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Actually I never had a bet on the race I just was looking to see what guide there would be to cross reference through the result. It was a no bet race but in fact I backed Es Que Love last time so I am kicking myself a bit. That's all. No comment on the point of the post?
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Those of us who believe there are to many Group1 races, will feel even more justified with that view,to see proper summer ground and lack of runners is just depressing(racing needs to reflect)
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I cannot seem to find my post on this race.
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A very slowly run race, not that there was any excuse for the favourite beaten by the winner, but not a race to take winning margins and form lines literally, imo. If other people want to do that it's up to them.
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ground rock hard mau suit Big thunder in nexrt
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Ground too firm for Tooormore , backed yesterday eve, only put small money on myself so no great loss
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I can still pay the gas bill
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That's the spirit Mac.
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However, Hannon remains defiant and, while not predicting that Toronado will beat Kingman, he is going there in a positive frame of mind.
He said:"Toronado's last piece of work was exceptional, and we could not be happier with him. He is definitely a stronger horse than he was last year, and he has also toughened up mentally. We were delighted he won first time out in the Queen Anne, but we also knew that he wasn't on his A-game. "He had been off a long time and was probably a bit rusty, but since Royal Ascot he has thrived and, while we have huge respect for Kingman, Toronado has a course victory on his CV and that counts for a lot as Goodwood is not an easy track." I wonder if Hannon will be backing him tomorrow? Or if many people are taking notice of these comments? I do hope so, might just get a price I can't refuse on Kingman ![]() |
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Where's the pace in this race?
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In a sense, he's obliged to talk his horse up because otherwise it starts to look like a non event (I'm thinking sporting contest rather than betting).
More evidence today that stable is not quite firing - RTF = 41%, a bit shy of their normal high standard and two odds on favourites beaten this pm. Toormore talked up in the paper this morning on the basis of a piece of work he did with Toronado last week.Now today's effort might be as good as Toormore is and Beacon probably did n't have a trouble free passage but, even so, his superiority over Mukhmal was nowhere near as marked as at Sandown. The only way I see Kingman drifting is if Johnny G expresses reservations about the ground tomorrow....which would be contrary but is entirely possible nonetheless! |
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Couldn't really disagree with with that Figgis but for a bit of fun I have laid him at 2s on and I will back him in running and see how that goes. I just have to repeat my tactics message to RH. Not that he hasn't heard it before. The question for me now is what price do I trade out at?
Brigust, what price are you expecting to get in running? If Hughes goes with your tactics and sets a fast pace I'll be very surprised if he could get Kingman off the bridle so the price is unlikely to drift much, if at all. You'd have to be clinging on to the hope that he doesn't quite stay then back him late on, and if you think he doesn't quite stay then why back him at all at that late stage? |
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Problem with Hughs though one of the best jockeys anywhere is just not comfortable forcing the pace in group races , have no idea why he set of at such a moderate pace in the lennox leaving half his rivals on the bridle with two to run , if he does that tomorrow there may be a humiliating end to the Sussex for the Hanon team , hope not .
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I said after the Craven Stakes (posted on the Guineas thread) that Toormore hadn't trained on into a 3yo. He was good at 2yo but the others have caught up.
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I thought Beacon was unlucky today tbh.
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When they had a 9lbs advantage with Sky Lantern over Elusive Kate in last year's Falmouth Hughes completely squandered it by letting Buick set a slow pace. Now he's at a weight disadvantage I can see him doing the opposite of what he ought to do and making all that extra weight tell. He said before last year's Falmouth that he would go on if he needed to. In the event the race was run at an absolute dawdle, which begs the question what circumstances was he referring to where he would need to make the running? Or were his pre-race comments some kind of Alex Ferguson mind games? Who knows with some jockeys.
