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A pinch of salt,... Approval ratings

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By:
politicspunter
When: 14 Oct 20 14:56
Scottish parliament voting intention:

Constituency
SNP: 58%
CON: 19%
LAB: 13%
LDEM: 8%

List
SNP: 47%
CON: 19%
LAB: 13%
GRN: 9%
LDEM: 8%

via
@IpsosMORI
By:
politicspunter
When: 14 Oct 20 14:57
Scotland, public satisfaction with...

Nicola Sturgeon (SNP): 72%
Keir Starmer (Lab): 44%
Willie Rennie (LDem): 29%
Douglas Ross (Con): 22%
Boris Johnson (Con): 19%
Richard Leonard (Lab): 18%

via
@IpsosMORI
By:
politicspunter
When: 14 Oct 20 14:59
UK (Scotland), Ipsos MORI poll:

Should Scotland be an independent country?

Yes: 58% (+8)
No: 42% (-8)

+/- vs. 19-25 Nov

Fieldwork: 2-9 October 2020
Sample size: 1,045

Note: 58% represents a record high for Scottish independence
By:
politicspunter
When: 17 Oct 20 17:20
Survation:

LAB 41 (+1)
CON 37 (-1)
UKIP 7 (+4)
LD 6 (-4)
SNP 3 (=)
GRN 2 (=)

Fieldwork 31st Aug-1st Sep (changes vs 7th Jul)
N=1,017
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 17 Oct 20 17:47
Ukips going well there, I can't imagine they are straight switching lib dem to to Ukips, so must be some churn elsewhere too.

Unless they are just polling errors
By:
politicspunter
When: 17 Oct 20 18:41
Could be Brexit Party I guess? Same lot anyway.
By:
politicspunter
When: 17 Oct 20 21:15
Lol, just found out somebody put it up today but it's from 2018. That explains the UKIP bitLaugh
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 21 Oct 20 15:12
London Mayoral Election Voting Intention:

Khan (LAB): 50% (+2)
Bailey (CON): 28% (=)
Porritt (LDM): 10% (-1)
Berry (GRN): 10% (+1)

Via @RedfieldWilton, 15-17 Oct.
Changes w/ 7-8 Sep.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 22 Oct 20 17:58
Westminster Voting Intention:

CON: 40% (-1)
LAB: 40% (+1)
LDM: 7% (-1)
SNP: 5% (+1)
GRN: 4% (=)

Via @RedfieldWilton, 21 Oct.
Changes w/ 6-7 Oct.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 22 Oct 20 18:02
In the version of our results that does not exclude those who say they don’t know who they would vote for, the proportion of those who answered “don’t know” has increased by 3% since two weeks ago and now stands at 15%. When ’don’t know’s are included, the two major parties are tied at 34%. We believe it is essential to also provide this set of results given that 15% is a significant portion of the electorate, the next election is three to four years away, and the changes in voting intention results thus far are primarily as a result of a noticeable proportion of 2019 Conservative voters saying they now don’t know how they will vote in the next election (rather than switching to another party).
By:
politicspunter
When: 24 Oct 20 20:22
Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 40% (-)
CON: 38% (-2)
LDEM: 6% (-)
GRN: 5% (+2)

via
@OpiniumResearch

Chgs. w/ 09 Oct
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 Oct 20 12:29
Ben Page, Ipsos MORI
@benatipsosmori
Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 42% (+5)
CON: 37% (-3)
LDEM: 8% (-)
GRN: 5% (-)

22 - 28 Oct
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 Oct 20 12:30
Scottish independence voting intention:

Yes: 56%
No: 44%

via
@JLPartnersPolls
, 10 - 21 Sep (!)
First IndyRef VI from JLP, published today
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 Oct 20 12:31
https://www.politico.eu/article/loathing-of-boris-johnson-fueling-surge-in-support-for-scottish-independence-poll/
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 Oct 20 12:33
Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 41% (+1)
CON: 39% (-1)
LDEM: 7% (-)
GRN: 4% (-)

via
@RedfieldWilton
, 28 Oct
Chgs. w/ 21 Oct
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 30 Oct 20 12:38
Interesting to see polls after yesterdays
carry on.
By:
politicspunter
When: 30 Oct 20 12:47
Yes, but was what happened yesterday a big surprise to anyone?
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 30 Oct 20 12:49
Have you got a few hours...

In general not really, but
we are observers not involved
in the nuances of it all.
By:
politicspunter
When: 03 Nov 20 11:25
Westminster Voting Intention (Wales):

LAB: 43% (+2)
CON: 32% (-1)
PLC: 13% (-2)
BXP: 5% (+1)
LDM: 3% (+1)
GRN: 3% (=)

Via
@YouGov
, 26-30 Oct.
Changes w/ 28 Aug - 4 Sep.
By:
thegiggilo
When: 05 Nov 20 16:38
Scottish independence voting intention:

Yes: 54% (+1)Cool
No: 46% (-1)

via
@Survation
, 28 Oct - 04 Nov
Chgs. w/ 07 Sep
By:
politicspunter
When: 06 Nov 20 13:14
YouGov
@YouGov
Latest Westminster voting intention (fieldwork 4-5 Nov)

Lab - 40%
Con - 35%
Lib Dem - 7%
Brexit Party - 6%
SNP - 5%
Green - 4%
By:
politicspunter
When: 06 Nov 20 13:35
YouGov
@YouGov
·
1h
Which of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister? (4-5 Nov)

