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I didn't play it shooda. I cheered it on (in vain) for 37+73 - but nothing for this thread today from me.
I actually got a bit too heavily involved in laying Japan - and I am currently delighted to have clawed about 75% of that back. I've had better days! |
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Morning all. Can't see any real filth. The two races which interest me most are the 12.30 MR and 6.00 Nott.
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Hi Jon....only one for me today, the 5.50 Ripon ....hoping for a bigger price later on Blind Beggar, as I think it`s greater experience will help it on this undulating course...Cant see it being out of the PLAICE`s at least.
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slight drift to 3.5.....have backed it now win/PLAICE
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more woodwork hit !!! beaten by the draw there I think....high numbers have a 3/4 length advantage....but a PLAICE is a PLAICE
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Morning chaps. A few races with nice shapes to the market.
4.35 Ling 9 runners 40/1 bar the front three 1.15 Not 13 runners 16/1 bar the front three 7.35 Thirsk 13 runners 14/1 bar the front three (I'm not far from there and it's never stopped p1ssing down so could be nrs) 5.40 Hex dead 8 14/1 bar front three. |
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I've done 2 x ew trebles
Motorious 9/2 / International Girl 7/1 1.15 Nott Persaria 9/2 4.35 Ling Ford Maddox brown 5/1 7.35 Thirsk I'll think about singles later. GL. |
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Morning Jon - I got stuck on some outdoor chores yesterday (trying to beat the weather) - I had nothing (for this thread) anyway.
Today looks more promising - I have gone the other way round from you (i.e. Singles first - probably a few doubles to follow): 16:35 Lingfield: Persaria - Each Way - 1.5 Stakes - take the 9/2 imo (if you can get it!) 16:35 Lingfield: Swiss Flamingo - Each Way - Half Stake - take the 50/1 imo (if you can get it!) Probably no other EW singles for me - but some EW doubles with Persaria as the banker look possible. GL |
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The 9/2 & 4/1 on Persaria (16:35 Lingfield) is now long gone (it was always going to happen!) but it's been a while since one of these races didn't just have the dead-8 runners, making it difficult to take an early price EW without worrying overly about a Non-Runner impacting the place terms.
I'm a bit annoyed that Swiss Flamingo hit 66's (in places) not long after I took the 50's - but obviously that's a pretty speculative (place focussed) EW bet - partly because I'm not crazy about Perfect Dream and partly because I hope the draw might play a small part in the race for the places. Waiting for non-runners (in other races) means I have missed the 4/1 & 9/2 for Persaria for EW doubles purposes, so with enough eggs in that basket already - I think I'll give the EW doubles a swerve (at least in terms of thread bets). GL. |
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Good day all......The only one that stands out for me today is Ford Maddox Brown 7.35 Thirsk as you have mentioned Jon....with some of it`s rivals being n/rs, I just can`t have it out of the 3 at LINGst!!!!
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Well that's the trebles down the bog. Just the one single so far on Persaria. I'll Probably back Fort Maddox Brown.
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A strange day - I hardly got away with any of my shorter priced place lays
but had it right off with quite a few nice priced place backs (mostly draw related in the handicaps) - but nothing much doing on the sole thread bet race. Todays Filthy EW Thread bets: 16:35 Lingfield: Persaria - Each Way - 1.5 Stakes - backed at average 5.25 - 2nd at 7/2 ISP = - 0.23 16:35 Lingfield: Swiss Flamingo - Each Way - Half Stake - backed at 50/1 - 8th at 40/1 ISP = -1.00 Daily Thread Bet Total P&L: - 1.23 Running Thread Bet Total P&L: + 5.07 My Filthy Each Way thread bets to date: 06th April - 17:00 Chelmsford: Buxted Too - Each Way - One Stake - 1st at ISP 10/3 = + 4.00 07th April - 14:00 Lingfield: Lost Eden - Each Way - One Stake - 1st at ISP 2/1 (backed EW at average 3.625) = + 3.15 15th April - 19:25 Newcastle: Baby Alya - Each Way - Half-Stake - took 5/1 - 3rd at ISP 5/1 = + 0.00. 25th April - 15:10 Wetherby: Miquelon - Each Way - One Stake - took 4/1 - 2nd at 15/8 ISP = -0.20 28th April - 13:50 Wolverhampton: Final Watch - Each Way - Half Stake - took 3.75 - 5th at 9/4 ISP = - 1.00 28th April - 17:10 Chelmsford: Just Beautiful - Each Way - Half Stake - took 9/4 - 1st at 6/4 ISP = + 1.35 03rd May - 16:16 Windsor: Bringsty - Each Way - Half Stake - took 4/1 - 5th at 4/1 ISP = -1.00 08th May - 16:35 Lingfield: Persaria - Each Way - 1.5 Stakes - backed at average 5.25 - 2nd at 7/2 ISP = - 0.23 08th May - 16:35 Lingfield: Swiss Flamingo - Each Way - Half Stake - backed at 50/1 - 8th at 40/1 ISP = -1.00 Bucket leaking slowly! |
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got to take a chance now at 13 win/place......guessing at the ground and fitness for it......but same as most of the others?
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market said it needed the race, but apart from the fav (too short to back in those conditions) it was a race full of donkeys...a PLAICE is a PLAICE
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Grim stuff - nothing EW for me today.
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Morning . 4.55 Wind Tippy Toes looks a possible. Would like to see a little drift.
