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2017 - FANCIES from the Notebook!
2017 - FANCIES from the Notebook!
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Replies: 1,263
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spanker with marnie james george ,i doff my cap-top drawer
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Thanks mad' and chav, it was needed to get the thread's stats looking respectable again!
I've got more to choose from today than you can shake a stick at  |
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Nice shout with the 33s George
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Ta Knaves
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Repercussion, 1pt EW @ 33-1, 2.40 Ascot
A bit of flyer is taken EW with Repercussion, who was formerly trained in France by Andre Fabre and bought by current connections for £40,000. I thought he shaped ok on his debut for Charlie Fellowes over 10f at the Craven meeting, possibly not handling the dip too well (though could be he's not straightforward and his new trainer wasted no time in applying a hood, which is left off here), but going on well once meeting the rising ground. The two runs since have been disappointing, but possible to make excuses as one came in a competitive class 2 handicap at York on ground softer than he encountered at Newmarket, and the other at Chelmsford where perhaps the surface didn't suit. He has been dropped 4lb and this is a slight ease in grade, so with the promise of the Newmarket run not yet forgotten, he's given another chance at big odds. Coral Princess, 1pt EW @ 28-1, 8.35 Hamilton A chance is taken EW on Coral Princess despite a concern that she may prefer quicker ground; she caught the eye 3 starts back at Musselburgh over 7f when getting no luck in the run and leaving the impression she would have gone close to winning with a clear run. The two starts since have been disappointing, but Tapeta might not have suited at Newcastle, and she might have had too much use made of her last time on softer ground at Ayr. She's back up in trip here to 8.5f, but the way she shaped at Musselburgh suggested she should be fine at it, and provided the ground is ok, hopefully she can at least challenge for a place at rewarding odds, having been dropped 3lb in the ratings since the 'notebook' run. The King's Steed, 1pt win @ 13-2, 8.35 Hamilton I have to have a saver on The King's Steed, who proved himself at least a high 60s-rated horse when running two solid races for Ralph Beckett last season at Nottingham and Beverley (when not getting a clear run and shaping better than the bare result). However, he seems to have declined dramatically for his current handler, including last season when not long having arrived from his previous yard and ridden by an inexperienced apprentice. He's actually out of the handicap here, such has been the decline in his form, but there were definite signs of life on his latest start at Nottingham, and there has been market support for him this morning, so if that latest run was a sign that he may start getting back to where he was for his previous yard, then he's potentially a well handicapped horse. |
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Correction: Repercussion's run at Newmarket was over a mile
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The King's Steed was a NR. Both selections failed to see their races out having looked place contenders inside the last 2f. Maybe Repercussion needs to go back a mile, while Coral Princess probably wants quicker ground. Whatever, the bottom line is 4 pts lost on the day.
July Running Total P/L : +41.19 Win stat: 5/35 (14%) Place stat: 10/35 (28%) Points staked so far: 60 Overall Running Total P/L : +63.34 Win stat: 27/267 (10%) Place stat: 72/267 (27%) Points staked so far: 431 Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L) |
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Peace Envoy, 1pt EW @ 16-1, 3.45 Curragh
Peace Envoy showed useful form as a juvenile, winning at Listed and Group 3 level, and notably when a strong finishing 3rd behind Lady Aurelia, beaten only a length, in the Group 1 Prix Morny. He was well backed to win a Listed race on his reappearance at Naas in early May when carrying a penalty, but got no luck up the inner when seemingly travelling well and leaving the impression he probably would have won had he got a clear run. The two runs since have seen him well beaten, but they came in the French Guineas and the St James's Palace Stakes (when refusing to settle in first time blinkers, which are left off here), so fair to say this Group 2 race looks more realistic. He has a bit to find on the figures here (though he was rated 7lb higher going into the Naas race), and Ryan Moore who was aboard at Naas, has seemingly opted for the Jersey Stakes runner-up Spirit Of Valor, so who knows what the tactics will be for the selection, who is the stable's third string according to the betting, but the Naas run certainly suggested he had trained on and would have something to offer this season, so he is given an EW vote dropped back in class, in the hope he settles better this time. |
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It was looking promising when Peace Envoy made good headway up the inner, but it soon amounted to little and he looked held when squeezed for room, after which he was eased off. There's always tomorrow...
 July Running Total P/L : +39.19 Win stat: 5/36 (14%) Place stat: 10/36 (28%) Points staked so far: 62 Overall Running Total P/L : +61.34 Win stat: 27/268 (10%) Place stat: 72/268 (27%) Points staked so far: 433 Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L) |
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you cant deposit tomorrow into the bank though george
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No, but he did on Friday, to the tune of 31.64pts. Do one chavvy.
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friday was last week PHS,although im sure youre probably already aware of that
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Going well again, GEORGE. I left em Friday and Sat due to sheer numbers. Winners included Marnie James-missed price and left it- and Medahim. Been doing a bit of cycling on me new bike, wish I'd been betting instead.
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I think Marnie James was 33s (10p R4) with at least three of the main books when I selected it on here Friday around noon, and it touched 25s on course, so you must have looked at the wrong time saddo!
 Medahim was Willo's horse to follow in the RUK club magazine, and I'm pleased to see it finally came good. Talking of horses coming good after you leave them, that Takbeer, selected it on here the last twice it ran, left it on Thursday and in it goes at 50s  |
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PHS, thanks for dealing with the riff raff by the way, much appreciated!
