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2021 Flat Season - Selections from the Notebook

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Replies: 585
By:
Tostidog
When: 08 Sep 21 16:54
Well done again George!
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 08 Sep 21 16:54
Thanks for the kind words WP, and well done to us both Wink
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 08 Sep 21 16:55
Cheers Barstool & Tostidog
By:
Whippin Piccadilly
When: 08 Sep 21 17:08
Another nice line for your table Happy He was the only bet I've had today so another decent day at the office. I was confident it wasn't an attitude thing with him why he'd hadn't won before. Well done to us my friend. Cool

I don't follow Irish racing as much as I use to, just a workload thing as I find UK racing and US stake races give me more than enough action. But I'm going to throw a few shekels on your 2nd selection. GL
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 08 Sep 21 17:20
Good luck WP.

It's obviously risky from what could turn out a poor draw and an inexperienced apprentice doing the steering, but there was reason to think she shaped better than the bare result in a stronger race last time.
By:
Whippin Piccadilly
When: 08 Sep 21 17:25
That Sandown run gives me hope too. She stumbled in that race so maybe you could mark up that performance a bit? A reproduction of that run or her one LTO would see her being competitive for sure. You're certainly on at the right price. Cool
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 08 Sep 21 17:43
No, poor. Can't even blame the draw given the winner came from two, albeit ended up in the centre.
By:
the numbers seven
When: 08 Sep 21 17:44
Well done with the winner George, you are on some roll. 2nd one didn't run too bad, I think you were right highlighting the draw as an issue. It couldn't win from there with all the pace down the middle.
By:
Whippin Piccadilly
When: 08 Sep 21 17:51
Maybe you could give her one more chance back at Dundalk? Hard to take any positives out of that run.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 08 Sep 21 17:52
Cheers the numbers seven. I'll see where she turns up next and think about giving her another chance.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 08 Sep 21 17:53
Agree, WP
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 08 Sep 21 17:57
Captain Corelli's win has taken the thread past the 100 pt profit mark at Betfair SP after commission, if for only a day. Cue the inevitable downturn in form...Scared