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Hi Jon - it all looks a bit grim again to me today.
Agree - maybe Tippy Toes (16:55 Windsor) is the best race on a bad day, I also like the Balding horse there at 19:30 (Zuraig) - but I don't think I will play either of them. GL. |
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Plaiced. The market ended up a really nice shape.
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I think she went 1.04 in-running Jon!
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Morning . 4.45 Bev (dead 8), 1.00 Sed, 6.00 Ayr (dead 8). All just dusty no classic filth.
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Morning Jon - both the "dustys" ran very well yesterday - but I think today there is even less dust!
I know it's a bad day (for this type of betting) when I start taking a closer look at Killarney! - nothing for me today. GL. |
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Morning all ..or rather top o the mornin to ya!!!! I`ve gone across the water fishing today ....3.30 Roscommon Melliferous...I can`t see it not being in the PLAICES at least, and the 5.40 Killarney Fictitious Lady, who should have come on for her debut and was also badly drawn that day.Both e/w and a double.
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Morning chaps. I used to bet quite a bit on the Irish 37 but after going through my bets I found that the vast majority of the dreaded fourth plaiced horses were happening over there and I think it must be down to the bigger field sizes. Having said all of that I did cast an eye towards Tumultuous 1.30 Roscommon with only 9 runners. Barely dusty though.
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Backed Gordons Jet at 5/2 in the Sedgy race. Beat everything but a 100/1 poke. You sometimes know when to pack in for the day.
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The problem I have with the Irish racing (both flat and NH - although I very rarely play the NH anyway) is the dominance of a handful of trainers. That should be good - i.e. for EW thievery you are looking for non-competitive races - and it does translate well, in as much as the betting shape of nearly every stakes race run in Ireland could be described as at least "mildly dusty".
However my reality is similar to yours Jon, in that (if I still played it) I would have far too many unplaced selections (even in the relatively filthy Irish races). Due to the lack of utter filthy races - my preferred use of e-way betting is EW doubles where one of the selections (Horse A) is a banker and runs (usually) in the sole utterly filthy race that day. With only that one totally filthy race available - I couple this with a handful of "dusty EW" races (Race B,C,D,E, etc) for the EW doubles. So in that example 5 selections would only result in 4 x EW doubles consisting AB, AC, AD & AE. Played correctly the place only element will be profitable - any win money running-on is a bonus and/or an opportunity to at least trade/recover the win stakes. To cut a long story short - it involves putting a lot of eggs in one basket and I'm very comfortable doing that if the race is right for it - but my banker ("Horse A") has not been from an Irish race for many years and probably never ever will be! In essence the betting shape of most stakes races over there makes it appear like it should be an absolute paradise for filthy EW bettors, in reality it just isn't - that's just my opinion - but it's based on experience and data too. GL. |
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And Tumultuous at Roscommon comes ...... 4th. I'm with you TM it's not for me anymore. Hope yours go well 37.
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Cheers Jon...just back in to see Melliferous has drifted slightly to a more tempting price(may go in again) and Fictitious Lady has been well backed (probably it`s right price now).Swings and roundabouts.
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if Mudawy drifts a bit more I`ll be tempted to go a 2 bet in the Fictitious Lady race
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and cover everything in the 4 TBP markets!!!!
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Have to laugh...perhaps we are on to something here? 4th...quite remarkable...what an absolute dog(fish).I don`t think they will be keeping that in the stable for much longer. The 4th PLAICED market cut my losses in half,but a loss to start the day
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I haven't played over there today 37 (apart from the handicaps) - but I'd be a place layer of the shorties any day of the week in preference to betting each-way in most of their stakes races. There is a nice EW betting shape in pretty much every race but plenty of them finish out of the money.
GL with the 17:40 (it looks a play to me too) - but it's a brave man that does an EW two-bet imo |
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2 bet for me in this now fellas
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that is annoying....managed to get my stake back easy enough...but led everywhere but the last stride aarrggghhhh
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That was ugly/painful to watch 37 - Ficticious lady went 1.1x in running - but I'd think the ground did for the other one (Mudawy).
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It was TM...but that`s racing...how long is that last furlong?...I am sure they have moved the winning post
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that would have been a nice winner as well, as I managed to snaffle some of the bigger prices early doors..but at least it wasn`t 4th!!!
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Yeah - they don't fook about over there with the market moves - you get the odd subtle one - but generally if they come for one they come for it properly - likewise if they don't like one - it just keeps getting bigger and bigger.
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I actually got more matched (not massive) on the irish site, which I use for football and some racing...It has always been useful during these crashes.....I am actually running out of patience with this lot...the service etc is getting worse...even the shares i have left in them are finishing 4th atm!!! !!!
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Good morning fellas....TM Jon Skip et all....just want to wish you all well for the future.....I am closing my account today (after 20 yrs+)as I have had enough of them....it is certainly not the company I once knew.........happy punting
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Hi 37 - sorry to hear that.
Respect for voting with your feet - if everybody did that things might have to improve. The decline was inevitable imo once the traditional books got involved and took control. It feels like they are more than happy to see the exchange model stagnate, seems like they operate a strategy of "isolate, contain and control" - i.e. tolerate exchanges merely to keep that element of the customer base ringfenced away from the core business. Unfortunately, I think treating customers with contempt is par for the course across the industry. Best wishes wherever you end up mate. |