We want to share an important update with our Betfair Community users.
Over the coming months, the Betfair Community platform will be winding down. The final active day for the platform will be December 21st. From December 22nd, users will no longer be able to access the platform.
Your discussions, insights, engagement, and, most importantly, feedback have helped shape the platform and guided innovation. Your feedback continues to be important to us, and we will continue to listen via our dedicated feedback channels, as well as through product testing and innovations.
To share your feedback and experience, visit: https://support.betfair.com/app/home
|
By:
Sin I suggest you read my post of 9.34 yesterday morning. That works out at about 6 hours before the race. That may be after timing to you. I don't know what time zone you live in.
Pedro I agree about Treve and can also see STS doing really well at stud but you must take into consideration there has only been a couple of top class racehorses in this decade so he is bound to attract the top mares. Certainly means the owner breeders getting the top races again. |
|
By:
Morning pedrobob
, Interesting thoughts on Telescope,I myself finding it difficult to express improvement in the ratings,but nice to see a different view,cheers! |
|
By:
yes Brig, the one where you could not decide between the first 3 in the market, and then it so happens you ''picked'' the right one when the result is known. Shameful. No mention of the Hannon 2yo either. More shameful. Good luck to you though, you'll need it.
![]() |
|
By:
Sin I didn't know about the Hannon 2 year old until I got to the races. And apparently everyone in the world knew about it. Frankie Dettori even tipped it up on the Morning Line ffs. It was a short priced favourite. And I never said which one I picked in the King George while I did say I backed Australia and Flintshire. Is that what you call 'after timing'? Will you grow up? I don't come on here to give tips only to discuss racing points. That is what a forum is for.
|
|
By:
Trading Leather and Magician were obviously beaten before stamina became an issue.
|
|
By:
You may be right Figgis but I thought they ran like classic no stayers. They weren't good enough anyway and I guess Trading Leather finished where expected and I'm not convinced Magician has either found his form this season or if he was flattered by his form last season. His POW form was OK so perhaps he is a miler who gets a sharp, fast ground 12f under the right circumstances.
|
|
By:
I would've thought a classic non staying performance was travelling well on the bridle then finding nothing, they were both struggling and going nowhere before the 2f pole. It's easy to say they weren't good enough after the race and to say Trading Leather finished where expected but he finished 2 lengths behind Mukhadram in the Eclipse, I didn't see anyone before the race say they expected him to finish nearly 8 lengths behind him yesterday.
|
|
By:
That is assuming all the horses are of the same ability. Both TL and Magician were handy at the two pole but the pressure was applied 3 out and they were then going nowhere. TL stayed on stronger than Magician who emptied. Magician empties when he hits that end of run as opposed to running on. Classic non stayer for me. AOB blamed the ground but I don't see him winning a European Gr 1 over 12f any time soon.
|
|
By:
As far as the Arc goes, Taghrooda obviously has the ability to at least go close, however to my mind there has to be a strong possibility yesterday's race will have taken a lot out of her. Sure she travelled well during most of the race and the winning margin suggests it was easy, but when the main contenders were really going for it around the 2f pole she was in a battle, albeit one she may have always looked like winning, it was only inside the final furlong when the pace was slowing considerably that she got on top and went away. I'd be very surprised if she didn't have a hard race there. Also it's generally difficult to maintain form between both races anyway. Having said that, she surpassed my expectations yesterday and she might do it again but I still couldn't back her for the Arc.
|
|
By:
I backed her for the Arc yesterday with Paddies. So a non runner warning is attached. Treve hasn't gone on as yet, Australia could be a non runner and the German horse may be flattered by his win. The Japanese horse is a miler. I wouldn't be worried about anything else at this moment in time.
|
|
By:
Both TL and Magician were handy at the two pole
Both horses had been niggled before the 3f pole then ridden vigorously for a furlong just to go 2-3 lengths past the moderate pacemaker Leitir Mor at the 2f pole, who had been running at an obviously unsustainable gallop even for a good horse. I don't think either horse's performance can conveniently be explained by not staying. |
|
By:
How is it convenient? Convenient is to say it never ran to form. I think they both ran to form. Making the race more solid. How is that convenient? The betting said TL should have been 5th or 6th and AOB didn't run Magician in the Derby because he thought he was a 10f horse. He thought the ground was also against him yesterday but I thought the ground was OK. That's my take on things and I will carry that into their next races. If they drop TL in class and send Magician to the US after a break there could be something there. We cannot all think the same otherwise betting would be pointless. You don't have to paste what I write I remember it quite clearly.
