Forums
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
These 1155 comments are related to the topic:
2016 Flat Season - One a day from the Notebook

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
Page 21 of 29  •  Previous | 1 | ... | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | ... | 29 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 1,155
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 16 Jun 16 16:00
You mean the 2 pts EW Cry

Certainly no lack of confidence today behind it in the betting Plain
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 17 Jun 16 15:15
Derby Selection:

Across The Stars, 1 pt EW @ 25-1, Sat 4th June, NR NB

Of those at longer prices for the Derby, the one that appeals EW is Across The Stars.

The notebook run was his latest start in the Lingfield Derby Trial, when he might have been slightly unlucky not to have won that race (cue Humphry Bogart confirms the form) given he was kept in a pocket at a crucial stage when trying to challenge and appeared to finish with plenty of running left in him.

Across The Stars did a lot wrong in that race, racing with the choke out early and then looking ill at ease on the track in the straight (which obviously doesn't augur well for Epsom but at least the experience of having raced round there may stand him in good stead for the big day if he's learnt from it).

It's worth remembering that he's still totally unexposed on turf, as that was just his second start on grass and he had shaped with plenty of promise on his debut in a backend maiden at Nottingham.

He's bred to improve with age being by Sea The Stars and a half-brother to Bronze Cannon who won the Hardwicke Stakes as a 4YO, and while others bring stronger form into the race, Across The Stars looks highly likely to progress further, and with his stamina looking assured, he gets an EW vote at a price.



Got the wrong Derby, only good enuff for the Ascot 'Derby'.
Offered nothing at Epsom mind, though probably didn't handle the track / occasion in retrospect Crazy
By:
Fatlad 1981
When: 17 Jun 16 15:27
Another one Sad not surprised by the way given how many of these have won
Are you going to continue the thread ?
By:
jamesdean
When: 17 Jun 16 15:31
It's a sickener when that happens but to be fair, how many selections have you put up
that have went on to lose again on their next run. If It's any consolation it probably
evens itself out.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 17 Jun 16 15:39
Tbf, a few of the ones picked may never win a race!

Shepherds Purse was another who came good once the curse of this thread was removed, though the application of cash to the betting markets also seemed to help in his case.

I'm not going to continue with it Fl cuz May was shyte, Even Song not running in the Oaks was fecking annoying, and above all, my mornings are much more enjoyable not bothering with this!
By:
Fatlad 1981
When: 17 Jun 16 16:11
No bother George distractions aren't any good for me either I need my mind right to have any chance and making the right decisions despite having the required knowledge is hard at times hope you're having a good week Happy
By:
mackies-fc
When: 21 Jun 16 14:54
Titus Secret - another big priced winner for the notebook George!
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 21 Jun 16 15:09
You know, I'm starting to wonder if this thread was cursed! Crazy
By:
mackies-fc
When: 21 Jun 16 15:15
Keep the faith. It pays in the end!
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 22 Jun 16 15:34
I managed to nail Gurkha Friend to the floor twice on this thread, but free of the curse, he bolts up today Crazy
By:
mackies-fc
When: 22 Jun 16 15:52
Didn't go unnoticed George!
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 22 Jun 16 16:31
Now Hatsaway was one of the few that did manage to overcome the curse and win, when the angle was being unexposed at middle distances, having been run in the 2m Queens Vase at RA by Clive Brittain, but then strangely (imo) kept to around a mile / 10f, despite his stamina laden pedigree.

Bit of a surprise, but goes in again at 20s in a much better race, clearly was crying out for a trip all along Crazy
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 15 Jul 16 15:11
Le Menege Enchante, the first horse picked on this thread and subsequently followed over a cliff, finally comes good at 40-1 when I didn't have a sausage on. Ya gotta larf, eh? Crazy
By:
mackies-fc
When: 15 Jul 16 15:25
It got a good deal of consideration in these quarters this morning George but ended up leaving the race alone Cry
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 15 Jul 16 15:32
It went a huge price IR when Hunty mentioned it was struggling, mackies

It did show a bit more lto at Kempton, but I refused to be sucked in again Cry
By:
Fatlad 1981
When: 15 Jul 16 15:33
I am genuinely gutted for you George hope all is well aside from that result
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 15 Jul 16 15:47
Good, cheers, Fl
By:
RoyalAcademy
When: 15 Jul 16 16:08
Unlucky George.

