21 19:28
UK (Northern Ireland), Lucidtalk poll:

Should there be a United Ireland?

Yes: 47% (-4)
No: 53% (+4)

+/- vs Oct 2020

Fieldwork: 15-18 January 2021
Sample size: 2,392
By:
politicspunter
When: 23 Jan 21 19:29
UK (England), YouGov poll:

Should England be an independent country?

Yes: 20% (-15)
No: 80% (+15)

+/- vs 17-18 June 2020

Fieldwork: 19-20 January 2021
Sample size: 1,416
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 26 Jan 21 19:22
NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary Polling (Ranked Choice):

First Round:
Yang: 37%
Adams: 26%
Stringer: 18%
Wiley: 11%
Garcia: 2%
Morales: 2%
McGuire: 2%

Final Round:
Yang: 61%
Adams: 39%

Slingshot Strategies / January 20, 2021 / Telephone

(Yang Internal)
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Jan 21 19:25
A big pinch of salt with that one as sponsored by Yang Gang !
By:
politicspunter
When: 28 Jan 21 16:15
UK (GB), YouGov poll:

LAB-S&D: 41% (+3)
CON-ECR: 37% (-2)
LDEM-RE: 6% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 5%
GREENS-G/EFA: 4% (-2)
REFORM~NI: 3% (-1)
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 21-22 Jan

Fieldwork: 26-27 January 2021
Sample size: 1,721
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 28 Jan 21 17:51
Biden Approval Polling:

Approve: 51%
Disapprove: 33%
Net: +18%

YouGov / January 26, 2021 / n=1500 / Online
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 28 Jan 21 17:52
QAnon Favourability:

Favourable: 13%
Unfavourable: 71%
Net: -58%

YouGov / January 26, 2021 / n=1031 / Online







Thirteen percent, ffs
By:
politicspunter
When: 28 Jan 21 18:16
Yep, timbuctooth, timber and Insider Trader must have taken part in that survey.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 28 Jan 21 18:20
Much higher than 13% on here, lol
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 30 Jan 21 21:31
% who think leaving EU was "wrong"

93% Lib Dems
88% Remainers
84% Labour
68% Londoners
67% 18-24 yr olds
59% 25-49 yr olds
58% middle-class
57% Scots
48% ALL VOTERS
47% 50-64 yrs
46% north
44% non-London south
42% Midlands
35% working class
21% pensioners
14% Cons
10% Leavers
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 30 Jan 21 21:31
% who think leaving EU was "right"

82% Leavers
77% Conservatives
71% pensioners
51% working-class
44% 50-64 yr olds
44% non-London south
40% ALL VOTERS
42% midlands
40% north
34% Scots
31% middle-class
27% Londoners
27% 25-49 yr olds
12% 18-24 yr olds
8% Labour
2% Lib Dem
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 30 Jan 21 22:17
Westminster voting intention:

CON: 41% (+4)
LAB: 38% (-3)
LDEM: 7% (+1)
GRN: 4% (-)

via @OpiniumResearch, 28 - 29 Jan
Chgs. w/ 15 Jan
By:
politicspunter
When: 31 Jan 21 08:32
UK (GB), Kantar poll:

CON-ECR: 40% (+2)
LAB-S&D: 37%
LDEM-RE: 10%
GREENS-G/EFA: 5%
SNP-G/EFA: 4% (-1)
REFORM~NI: 2% (-1)
UKIP~ID: 1%
PC-G/EFA: 0% (-1)

+/- vs. 10-14 Dec

Fieldwork: 21-25 January 2021
Sample size: 1,100
By:
politicspunter
When: 01 Feb 21 10:53
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/dups-support-takes-a-dive-in-wake-of-irish-sea-border-row-40033751.html
.

A united Ireland referendum creeps closer as Sinn Fein take opinion poll lead.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 02 Feb 21 15:29
Biden Net Approval Polling:

Rasmussen (Feb 1): +6%
GBAO (Feb 1): +14%
Zogby (Jan 29): +20%
Morning Consult (Jan 30): +21%
By:
politicspunter
When: 02 Feb 21 15:37
I still can't decide whether to add the customary +7 Dem to all Rasmussen polls or just chuck them completely.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 02 Feb 21 15:50
It does help calibrate pollsters when you see these things.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 02 Feb 21 16:14
'Are the claims made by QAnon accurate or not?'