    Date        Horse        B.O.G        Stake        finish pos        P/L        Betfair SP -2%   
    16-Jul        French Conquest        9        1        0        -1        -1   
    16-Jul        Jordan Electrics        9        1        0        -1        -1   
    16-Jul        Equiano Springs        25        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    17-Jul        Churchill Bay        16        1        0        -1        -1   
    17-Jul        Ivasecret        14        1        0        -1        -1   
    17-Jul        Bungley        5.5        1        0        -1        -1   
    17-Jul        Satono Chevalier        5        1        0        -1        -1   
    18-Jul        Twelve Diamonds        11        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    18-Jul        Cityman        10        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    19-Jul        Krystal Maze        50        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    20-Jul        Lancashire Life        20        1 EW        3        3        4.68   
    20-Jul        Glamorous Force        14        1 EW        1        15.75        5.49   
    21-Jul        Sister Rosetta        8        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    21-Jul        Sweet Justice        16        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    22-Jul        Global Hope        12        1        0        -1        -1   
    22-Jul        Lady Dauphin        12        1        3        -1        -1   
    23-Jul        Soto Sizzler        9        1        0        -1        -1   
    23-Jul        Catch Kodi        40        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    24-Jul        Oriental Spirit        33        1 EW        3        5.6        0.48   
    24-Jul        Ballycommon        40        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    24-Jul        Sweet Justice        28        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    25-Jul        Equiano Springs        18        1        0        -1        -1   
    25-Jul        Azano        12        1        0        -1        -1   
    26-Jul        Classy Al        28        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    27-Jul        Doublethetrouble        16        1 EW        3        2.2        1.37   
    27-Jul        Rinty Maginty        5TP             33        1 EW        5        5.6        -2   
    28-Jul        Somekindasuperstar        18        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    29-Jul        Lipsink        20        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    30-Jul        Nagasaki Dream        18        1 EW        2        2.6        1.1   
    30-Jul        Boy George        14        1 EW        2        1.1        0.35   
    30-Jul        New Look        25        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    31-Jul        Lincoln Dream        4TP             12        1 EW        4        1.4        -2   
    31-Jul        Rubee Forty        33        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    02-Aug        Exhalation        18        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    02-Aug        Sagauteur        5        1        0        -1        -1   
    03-Aug        Coup De Gold        9        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    03-Aug        Miss Sligo        12        1 EW        1        14.4        16.07   
    04-Aug        Rinty Maginty        8        1        0        -1        -1   
    04-Aug        Impeach        14        1        0        -1        -1   
    05-Aug        Tashim        8.5        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    05-Aug        History Writer        18        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    05-Aug        Fierospeed        16        1 EW        3        2.2        1.92   
    06-Aug        Celerity        28        1 EW        1        26.88        52.54   
    07-Aug        Rockingham Jill        18        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    07-Aug        Golden Days        16        1 EW        4        2.2        1.44   
    08-Aug        Valhalla's Dream        28        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    09-Aug        Amnaa        9        1 EW        2        0.8        -0.1   
    09-Aug        Rubee Forty        20        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    09-Aug        Final Orders        14        1 EW        2        1.8        2.63   
    10-Aug        Campachoochoo        12        1        0        -1        -1   
    10-Aug        Needwood Blossom        25        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    11-Aug        Villeurbanne        8        1        0        -1        -1   
    12-Aug        Prince Ali        14        1        0        -1        -1   
    12-Aug        Bluetech        25        1 EW        2        4        3.86   
    13-Aug        Red Showgirl        40        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    14-Aug        Equiano Springs        28        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    14-Aug        Flying Dragon        10p R4        22        1 EW        3        2.96        2.53   
    15-Aug        Sheila's Legacy        22        1 EW        3        3.4        4.29   
    15-Aug        Fine Wine        28        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    15-Aug        New Look        18        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    16-Aug        Owens Lad        28        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    17-Aug        Beauzon        10p R4       11        1 EW        3        0.8        0.12   
    18-Aug        Roseabad        2.75        1        1        2.75        2.89   
    18-Aug        Just Amber        9        1 EW        3        0.8        1.87   
    19-Aug        Dark Lion        6.5        1 EW        1        7.8        4.92   
    20-Aug        Tindrum        8        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    20-Aug        Under Fox        6        1 EW        3        0.2        0.17   
    20-Aug        Thriller's Moon        20        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    21-Aug        Soto Sizzler        18        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    21-Aug        Latin Fury        16        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    21-Aug        Art Dealer        20        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    22-Aug        Bonte Moi        6        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    22-Aug        Jo March        6.5        1 EW        4        0.63        0.27   
    22-Aug        Long Call        11        1        0        -1        -1   
    22-Aug        Oceanline        11        1 EW        1        13.2        12.52   
    23-Aug        Miss Bella Brand        28        1 EW        1        33.6        12.13   
    23-Aug        Ireland's Eye        20        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    24-Aug        Needwood Blossom        12        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    25-Aug        Jungle Inthebungle        20        1        0        -1        -1   
    25-Aug        Carpentier        5        1        0        -1        -1   
    26-Aug        Top Exhibit        9        1 EW        1        10.8        10.56   
    27-Aug        First Greyed        12        1        0        -1        -1   
    28-Aug        Captain Vallo        33        1 EW        3        5.6        1.62   
    29-Aug        Iur Cin Tra        9        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    29-Aug        Bahia Star        10        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    29-Aug        Somekindasuperstar        16        1        0        -1        -1   
    30-Aug        Devon Envoy        14        1 EW        1        16.8        15.81   
    31-Aug        King's Castle        12        1        2        -1        -1   
    01-Sep        Zest Of Zambia        10        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    02-Sep        Sugauli        9        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    03-Sep        Musahaba        12        1 EW        2        1.4        2.01   
    03-Sep        Equiano Springs        9        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    04-Sep        Mount Mogan        9        1 EW        1        10.8        9.62   
    04-Sep        Diamond Eyes        14        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
    05-Sep        Fivethousandtoone        5.5        1        0        -1        -1   
    06-Sep        Prince Ali        22        1 EW        1        26.4        33.3   
    07-Sep        Jamih        16        1 EW        4        2.2        -2   
    08-Sep        Captian Corelli        8        1 EW        1        9.6        7.75   
    08-Sep        Queens Carriage        22        1 EW        0        -2        -2   
                                            131.27        100.21   
By:
the numbers seven
When: 08 Sep 21 18:02
George, form is temporary class is permanent. I'm off next week and will have some time to watch the racing and will be following you off the proverbial cliff. No pressure George!
By:
madhatters
When: 08 Sep 21 19:19
WD GB
Smashed the 100pts with the Mandolin
By:
Virgin
When: 08 Sep 21 19:25
Wd George Cool gl .....
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 08 Sep 21 20:49
I admire your bravery, the numbers seven Wink

