Irish Sports
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21 Nov 16
18:42
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Date Joined:
25 Apr 11
put a thread up in january 2016 of notebook runners on the irish forum, on 25 runs showed a profit of just over 50 points.
will not be picking any notebook selections on this thread, just studying the form and comparing profiles and hopefully find a few winners.
going to be doing the form as soon as the declarations are out ( 3 days in advance), so will put up selections as soon as the early prices are up.
short term goal is around 20 points profit by december 31st 2016.
long term goal is around 50 points profit by the start of the flat season 2017
ive got a selection for wednesday, will post tomoro
will not be picking any notebook selections on this thread, just studying the form and comparing profiles and hopefully find a few winners.
going to be doing the form as soon as the declarations are out ( 3 days in advance), so will put up selections as soon as the early prices are up.
short term goal is around 20 points profit by december 31st 2016.
long term goal is around 50 points profit by the start of the flat season 2017
ive got a selection for wednesday, will post tomoro
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STAR STORM 6.55 kempton 7/2 with betfair sportsbook (only one priced up at moment)
good 2nd LTO to western hymn beaten 1/2 length in a 12f listed race at kempton sire is see the stars ( has 24% strike rate on AW ) ( 42% at 11/12f races) trainer james fanshawe has 30% strike rate for 4yo at kempton + 45.83 profit only horse in the race to have won at group level on the flat (group 3 win) time of its last race at kempton was only just 0.28 slow of standard 1 POINT WIN goodluck |
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STAR STORM 4/1 bet653
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corals now going 9/2 STAR STORM
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Fair play u got the price
Gl |
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OXFORD BLU 4.55 chelmsford 13/8 bet635 6/4 betfair sports book
an easy 3 length winner LTO at newcastle over 10f class 6 the trainer won the same race at chelmsford last year, the other horses in the race are all stepping up in distance so one or two of them could be open to improvement. reckon the selection has around 50/50% chance of following up that win at the prices will take a chance on it hopefully will get well backed. |
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skybet 13/8 william hills 13/8
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VOLUNTEER POINT 6.15 wolves 11/4 bet635 (only one priced up at the moment)
i make this a two horse race between volunteer point and squash is the main danger (its possible squash could go off fav 4/1 at moment) volunteer point is a top handicapper on the AW including winning the AW championship fillies and mares condition stakes last year 93k. has a very good turn of foot, but can also find problems during the race, usually has to be held up, only 7 runners in this race so that should help. has had a 4 runs last two months so hoping should much fitter now. 1 POINT WIN gl all |
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STAR STORM 9/2 backed into 9/4 SP there was a slow pace in that race, finished unplaced
OXFORD BLU 13/8 drift told its own story out to 3/1 on betfair, SP 13/8 finished unplaced off to a slow stat MINUS 2 POINTS keep the faith |
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It's just warming up yet...
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Keep it up...nice thread..
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1ST VOLUNTEER POINT 11/4 backed into 15/8 a top handicapper on the AW
did say KEEP THE FAITH BANK 0.75 PROFIT will be back next week, hopefully find some bigger priced bets. |
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keep your snide comments off this thread neil d, thegiggilo is a professional gambler who has made a fortune from gambling,
i have learnt more from thegiggilo then all the knowledge and info posted on racing forums added up together, someone who has actually proven his methods work, knows the formbook inside out and understands the markets like no one else. |
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TEGARA 3.50 newcastle betfair sportsbook 5/4 11/10 bet635
the horse has a very good damside (rated 104 on flat) superb AW pedigree by HARDSPUN 54% at 7/9f trainer is 5/10 at newcastle for 3yo 50% / jockey is 3/7 at newcastle 43% horse has obviously had problems with just the 3 runs so far, coming back from a long lay off 96 days. the form of its last win hasnt really worked out well with no horses having won since. will take a chance on it at the prices (could be a drifter this one) 1 POINT WIN gl all |
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Nice thread Roadie, at least we know which horse we are on before the race and that is great, will watch with interest,
good luck |
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Roadrunner thanks for starting this thread.
As regards Hard Spun I would be a bit concerned backing one of his on Tapeta @ 5/4 The sample size is not large enough to have a strong opinion and not safe statistically but Tapeta is not looking to be his favourite surface He is 0/22 with 7 placing. Expected wins 2.41 and archie 2.71 He is 0/6 when first 3 in the betting and 0/1 when favourite. On fibresand he is 8/32 ae 1.15 and polytrack 25/163 ae.85 Good luck tomorrow |
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good post mrcombustible, thanks for the replys
LINGANNO FELICE 2.20 newcastle 5/1 betfair sportsbook good 2nd LTO beaten 2 lengths over C/D class 4 the form of that race working out well with the winner now rated 91 from 84 and the 3rd in the race has since won on the AW. now drops into class 5. there are one or two in with a chance in this race. 1 POINT WIN TEGARA 5/4 into 11/10 SP finished unplaced and the shocking thing is went 1.36 IR and never looked like winning BANK MINUS 0.25 |
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LINGANNO FELICE 5/1 bet635 ( ladborkes are really short and are going 11/4)
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MEMORIES GALORE 4.55 kempton 7/1 bet635 (only one priced at moment)
has been running in higher grade races, low draws are favoured at kempton over 5f, 3 draw hasnt been very successfull (drawn 3) dropped a few pounds in the weights hopefully get a good position and i think 5f might be its best distance. beaten by orions bow 91 RPR 2 lengths and magnus maximus 1 1/4 lengths 89 RPR, they are both rated 105. the horse has potential. LINGANNO FELICE 5/1 into 4/1 finished 3rd went 3.10 IR BANK MINUS 1.25 |
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MEMORIES GALORE 7/1 bet viktor 7/1 william hills
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Easy 7/4 winner, fair play as with a nice bit of reasoning as well.
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i think this one deserves a big
 see hugh taylor gave a good write up for it, just found his column for the first time yesterdayKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM WHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH 7/1 into 15/8 |
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back in business now, nothing for tomoro, just too many runners in the races at chelmsford to bother trying find a winner there.
BANK 5.75 hope you all made plenty on that |
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well done fella........
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Well done roadrunner, nice price when you posted
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Proper racing thread.....includes a running tally (should be obligatory)
Well done RR, you nutter. Beep, beep! |
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Roadrunner, I will give you a ring later .
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Neil d texted he said well done roadrunner..
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Call me please, RR, have lost your number.
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Roadrunner, I sent you a PM
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Oh yeah, well done. Thought you didn't want me to post on the thread, only reason I didn't acknowledge the 7/1 winner. By all means, well done. Hope it continues for you.
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Just send all cheques to me thanks..
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Anything for today, RR?
geez...even thegigilo is sucking on your teat now! Self-confessed "Master" becomes eager pupil, hovering for crumbs from the table. |
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I will always be the master grasshopper...
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Master tin roofer more like it.
He reminds me of that ATR substitute that used to be flogging his "services" on here. |
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roadrunner46 26 Nov 16 22:27
keep your snide comments off this thread neil d, thegiggilo is a professional gambler who has made a fortune from gambling, i have learnt more from thegiggilo then all the knowledge and info posted on racing forums added up together, someone who has actually proven his methods work, knows the formbook inside out and understands the markets like no one else... |
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A sycophantic, glowing review from RR about your alleged gambling prowess has about as much credibility as, say, Wonky eulogising about Ulysses.
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Is that a simile.
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