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Well done on your 33/1 George,one of the very few threads on this forum worth a read.
You spotted Lucent Dream before it ever got a race,at least 2 stone higher now and not finished yet,fair play to you. |
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Thanks for the kind words pa, but my enemies will now be scouring this thread and others for horses I've put up that are now rated 2 stone lower!
 I did have a selection for today (one I've put up previously) but having given it some thought, not sure today's the day for various reasons, so have passed. |
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Keep up the good work George, always worth a read
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Plenty of inadequates around who have nothing better to do George, keep them puce with rage
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Coronation Cottage, 1pt win @ 9-2, 2.30 Bath
Coronation Cottage ran well to finish a close up third at Salisbury two starts back, and although she could only finish third of four over 5f at Bath on her latest start when racing from 1lb out of the handicap, she shaped better than the bare result as she was short of room up the inner as the eventual winner hung towards the rail, and that form received a boost when Fethiye Boy followed up in a stronger race at Sandown under a 6lb penalty. The way Coronation Cottage stuck to her task last time would suggest the extra half-furlong of today's race will suit, while she may find this easier eased back in grade and against her own sex. |
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WD
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WD George, spot on
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Good man George, that's the way to answer back.
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GB wears the crown
Knew i'd seen it somewheres |
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Cheers. I thought she was a bit unlucky last time in that the jock wasn't able to fully get after her in the closing stages, and thought maybe it had cost her second, just wasn't sure about the strength of the form, but when the winner went in again at Sandown, obviously it looked a lot better.
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OK George it won, now stop milking it
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I always get a bit carried away Lee after one of me rare winners
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Nice one Ge
 rge |
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i see youve also attracted a few knuckle draggers to fend off any criticism george-youll be voting UKIP next
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Cheers KC
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criticise away chav, I'm all for a bit of balance
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July Running Total
P/L : +43.69 Win stat: 6/37 (16%) Place stat: 11/37 (30%) Points staked so far: 63 Overall Running Total P/L : +65.84 Win stat: 28/269 (10%) Place stat: 73/269 (27%) Points staked so far: 434 Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L) |
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There you go chav, just to show there are no hard feelings, I've dedicated a top ten to you, on Foyleswar's 'songs named after foumites' thread.
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well done yesterday george
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Saxo Jack, 1pt EW @ 14-1, 6.30 Haydock
Saxo Jack was rated over 100 at his peak, and although those days seem a distant memory now, there were signs on his penultimate start over this C/D when finishing third that he may be finding his level again off a mark in the 70s, on what was his fifth start for his current trainer Sophie Leech, having joined his new yard last year with a rating of 90. The form of that race has worked out well with the winner having since gone in again off a 10lb higher mark, and the runner-up too having won since, albeit on the AW. Saxo Jack was a little disappointing on his latest start at York, but perhaps a combination of a step back up in trip and grade found him out; he's back down in grade here and back over what is probably his optimum trip, so following another drop in the ratings and with a 7lb claimer employed, hopefully he can at least challenge for a place. |
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Cheers tm
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Unfortunately they were down to 7 runners by post time so third place for Saxo Jack means -2 on the day. He came with a promising run up the rail, traded around 2-1, but his ageing legs just weren't able to go with the first 2. No excuses.
July Running Total P/L : +41.69 Win stat: 6/38 (16%) Place stat: 11/38 (29%) Points staked so far: 65 Overall Running Total P/L : +63.84 Win stat: 28/270 (10%) Place stat: 73/270 (27%) Points staked so far: 436 Points won on multiples: 3.25 (included in overall P/L) |
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Bad Girl Caoimhe, 1pt EW @ 40-1, 8.55 Beverley
Medicine Hat, Samtu, Control Centre and Adam's Ale, all horses Marjorie Fife has won with since last December on their return from a break when having either their first or second start for her. Bad Girl Caoimhe failed to win in three starts earlier this year for Fife having joined her yard from Brian Ellison's, but those runs came on the AW, on surfaces that might not have suited, but the assessor has dropped her turf mark from 67 to 55, which allows her into this 0-55 contest. Some of her maiden turf form for Ellison fom last season reads well in the context of this race, having finished runner-up to both Wowcha (despite having endured a disadvantageous wide trip) and Normandie Lady, who are currently rated 78 and 82 respectively. The three handicap runs last season for Ellison were relatively disappointing, though it's possible 6 or 7 furlongs on good ground was an inadequate test for her. Bad Girl Caoimhe still has to prove what ability remains on this return from over 5 months off, and also has stamina to prove at this trip of near-10f, but her current handler is clearly capable of having horses primed to win off a break, particularly ones she has taken over from other yards, so if the return to turf does suit, she's a potentially well handicapped filly. Haulini, 1pt EW @ 10-1, 7.15 Windsor Haulini is an American-bred who has yet to fully convince that he has trained on from 2 to 3, but there were signs of life on his latest start at Kempton, and what makes him of interest this evening is the return to an easier surface, as he was twice an impressive winner last season with juice in the ground, including on his nursery debut at Salisbury when rated 73, the mark he runs off here. |
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Well done George you've bagged 20+ points since my last visit to your thread ...gl
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yes you doing well again george after that rough june,only another 5 months to go
good luck today. |