Accurate: 18%
Not Accurate: 50%
Unsure: 32%

Morning Consult / January 30, 2021 / n=2200 / Online
By:
politicspunter
When: 03 Feb 21 15:09
UK (GB), Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll:

CON-ECR: 40% (-2)
LAB-S&D: 38% (+1)
LDEM-RE: 8%
SNP-G/EFA: 5%
GREENS-G/EFA: 4%
REFORM~NI: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 0%

+/- vs. 25 Jan

Fieldwork: 1 February 2021
Sample size: 2,000
By:
politicspunter
When: 04 Feb 21 11:00
New Scottish approval ratings from Yougov...

Sturgeon +21
SNP +8
Starmer -5
Labour -24
Conservative -46
Johnson -54
Salmond -60
By:
politicspunter
When: 04 Feb 21 11:02
This is in line with other approval ratings with Sturgeon and Starmer doing better than their party, with Boris doing worse than his.
By:
politicspunter
When: 05 Feb 21 17:34
Savanta ComRes
@SavantaComRes
·
1h
NEW Westminster voting intention by 2019 GE vote: 

2019 CON voters
CON 87
LAB 7
LD 1

2019 LAB voters
LAB 92
CON 4
LD 1

2019 LD voters
LAB 46
LD 44
CON 7
By:
politicspunter
When: 05 Feb 21 17:39
Significant drift from LibDem to Labour. Remain voters coming back I guess?
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 05 Feb 21 18:03
You will get drift back too, if lib dem is rival to con.

Opinion polls often guage overall vote intent, whereas in
election you get reality.

As per Scottish elections this year.
By:
politicspunter
When: 08 Feb 21 12:50
Westminster voting intention:

CON: 41% (+4)
LAB: 37% (-4)
GRN: 6% (+2)
LDEM: 6% (-)
REFUK: 3% (-)

via
@YouGov
, 02 - 03 Feb
Chgs. w/ 27 Jan

Is REFUK the name of Nigel Farage new party? How apt.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 08 Feb 21 13:17
NEW @IpsosMORI / Evening Standard. Tory lead at 4 points - Greens up to 8(!)

Con 42 (+1)
Lab 38 (-3)
Green 8 (+3)
Lib Dems 7 (+1)
Other 5 (-2)

1,056 GB adults interviewed by phone 29th Jan - 4th Feb, 2021. Changes from December.
By:
politicspunter
When: 08 Feb 21 13:20
You can normally chop off 2-3% of the Green vote and add it to Labour/SNP. Green don't stand in the majority of Scottish contingencies and votes normally find their votes to Labour if a battleground.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 08 Feb 21 14:49
Maybe thoughts of council elections filtering into polls

And tunnels under stonehenge...
By:
politicspunter
When: 09 Feb 21 17:48
UK (GB), Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll:

CON-ECR: 43% (+3)
LAB-S&D: 38%
LDEM-RE: 7% (-1)
SNP-G/EFA: 5%
GREENS-G/EFA: 4%
REFORM~NI: 2% (-1)
PC-G/EFA: 0%

+/- vs. 1 Feb

Fieldwork: 8 February 2021
Sample size: 2,000
By:
politicspunter
When: 11 Feb 21 10:41
Savanta ComRes
@SavantaComRes
·
1h
Our latest poll in partnership with
@TheScotsman
shows the Scottish Conservatives moving into position as the second party in Scotland.

Constituency VI:

SNP 54% (+1)
Conservative 23% (+4)
Labour 16% (-2)
LD 5% (-1)
Other 2% (-2)

4-9 Feb

(changes from 8-13 Jan)
By:
politicspunter
When: 11 Feb 21 10:42
Savanta ComRes
@SavantaComRes
·
1h
The Scottish Conservatives also move back into second place in the list vote.

List VI:

SNP 43% (-1)
Conservative 21% (+5)
Labour 18% (-)
Green 10% (-1)
LD 6% (-2)
Other 2% (-1)

4-9 Feb

(changes from 8-13 Jan)
By:
politicspunter
When: 11 Feb 21 10:48
Scottish Tories doing much better in those polls released today.
By:
politicspunter
When: 11 Feb 21 13:06
Westminster voting intention:

CON: 41% (-)
LAB: 36% (-1)
GRN: 7% (+1)
LDEM: 6% (-)
REFUK: 3% (-)

via
@YouGov
, 09 - 10 Feb
Chgs. w/ 03 Feb
By:
politicspunter
When: 12 Feb 21 17:12
NEW Survation Poll – Westminster Voting Intention:

CON 39% (-1)
LAB 33% (-5)
LD 9% (+2)
GRN 7% (+2)
SNP 5% (+1)
OTH 6% (-)


1,003 respondents, fieldwork 5-6 Feb. Changes w/ 12-13 Jan.
By:
politicspunter
When: 12 Feb 21 17:13
Strange one that. Labour appear to be losing votes to multiple parties.
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