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Tingle Creek (9th Dec)

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Replies: 202
By:
firstimevisor
When: 07 Dec 17 14:31
A week is a long time in horse racing. As uncle has pointed out there were other horses entered but not declared but nobody seems to mind.

I don't believe there is anything like as much disinformation from trainers as you do. Misinformation yes, but that's not deliberately misleading and the well-being of horses can change a lot in a week.
By:
eric_morris
When: 07 Dec 17 14:36
You and i have totally different viewpoints just lets agree to that.
By:
firstimevisor
When: 07 Dec 17 14:41
Absolutely dead right there
By:
IrisDeBalme
When: 07 Dec 17 14:46
I can't believe they reopened the race in the morning... allowing other runners to be entered ...

I backed POLITILOGUE as Nichols compares him to Twist Magic... Will be annoyed if he gets chinned by the reformed runners.

People who defend Mullins are bookies... he is an utter disgrace... I'm glad Dog can is not running ... but it's not right for punters to lose out like this.

This market has fluctuated before ... so people got diners burnt twice in this would he ...wont he acenario
By:
IrisDeBalme
When: 07 Dec 17 14:48
Apols for spelling errors :)

Tough typing on Samsung phone ;)
By:
sageform
When: 07 Dec 17 15:48
Not sure about reopening the race but Fox Norton and my choice Politologue would have been the first 2 in the market anyway. I like Fox Norton but I just get the feeling that Politologue has improved from last year and for the shorter trip.
By:
impossible123
When: 07 Dec 17 15:51
Mr Mullins/Ricci, what pair of f...... barstewards. I believe sanctions against these two disreputable individuals are long overdue eg similar events last year in the same race, and Vautour (RIP) in the Cheltenham Festival; I hope this pair would consider keeping their charges away from the Cheltenham Festival this year, at least, as a respect to racegoers, supporters and punters of this sport.

The BHA must act to prevent the same happening again next year and in the future otherwise it certainly will bring the gaming/sport of horse racing into disrepute, in my opinion.
By:
sageform
When: 07 Dec 17 16:00
So why does anyone back their horses until they line up on the day?
By:
The Headmaster
When: 07 Dec 17 16:32
Why don't you self-exclude and leave the rest of us to it then, ybm, thanks.
By:
The Headmaster
When: 07 Dec 17 16:34
Iris, the race was not reopened to allow other horses to be entered, only to offer decs for horses that had already been entered.  Standard practice for all races.
By:
Hibore
When: 07 Dec 17 16:36
Backing Antepost always comes with a wealth warning. I personally enjoy trying to nick a decent price about a horse that if it does run will be miles shorter. Backing Fox Norton 2 weeks ago @ 7/2 when I thought he'd be up against UDS as the main rival in the Tingle made sense as he'd only be 6/4 or 7/4 on the day.

I wouldn't consider backing Mullins horses for reasons already mentioned.

You pay your money and take your choice....I've also backed Sceau Royal antepost so you can laugh when that doesn't run or drifts to 8/1.
By:
impossible123
When: 07 Dec 17 16:58
The defending champion UDS who is sound but taken out here to run in the Group 2 Hilly Way Chase on sunday at Cork at the same distance on similar ground is farcical and nonsensical, to say the least. I believe even Mr Mullins can find that difficult to explain and justify to the racing public. I also wonder if the connections of UDS has had a say in this shambolic decision though? Or could UDS be less sound to do himself justice here?
By:
FELTFAIR
When: 07 Dec 17 17:33
Mullins knew you were on Un De Sceaux Bungle and you would jinx the horse.
By:
buddeliea
When: 07 Dec 17 18:04
How strange......choosing a grade 2 over a grade 1.......same weekend, and a grade 1 he won last year and on ground he enjoys.
Very strange indeed.
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 07 Dec 17 18:07
I would n't say it's farcical and nonsensical though I take the point about defending champion and Grade 1 vs Grade 2. The syndicate who own UDS are Cork based I believe - it could be something as mundane that it was too late to make the switch at final decs stage because they can't change their plans to travel to Sandown at 48 hours notice. The weather might yet disrupt flight plans over the weekend anyway.I'm not saying that is the case merely raising it as a possibility. -

Generally I don't bet on these markets because I don't like guessing which horses are going to turn up - I accept others see that as a stimulating challenge and some of the threads are of great value anyway in terms of information which can still be relevant on the day of the race.

With regards to Mullins, I'm not particularly trying to defend or criticise him but I think there are a few imperatives which should be apparent to everyone by now:

1. He chooses the races (so Ricci's thoughts should be taken with a pinch of salt - I would n't particularly want to hear Mullins' thoughts on investment banking either).
2. Horse welfare comes first (he does n't want to risk Douvan bombing out - I don't think he's quite as risk averse as Henderson but he is possibly becoming more cautious).   
3. It is a stated goal of his to have his big guns avoid each other until they absolutely have to meet (presumably in part at least to maximise win prize money).