|
|
By:
Quite right Figgis. In fact the expectation was Trading Leather would reverse form with Mukhadram over the extra 2f as punters backed him from 14/1 on track into 8/1.
|
|
By:
'' You may be right (insert name) BUT... you are actually wrong as I am saying so'' signed, Brigust.
|
|
By:
So on past form you believe in a Gp1 10f race Trading Leather and Magician would have to be hard ridden to finish 3 lengths ahead of Leitir Mor, after that horse had set an unsustainable early pace?
|
|
By:
You may or may not know Fig but a classic non stayer empties quickly. That is exactly why they finished where they did. Classic non stayers in top company on a stiff track with a strong pace. They never went off too fast and weakened they just emptied. Classic non staying for me.
|
|
By:
There we have it Figgis. You have been told in no uncertain terms what a non-stayer is. Brigust is right, you are wrong.
Incidentally, Trading Leather's fast run Irish Derby win never happened. ![]() |
|
By:
Brig, how come you never questioned TL's ability to get 12f before the race?
|
|
By:
So on past form you believe in a Gp1 10f race
That is exactly why they finished where they did. The question wasn't about where they finished at the post, it was concerning the 2f pole. |
|
By:
Sin because they hadn't had the race. Do you understand that? All sorts of things can be determined AFTER a race. I suppose you backed Taghrooda for the ARC before the race? How come no-one is asking Haggis why it topok him so long to run his horse over 12f?
It isn't a case of being right or wrong. In racing you either sit on the fence and do nothing or make a decision based upon personal opinions. We cannot all think the same thing. Do you understand that? I guess AOB and Jim Bolger will think their charges didn't stay. Future running's will probably show what they think. Magician could well go for the Breeders Cup turf but that is a sharp track and the ground is usually very fast so suits his style. Figgis people disagree. That's life. I may be right and I may be wrong but I won't be in a hurry to back either Trading Leather or Magician in 12 furlong races in Europe any time soon. |
|
By:
Figgis people disagree.
It's a good thing they do. I won't be in a hurry to back either Trading Leather or Magician in 12 furlong races in Europe any time soon You still haven't explained your reasoning on what had happened at the 10f point if it was simply a case of them not staying an extra 2f? |
|
By:
TL was beaten after a few furlongs. No cover out wide, no position, combined with the rain the previous day done for him.
Horrific efforts from his pilot for 2 of his last 3 races. Maybe JW was right about the pace being very strong and doing for Magician on this type of track over 12f. Looks like he prefers a slow pace and "divebombing" the finish on a flat track. |
|
By:
Another non-stayer,Kingman,runs on Wednesday
![]() ![]() |
|
By:
Figgis please tell me why on this earth I have to explain myself? I believe they ran like non stayers. You obviously disagree. Do you see me asking you to explain yourself about anything ever? It's your opinion. You are entitled to it just as I am. You may be right and I may be right but I suggest their trainers think they are 10f horses at best. That doesn't mean I am right or you are wrong because as I have always said horses can stay further dependent upon the quality of the opposition and the way the races are run.
That's right Felt. I suggest RH also thinks the only way to beat him is with a strong gallop. I wonder why that would be? We will have to see what happens. Does that mean Hughsie will make the running again but at a proper pace this time? ![]() |
|
By:
I never said I was right, I said their poor performances can't be simply explained as not staying, and they still haven't been explained. I said before the race that Magician had a hard race last time, so I was half expecting him to run below par, although you still never know just how much below par and I didn't expect him to be as disappointing as that. Trading Leather's display was more of a surprise, as even though I didn't fancy him I thought he could run on for a place or close to that, I certainly wouldn't have expected him to be beaten nearly 11 lengths.
