Sutter County in the next for me

another 2nd time at distance 3yo hcp win too

5 winners today and not one for poor Joe

1-35 wind,

  not the strongest of races and going to chance this mj horse RAMPANT LION @ 4.0.

  generally 3/1 but only 9/4 with joes.... hopefully THEY KNOW .

Nice one Hatters + McCoy saturday winners

GL with the 2yo Glasgow

Not the very strongest signals profile wise for the Zetland Gold Cup today, a race which the yard has landed for the past 2 seasons. The race has tended to favour runners near the top of the weights (including the stables recent winners) but it has to be said this year the top rated horse is  pretty much leaving the others in a bit of a clump behind.

Rainbow Rebel does look the pick of the 2 with less exposure at this distance and beyond. A couple of runs back for this class of hcp has been just the ticket and having watched the last run back a few times it wasn't a bad effort at all up the inside (shape of race quite similar ratings wise).Looks a likely long term target from last season for this horse and he certainly wouldn't be the first horse to resume progress at 4 with this sort of exposure at trip and class.Any sort of deterioration in the ground should not be a problem if the rain hits.

Beardwood doesn't tick quite so many boxes with much more exposure on the factors I like to place weight on, you can forgive the HQ run on return with perhaps fitness and distance issues and in the back of one's mind putting a poor York effort firmly behind has certainly been known for the yard's runners.Over all though a lot of exposure at class without success despite conditions obviously being favourable (including a CD win).

Both runners have to break the class barrier here and neither fits the yard's recent race profiles but RR to me as the market suggests does look the likelier.

So not the greatest confidence but worth splitting a point weighted firmly towards RR.

3:35 Redcar

Rainbow Rebel (£8), current price 9.0
Beardwood (£2), current price 17.0

Belated weekly update...

date	course	class	selection	BFSP	pos	rnrs	dist	race return	total returns	staked	ROI
19/04/2017	Beverley	4	Election Day	6.28	2	6	6l	-£10.00	-£10.00	£10.00	-100.00%
24/04/2017	Pontefract	5	Pennington	10.48	8	8	30l	-£10.00	-£20.00	£20.00	-100.00%
01/05/2017	Bath	4	Poets Society	5.67	4	8	2.25l	-£10.00	-£30.00	£30.00	-100.00%
01/05/2017	Beverley	4	Yorkee Mo Sabee	28.40	9	10	14l	-£5.00	-£35.00	£35.00	-100.00%
05/05/2017	Musselburgh	4	Thomas Cranmer	8.28	1	9	nk	£34.58	-£0.42	£40.00	-1.05%
06/05/2017	Newmarket(R)	2	Abareeq	15.80	4	9	3.25l	-£10.00	-£10.42	£50.00	-20.84%
06/05/2017	Goodwood	5	Alexander M	11.50	2	12	0.5l	-£10.00	-£20.42	£60.00	-34.03%
07/05/2017	Newmarket(R)	2	Final	13.50	5	12	4.25l	-£10.00	-£30.42	£70.00	-43.46%
07/05/2017	Hamilton	5	Hamster Jam	23.00	2	11	1.25l	-£10.00	-£40.42	£80.00	-50.53%
10/05/2017	Chester	2	Emilia James	7.47	4	10	2.75l	-£10.00	-£50.42	£90.00	-56.02%
19/05/2017	York	1	Izzy Bizu	14.38	11	13	11l	-£10.00	-£60.42	£100.00	-60.42%
19/05/2017	York	4	Dominating	20.11	8	11	17.5l	-£10.00	-£70.42	£110.00	-64.02%
19/05/2017	Hamilton	3	Yorkidding	5.80	3	8	sh,nse	-£10.00	-£80.42	£120.00	-67.02%
21/05/2017	Ripon	5	Musbaq	12.34	5	7	17.5l	-£10.00	-£90.42	£130.00	-69.55%
22/05/2017	Carlisle	5	Il Sicario	5.10	5	8	3.5l	-£10.00	-£100.42	£140.00	-71.73%
26/05/2017	Bath	6	Pennington	24.00	13	13	22l	-£10.00	-£110.42	£150.00	-73.61%
26/05/2017	Musselburgh	4	Star Of Lombardy	9.80	4	9	7.5l	-£5.00	-£115.42	£155.00	-74.46%
26/05/2017	Musselburgh	5	Kiribati	20.00	6	8	15l	-£5.00	-£120.42	£160.00	-75.26%
27/05/2017	Haydock	2	Rusumaat	7.47	1	11	2.5l	£61.47	-£58.96	£170.00	-34.68%

selections	19
wins	2
expected wins BFSP	1.89
avg odds	13.13

This Dominating is in a strong profile group in the market top 3 (10-22, 3-3 for Franny) with the class drop and upped in trip to new distance in this hcp classification, soft ground could also have been a real issue last time at York where a lot of the yard's runners seem to struggle anyhow.Marked it down at Goodwood as possibly needing the run and definitely looked very one paced over 10f there that day, looked to be falling out the back when under pressure but was actually staying on again closing stages.Perhaps this sort of test could be more suitable now and hopefully the experience edge over a few of these today can see Franny getting the gelding home in front.

4:50 Dominating, current price 3.7 (2 pts)

no price but won well, loved the trip.

2/5 backed ,permion supplemented derby £95,000

Not my thing DB backing them that short

Each to their own.

If you fancy his short runners

stick them up before the race DB

It's a bit annoying hearing afterwards that you've backed them

just a bit of forum etiquette

perhaps you have the golden egg again DB like your grail system

pr race only please

I think he'll stay DB. Wouldn't have the usual profile for the Dante with so many runs but scored there, Certainly not got a typical Derby profile, would usually be something far less exposed winning at Epsom, would love to see it though!

Everyone taken the day off? Thought Aardwolf was a bit big @ 14-1 earlier so had a dabble, win only, as normal. Good luck to those playing today.

Norton not riding Masham Star? Doyle on board, could mean something. Had some money too. im on again

rebel assault 1.50.

Kilmah?

Kilmah?  Doubtful, but dutched the 3yearolds

Prices no great shakes at Musselburgh in the next, everyone saw Time To Study running on last time at Newbury and Mister Manduro may bounce back here (form in front of permian and sofias rock is very decent now) after looking all at sea under pressure rolling around at HQ but has seen the price reduced significantly now.

Wouldn't give up on The Blues Master but this looks a bit hot and having thought Chester was likely to be too tight last time, Still not sure this track would be ideal either.Perhaps a less competitive race on a more galloping track in future.