Bet for day 224. 3pts win Moon Trip 17.10 9-2 B365 BOG, write up to follow.....

Result day 217.

Louis The Pious      Pl 14-1 (25's adv)  + 5 1/4pts
Borderlescott        Un PL               - 2pts
Double               Lost                - 1pt

Profit / Loss                            + 2 1/4pts

Total                                   176 1/4pts

Bet day 225. 2 pts win Kaylena 16.30 Folkestone 4-1 PP BOG…..

…….On another fairly un-remarkable Sunday’s racing in Britain I thought I’d possibly be keeping the powder dry for a better opportunity through the week, however after double checking the cards and watching some videos footage I’ve decided to get involved in possibly the most intriguing race on Folkestone’s card, the 16.30.

As stated this looks an intriguing little heat, with Peachez stepping back up in trip with a top jockey up, Hilfiger coming back to the flat appearing on a very interesting mark on his British debut in this sphere, as does Scotsbrook Cloud after his also ran position in the Queen Alexandra at Royal Ascot around some highly rated animals, combined with some recent form over hurdles. However the one I think will give these and the rest of the field most to do is Jeremy Noseda’s unexposed filly Kaylena, who is propping up this handicap off her paltry 61 mark.

Having  been pitched into a couple of fairly hot maidens as a 2yrold looked in need of the experience,  not making much appeal as far as the note book was concerned in each of those contests. She made her seasonal debut back in May over a mile, again nothing out of the ordinary, keeping on without really threatening to get involved. Her latest start was her handicap debut off 63, and was stepped up to 10F over Newmarket’s grand expanse, and gave a small indication that staying may just be her niche. That day in the closing stages in experience was again in evidence, but once Royston French got her balanced and organised she looked to come home very strongly, albeit well away from the procession that Lady Cakes had turned the event into.

She now steps up further in trip to 12F, and strictly on the book Imo should hold Peachez on their previous run, as Kaylena was gaining on this rival approaching the line Lto, and is now technically 6lb better off (Peachez claimer ridden then) for less than a length. Jeremy Noseda has also booked Jamie Spencer, who only goes there for a couple of rides, and Folkestone seems to be a venue seldom associated with both jockey and trainer over the years, that could be a tip in it’s self. I’m certain there is plenty more to come in natural progression with this filly,  and Imo stepping up in trip can only add to her cause,  with the booking of Spencer the cherry on the cake to her chance.

At the time of writing a couple have been withdrawn(notably Hilfiger), so instead of my 1 pt E.W. bet to nothing at around 11-2, I’m just having it all on the nose at the advised price above.

Bet day 229. 2pts E.W. Golden Tempest 15.15 Newmarket 6-1 generally (B365 4-1+ feature race)....


Having looked in need of a change of luck with this thread for some time now, I’m pinning my hopes on Lucky number “7” in today’s 15.15 at Newmarket, that horse being Golden Tempest… No “7”, drawn “7”, “7” day’s since last run and rated “77”. The way my luck is at the minute it will probably finish”7th”, but here are a few reasons why I believe it to have an outstanding chance of winning….


…..Eve Johnson Houghton has had a few of her stable stalwarts starting to show a bit more lately than previously this season, with the likes of Yurituni and Amistress hitting the frame recently, along with a good few others running very well that had previously shown not too much else. Golden Tempest is also an inclusion into that realm, and does seem to reserve her best for this time of the year. She has been fairly consistent to date around late summer time, and looks very fairly treated off today’s mark of 77, especially considering the way she finished off her race a week ago off the same mark(the winner given a very good tactical ride considering the gallop looked no more than average)over Sandowns 7F. She's due to go up 3lb on Monday, and could be very well in today given the fact her stable are running into form, as she is herself.

  Although she has not won on turf she has ran some sound races, and looks to have had her usual type of campaign as per last season, and to me she makes more appeal to everything else in the field, and on a line through Mr David she theoretically has a decent chance of finishing in front of Zacyanthus the 3-1 market leader

Unlucky with that one.Watched it a few times and only tried when it was over.I just love the way the jockeys know where the cameras are.you'll hit some triers soon and all will be forgotten.

Bet day 231 1pt E.W. Fast Shot 14.40 Ripon, 1pt E.W. Grissom 15.30 Ripon + 1/2pt E.W. Double with B365 16-1 & 25-1(28's Joe) respectively BOG…..

