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My fav courses Hexham, Ayr, Hamilton - youre kucky.
Born Jarrow me |
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Joined: 02 Mar 02 | Topic/replies: 1,105 | Blogger: RothmanMike's blog
Not really, never expect any of them to win. Certainly never stop after a hit,carry on, knowing that the next loss is at least 100 bets away. Which is only 3 days |
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At least.....
700 + bets per month, 4.or 5 losses |
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Interesting thread
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Doesn't work like that, I've had three 1.01 go down in a row
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Below average month - 4 losing days
1st -857 4th -67 5th -48 6th -97 |
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he already said there not all 100/1 plus though
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Remaining 25 days + 1952
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4th, 5th, 6th are very small loses for a big odds layer averaging 20 so bets a day.
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These are end of day results.
However I do have the odd out of character bet . My last big one was £50 lay @ 40.0 Real Madrid to beat Barcelona 3-1 in Barcelona , when Jordi scored in the last minute to make score 1-3. So I do have the odd abhoration, but even that was a reasonable risk even though it cost me £1950 |
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Certainly never stop after a hit,carry on, knowing that the next loss is at least 100 bets away.
This is not classic probability theory Mike it must be said |
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If you are really interested I will forward my current excel spreadsheet showing all bets /odds etc lf you wish.
Your e-mail address will suffice |
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RothmanMike 29 May 13 22:12 Joined: 02 Mar 02 | Topic/replies: 1,110 | Blogger: RothmanMike's blog
At least..... 700 + bets per month, 4.or 5 losses yeah i like the figures... 700 x £3 lays = £2100, 4 losses = approx £1200 or 5 losses = £1500, so either way a nice monthly profit, and of course some months you may hardly hit a winner |
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Did not enjoy economics, history and law for me.
You cannot legislate, too many dos and donts. I do enjoy what I do though |
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February bad for me -2389.
Learned a lot , that was the Barcelona fiasco and won 4507 since then |
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Are all your lays before the event?
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Yes, but I know of 2 horses that are massive prices that always lead over hurdles and fall in a heap , so I lay them at 80.0 or so and then put an in-running at 20.0 or so and always get matched.
But in answer to your Q , no I do not bet in running |
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on the flip side would you consider backing both said horses and laying back at 20.00 based on such info? best of both worlds, all green book
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No, very much s blsck and white person, and stick to small stakes
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it is possible, but it's hard work and has others have said, a couple of losing bets will hit you hard because you know it's long slog just to get back to where you were.
My classic is to have a day of winning lays - none of which were anywhere near a plc - and to then ... well you know the rest don't you ![]() |
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Never place lay, even outsiders are racing for 3rd - too much stress.
No stress in what I do, it either wins or it doesn't. Deal with it whatever, and don't be surprised |
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i very rarely lay in beginners or novice chases, theres too much scope for mayhem
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I love laying 50/1 Morning Line horses in the US particularly Penn and Belmont.
They cant even walk nevermind win |
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Never play in Chases, 2YO, unraced Bumpers, R Moore horses etc etc
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i also never layer a mark johnstone or richard fahey horse, oh and pipe also, and also hannon outsiders
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What was the last 100/1 shot R Moore rode!
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No, I mean I don't lay his whatever the price.
Or was that a proper question |
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Even a 3rd string OBrien horse @ 40/1
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Lady Carla, have you heard of Wafic Said
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yeah dont even trust his pacemakers
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what about changes of gear and/or move to new trainer? I avoid those like the plague... also LTO 3yo and now running in all-age hcaps
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So your not a big odds layer, what a waste of my time.
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ladycarla youre looking for an argument that doesnt exist....i also avoid horses wearing or discarding headgear for the first time
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I always check on trainer changes particularly if there is a drop in form.
Dead giveaway if from a good trainer who couldn't get the horse to win - RP site really good |
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Why am i looking for a argument, his first post was 100/1+ x 20
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Hes been at it all night mate, no guesses for why (see earlier reference to attitude).
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Now he's looking at R moore's rides!!
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Mike, sorry I dare to question a laying system, next time I will send you my e-mail and £200.
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It was supposed to illustrate that some jockeys / trainers I wouldnt lay whatever the price.
Its not just prices I lay |
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if your willing to part with 200 quid to be told how to lay a complete outsider then theres really no hope for you
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