Nope, nothing catches my eye today from MJ, theres some interesting Gosden and Fahey runners though

I've backed Rich And famous today @ 13-2 today as I base my selections on Proform and they have it top rated on their Racecard with a tissue price of 7-2. Pros, course form, ground ok and likely to lead, which was probably the deciding factor for me as I love front runners and the course pace bias stats show they run better than expected, and more importantly show a profit. Trainer/jockey combination @ course 8 from 26, just under 31%. Negatives? Obviously blew out last time & been gelded since. Not been seen for 184 days but not particularly worried about that. Also: Trainer 1st Run in a Handicap (Turf) 195 winners(exp 219)from 1576 (12.37%) p&l £-231.17 BSP. This worries me, but all in all @ the price I'll have a dabble and I'll play my money up if the layers are willing to offer me 13-2 or better BSP on the exchange.

The main negs i had for the 1:50 was the terrible record of the yard in this class of hcp in the early season (march/april) looks pretty significant to me that a lot of these runners are getting some cobwebs blown more than anything else.

Would never see the listed/group drop back into hcp company for these 3yo's a positive either on the data i have looked at though sample sizes aren't large.

Just got a general feeling about this race but am obviously going to get some of these calls wrong over the season.

gl you guys having a pop today

Very frustrating. 3 bets so far, Election Day, The Blues Master and this one & 3 seconds

no chance breadnbutter

you'll know if i put one up i won't say things like that

you do seem to have a way with you, cantankerous

2yo just beaten by an sp 132.0

Has now Mad

a few probably backed thatr around 20.0 earlier and had given up

when a winner feels like a loser

Final was scrubbed along the whole way.  Looks like it wants about 3 miles.

never found another trainer with a decent sample size where you can actually see what the plan is with a lot of his runners

keep churning out the cliches though 1TP

I'm worried about leaving it DAN i must admit, the horses have mainly been running well!

the runners haven't the profile of his other winners of this race. (as noted earlier yard has won this 3 times in last 10 seasons)

LCT has had plenty of racing, the usual class 5's into 3's in races like this wouldn't have seen anywhere near this amount of runs in their careers in a 3yo race

white tower actually more likely for me of the two, a cape cross fast ground up in trip

there certainly been plenty of market movement in the race

20-Apr-17
16:20:57    16:30 Ripon
La Casa Tarifa - Each Way
Betfair Bet ID 1:90646955517 | Matched: 20-Apr-17 16:20:57    Back    9.80

LA CASA TARIFA not an obvious one ... how would you pick from his other runner

Frickin typical, I'm on Devil's Bridge @ 12-1. Really going through it at the moment, no winners in the last 20 bets and stuck on (unlucky) 13 winners for the month

Only 1 hcp race tomorrow a 4 runner race at bath then nothing over the weekend

I managed to resist backing fiendish tonight mainly due to her drifting all day and strong support for the fav, can't believe MJ has no runners tomorrow.

3 runners at ponty on monday...

There have been 4 novice races here to date and MJ has had a runner in each with 3 managing to score including mailshot who was runner up in the same race as Ventura knight at southwell before coming on to score here.Teofonic was another decent sort whom I'm sure they are hoping for more this season at 3 that managed to take a novice event here last season on it's 2nd run so there's every chance a big run is expected from monday's entrant.Fahey seems to have targeted this track with 2yo debutantes in the mdn events in the past.He took this race last year with a once raced animal springwood.Fahey has made a blistering start with his 2yo debutantes and in novice races the first time out record has gone from 5-45 to 10-56 with 5 winners in this bracket already this season, he must be respected at this track be it mdn or novice company.

Kevin Ryan is also capable of getting one ready early here at the track and as always any support would be interesting

We also have 2 divisions of a mile hcp in the final 2 races on the card.Miss Danby in the 5:10 runs again over a mile after a decent effort on the tapeta at Newcastle in a class 6 event. I wouldn't be surprised if he had his supporters but I actually like the look of the runner in the 2nd division (5:40).

Pennington to me looks like a horse that will need at least a mile this season and will hopefully like so many have strengthened up a bit over the winter.Despite the worry I have of a change in emphasis possibly with these 3yo handicappers early in the season (last seasons 2-30 for April was the worst performance since 2004 in this category),this one has tempted me tomorrow. The run following the drop down in trip at chelmsford will have put many off, he never got into the race at any stage held up there and I think there's a good chance the conditions just weren't optimum.I'm never too worried with this hunch if they are beaten a fair way lto for this yard.The previous mdn run  over the mile at Haydock earlier in the same month (October) was much more promising in the context of tomorrow's contest and I think a return to it on a stiffer track with the ponty finish should be a better fit.

The real sweet spot with these unexposed 3yo's in the lower class races is undoubtedly horses trying the distance for the first time after a few runs having not managed to get their heads in front in the 2yo campaigns.There does appear to be quite a difference also (relatively small samples admittedly) between horses that are seeing a trip change from the last run with 1-33 of these returning to turf as 3yo's that are either racing over the same or within 1/2 furlong distance in trip from their last outing. The same subset of runners that are seeing a furlong or greater difference in trip on this return run to turf as 3yo's see a record of 19-68.Pennington fits the latter group and also is remaining in the same class which put together makes me more willing to give it a chance at the prices on profiles. (14/1 currently)

There will be far stronger picks on profiles and ones I have note booked through the season but I'm willing to play Pennington tomorrow.

5:40 Pontefract Pennington, current price 14/1