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I still maintain that the King George rating was a bit high, imo Nacarat was the second best horse in the field and set the race up for KS at the cost to himself.
Both Madison and Barbers have hardly run to their rating since, have they? |
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Exactly, fast pace sets the race up for Kauto. He loves traveling fast, bobbing along jumping at speed. He was a two miler after all.
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To be Happy with a 193 plus rating you would have to be happy that Madison and Barbers were superior to Nacarat, subsequent events have not proved this.
Personally id have both Madison and Barbers in the low 150s now |
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I would just like to point out....whilst i dont agree with Kauto running in the Hennessey,(as i think we have all gathered by now!!)that does not mean that i would not love to see it.As has been said it could and probably would be some spectacle.The thought of Kauto and Denman in a Hennessey Gold Cup certainly gets the excitement going,no doubt.
I for one will be there,would not miss it for anything.And the reasons i would not miss it?,well for one thing i may be wrong,and been talking rubbish on here!! But the thought of missing potentially the greatest race i could ever wish to see,is something i could not live with. |
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Well said Budd. Could be talking about it for the rest of the season.
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the point is that nicholls is going against everything hes ever said regarding kauto star . hes a hundred times better fresh that is clear he clearly wont be and this is a disgusting idea and ruby will not let this happen imo . ruby says its not wise they wont run simple as that .
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and y would this be the race of the century ? race of the century would have been if kauto had have had decent ground wen he was beat by denman in the gold cup wen they were both off level wieghts. i cant over estimate how disgusting i think this idea of running this horse in this race is
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Dan. Last season PN said they were going to run hin fresh. Did it work? Clive Smith said they didn't think it did so they are running him once more this year. That means 4 runs instead of 3.
And anyway your 'running fresh' complaint doesn't really stand up because he ran at Haydock last year and the year before and was fortunate to win one of them. He then ran in the KG and bolted up both times. How is this different? |
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ide be more interested in a race over 3 miles over hurdles and some fences a mix of the two with 4 pace makers big bucks v denman v kauto star and ide be all over big bucks for the race
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dananderson
Disgusting?????? Don't be silly. By the way your excuses for Kauto for his Denman defeat is laughable given all the remedial work done at Cheltenham to prevent proper National Hunt ground in March. Given that, Denman would always pulverise Kauto over the Gold Cup trip at Cheltenham or Newbury. |
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Sorry if I've missed it but when did Ruby say it wasn't wise? I can't see Ruby having a real say in whether it happens or not. Dan you're going way over the top. It's a horse race, Kauto's a horse, this is a race. IMO Denman has regressed since he won his GC so I think Kauto would have a very good chance this year if he's anywhere near his best still
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ruby on five live now well c wat he has say . and i think if ruby said to clive its a bad idea he wouldnt run imo . it wont happen imo
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Not sure how much Rubys opinion would count if the owner is adamant.Also Ruby would i imagine ride Denman at the weights,and would not like to see someone else on his beloved Kauto.Maybe his judgement might not be totally genuine?
End of the day the owner pays the bills,and i guess he will decide,although when i was involved in ownershp,the trainer always made the decisions,and quiet right too.Trainer should know better than the owner!! |
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The decision to run,(as long as its deemed to be the best for the horse this season),should be accepted by us all whether we like it or not,and we can then watch and see what happens.
Been fun discussing it though!! |
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Ruby would certainly ride Denman. Kauto's presence helps his chances. 11-4 in the Hennessy, it's a dream for Denners. He'll be able to go another mile I'd say. Kauto coming 2nd to Denman off 190 is as good as a win for him really. Hope it happens now and that it wasn't just hyperbole.
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Ruby will ride Kauto Star. Absolute, stone bonking certainty. Everything isn't always about money, some people forget that. Ruby would be the first to congratulate PB if, and it is a big if, Denman beat him. But there is no way he would give up his ride on KS, no way.
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I don't think it's certain who ruby would ride, but IMO it would be kauto. He could have ridden denman in the 2008 GC when denman was at his best but chose to stick with Kauto, I really don't see him riding denman at all. Having said that if he did would AP rise Kauto?
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The only way Nicholls would run him in the Hennessy is if he knew he would beat Denman. That means Denman is way past his best so take it as a negative for Denman this season if they both run in the Hennessy.
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To say that, Eric, is to completely misunderstand jump racing.