cheers Mad' & Virgin

The sensible thing to do now would be to declare:

Gentlemen, my work here is done...and ride off into the sunset.

Cuz let's face it, a hundred pts profit at Betfair SP after commission is as good as it's going to get for a thread like this, particularly as we move into autumn and the prospect of big fields and dodgy ground.

See y'all tomoz.
By:
the numbers seven
When: 08 Sep 21 21:22
Nooooooooooooo! Laugh
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 09 Sep 21 09:00
Gioia Cieca, 1pt EW @ 16-1, 3.45 Doncaster (3 PLACES)

There are four firms offering three places on this race, so I'm going take a chance EW on Gioia Cieca, despite a slight concern as to why he hasn't been seen for over two months.

He's only had the two starts so far on turf, with the first coming in the Btittania Stakes at Royal Ascot when well beaten, and his second when winning at Musselburgh at the end of June over 7f (g/f) when turning over a Mark Johnston-trained odds-on shot (who has won recently off a 2lb higher mark) in what looked a well run contest despite there being only five runners.

I'm not sure about the suitability of this sharper test at 7f, though he didn't look short of early pace at Musselburgh. He's unexposed on turf and there could be more to come.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 09 Sep 21 11:21
Favorite Child, 1pt EW @ 16-1, 1.40 Doncaster (4 PLACES)

Favourite Child may look more exposed than most of the opposition but she makes some EW at the prices with four places on offer, and with the rain seemingly having missed Doncaster.

She might have been favoured by racing from a low draw at Leicester (6f, g-f) two starts back, but it was still a good effort to be just held close home by one who has since gone close in a Class 2 nursery at Goodwood off a 5lb higher mark. Favourite Child races off a 4lb higher mark today.

Favourite Child wasn't disgraced on her latest start at Chester in class 2 conditions event, given the ground might not have been ideal, she wasn't well in on adjusted ratings, and the run might have come soon enough just four days after her Leicester effort. The way she kept on there and at Leicester, suggested she may benefit from the extra half-furlong of today's race.
By:
barstool
When: 09 Sep 21 13:47
Very good second place George.
Happy
By:
barstool
When: 09 Sep 21 15:49
Another brilliant selection George, I backed them both place only.

Well done.
By:
lead on
When: 09 Sep 21 15:51
Nice e.w double....WD GEORGE.B
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 09 Sep 21 15:53
Cheers Barstool & lead on.

I'd quite happily settle for a couple of places like that every day! Not a bad day either for the stats at Betfair SP.
By:
PHS
When: 09 Sep 21 15:57
WD
By:
Macintoshmatty
When: 09 Sep 21 16:13
well done George
By:
the numbers seven
When: 09 Sep 21 16:26
didn't need the extra places George, VWD again.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 09 Sep 21 16:30
Cheers guys


Running P/L: +135.67 pts
By:
sixtwosix
When: 09 Sep 21 17:26
Sensational stuff George.....but it's not the first time is it , previous efforts have been just as rewarding.