I might not like these things but they're beyond my control so I don't really see the point in moaning about them. I don't like the fact that the market seems to know what's happening ahead of any official announcement either but I'm not entirely sure how that can be avoided - beyond the trainer and his family, there might be the work rider, the farrier, the vet, the bloke who drives the horse box to the Curragh and the rest of his staff who all know what happened on Tues-Wed and all of whom have extended networks of friends and family asking them what's going on with Douvan. How do you police that?

I don't like the bookmaker sponsored trainer blogs - clearly they are, at the very least, a potential threat to the integrity of racing, I'd like to see an regualtory intervention from the BHA/HRI but I'm not holding my breath. I don't think Mullins has a blog though?
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 07 Dec 17 18:09
By the way, they might have missed a trick by not entering Min here - it would have been a great opportunity to see how he shapes up in a 2 mile Grade 1 in open company.
By:
buddeliea
When: 07 Dec 17 18:16
Wonder if we will ever have a Well Chief,Moscow Flyer,Azertyuiop race again outside the spring festivals.
A race still talked about now and probably for years to come
Don't look like it.
Oh well.
By:
sageform
When: 07 Dec 17 18:55
It is not the final decisions by the Mullins camp that make people wonder about the game, it is the positive statements about both horses that they issued over the past 2 weeks that stink. If they entered and kept quiet and then withdrew, it would not be an issue at all for me. I wonder if Mullins has made a decision to try to get the Irish Championship back from Elliott?
By:
eric_morris
When: 07 Dec 17 19:04
ReaseHeath...i believe the blogs are just a front so a relationship can be achieved between bookmaker and trainer making contact for the bookmaker to gain advance information from the trainer which the bookmaker will use for betting purposes before it is in the public domain.

The trainer can claim he knows nothing of what the bookmaker does with the information. The bottom line is the bookies arent doing it for the wealth of the punter and it needs intervention from the BHA to prevent it being taken advantage of. All contracts between the two parties should be controlled by and payments made by the BHA from one tothe other.
By:
dunlaying
When: 07 Dec 17 19:18
It is a shame that the race has cut up so badly.
Sir Valentino is overpriced at 25/1 e/w . Difficult to see him beating Fox Norton but he has place claims .
By:
firstimevisor
When: 07 Dec 17 19:34
Sageform, most trainers would much prefer to say nothing at all but when they have journalists and reporters on their case every day they don't have much choice.

This coming weekend Mullins has 3 entered for a novice chase,4 in the Durkan,2 in a novice hurdle, 2 in the Hilly Way and 5 in a beginners chase.And that's just a normal weekend's entry typical of any big yard. None of these races have much ante-post interest and so nobody really cares what runs or where.These entries were made on Tuesday and final decs are tomorrow morning. In that period any of these horses could have worked well, worked bad, got a serious injury such as a tendon, got a minor muscle injury etc.

I am in no doubt that early this week Mullins intended running Douvan in the Tingle Creek. If he subsequently wasn't entirely happy with the horse then he is right in not running. The horse galloped on Tuesday so he had to be ok to do that. If he didn't take that gallop well then so be it. But people questioning how any horse could be ok on a Saturday but have a problem a few days later, should be shot on sight.
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 07 Dec 17 19:45
I think shooting them is a bit strong but I understand the sentiment Grin.

Going back to Douvan - we had a period of about a week where we had an update from the owner, the trainer, the jockey and the injured jockey - driven I suppose by competitiveness for (exclusive) news within the racing media - I don't think that's helpful to the punter.
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 07 Dec 17 19:47
^ and the trainer's son, forgot him -
By:
betilyerded
When: 07 Dec 17 20:39
Too much bleating on here. Its an antepost market at the end of the day and no one can ever be certain that a horse will run until the flag falls.

I backed Special Tiara and lost my money but I'll get over it and so should everyone else.
By:
buddeliea
When: 07 Dec 17 20:56
Absolutely.......as long as its all above board and no hint of anything untoward going on,we all take antepost on the chin with horses that don't end up running.
Problem is with this yard,one can never be sure,well I for one cant be.
By:
impossible123
When: 07 Dec 17 21:36
The behaviour of Mr Mullins this time is not about the risks and trepidations of making an antepost bet as a punter but his mistreatment of any ardent and genuine racegoer and/or punter; he withdrew the defending champion of this race to run in a lower grade race the following day despite the well-being of the horse. If that is not a despicable behaviour from a top trainer I'd like to be enlightened, please.
By:
firstimevisor
When: 07 Dec 17 21:50
The only despicable behaviour is coming from yourself again impossible123. As you know, he didn't withdraw UDS or even Douvan. You have to be declared before you can be withdrawn and neither were declared to run.
And if he chooses to take the option of running UDS in Cork on Sunday, where he also has an entry, then he's perfectly entitled to do so and he doesn't have to justify it to you, me or anybody else.
By:
woodmanchester
When: 07 Dec 17 23:59
Nobody cant beat this. Originally lumped on Altior ages ago, then Douvan when the former scratched!