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Figgis , are you saying he should not go on , because if you are then with respect i don't quite get the argument , it is in Doyles interest that the early pace is modest as that way he can save his mounts devastating kick to the final furlong , easy peasy , Toronado although a miler we think? is sired by a Derby winner being able to sustain a fierce galop for the full mile of the race is his one and only chance of winning ? being on the bridle two out won't help one bit if Kingman is Looming , will it? .
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Selective editing Figgis. Never mind eh? Try reading all of the posts to give you some context?
I laid Kingman expecting War Command to run and hoping Darwin would be his pace setter. I thought Hughsie would sit on Darwin and kick on three out. At that moment Kingmans price could fluctuate wildly. Especially if at that moment Hughsie gets a couple of lengths. However now War Command doesn't run, although I have laid at 2/5 and I could lay off at no cost there may still be a margin to be had. I'll see what happens tomorrow although I don't rally expect the bookies to take Kingman on I may have to settle for his in - running price weakening. What price do I think he will touch? If Darwin makes it at a fast pace and Hughsie sits on him I reckon 4/5 would be readily available at some time. If Hughsie makes it at a fast pace on his own I reckon 4/6 will easily be available. Especially with Darwin there. If there is no pace I expect Kingman to just keep shortening but Darwin could then be a fly in the ointment. We'll see. All is definitely not lost by any means. ![]() ![]() |
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*2/5 after War Command withdrawn.
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Mac99, I think whatever they try it's unlikely to allow Toronado to win. In my view, Kingman has proved he can run a mile (slightly)faster than Toronado has proved so far. On top of that he gets 8lbs from Toronado. If Toronado sets a fast pace then every extra pound of that weight is going to tell, meaning Toronado is going to have to be an absolutely brilliant 4yo miler to bridge the difference. If Kingman is on form I don't see Toronado having any chance under those circumstances.
If Hughes sits in front, waits and tries to steal first run and some ground on Kingman the chances are Kingman will still outsprint him, but it's not an absolute given. Doyle might not be able to get cover in behind, Kingman could possibly race too keenly, Doyle might try to switch him off so much that he overdoes the waiting tactics. Even against a good horse positioning can make a difference in a slowly run race and if Hughes could possibly steal a few lengths and time it so his horse only has to sprint a couple of furlongs he could be difficult to pass, particularly if the ground remains fast. I've seen many slowly run races over the years that have been decided by positioning leading to an inferior horse narrowly beating a better one. That said, personally I want to see a fast run race, otherwise excuses will be made. If we get a truly run race it will be evident just what a hopeless task Toronado was faced with. |
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Hughes added: "It's very sweet. Just when I kicked him in the belly, he's not as instant on that ground as he would have been on fast ground. It was a great race and, when I didn't go by him quickly I thought oh no here we go again but he was very brave. He's brilliant.
The ground shouldn't be a problem. |
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That will change when they have blast the track with water tonight,for if they do not,jG may pull him out?What a non event we have then?my opinion is that even on quick ground Kingman will beat any of last years uk milers,but not by much.
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Selective editing Figgis. Never mind eh?
I know you have trouble remembering what you've written, even whole posts (Lennox Stakes) sometimes, but I think you'll find that was the whole post, the only post where you said you'd place a bet. |
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I don't remember anyway I can rely on you for selective editing. If that wasn't your aim why did you just ask what price I thought Kingman would touch in running? Wouldn't that have been a decent question but sadly you have this barb every time you pose me a question. Never mind eh? Perhaps you can show me the 'whole posts about the Lennox Stakes eh'?
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If that wasn't your aim why did you just ask what price I thought Kingman would touch in running? Wouldn't that have been a decent question
Not really sure if this is supposed to be asking me why I didn't or why I did? If it's did then I thought I did. Brigust, what price are you expecting to get in running? |
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Or is it didn't?
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That's correct it was 'didn't'. So why didn't you just ask me what price I thought Kingman would touch in running without the additional snide comments?