As a follower of lists myself you simply have to keep the faith. You select something on the basis that it can win A race and oftentimes you simply won't fancy it because of the competition, market, draw, ground and the million myriads. You won't win by backing horses with unattainable prices a la Hugh & Tom but this contrarian approach gives you chances at big prices. To my eternal days I will rue letting Sole Power go unbacked in his Nunthorpe win and more recently Ramone in the Park Express Stakes - both at 100/1 - so we've all been there. My theory is that the bigger the price the bigger the bet and you will have the occasional GLORIOUS day.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 18 Jul 16 18:42
Words of wisdom there, RoyalAcademy

If only I'd taken heed as Ziggy Lee becomes the latest to oblige after being freed of the curse of the notebook thread Crazy

When I selected Ziggy lto you cudda had 150s on here near the off, but it looks like they've landed a right touch there Shocked
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 01 Aug 16 11:09
African Showgirl, 1 pt EW @ 10-1, 2.00 Kempton

African Showgirl caught my eye at Kempton over 6f on her reappearance back in April, not getting the clearest of runs before staying on well to be nearest at the finish; her dam is a half-sister to 14f Flat  / Fred Winter Hurdle winner Hawk High, as well as a thrice 2m4f winner (by Diktat) over hurdles on heavy, so there is stamina in the pedigree and African Showgirl showed improved form when stepped up to a mile lto at Brighton, staying on well for second, with a subsequent winner behind her in third.

Her mark has gone up 2lb to 57, but that still leaves her 8lb below the mark she ran off on her reappearance, and she's of interest back at Kempton, if building on that Brighton run, now connections are running her over a trip that may prove more suitable than sprint trips.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 01 Aug 16 11:32
Just noticed the RP reporter at Kempton refer to a "new surface" bedding in and it's riding standard to slow. So who knows how it will ride or if there will be any pace / track bias. Caution advised imo!
By:
Smar Tarse
When: 01 Aug 16 12:22
. http://kempton.thejockeyclub.co.uk/pr-policies/press-releases/kempton-park-completes-latest-all-weather-refurbishment1

Snippet..."Kempton Park today announced the successful completion of its latest All Weather track refurbishment, as part of an ongoing commitment to providing an excellent racing surface through regular maintenance and rejuvenation.

These latest refurbishment works saw 56 tonnes of the original blended wax added to the racing line and 14 yards wide in the home straight. It means The Jockey Club has spent nearly £1m on maintaining the quality of the racing surface in the last four years."
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 01 Aug 16 12:41
Thanks for that, ST
By:
mackies-fc
When: 01 Aug 16 13:03
Gl George

When they say the racing line im assuming they mean the inside of the track.

Be interesting to see if any jockeys brave a wider route today.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 01 Aug 16 13:28
Cheers, mackies

I'd be concerned if there's a pace bias or kick-back, as presumably my guess will be held-up.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 01 Aug 16 14:28
Poor effort from AS who wasn't badly positioned as the race panned out, but found disappointingly little. Only feeble excuse I can offer is that the surface riding on the slow side didn't suit Plain

Well it's deffo going to be as it says on the tin from now on ie one a day, and unfortunately back with a losser Sad

There's always tomorrow...
By:
mackies-fc
When: 01 Aug 16 15:13
Unlucky George. Haven't seen the race im abroad and my internet isnt what id like it to be!

Good to see the thread back.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 01 Aug 16 15:44
Ta mackies.

I had a short(long)list of 8 today and one of them was Plymouth Sound (4.00 Kempton).

I was looking for clues to see if he would handle the AW, and remarkably, all three of his half-siblings ran once at Kempton and all 3 won!

So fair to say PS is bidding to uphold family tradition and make it 4 out of 4 at Kempton!
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 01 Aug 16 16:05
Some nice late headway but too far back in a slowly run race (8 secs above standard)
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 02 Aug 16 07:23
Just Fred, 1pt EW @ 16-1, 4.30 Salisbury

Just Fred shaped reasonably well on his first turf start two runs back at Brighton over 7f (good) when his cause wasn't helped by failing to secure a clear run inside the final furlong, while also leaving the impression a stiffer test would suit; the first two home in that race have franked the form since in a higher grade, with the winner Frank Bridge going on to win comfortably at Epsom, and the runner-up Harmony Bay finishing second in a competitive class 5 handicap at Sandown.

