brilliant tipping george, well done, best thread on here by a country mile, as stated in the past, you are always going to have long losing runs with the prices you put up

Well done G Man

WD George

on fire george, very well done, enjoy

Thanks again. Two in one day, the BHA will have to send their testers round

It looked an interesting switcher and the jockey booking suggested they meant business. Their other switcher that was pulled out had shorter in the betting, make of that what you will!

35p Rule 4 for The Detainee at the early price

Wednesday

Clear Spring, 1pt win @ 9-1, 3.30 Thirsk

Easy enough to forgive Clear Spring's latest run when down the field in the 6f handicap at Epsom on Derby day; previously he'd been shaping ok in handicaps at top tracks, and he may find this a little easier, particularly as he has eased in the weights (now 11lb below his last winning mark), has Lewis Edmunds taking 5lb off, and ground with some ease in it will suit.


Little Miss Lola, 1pt EW @ 40-1, 5.30 Thirsk

The ground is a worry here, but at the price I'm going to take a chance. Little Miss Lola caught the eye over C/D in May when not getting a clear run and then going on well when in the clear. I selected on her on the back of that when she next ran at Leicester, but she disappointed, racing too keenly which caused her saddle to slip and she ended up well beaten. Her latest run at Pontefract was much more encouraging, caught wide but showing up well for a fair way.

She has eased in the weights and this is a drop a grade, though that said, the handicaps she's been running in have been confined to 3YOs, whereas this is open to older horses too.

Wilde Extravagance, 1pt EW @ 14-1, 5.30 Thirsk

A bit of a 'cliff' horse for the thread this having already been selected twice; he too caught the eye over C/D on his reappearance, but he's a been a bit disappointing since, particularly last time at Pontefract when conditions looked in his favour.

He has however eased in the weights and this will be the first time he's contested a class 6 on turf, so if he can return to the form of his reappearance, he looks on a good mark, though he might not want the ground to be too soft.


Summer Thunder, 1pt EW @ 28-1, 6.40 Kempton

This is on the speculative side, particularly as the favourite Billesdon Brook will be hard to beat if proving as effective on Polytrack as she is on turf.

Summer Thunder made her debut over 6f in a Goodwood maiden in May, and I wondered if she was at a disadvantage racing close to the stands' rail as it did seem those racing in the group more towards the centre were at an advantage, and that has also seemed to be the case in some other races on the straight course at Godwood this season. Sardenya, who ran in that maiden, also raced close to the stands' rail and seemed to be struggling before being switched more centre and making late headway; she has since come out and run a couple of good races in defeat.

Summer Thunder, appears to have a bit of size about her, and she travelled nicely up to a point, before fading as perhaps fitness and track position became an issue.

This evening's favourite Billesdon Brook finished second in that race, so the selection has a lot of ground to make up to get closer to that rival this time, however, she does have an appealing pedigree for the AW, being an American-bred by Street Cry, and if that initial experience has brought her forward, hopefully she can at least challenge for a place this time.


Lanceur, 1pt win @ 7-1, 8.10 Kempton

Lanceur was an obvious eyecatcher on his latest start which came over this evening's C/D; held up in a race where the winner dictated from the front, he did not get a clear run against the rail in the home straight and had to be switched to the outer, before going on well to finish 2nd.

He has gone up a pound for that effort to a mark of 80 and he doesn't have Hollie's Doyle valuable 3lb claim this time, but despite being an 8YO he is unexposed at this sort of test, and he was a winner on Polytrack off 90 (over10f) back in 2015, so he remains on a potentially workable mark.

A couple against the field in what looks a very interesting 3YO handicap.

Duke Of Bronte, 1pt win @ 14-1, 7.30 Newbury
The Grand Visir, 1pt win @ 10-1, 7.30 Newbury

Duke Of Bronte has run two good races at Newbury, springing a 100-1 shock when winning a one mile maiden at the track in April on his third start, and then on his handicap debut over 10f when running well to finish fifth in a race that represents strong form (the winner Defoe has followed up since at York, the runner-up Mucho Applause had previously just been touched off at Sandown by subsequent Royal Ascot winner Atty Perrse, the third Time To Study won a valuable Musselburgh handicap on his next start, and the fourth Century Dream has since won at Doncaster).

Duke Of Bronte was stepped up to 12f at Goodwood for his latest start, when the steady pace of that race seemed against him as he got caught out when the pace lifted on the downhill run, losing his position before keeping on well inside the final furlong. He has been dropped 2lb, a return to this track may suit better than Goodwood, while he seems versatile regarding ground, so won't mind if the thunderstorms arrive.