PN would be trying to get both horses to Newbury at their peak, any so called skullduggery is plainly ridiculous. PN, Paul Barber and Clive Smith love NH racing and none of them would want it any other way. And Resner finally got around to it, there is absolutely no way Ruby would give up the ride on Kauto. If there was any doubt about the horse it wouldn't run in the first place. |
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Brigust, thats just my opinion. I don't think it's a certainty that Ruby rides Kauto. I think if he honestly believed in this race Denman had the best chance he would ride Denman. Again I don't this will happen, but now I've thought about AP riding Kauto, that is something I'd like to see (but don't ever expect to, barring injury to Ruby)
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There is no way Nicholls will want both horses to rip the guts out of each other in November in a handicap against the young set imo unless he expects Denman to perform some way off his peak. No trainer in his right mind would want that with the important races to come for his best 2 horses against each other so early. If he did that he'd be making a big mistake, Nicholls doesnt make big mistakes so expect Denman to be some way off his best if Kauto runs. Denman wont be placed imo in a normal Hennessy field if Kauto turns up ... that I would have a bet on.
brigust1 there is no doubt you have taken a price Kauto in the Hennessy chancing he turns up your views are driven by that and not with the rest of the season in mind for Kauto. |
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If Kauto and Denman both ran in the Hennessy and Ruby is on Denman then I'll not only eat my hat I will eat every hat in the country.
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Eric, every race Denman has been involved in since 2008 has been a hard race for him, and apart from his KG wins quite a few of Kauto's have been hard races. Why can't this just be down to the fact this is probably the last season for at least one if not both horses. Therefore the last chance to do something as potentially exciting as run them in a Hennessy. I do think Denman isn't the horse he once was, but don't think this is the reason Kauto is under consideration for the race
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You dont run your best 2 against each other in peak form in a handicap in November. If you know one of them to be under par you might. That one wont be Kauto or he wont run so it has to be Denman. Anyone expecting a clash of the titans cant see the wood for the trees and their bets. It could give Kauto a false handicap rating anyway as Denman will be below par imo if they both turn up.
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Kirk already making excuses for Denman in case he gets beat. Sure Kauto doesn't stay more than 3m. I tight your proved that as fact, kirk or eric or whatever name you change to this week.
Look, Kauto is the toughest horse we'll see in a long time. Nicholls has said time and again he is bouncing the day after a race. It's like he never had one. That's why it was so hard to find out he was best run fresh. The race will not stop him paying a 180 at kempton. He may have taken a slight edge off by running in the hennessy, but he's still unstoppable round kempton. As for Ruby, we all know he'll ride Kauto. Ruby knows and always has, that Kauto is, was, and always will be a superior horse in every single way to Denman. He'd never ever ever get off his back as Kauto had never been beaten by a better horse. |
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I dont respond to your posts you have no idea tbh.
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I don't understand the semantic's of name changing and it doesn't bother me.
What does bother me is the lack of understanding about trainers, owners and jockeys. Aiden O'Brien often races his best horses against each other whether the Guineas or the Derby etc. so KS running against Denman is not new. If I owned KS I think it would be brilliant to run in the Hennessy, if I owned Denman I think it would greatly enhance his slightly tarnished reputation if he beat KS in the Hennessy and if I were PN I would want to get both to the track in peak form. This will attract a massive amount of interest even outside the racing world. |
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If both fit and ready on the day,with neither horse thought to have regressed,then its a no brainer as to which has the better chance at the weights.Ruby obviously would know that so if he wants a better chance of winning he has to ride Denman.
However if he aint bothered(which i doubt myself)he will ride Kauto.Thats my take on it anyway. |
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CV,i have to disagree with the Superior in every way comment mate.Over 3m 2f Denman has won more races and in no way has been proved to be inferior.
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Can't honestly believe the "who will Ruby ride debate" is recurring
He holds Kauto Star in such high regard he would never desert him in any race. Riding Denman (or any other horse) instead of Kauto Star is a total non-starter |
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Even he if thought he cannot win,and the one he thought could win he could have rode??
Bit daft for a pro jockey imo |
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I don't think for a second he would think Kauto Star cannot win this, even off 190
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Could all be a moot point anyway, i'll still be amazed if he runs at Newbury
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Then he knows something we dont.We have not really seen anything to suggest that Kauto could give Denman 8lb and beat him.Have we?
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Anyway that dont answer my question,i said even if he tought Denman would win.
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Possibly not, and i'm firmly in the Denman camp
Sometimes it's more than about who he thinks will win |
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I am in neither camp, but Bud Kauto did beat Denman 13 lengths in the Gold Cup.
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Bud, it's a purely hyperthetical question. Ruby will not desert KS at this stage of his career even if in the back of his mind he thought Denman could beat him. Add to that the fact that Denman fell at Newbury last time and I agree with FFT it's a no-brainer.
I disagree with FFT about KS running, however. He runs, I'm absolutely certain about that. Only injury or desperate conditions would affect that. |
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Loyalty i guess you mean,fair enough,but he quiet likes Denman as well i would think.
Anyway,you are probably right. |
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Is there any point in debating who Ruby would ride seriously? If you had to put your money down every one of you would back Ruby to be on Kauto if he ran, and I still dont think he will so as a previous poster said this is probably irrelevant.
You dont run your 2 best horses against each other in a handicap in November conceding chunks of weight to the others and have them in peak condition for this. If they both run expect Denman to be below par or on the decline. |