Keir Starmer - 36%
Boris Johnson  - 26%
Don't know - 36%
By:
politicspunter
When: 07 Nov 20 21:11
UK, Opinium poll:

LAB-S&D: 42% (+2)
CON-ECR: 38%
LDEM-RE: 7% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 5%
GREENS-G/EFA: 3% (-2)
UKIP-ID: 2%
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 22-23 Oct

Fieldwork: 5-6 November 2020
Sample size: 2,003
By:
politicspunter
When: 12 Nov 20 15:06
YouGov
@YouGov
·
1h
Latest Holyrood voting intention (6-10 Nov)

SNP - 56% (constituency vote) / 47% (regional/party vote)
Con - 19%/20%
Lab - 15%/13%
Lib Dem - 6%/6%
Green - 2%/7%
Other - 2%/7%
By:
politicspunter
When: 12 Nov 20 15:06
YouGov
@YouGov
·
1h
Scottish independence voting intention:

Yes: 51%
No: 49%

Fieldwork 6-10 Nov
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 16 Nov 20 19:06
In hindsight, do you think Britain was right or wrong to vote to leave the European Union?

Right to Leave: 38% (-3)
Wrong to Leave: 51% (+2)

Via @YouGov, 11-12 Nov.
Changes w/ 4-5 Nov.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 17 Nov 20 12:37
Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 40% (-)
CON: 38% (+3)
GRN: 5% (+1)
LDEM: 5% (-2)
BREX: 4% (-2)

via @YouGov, 11 - 12 Nov
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 17 Nov 20 15:59
Updated @LeanTossup Welsh Assembly Model:

Labour: 28 (-1)
Cons: 16 (+5)
Plaid Cymru: 14 (+2)
LD: 1 (-)
Brexit: 1 (-6)*

(Seat Changes With 2016 Election)

(* Brexit Change With UKIP 2016)
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 17 Nov 20 19:32
How well or badly do you think the government are doing at
handling Britain's exit from the European Union?

Well: 28% (-2)
Badly: 59% (+3)
NET: -31% (-5)

Via @YouGov, 11-12 Nov.
Changes w/ 4-5 Nov.
By:
politicspunter
When: 28 Nov 20 11:54
Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 40% (+3)
CON: 37% (-1)
LDEM: 5% (-2)
BREX: 5% (+1)
GRN: 5% (-1)

via
@YouGov
By:
politicspunter
When: 28 Nov 20 18:24
Westminster Voting Intention:

CON: 39% (-2)
LAB: 37% (-1)
LDM: 7% (+2)
SNP: 5% (=)
GRN: 5% (-1)
BXP: 4% (=)

Via
@NCPoliticsUK
, 20-28 Nov.
Changes w/ 9-17 Oct.
By:
politicspunter
When: 29 Nov 20 13:34
UK (GB), Deltapoll poll:

LAB-S&D: 38% (-1)
CON-ECR: 37% (-5)
LDEM-RE: 9% (+2)
SNP-G/EFA: 4% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 4% (+1)
UKIP-ID: 4% (+2)
BREXIT-NI: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1% (+1)

+/- vs. 22-24 Oct 2020

Fieldwork: 26-28 November 2020
Sample size: 1,525
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 29 Nov 20 13:44
Any gammons4London polling data?
By:
politicspunter
When: 29 Nov 20 13:48
https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/wjui8lxv99/QMUL_Results_201119_MayoralVI_W.pdf

Yep, he is at 2% in latest poll.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 29 Nov 20 13:50
Cheers
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 02 Dec 20 18:38
Scottish Independence Support:

Independence: 56% (-2)
Remain: 44% (+2)

Ipsos Mori / November 26, 2020 / n=857 / Online

(% chg w October 9)
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 03 Dec 20 16:49
Small sample here...


Georgia Senate Runoff Polling:

Special:
Warnock (D): 52%
Loeffler (R): 45%

Regular:
Ossoff (D): 50%
Perdue (R): 48%

SurveyUSA / November 30, 2020 / n=583 / Online
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 03 Dec 20 16:51
Survey USA's final Georgia Senate polls

Special: Warnock 30, Loeffler 26, Collins 20 (Actual Result: Warnock 33, Loeffler 26, Collins 20)

Normal: Ossoff 43, Perdue 46 (Actual Result: Ossoff 48, Perdue 50)
By:
politicspunter
When: 03 Dec 20 20:24
Scottish parliament, voting intention(s):

Constituency:
SNP: 55% (-3)
CON: 22% (+3)
LAB: 14% (+1)
LDEM: 6% (-2)

Regional:
SNP: 47% (-)
CON: 19% (+3)
LAB: 13% (+3)
GRN: 7% (-2)
LDEM: 6% (-2)

via
@IpsosMORI
, 20 - 26 Nov
Chgs. w/ Oct
By:
cryoftruth
When: 03 Dec 20 20:44
Oh dear.

Only 33% ahead of the Bullingham and Bully Club oafs.

Interesting to see if Scotland’s Party gets another overall majority in a proper PR system in May.

The Tories went on crowing like banshees after the imbeciles got 43% of voters to support them at the last UK election. They went on about having a “clear mandate”.

I bet you anything that they won’t be going on about the clear mandate the Independence movement in Scotland gets next May. Stinking hypocrites.
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