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(UK ONLY) ALL WEATHER FORM PICKS 2016/17
(UK ONLY) ALL WEATHER FORM PICKS 2016/17
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Replies: 467
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The obvious 2 King Robert or Azamour 5/1 the pair like I said though just have no confidence in track although azamour has won there,taopix looks alright as well no reason why it shouldn't run well.
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getting irritating being beaten by the dangers, looked a two horse race on paper, and so it proved, KING ROBERT 5/1 into 7/2 matched around 2.0 for 2k. ZAMJAR in the 12.50 was high up on the list, didnt make the cut for the thread
 hopefully better luck later |
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TAOPIX placed 3rd 5/1 into 7/2 matched IR 3.0 for around 1.5k crazy drift on the winner galilee chapel 7/2 out to 9/1 considering there
was only a length between taopix and galilee chaple last time they raced eachother. SELECTIONS 20 WINNERS 4 BANK 0.55 MINUS (didnt reach the goal of 20 points profit, still a few months to reach the long term goal) some of the races that are more competitive than others, sometimes you have do a bit of wheeling and dealing  would be too complicated to explain everything about each bet on here, im sure people on here are using their NOUS goodluck everyone and happy new year |
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You've actually been quite unlucky with a few of your selections and would be a bit in front given ordinary luck. You seem to have a method anyway, worth sticking with it.
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STAR STORM 9/2 SP 9/4
OXFORD BLEU 13/8 SP 13/8 VOLUNTEER POINT 11/4 SP 15/8 1ST TEGARA 5/4 SP 11/10 LINAGANNO FELICE 5/1 SP 4/1 MEMORIES GALORE 7/1 SP 15/8 1ST BEAUDEN BARRET 11/4 SP 7/1 2ND PRIMROSE VALLEY 3/1 SP 6/4 3RD MARSHALL AID 5/1 SP 9/1 CAROLINEA 5/1 SP 9/2 3RD DAZACAM 100/30 SP 6/4 1ST SANS SOUCI BAY 7/4 SP 11/8 HACKNEY ROAD 11/4 SP 2/1 1ST ALKHOR 9/2 SP 7/2 3RD BAYRE 11/4 SP 3/1 ARZAAK 7/4 SP 11/10 2ND KEYSTROKE 7/2 SP 2/1 CHARISMATIC MAN 7/2 SP 11/10 2ND KING ROBERT 5/1 SP 7/2 TAOPIX 5/1 SP 7/2 3RD nothing tomoro, back next week |
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Southwell on sunday,you could always split your stake and back your dangers in the races you have highlighted may find a bit mkore value that way..
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ive made lot of mistakes on the thread so far, thats for sure and there has been a 5 or 6 winners that i should of put up on the thread,
managed to not post them up on here. spent most of the year not gambling, so it takes a bit of time to get back to a decent level of decision making. i have complete faith i will reach the goal of 50 points profit by the start of the flat season, will keep going all the way through the year on the flat as well, wait till the doubles and trebles get going, will make this one of the best threads on the internet. im not as knowledgeable as you are about these gambling trainers |
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Don't think the picks you made were to bad and you could say you got the value as most were a lot shorter at sp,infact trading on here you may have won a few quid if prices were available on here following day.The hardest part is spotting real value,i didn't back any of your picks not that I thought a lot of them were bad I just wouldn't have bet them at the prices.That's the hardest part as most of your picks are horses in current form and using some times so that will always be reflected in the market,somehow you need to look at these types as not much value and look further away from the front of the market,i don't think you will lose but also I don't think you will win much either betting those sort of horses at those prices.
