I'll have a think, I've only got the sheikhs for owner stats.

Quite a few in them colours though Dealer

Wd Dan & STATS

can't believe that didn't manage to win another race on turf after it's ponty success (which was selected on last years turf thread)

togetherwecan

that was it cheers, dont let me keep you back mate

Ok see that now Stats 

have increased test size  to 150% ,smileys look  like footballs now

Stable cant have many older horses ,rem Yavanas Pace ?

Played Kingsley Klarion too

Good luck DAN.

Nothing for me today

Swerved Cape Love after missing the price.

Biggish e/w bet on Hamster Jam @ 9-1

Been out today and busy again tomorrow, can't say too surprised about the price of today's winner, did it very well looks like a fair recruit even more now!

Tomorrow at Beverley

2:10 Emilia jones, decent debut last week but market right on it and some strong yards in opposition, not the type for me over the season.

2:40 Aardwolf,had some experience of class, a cape cross sure to appreciate at least 10f as a 3yo imo and that would be my hunch where likely improvement may come.

2:40 Kodiac Khan,the more likely of the pair on my profiles coming up in grade after class 4 nursery success, should also have decent claims of a trip rise this season.

3:15 Geophony,lost the plot a bit last season when too headstrong after winning mdn well (race not worked out to any great degree), gelded and ok comeback run, another I have a feeling will be better going up in trip a bit if continues to settle this season.

3:50 Ravenhoe looks fairly handicapped again but not looking a progressive type, this will be the 3rd run back in quite a short space of time.Think 2 or 3 of these may see this distance out better round here despite the course obviously being to his liking.


Not around to see the action tomorrow and at the sorts of likely prices I'm going to stay out. Beverley obviously a very strong track so could be coming back to a barrage of abuse letting 2 or 3 through but I'll live with that at this stage of the season.

The 2:40 does appear to have been targeted with 2 wins in this guise and another 2 over identical conditions in my DB in last decade at this meet.

I'll be taking a closer look at the H/C races johnston's involved in.

Good luck Dan.

Against the 2 Johnson horses here with Arc Royal, although not sure I would be backing it now at this price.

Fair to say PJ didn't give Aardwolf the best of rides, yet stayed on well for second. Given a more patient ride and no big rise he should win soon.

Avoid PJ seems to be the message I'm getting from the yard so far this season.

The only horse of his that lies within my parameters for a bet is Frankuus. I'll have a closer look tomorrow morning.

Yet another one that should be able to improve again when going up in trip over the season.

I backed Kodiac Khan (4th) yesterday.

Nothing for me today on the Johnston front

Good luck any players

Nothing for me. Against Rich And famous with Accidental Agent.

wd Dan was 5/2 earlier when i posted on here

actually went off a reasonable price in the end

On a day when I have found it hard to find a bet - which is unusual for me - I've taken a chance on Highly Sprung, @ 11-2, 2.20 Leicester and see if we can get the favourite beat. Conversely, I am with the current favourite Above Normal in the 3.30 and against Sofia's Rock, so I am hoping Moore has an off day. Haven't looked at the evening racing as I have to get ready & go to work Good punting all

Saturday's often pose a problem for me as a lot of the basic figs are terrible.

eg Highly Sprung

In this age/class of handicap on turf in the week we have 21-154-13.64%,  23.51 expected wins, actual wins 21, a/e 0.89

look at saturday in the same group we get...

2-66-3.03%,  expected wins 8.1, actual wins 2,  a/e 0.25

We know plenty about this horse, ideally 6f on rattling ground with wins coming in class 4 and 5 company. Having gone 10lb above the last win he is now back down to that mark and has had a run on the aw (yet to win that code) and a run back on turf in higher grade.

The 2 above him in the market today are obviously less exposed.He swept aside Tanasoq (who is 2lb better off today) at Yarmouth last term and the fav ridden by Ryan Moore today has some terrible stats for it's trainer (using similar processes as I would do for MJ).

Still after seeing that last run despite the drop in grade and within the context of the saturday stats for this type, I'd be thinking another run or 2 and then back on some real fast ground in this grade could be the plan.

Plenty of these uneasy watches to come over the next 6 months