The Grand Visir created a good impression when making a winning debut at Yarmouth (11f) in May, showing a good way of going and looking strong at the finish to lead well inside the final furlong; he was pitched into Listed company at Goodwood on the back of that, but offered little, finishing last of the six runners.

His maiden win could be working out better and he has to prove he's up to a mark of 85, with connections reaching for cheekpieces on his return from a six week break, but I'm going to take a chance for the minimum stake at the prices, as he left the impression at Yarmouth there would be better to come.

Cheers PHS

I'd need to watch it again tbh, but the didn't look great considering what they're giving the ground as.

The other selection looked unlucky, didn't a clear run inside the final furlong, but the right one won in terms of price.

Well done George.

Good pick with Duke of Bronte, he's a nice type.

I owe you one.

Cheers

15p R4

Great shout George, this thread and Guesses for the Next Few Days are the best threads on the forum. Duke of Bronte looks like he has a bit of scope and might make a nice hurdler

Hammer Gun, 1pt EW @ 18-1, 7.30 Chelmsford

Hammer Gun is possibly more effective at Southwell, and he has to race off a stone higher mark here than his win over C/D in March, but he did look unlucky not to go close over C/D last month in a race won by Wealth Tax, who he meets here on 2lb better terms, given he met with significant trouble in running twice inside the last furlong and a half.

He has since been well beaten in a higher grade race at Newcastle, so he needs to bounce back from that, and this race is possibly more competitive than his previous one over C/D given there are relatively unexposed 3YOs to contend with this time, but he's given a chance at the prices.

Ta Virgin

And to think there may be someone out there who got through the first 5 legs and then had the 4th horse in the final leg. Jeez it can be a cruel game at times

very well done yesterday george, confidence is high.

A couple against the field in the opener at Sandown.

Kreb's Cycle, 1pt EW @ 22-1, 1.20 Sandown

Kreb's Cycle made an encouraging debut for Ian Williams over 6f at the Chester May meeting, noted travelling well but getting no luck in the run up the straight; he had been held up off a strong pace, so might have been flattered in that regard, but he looks a sizeable sort who had been gelded ahead of his stable debut, and he left the impression he could have something to offer for his new connections, despite having had nine runs as a 2YO and seemingly appeared exposed.

He was stepped up in grade for his next start over 6f at Newmarket when racing from 2lb out of the handicap, but in a race run in driving rain he could make no impression from off the pace.

He returns from a seven week break and is stepped up to 7f, a trip he seemed to stay on his sole attempt at it as a 2YO and for which his pedigree would suggest he should have no problem with, so from a 3lb lower mark than he raced off at Chester, he's given another chance to confirm the promise he showed on his reappearance.


Firefright, 1pt win @ 8-1, 1.20 Sandown

It may be worth giving another chance to Firefright back on a more conventional track after he failed to justify strong market support last time out at Epsom when a combination of a wide draw and the track might not have suited; he'd previously beaten Mountain Angel in a Doncaster maiden, who then after winning his maiden went close at Doncaster off a mark of 80 (with today's favourite Mojito behind in 3rd), against one who went on to run well at Royal Ascot in the Britannia.

The market support for Firefright at Epsom could suggest connections think he's on a mark (84) he can win off; he was initially rated 8lb higher last season, but was dropped 2lb after finishing second to Parfait in a Newbury maiden (who's now rated 100 after his good run in the Jersey Stakes), and although he was a beaten favourite on his reappearance in a maiden at the Craven meeting which resulted in his mark being dropped a further 4lb, he didn't get a clear run and was better than the result suggested; he was then dropped another 2lb for beating Mountain Angel (now rated 84) at Doncaster, which would all appear to make his current mark look a workable one.

I've moved the market with that one Virgin, he's now 28s in a place or two

There certainly looked like there was something to work on at Chester, and it's easy enough to excuse the last run, though the market weakness is a bit of a worry after 7 weeks off.

I really like Firefright today George so will be hoping we are both right, best of luck

Good luck Micky

If it was a beauty contest, Mojito would deffo win, he looks a picture (not that I'm one for the dark art of paddock watching!)

Me other one is any chance ya like

Firefright made up a lot of ground to get to third but doubt he would have beaten the winner whatever, who looks a good looking, lengthy sort (am I starting to sound like Ken Pitterson?).

The less said about the other one the better