Just Fred was bitterly disappointing on his latest start over 7f at Chepstow behind Prince Of Cardamom (who reopposes here and is unpenalised for his win on Saturday evening at Lingfield) and it's a tad worrying to see the cheekpieces quickly reached for, however, it's quite possible the 7f trip on quick ground at that track was unsuitable and this sizeable sort may appreciate going up in trip on this more conventional track; he's a son of Excellent Art and a  half-brother to multiple soft ground 1m scorer First  Post, so hopefully the rain-affected going won't be a problem for him.

He remains unexposed on turf after just two starts, yet the handicapper has been quick to drop him 7lb (which gives him an 8lb pull with Prince Of Cardomom), while the promising George Wood takes off a further 7lb.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 02 Aug 16 14:36
Based on the evidence of the first two races, trap 4 could prove tricky for today's guess. Stands rail is looking good so far Plain
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 03 Aug 16 08:18
When I heard Lydia on RUK say she'd tipped Just Fred, I was hoping it was going to be a case of great minds....Unfortunately Just Fred could make only laboured late headway, which was disappointing, even allowing for him possibly not finding himself well positioned on the outer and furthest from the stands rail.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 03 Aug 16 08:20
Fenner Hill Neasa, 1pt EW @ 16-1, 4.20 Brighton

Fenner Hill Neasa has looked limited on the evidence to date as indicated by her basement rating of 46 (down from 50), but I thought she was a minor eyecatcher on her latest start over 1 mile at Brighton, with longer trips in mind, having noted her keeping on quite well in the closing stages after been held up ( she can be keen and wore a hood for the first time on her latest start).

She's a half-sister to a dual winner (on good and heavy) over hurdles, and notably Leah Freya (also trained by Pat Phelan) who has won four times over middle distances and although she's effective on any going, her best RPRs have been recorded with give in the ground.

Fenner Hill Neasa steps up to 10f today and needs to prove she has some ability, never mind stamina and effectiveness with give in the ground, but her latest start wasn't without hope and her pedigree suggests this step up in trip with give in the ground may suit.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 03 Aug 16 08:29
* after been held up = having been held up Crazy
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 04 Aug 16 08:24
Fenner Hill Neasa definitely stayed, in fact it looked like she could have done with a stronger pace, but at least she got the place money (20p R4) Plain
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 04 Aug 16 08:27
Inshaa, 1 pt EW @ 16-1, 8,05 Newcastle

Inshaa has been a bit of a 'cliff' horse for the thread, but he's of some interest back on Tapeta.

The notebook run came at Wolverhampton last December on his first start for six months and for Michael Herrington, having been bought out of Sir Michael Stoute's yard for 10,000 gns; that evening he travelled noticeably well on the Tapeta, though perhaps not best positioned relative to the winner as the race panned out, and although he could make no impression on the well-punted Flowers Of Venus (who has gone on to be officially rated 88), he ran on well to finish second and hit the line strongly, suggesting 6f was probably on the sharp side for him.

It's been a bit of a mixed bag since, running OK on Fibresand before disappointing at Chelmsford, and then catching the eye again at Wetherby when upped in trip to a mile, making nice late headway having been dropped in from a wide draw; he possibly didn't get the clearest of runs at Redcar, but the last two runs have been poor, though he failed to settle at Carlisle and the ground might have been unsuitable last time at Ayr.

Whatever, patience is wearing thin, but the promise of that Wolverhampton run is not forgotten, so he's given another chance, down again in the weights, dropped back in trip to 7f with cheekpieces applied, and racing on a surface that may suit him best.
By:
Fatlad 1981
When: 04 Aug 16 09:39
Hopefully today's the day it's carrying my penalty too but at that price hard to leave after those earlier eyecatching runs and the circumstances you've mentioned GL Happy
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 04 Aug 16 16:25
Good luck to us both, Fl

I see Monday's selection African Showgirl is a lot stronger in the betting today than she was then!
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 04 Aug 16 16:32
Crazy
By:
madhatters
When: 04 Aug 16 20:10
Getting closer GB Grin
Page 21 of 29  •  Previous | 1 | ... | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | ... | 29 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
‹ back to topics
www.betfair.com