I have piggybacked your selections today (not the first time) in each way doubles and trebles with one that caught my eye last time Jeremiah Johnson at Chelmsford later this evening.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 09 Sep 21 17:48
Good luck with JJ, sixtwosix.
By:
Virgin
When: 09 Sep 21 17:57
George GrinGrin wd again gl .....
By:
madhatters
When: 09 Sep 21 19:03
Another good day at the coal face GB
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 10 Sep 21 08:35
Ta Virgin & Mad'
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 10 Sep 21 08:40
Alflaila, 1pt EW @ 9-1, 1.40 Doncaster

Jim Crowley has deserted Alflaila in favour of Shadwell's other runner in this, but he's still of interest here following an eye-catching effort at the Ebor meeting in a nursery handicap. Drawn widest of the sixteen runners that day, he raced on the outer of the field and had to make his challenge initially more towards the stands-side, which might not have been the best part of the track, but he made sustained headway to close on the first two, who were drawn low and had kinder trips. The form looks a lot better now with the winner Harrow coming out and a winning a valuable sales race here yesterday.

Alflaila is up in grade today to Listed company and has a bit to find on the figures with a few of these, but he's improving and is unexposed at 7f.

Korker, 1pt EW @ 33-1, 2.10 Doncaster (4 PLACES)

Korker has plenty to find on official ratings in this Group 2 Flying Childers Stakes, but he gets a speculative EW vote having caught the eye last time at York over 6 furlongs in a valuable sales race, having raced freely in a prominent position before leading over two furlongs out when still travelling well, before being headed over a furlong out and weakening inside the final furlong, in a race won by Ever Given, who went close to winning a another valuable sales race here yesterday.

The drop back to 5 furlongs looks a wise move on that evidence and if he can distribute his energy more evenly this time it wouldn't surprise to see him outrun his odds.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 10 Sep 21 14:26
Alflaila ran well to just miss the frame. Sportsbook were going four places but as they were the only ones, I just left it at standard terms.

Korker was unable to get competitive at this level and dropped out.


Running P/L: +131.67 pts
By:
barstool
When: 10 Sep 21 15:12
Alfaila was just better than evens on the exchange George.

Hope you were on.
By:
barstool
When: 10 Sep 21 15:12
For four places I should add.
By:
Manoleeds
When: 10 Sep 21 16:50
I think you should count the 4th place as a winner as everyone on here has a sportsbook account -it's not as if it was only with one of the minor books .
By:
PHS
When: 10 Sep 21 17:02

Sep 10, 2021 -- 4:50PM, Manoleeds wrote:


I think you should count the 4th place as a winner as everyone on here has a sportsbook account -it's not as if it was only with one of the minor books .


...which you can use to get 45p ew on!

By:
GEORGE.B
When: 11 Sep 21 08:38
Scope, 1 pt EW @ 40-1, 3.35 Doncaster

Scope makes a little EW appeal at the prices in the St Leger. He was returning from over three months off when beaten just over two lengths into fifth in the Great Voltigeur, finishing just behind today's rivals The Mediterranean, Youth Spirit and Sir Lucan. He shaped quite well, never too far away in what appeared a well run contest, disputed the lead in the straight before getting a bit outpaced but staying on well to not be beaten far.

His dam is a half-sister to the Oaks winner Look here, and the way Scope stayed on at York, when having just his fourth start, suggested he could be suited by today's step up in trip.  He did win his novice on heavy ground (when beating Mojo Star) and apparently connections have been hoping for rain, so hopefully the change in going won't have a detrimental affect on his chance.

Sisterandbrother, 1pt EW @ 25-1, 4.10 Lingfield

Sisterandbrother is given a speculative vote switching to the AW for the first time. He has run well to be second on a couple of occasions behind horses who have gone on to win again, and he probably ran better than the bare result when fourth at Windsor a couple of starts back given he did best of the prominent racers in a race where it paid to be held up.

Sisterandbrother disappointed on his latest start at Ffos Las, but it's possible the run was needed after a short break and gelding operation. His dam was a dual 12f winner on the AW, albeit at Southwell, and being by Sixties Icon, this step up in trip to 13f could suit.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 11 Sep 21 16:36
Rob Hornby was quoted as saying that he intended to ride Scope handily, as he had at York, but he was slow away and had to sit at the back, and lacked the gears to get involved, though did stay on well late to close on the fourth and fifth.

He tried to make all the running on Sisterandbrother on this step up in trip, but after being slightly impeded on the home bend and then sticking to the inside rail in the straight, his goose was soon cooked.

Running P/L: +127.67 pts
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