That sample of bets I think is quite interesting,think they are exactly what I would've expected it's far more difficult to actually find value at front end of market,so you're going to turn over lots of bets for small profits or break even. Be interesting to see how in depth you're doing the form and spotting ricks at bigger prices some double figures in there,good luck with it though,work hard on it be interesting to see how it works out and also if you see lots of bets in aday don;'t be negative if the prices are there... |
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the fav looks the one to beat DR JULIUS NO, has done nothing wrong so far and was held up at the back and cruised through to win that class 4 7f.
going to take it on with MONTICELLO placed 2nd in a listed race at ascot over 7f, has run twice since on good to soft, im sure wasnt suited by the ground conditions, TEOFILO they seem to prefer better ground, sire has decent strike rate on the AW and at 7/9f distance. MONTICELLO 9/2 betfair sportsbook 1 POINT WIN |
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MONTICELLO 4.10 newcastle
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You'd be lucky to get one button mushroom on at that price with sportsbook,lasted 8 mins as well ppower went 4/1 for 1 minute laughable..
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i know was going to stop putting up the sportsbook prices, waste of time no one can get on and the prices dont last long. did have look at southwell
on sunday was the first race on the card, there was about 10 reasons why the winner was a good bet, wont go into them. zebedee gets lot of winners at southwell? |
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Can't remember the name of a runner as I have never used sportsbook but there was one at 40/1 last week,was offered 15 pence the other books opened 12/1 and yet there are some on here and on talking horses that reckon they can get a bet on.
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Can't remember the name of a runner as I have never used sportsbook but there was one at 40/1 last week,was offered 15 pence the other books opened 12/1 and yet there are some on here and on talking horses that reckon they can get a bet on.
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CHEVALILIER 3.05 newcastle 100/30 paddy power hills corals write up to follow
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CHEVALLIER has been running very well on the AW lately, has posted 3 very decent efforts recently in much better races than tomoros,
CONSTANTINO looks a very lively danger, now drops back down to class 4 having gone very close over C/D in a class 3. MONTICELLO finished unplaced 100/30 out 7/2 SP BANK 1.55 minus |
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CHEVALLIER 3.05 newcastle 100/30
1 POINT WIN |
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CHEVALLIER finished unplaced 100/30 into 9/4 was matched for around 2k at 2.36 + lower IR, on a long losing run now of 9 losers at these prices its shocking
BANK 2.55 minus got one lined up for tomoro |
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ICE ROYAL 5.45 chelmsford 6/1 paddy power ( write up to follow)
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ICE ROYAL ha some good form at chelmsford having been placed 2/2/2/2/7 was basically pulled up LTO at the track, has been unlucky in a couple
of those races, was beaten into 2nd by 1 3/4 lengths by ennaadd whos now rated 113 and was also beaten a neck, giving 10 lbs to manjaam whos now rated 95. lucy k barry takes off 5lbs, she rode a winner for the trainer LTO. negatives are is coming back from an 186 days absence. ICE ROYAL 6/1 paddy power 1 POINT WIN |
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ICE ROYAL 8/1 ladbrokes
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I backed poppy in the wind today,1.01 40k done couldn't believe it should've been fav to win that race drifted like a barge...Couple of decent winners later though made up for it..
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yes very unlucky, suppose its a waste of time putting up lays at 1.01. yesterdays race where i tipped monticello, the fav went off at 5/4
but the horse it beat LTO by only 1/2 a length drifted to 14/1 and won at 8/1 LETMESTOPYOUTHERE, the difference was 28 price movements on the odds betting table, should never of been that far apart in the betting you gotta watch these markets, you can get unbelievable value when something drifts like that. |
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Hardly play in running although normally a horse that races up wuth the pace so could've easily put a lay up although I ended up having a reasonable ew bet when it drifted,stopped so quickly in the last 50 yards had to rub my eyes..