It really is not difficult being respectful and courteous. Now 'How about the whole post on the Lennox Stakes eh?' Or are you simply going to change the subject again? |
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So why didn't you just ask me what price I thought Kingman would touch in running without the additional snide comments
Brigust, what price are you expecting to get in running? If Hughes goes with your tactics and sets a fast pace I'll be very surprised if he could get Kingman off the bridle so the price is unlikely to drift much, if at all. You'd have to be clinging on to the hope that he doesn't quite stay then back him late on, and if you think he doesn't quite stay then why back him at all at that late stage? Could you kindly point out the snide comments? |
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From what I can see so far: Gregorian in two races last season was 9 lengths behind Toronado and 9 lengths behind Olympic Glory confirming the Hannons belief there was not much between them. Gregorian beat the three 3 year olds in the July Cup including Noozoh Canaries. Kingston Hill was beaten in the Eclipse albeit a muddling affair where Somewhere was third. Tomorrow Toormore meets Gregorian in the Lennox. Glory Awaits finished behind Toronado at Ascot.
Nope not a mention of Anjaal. |
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You'd have to be clinging on to the hope that he doesn't quite stay then back him late on, and if you think he doesn't quite stay then why back him at all at that late stage? Snide comment.
The 'whole' post was about the Sussex Stakes. |
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Well if a horse has travelled the first 6 furlongs on the bridle with no get-out option for a layer waiting to back, I would've thought their only clinging hope left would be that the horse wouldn't stay and start throwing out distress signals, therefore enabling a drift and a chance to arb. However, if the layer was of the opinion that the horse was a short runner anyway then I can't see why they couldn't back up the opinion by letting the bet ride, especially at the business end of the race when that opinion looked like being true. Sounds perfectly reasonable to me.
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Huge fan of Kingman as the aftertiming brigade will attest to
but I`ve decided to go for 20% for my money Toronado to place. Hope Outstrip doesn`t thow a spanner in the works. I`m expecting Kingman to win but I`m pretty certain it won`t be a repeat of Frankel versus Canford Cliffs. After all Frankel was the best racehorse we`ve all seen.![]() ![]() |
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Another point to consider with the tactics is the only time Toronado has been asked to go fast early from a prominent position was in last year's Guineas where he bombed out. Before that, every time he'd made the running Hughes set a slow early pace. After the Guineas disappointment Hughes began to ride Toronado with far more restraint with success. Will he be keen to do the opposite of what has proved successful in the past?
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See what a sensible post that was. A proper discussion point with a view based upon research. It's a pity every post isn't in a similar vein. I enjoy coming on here when time allows so I see no reason why posters shouldn't be courteous and respectful to add to the experience. Everyone has views, so are valid and some are wild but it all adds to the experience.
Of course I am worried about Hughsie being able to set a proper pace and really with his experience he should be able to but as yet I haven't seen it. With War Command in the race there was every likelihood Darwin would make the pace a strong one and he is a quality animal so should set good early fractions. Without War Command I'm thinking RM will sit and hope Toronado and Kingman take each other on and he can pick up 3rd place. Assuming the Sin Bin horse also waits. I would like Hughsie to go out and make it a solid pace from the outset winding it up as they come down the home straight but I'm not holding my breath after watching the Irish 2000 Gns and SJP. Felt stop showing your age boy. ![]() |
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Toronado also bombed out at York when ridden with restraint , but it should be remembered that he showed a great deal of resolve in hauling back D, Approach in this last year on g/s ground , normally have little time for excuses but am inclined to accept a dislocated soft palate may well have been the cause of his two poor runs last year . Will still back him tomorrow as to my mind has beaten a much better better opponent in DA than has Kingman so far.
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*Kingman in his runs so far
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5mm added by Seamus the Famous.
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OK guys. Easy question. I've laid Kingman at 2/5 for a couple of ton. And I have had a pony on Outstrip. I will be laying Kingman in running. What price should I put in to lay off and ensure a profit?
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Backed outstrip and Darwin incase this turns into a complete farce ie a furlong and half sprint.
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