You can only beat me if you backed Un De Sceux as well! Cry

In future, only ever backing NRMB. Ante-post is the pits of pits (for large bets anyway), unless you know you got a deffo runner

Mate done well out of it. He got 5/2 ticket Fox Norton, 8/13 now!
By:
buddeliea
When: 08 Dec 17 07:12
In my honest opinion,it is not advisable to back any Mullins horse antepost unless you spot what may be an interesting one that has gone under the radar,as I managed to do with Bacardys last season.yes it went pear shaped at Cheltenham but it was a lot shorter on the day.
Anyone taking shortish prices on a Mullins horse antepost needs to think hard before doing so,and then don't do iit!!
Personally I just don't trust the yard and his main owner neither.
That's my thoughts now and going forward.
By:
Desmond Orchard
When: 08 Dec 17 13:10
impossible123 11 Nov 17 20:48 Joined: 07 Sep 15 | Topic/replies: 5,060 | Blogger: impossible123's blog
Will call Mullins' recent good soundbites about Faugheen bluff, and will lay accordingly.

From the Morgiana thread

So when you don't see it coming it's despicable, but when you think you do, you try and profit from less well informed punters than yourself? And you can't even get that right. Utter moron.
It's sad for the race mind you, I'm sure everyone wants to see the big guns going at each other. I'm not sure I understand the desire to avoid each other, if I'm honest. It's not like they're protecting stud values. As Bud said, that Tingle Creek will live long in the memory.
Betting wise, if there was another runner I'd take on the fav with two each-way. As it's only two places, I'll sit this one out.
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 08 Dec 17 13:16
Ordinary World non runner (coughing) so down to 6 runners now...
By:
impossible123
When: 08 Dec 17 13:22
Beware! Never, ever back any Mullins/Ricci horses in antepost for any race here because a huge majority of the time they fail to show.
By:
FELTFAIR
When: 08 Dec 17 13:44
This game`s not for you Bungle.
By:
firstimevisor
When: 08 Dec 17 13:44
You very obviously backed UDS even though you rarely miss an opportunity to tell us that you never back Mullins horses ante-post.
By:
Autocue
When: 08 Dec 17 17:46
I'm wondering if there is something amiss at the Tizzard yard as his best horses aren't firing. It didn't occur to me after Cue Card and Thistlecrack were well beaten as there were plausible reasons, but his promising novice White Moon ran too bad to be true today. He was up in grade but ran out of gas a long way from home and couldn't finish ahead of a horse that was beaten after the second flight. Also the betting was revealing. He was favourite yesterday evening but drifted all day today then during the race his price suddenly jumped from 4 to 9 when passing the stands first time even though he was travelling and jumping well at that time. Somebody knew he was going to run a stinker. There could be an upset tomorrow though my tipping is all to **** these days.
By:
Autocue
When: 08 Dec 17 17:46
I'm wondering if there is something amiss at the Tizzard yard as his best horses aren't firing. It didn't occur to me after Cue Card and Thistlecrack were well beaten as there were plausible reasons, but his promising novice White Moon ran too bad to be true today. He was up in grade but ran out of gas a long way from home and couldn't finish ahead of a horse that was beaten after the second flight. Also the betting was revealing. He was favourite yesterday evening but drifted all day today then during the race his price suddenly jumped from 4 to 9 when passing the stands first time even though he was travelling and jumping well at that time. Somebody knew he was going to run a stinker. There could be an upset tomorrow though my tipping is all to **** these days.
By:
Autocue
When: 08 Dec 17 17:47
I'm wondering if there is something amiss at the Tizzard yard as his best horses aren't firing. It didn't occur to me after Cue Card and Thistlecrack were well beaten as there were plausible reasons, but his promising novice White Moon ran too bad to be true today. He was up in grade but ran out of gas a long way from home and couldn't finish ahead of a horse that was beaten after the second flight. Also the betting was revealing. He was favourite yesterday evening but drifted all day today then during the race his price suddenly jumped from 4 to 9 when passing the stands first time even though he was travelling and jumping well at that time. Somebody knew he was going to run a stinker. There could be an upset tomorrow though my tipping is all to **** these days.
By:
Autocue
When: 08 Dec 17 17:49
Sorry about that, the site wasn't responding.
By:
impossible123
When: 08 Dec 17 21:01
Is this how the Racing Post see the fiasco about the recent events concerning the Tingle Creek Chase? Little or no comments from them but this is from one of their head writers, I believe.

"No Douvan but get over it! It is still a Saturday to savour so just enjoy it."

No Altior; no Douvan; no Un De Sceaux the defending champion who has chosen to run in a lower grade race instead. A Gp 1 race now has degenerated into a sub-standard renewal resembling a glorified handicap.

I've planned to go to Sandown tomorrow but definitely not now. I'll watch the Henry VIII Novices Chase for Cheltenham pointers, but not the Tingle Creek this year.
By:
woodmanchester
When: 09 Dec 17 00:41
Enjoy 8/13 Fox Norton. No, thanks ever so very much. The race is now a debacle although Altior and Douvan withdrawals I believe have substance. Went in large both, so no pocket talking. If Fox goes on to win the King George, I'll post a naked picture of myself on here! Laugh

Also, think Impossible getting unwarranted grief. I find his opinions worth listening to (a regular poster unlike some who only rear their ugly head to criticize) and here's something for everybody, changing your mind is not a hanging offence
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