On the aw you get races where horses that have little chance get massively overbet or horses get overbet with not strong aw form at least on the clock others get discarded like that evans winner and goes off a big price.Think there's going to be arunner on Friday that may open up 4/6 but will go off 1/4 maybe 1/5,will be a great trade I maynot even highlight and hope the lemmings on here go 2s on.. |
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Roadie, heres what Osbourne has to say about Ice royal,
17.45 Ice Royal is coming back after a break, he's done a fair amount of work but I've left a little bit to work on so whatever he does today I'd expect to see improvement from him in the next few runs. My horses all seem to be going well at the moment so he could get involved, but he's certainly one to look out for in the near future. J.Osbourne |
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thanks for the info, sounds like the trainers being very prudent, which is what you would expect him to say. there was plenty
of money matched earlier at around 7.0, so anyone wanting to trade out and possibly double lay it, would of been laying below the 9.0 with the books. |
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What wins or can't win the 2.40 in Southwell please >?>?>?
Will Joshua Bryan's 7lbs claim be enough help for DUNGANNON 5's to 5/2 B365 |
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with claimer on board its 14lbs lower than its last win at the track in a class 3, if you wanted to back DUNGANNON why didnt you take the 5/1
last night? you have missed the price. CAPTAIN LARS is flying at the moment and CROSS FIRE handicap rating has fallen 14lbs since its last win over C/D in the grade. DUNGANNON was a good one to trade last night. |
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THE BLUES MASTER 3.30 kempton there are no prices yet, didnt want to rush the write up, apparently ran LTO in one of the fastest 10f
races ever run at lingfield beaten 2 lengths, the 3rd in that race has bolted up next time out in a class 3 race by 5 lengths the horse it beat has already gone out and won. tomoros trip will be an extra 2f stepped upto 12f, getting lots of weight from the older horses in the race, who are all running off 10 stone. got another one lined up too |
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THE BLUES MASTER 1/1 paddy power 11/10 betfair sportsbook
2 POINT WIN |
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ABSOLUTE BLAST 3.30 wolves 7/2 paddy power write up to follow
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ABSOLUTE BLAST ran well LTO just beaten by the progressive course specialist testa rosa, that horse has already won again in a higher grade.
the trainer had the horse less than a week before that decent run, steps up in trip now and is one of the lesser exposed horses in the race. VOGUEATTI looks the danger on paper, only had the two runs, DAISY BERE was allover the place winning LTO in a higher grade, my selection has run in a group 1 race, didnt get a clear run but was only beaten 6 lengths. im hoping it can improve with this longer trip and come on for that last run after a lengthy break. ABSOLUTE BLAST 1 POINT WIN |
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THE BLUES MASTER skybet 1/1 bet635 1/1 just missed the 5/4
 these bookies want hold their prices for at least 10 mins , |
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well ICE ROYAL didnt run to badly considering the trainer had left a little bit to work on, could be one for another day, finished unplaced
beaten 1 1/2 lengths. theres no end in sight to this LOSING RUN OF 10 IN A ROW NOW. BANK 3.55 MINUS 4/23 hopefully due a change in fortune, wait till the thread gets on a winning run soon |
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tks
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The Johnston horse had a very hard race lat time out,don't know how prices are holding up though should be going off 3s on in that race,any drift on that would be very strange as forms been franked.Have never seen prices hold up so long on a horse that looks llike should be going off 3s on tops,should be a craxking trade.
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was thinking exactly the same about how the price was holding up, 3 hours now and you can still get 1/1 money, usually they are cutting
the prices within 5 mins. like you say should be a cracking trade, hopefully people can get their stakes back and win few bob. |
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Lancelot du lac saves my day layers on here 4.1
insane stuff considering I put it up at 25s for finals day 2 months back... |
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finally a KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMM
first 2 pointer wins  as advised to tradewill be counting this as a 1 point win profit for the figures ICE ROYAL 8/1 out to 10/1 BLUES MASTER 1/1 into 4/9 BANK 2.55 minus lets hope can keep this going with the well backed one later tonight |
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Not quite my estimated sp,these layers and books ate clueless,biggest bet this year looked a 1/20 shot...I put it up at 5/4 on talking horses,ends another cracking week!!
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