Politics
Copeland by election
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Was that minor or miner changes?
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Initial list of known applicants for the Labour candidate....
Applications to be Labour’s candidate in the Copeland by-election closed at 10am today. A series of local activists submitted their forms over the weekend as they hope to be selected to defend the party’s 2,564 majority. Yesterday activists from Barrow, including MP John Woodcock, joined Labour’s campaign effort. So far the Labour members to have confirmed they are seeking the nomination for Copeland include: Usman Ahmed – Shropshire councillor who declared early and says he knows “the area, the people and the issues” in Copeland. Douglas Beattie – councillor in Camden, London, who went to school in the Borders. Fiona Dent – former PPC in Windsor and NHS campaigner. Jerry Hague – a legal advisor for Yorkshire and Humber TUC who comes from North Derbyshire. Rachel Holliday – founder of Calderwood House hostel who has spent years helping people who have experienced homelessness. Graham Kendall – councillor in Keswick in the Lake District. Barry Kirby – deputy leader of the Labour group on Gloucestershire county council who was raised in Cumbria. Tim Knowles – the Cumbria county councillor today told ITV Border he had entered the race. James Martin – a Unite activist who has worked in health and safety training at the Sellafield nuclear plant. Iain Mooney – nurse and Unison activist from Barrow-in-Furness in the south of Cumbria. Gillian Troughton – a Cumbria county council member and NHS campaigner. An early version of this list featured a candidate who declared he was standing but failed to submit his application in time so was ruled ineligible. |
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http://www.newsandstar.co.uk/news/Copeland-could-be-without-an-MP-for-three-months-7b4f21a6-eda1-468f-9be9-536ce49eabe9-ds
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An up to date Labour candidate list allegedly. It is from the same source as previously and contains names not on the original list so who knows...
A former Labour MP and a series of local councillors and activists have been named on the longlist to be the party’s candidate in the Copeland by-election. Four men and four women, including Thomas Docherty, who represented Dunfermline and West Fife for a single term, and Rachel Holliday, founder of a hostel for the homeless, made it through after the deadline for applications closed on Monday, LabourList understands. Local members will choose their candidate to defend outgoing MP Jamie Reed’s 2,564 majority at the final hustings on Thursday 19 January. The longlist, which has not been published, also includes Gillian Troughton, a Cumbria county councillor who lives in the constituency, and Graham Kendall, a councillor in Keswick in the Lake District. A party spokesman declined to comment tonight. The longlist is shown below. Barbara Cannon Tricia Clarke Thomas Docherty Rachel Holliday Graham Kendall Tim Knowles David Southward Gillian Troughton |
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interesting reading in todays local media / letters page
there would be appear to be a strong line up to be the Labour candidate, however also some momentum for a local Independent candidate. It would not be a big surprise if one of the individuals not chosen as the Labour candidate decides to stand as an Independent , probably depends how strong their allegiance to the Labour party is |
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As I've said up thread, the biggest threat to Labour here could come from an independent representing the interests of the local hospital whose maternity department is currently threatened leaving expectant mums with a forty mile hike to Carlisle.
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Thomas Docherty! Kicked out of Scotland in the SNP wave of 2015 and grubbing for a job across the border. I'd be selling Labour in spades
If we get a quality Independent I'm not sure I would have a clue what the real prices should be. |
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To be fair to Thomas Docherty he simply got swept away in the SNP tide. His family come from this area.
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If a quality independent stands representing the hospital, the Tories are big favourites I feel.
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Or could the Independent sweep votes from both sides and come through the middle. I can envisage a situation where LD's pull out and nominally support the IND candidate.
If it's genuine fear I wouldn't back against the cult of the NHS. |
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Ach, all the Tories will probably have private health anyway, no need for the NHS hospital.
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http://www.markpack.org.uk/147900/rebecca-hanson-copeland-byelection/
LD's have gone on the hospital issue. |
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Yes, she looks to be a good candidate for them. LibDem's position clear on single market, female local hospital activist, must pick up votes from the miserable 3.5% in the 2015 general election. Likely to hurt Labour the most.
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Labour members to pick from three women for Copeland by-election
12TH JANUARY, 2017 7:58 PM Labour members will pick a female candidate in Copeland after the party named three local women on its shortlist for the by-election. Activists in the West Cumbria seat will be asked to choose between two councillors and a homeless expert when the final hustings is held next week. The shortlist for candidates to defend Labour’s 2,564 majority is made up of Barbara Cannon, Rachel Holliday and Gillian Troughton but Thomas Docherty, a former MP with roots in Cumbria, missed out. The longlist, which was revealed on LabourList yesterday, was today narrowed down to three names, which were published in the Whitehaven News, the local paper which covers the constituency. Holliday is seen by some local members as the favourite and there is speculation that Jeremy Corbyn’s aides are enthusiastic about her entry into the race. She is the founder of Calderwood House hostel in Egremont and was named Cumbria’s woman of the year in 2015. Cannon and Troughton are, however, also both well-respected figures locally. Cannon is an Allerdale borough councillor who lives in Workington while Troughton is a Cumbria county councillor who lives in Whitehaven. Troughton also serves on Copeland borough council. Docherty, the former Dunfermline and West Fife MP who grew up in Whitehaven, did not make it on to the shortlist despite his links to West Cumbria, which include a spell working at the old British Nuclear Fuels Ltd (BNFL) at Sellafield. A spokesman for Labour declined to comment on the shortlist tonight. |
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That looks like men have been discriminated against by the Labour party, it would be interesting if one of them were to take the party to court for sex discrimination.