In every other sport it's accepted that athletes can underperform on any given day. The likes of Nadal and Messi don't always perform to their best standards, there doesn't have to be any major noticeable physical problem but some days they just won't physically be as good as others. Racehorses are the same. Except with racehorses people always look to outside factors for excuses, ground, trip, etc, as it neatly fits the idea that racehorses run like machines it's just external influences that get in the way. I've found racehorses are usually more consistent than most human athletes but they're still susceptible to physical ups and downs like any of us. That is why explaining form in terms of "A beat B by 3 lengths in one race, B beat C by 1 length in another, therefore A should beat C by 4 lengths in this race" is assuming one hell of a lot. If the same explanations were used in football it would be laughable. |
|
By:
A pity that they are not taking in the St Leger en route to Longchamp with Taghrooda. A classic there for the taking, as she is sure to stay the trip.
|
|
By:
Hello figgis,no use of sectionals in this country until the last 2 years or so,my own generation and most certainly brigusts,have had to use our eyes rightly or wrongly? brigust just stating his point of view and you yours!
|
|
By:
MJ, Brigust's point of view is that both performances can be explained due to not staying 12f. I said myself before the race that I wasn't yet convinced about Magician's stamina so I wouldn't argue he does stay well. I am simply asking that if it was just a lack of stamina why did they make such a hard job of passing the pacemaker by the time of the 2f marker.
|
|
By:
AOB said he thought the ground was against Magician. I walked on the course and I cannot think the ground was at fault. He may have had a hard race last time but in my book he didn't stay. I may be wrong but that's what I think.
I don't always look at outside factors. I thought Frankel ran below par because of his hard race in the 2000 Gns. And you needn't explain to me about form. It is exactly the same with ratings. You make allowances when allowances are to be made. It's no different. And I explained the reason being a certain non stayer empties quickly just as an athlete hits the wall. We are all entitled to our opinions. I don't question you on yours. You are entitled to them. |
|
By:
Also figgis,the whole handicap system is based on A beating B etc,and that is most important when also trying too compile speed ratings(going allowances etc),it is not a separate subject and neither subject a perfect science,Race standardization is very imperfect but practical in use, what else have we got?
|
|
By:
yes we have our eyes,so when we witness horses falling into holes,we can surmise reasons,and very valid point made by brigust,because we are not privileged to inside information.
|
|
By:
it is not a separate subject and neither subject a perfect science
Which is exactly the point. Anyone who uses speed ratings or private handicap ratings will be fully aware of this, otherwise I can't see how they'd have any long term success. Ratings are used as a tool along with other relevant factors. People who use them will be aware of their limitations and even if a horse is rated confidently there are other issues to be considered before automatically assuming it will repeat the effort. I don't think too many people would simply say the 100 horse will beat the 96 horse by 1 length over 5f next time without weighing up everything else. Likewise when we hear statements about races from years ago such as this horse beat that horse and that horse had just won three Gp1s, without any consideration that the horse who'd just won three Gp1s was probably bolloxed. |
|
By:
Many alternative methods of dissecting a race,looking at yesterdays race Telescope is two time Group2 winner over 12f but not yet made the grade at Group1 level,and lacks any sort of quality form over 10f,Mukhadram a 3 time 10f Group winner and proven Group1 winner on one occasion,it was quite easy to surmise that these two were either not good enough or would not stay before the race?(now that is aftertiming)
![]() |
|
By:
Or today when they continually say won 3 Gr1's without considering the races were complete rubbish and no winners come out of them. That is something repeated almost daily because there are too many Gr1's about. The rubbish about Gr1's in the past when there were only 50 in Europe everyone had to go for compared with the 450 they can go for today. It's a today problem not a past problem. The only Gr1 at Royal Ascot was the Gold Cup.
They have now raised the Mares race at Cheltenham to Gr1 when only potentially one Gr1 runs in it. |
|
By:
And you still had change out of a farthing
![]() |
|
By:
Do you understand that? Kinda sums you up to a T, Brig.
MJ, that was Telescope's first run at Group 1 level. Time will probably tell he faced an impossible task giving 15lb to Taghrooda. |
|
By:
Totally agree brigust,the growth in Group1 status can only make for uncompetitive racing, of no use to anyone. I am for more competition in the races we have already,if anything we may think about cutting a few of the events from the racing calender?
|
|
By:
Hi sintonian,you may very well be correct,but the Fact is that Telescope is a Group1 placed horse no more than that,and ageing.
|
|
By:
I know. One run in a Group 1 and a second place finish. Ageing? Really? He has just posted his best ever RPR.
|
|
By:
The first six home in the International yesterday had won on soft or on good to soft ground , the downpour on Friday clearly slowed the ground even on the Home straight , it would have been even slower over on the other side ,never mind if you walked the course yesterday and found it pretty good , you are not a Horse , the ground was slower than ideal that is why Magician and TL ran out of gas imo hth.
|