…… Again there seems to be a bumper selection of racing throughout the country this afternoon and this evening, and there were a fair few I liked the look of within plenty of those cards, but have settled on the feature race and it’s consolation at Ripon for both of today’s selections. Having gone through both races I narrowed it down to a few in each, but that few could quite easily have been over half on cross referencing some old/recent form lines, and have been swung towards both of the Easterby contenders for 3 reasons, the price, the draw, and also because of the track ( 2nd only to York where Tim Easterby likes to have a winner).

  I will start with Fast Shot in the consolation event, and will have his work cut out with more than a couple in this line up, notably the well backed Prodigality who actually topped my short list having liked him Lto, but I wouldn’t get involved at 7’s last night so 5-1 on offer this morning is most definitely out of the question.  Fast Shot looked to still be in form Lto when tucked in behind runners up the stands rail, and although beaten fair and square was still finding all the way to the line. I firmly believe that David Allan will head over to the far rail today with a select few others, which will suit mounts style of racing much better Imo, and should have potentially much more space to have an un-interrupted run once going.  The handicapper is beginning to relent a little, and in a wide open affair could have his say, and although he handles fast ground ok any heavy showers would be appreciably welcome to his chances.

Now onto his stable mate Grissom in the big one, and if my theory is correct regarding the place to be the lower stalled horses may come in for a little support, and the 25-1 on offer presently for this horse could look massive come post time (28’s Coral). He is another one who will benefit from a frantic early pace, as he usually sees his races out very strongly, and another who looked to be still in form Lto. That run was the Stewards Cup at Goodwood, and was severely hampered at a very crucial stage of the race, with Mikael Barzalona still yet to ask him for his final effort, yet still stayed on fairly eye catchingly under a hand ride once his chance was gone.

Just like his stable mate Grissom has some bits of form on a decent surface, but no doubt connections would love to see the heavens open this morning to enhance his chance. He is another one the assessor has given some respite to, and looks like he will get plenty of toe into the race on the far side with the Bosun Breeze likely to take them along at a decent gallop. Within this field plenty have decent chances, but also within are plenty of dubious true 6F performers, whom will need very good rides to see things out at the fast pace this event is usually contested, along with picking their passage, the theory again being Grissom should not have this problem being in hopefully the minority group.

Twizzle just stick on £1 a point then if they come in it's a nice bonus and if they don't it doesn't matter.
Hope you keep posting robster.

Good old el vinto

twizzle that's very unfair if you followed robster from the start he is still up a massive 167 pts, it is not his fault that you joined lately however it is typical of the people on here who cannot keep their mouth shut when a losing run comes

just don't click the thread open if you don't want to bet anymore. simples

rob I hope you keep posting mate, 167pts in profit is a brilliant result for this thread and their are lots on here who appreciate the effort you put in.

WHY POST TWIZZLE...................If you know the insults are coming........ROBSTER is 1 of a few on here that stands up to be counted..........propper geezer .......unlike your cantankerous self.

twizzle22 18 Aug 12 20:42 Joined: 05 Apr 11 | Topic/replies: 337 | Blogger: twizzle22's blog
AS much as i admire your write ups, very informative and convincing PLEASE stop posting because i am doing my absolutes on your selections ...if i see your posts i feel compelled to back them but you are having a terrible run presently and i think its best if you keep your advices to yourself or maybe stick em up on twitter which fortunately i do not have an account...cheers robster( here comes the barrage of insults)

It's people like you that stop the few formites with balls posting on the forum.
This and "rasps" thread are the only ones I read now.

All the best "rob" and "rasp" keep up the good work, GGR

Apologies rob...one magners to many

robster: Hope that you continue to post your picks, I for one find it much appreciated. Although I rarely follow your picks, I really like the reasoning for each selection and I am learning something here and there.

Keep up the splendid work, Sir!

Bet day 248. 1pt E.W. O Ma Lad 16.40 Goodwood 16-1 B365 BOG (4-1 feature race) write up to follow....

Having given today’s cards the once over, I am of the opinion that apart from the opening couple of maidens on the Goodwood card, for me the 16.40 is one, if not the most intriguing race of the day.


  The race is certain to revolve around the two 3yrolds as the betting would suggest, and look to deserve their respective places at the head of the market. Both Gassin Golf and Ruacana look like fairly progressive individuals, and both should be suited with the step up to 2miles, but at their respective current odds It’s most definitely worth taking them on with a bigger priced one, and I believe at his double figured price O Ma Lad could just about be the value in the contest despite running 2lb wrong at the weights.