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Are the SNP putting anyone up? It's closish to Scotland and they should be testing the boundaries of their message of 20% overspending and lots of free stuff. Could be surprisingly popular.
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Yesterday's Sandhill (Sunderland) council by-election result:
LDEM: 45.0% (+41.5) LAB: 25.0% (-29.9) UKIP: 18.7% (-7.2) CON: 10.0% (-5.7) GRN: 1.3% (+1.3) |
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Holliday will win the nomination, and if she does, with her campaigning against the cuts to West Cumberland Hospital, she'll likely win.
It'll be very hard for the Tory candidate to argue back on the Maternity issue at the hospital. 2.68 looks value. |
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First of all, that LibDem result in Sunderland was a great result for them, no doubt about it albeit in a very small sample of voters. However, the Labour councillor who held the seat got kicked out for non-attendance so is it a surprise that Labour lost the seat? Now look at the UKIP (-7.2%) and Conservative(-5.7%) voting share against a Labour no hoper. Those voting share losses are typical post general election.
Now, regarding the Copeland by election, I agree with kevin. 2.68 for a Labour win looks huge to me as their candidate short list contains three local women candidates. I don't count UKIP here and I can't see how the Conservatives can increase their voting share. |
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Isn't Holliday a Corbynista? Anti-nuclear and pro-Remain?
It does like it'll be her as she seems to have significant blocks of support in Momentum and unions etc. |
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As the Lib Dem leader lives next door we may expect to see a lot of him and his pet subject on the local media,he really doesnt get it about the EU,it may be very counter productive too.
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Labour name their candidate for Copeland by-election
Gillian Troughton 19 January 2017 9:31PM Gillian Troughton has been selected as Labour's candidate to fight the upcoming Parliamentary by-election in Copeland. Mrs Troughton, a Copeland borough and Cumbria county councillor, beat off competition from hospital campaigner Rachel Holliday and Allerdale councillor Barbara Cannon to be Labour's nomination in the race to succeed outgoing MP Jamie Reed. Labour members made their selection in a behind-closed-doors vote in Egremont Market Hall tonight. Mrs Troughton, 51, of Moresby Parks, was an active Remain campaigner in last year's EU referendum. She was elected to Copeland Council in 2011, holding the finance portfolio on its executive committee for four years, and won her seat on Cumbria County Council, representing Howgate, in October 2015. Mr Reed will step down at the end of January for a job at Sellafield. However, Labour – as the party that currently holds the seat and is likely to move the writ that triggers the by-election – has suggested that May 4 may be its preferred date. The Conservatives, while campaigning locally, have yet to formally launch their selection process, adding that it will begin once Mr Reed’s resignation takes effect. The Liberal Democrats will field former maths teacher Rebecca Hanson, a Cockermouth town councillor, who has been an outspoken opponent of the Success Regime’s plans to overhaul NHS services in West Cumbria. UKIP’s West Cumbrian branch has selected Fiona Mills as its candidate. Ms Mills, chairman of UKIP Cumbria who stood for the Carlisle seat in the 2015 election, must now have her selection ratified by the party’s national executive committee. And the Green Party has confirmed that it will field a candidate on “an anti-nuclear and anti-poverty campaign”, and will make a selection on January 24. Allan Todd, who stood for Copeland in the 2015 General Election, has confirmed that he is not in the running. 19 January 2017 9:24PM |
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Meanwhile Politics Home is reporting that Labour is planning to hold both the Copeland and Stoke-on-Trent Central by-elections on the same day next month, "likely" to be 23 February.
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That's a big shock that Troughton got it. The media is all over her entrenched EU views and her hostility to the Labour party leader already.
Makes sense for Labour not to prolong the media and other candidates picking at the scab. |
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Troughton, pro local Nuclear Industry, involved in the campaign to save the Maternity wing at West Cumberland Hospital. Willing to accept the EU ref result. The hospital issue/NHS is #1 in terms of importance here in my opinion.
Looks a very good candidate. I still think it's a 60/40 in favour of Labour. I lived there for over 20 years, and voting Tory is not in the blood. The hard bit for Labour will be getting their vote out..... I also wonder if the Tories would prefer (although clearly would never admit) a Labour victory, it means they keep Jeremy. If the Tories win for the first time since 1931, it hardly suggests they have much chance in a general election. |
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2564 majority and still they picked a remainer.
they never learn. time for the people to teach them yet another lesson. local UKIP activists already considering voting tory so as to make sure of a tory win. |
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Yes, a bit of a surprise in the selection but to be fair she has a lot of ticks in the right boxes. I am wondering what the impact will be on this seat regarding UKIP, if as expected, Paul Nuttall stands as the UKIP candidate in Stoke Central. The UKIP machine can't cover everything and you would imagine that the Stoke seat will have the support of canvassers and leafleters. If that is the case, which party is most likely to benefit in Copeland?
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Burt must have read my mind as I went to hit post!
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they had 6148 votes last time. if they advocate a tactical vote to the tories then it's already all over.
and if an amount of that number decide it for themselves ( which i think they will) then once again it's over. |
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i told you all that 2.0 was a gift. down to 1.83 now.
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Obviously UKIP are going to spend more money on the winnable seat, but they aren't going to leave Copeland alone. A good showing here tees up 2020 quite nicely for them.
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I agree it's a 2 horse race.....I don't agree that the UKIP voters will move to the Tories, most were Labour before.
The Hospital issue is #1 there, very emotive, & been over the Whitehaven News for months. I can't see how the Tories can spin that as a positive for them. |
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