After running fairly consistently throughout the season his latest couple of runs suggest he is coming back to his boiling point, with his previous run being the strongest endorsement for this claim.  That race was fairly well contested class 3 event over Newbury’s 13F, which also had few nicely progressive 3yrolds within the field. The gallop initially looked only ordinary, but the few at the head of proceedings injected the pace into the race around the top bend about 7F from home, catching a fair few flat footed, with plenty of jockeys looking to get after their horses quickly after entering the straight. However that was not the case for O Ma Lad under a typical patient Richard Hughes ride, with the horse still travelling with a degree of purpose just off the pace with half a mile to run. That however was short lived, and passing the 3 pole looked like he would be beaten out of sight, but too his credit this horse really knuckled down for Richard Hughes, and if truth be known with an un interrupted run would have made the finish much more interesting, and was rattling home under a hand ride when running out of real estate.


Like the previously mentioned pair O Ma Lad looks like he will be suited to stepping up in trip, and looks well worth another try over this distance. The ground and track should also suit, and the fact that James Doyle is taking back over in the saddle is also worth another tick in the box.

Bet for day 258. 2pt win Times Up 14.20 Doncaster 4-1 generally(use BOG firms) 2pts win Duke Of Firenze 16.05 Doncaster 5-2 generally(B365 BOG) + 1pt Double with Stan James 4-1 & 5-2 (not BOG) write up to follow.....

Tomorrow’s racing at Doncaster look’s as good as the previous 2 day’s, and no doubt the question from a punting point of view will be whether the soft in the ground dries up, or will the f/cast showers in the Doncaster area materialise late morning/early afternoon to consolidate the going to be on the softer side of good. That was the question I posed myself with, and have talked myself out of a couple of E.W. bets in the 13.50 Nanton (then14’s) & Old Hundred (still 14’s)on that pretence, both looking to love Doncaster’s 15F, both looking to need a decent fast surface to perform on.

Instead I edged my bets so to speak with Times Up, whom also has the ability to act around Doncaster when taking the November handicap over the course in 2010 (G/soft), and has also shown his versatility for top of the ground.  I’m very much of the opinion tomorrow will ride on the softer side of good, g/soft, and this horse has had 4 lifetime starts in that described going, one in each of his last 4 campaigns yielding form figures of 1-1-2-1, the runner up spot when beaten a s/head in a G2 in France last season. John Dunlop knows the family of this horse extremely well, and the vast majority improve with racing and age, and are always given plenty of time to mature, Times Up being no exception to that rule.

He once again looks like he has been brought to the boil at the concluding end of the season, and seems to excel with his form around this time of year. He renews rivalry with a couple whom he beat fair and square Lto at York over 16F, and looked to have plenty of running left in him when passing the post by a comfortable margin from High Jinx, with the extra 2F tomorrow looking well within his compass.  I’m fairly certain Saddlers Rock will take them along at a decent gallop again, but if it did turn out to be a tactical affair at least Times Up has the necessary toe to be able to quicken if it does turn into a bit of a false run affair. John Dunlop has had a long and illustrious career, and although during the last few seasons he has not hit the high notes he's been accustomed too, I’m sure no one would begrudge him a last few hurrahs before he bows out of the game that has served him so well.

Now onto 16.05 where Sir Michael Stoute looks to potentially have a group class performer in a class 2 handicap off 93. At first glance he appears short enough at 5-2, but Sir Michael looks to have given this son of Pivotal plenty of time to develop, and does appear to have the look of his sire, along with the style he covers his ground. His seasonal debut is best ignored, after pulling Ryan Moore’s hands out for the first 3 furlongs of the mile, he stopped very quickly in the fairly soft ground at Windsor, not giving any indication at that stage he could have the potential to be a group performer. He was quickly dropped to a sprint trip over the same venue in June, and comprehensively accounted for a modest bunch of handicappers. It was the manner in which he improved from that run to his runner up position in July Lto that makes me think he is no doubt rapidly on an upward curve. In that race it looked for all the world he was coming to win his race, however he bumped into a typical Mark Johnston improver that day, who has subsequently added approximately 10lbs+ to his mark, with the 3rd home that day Heeraat also improving well approximately a stone in the interim.

Tomorrow he looks to be drawn in the right place, should be suited by the ground along with the extra yardage, and looks very much like the one that they all have to beat.

welcome back rob hope you enjoyed your holliers.

Every time i come onto your thread i seem to change your luck!
Well done Robster, shame about the other one.

Bet day 259. 1pt E.W. Ancient Cross 15.00 Doncaster 14-1 P.P. BOG 1/4odds  1-2-3-4-5 places. write up to follow...