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...and how can you improve on the Racing Post Trophy as a 2yo Derby trial for your horse also.
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It was a really good time, MP, even though I reckon that conditions had quickened slightly for the last 2 races on the card (if I'm wrong then Frankel is even faster than I've rated). As ever, it all depends on whether he progresses next season but at this stage he's the best 2yo Derby prospect I've seen for a few years. Maybe it's best to strike while the iron's hot and go for the RPT but I'd be tempted to put him away for next year already.
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I would run him in the RPT hoping to get a bit more company for longer in the race due to the better oppo. It will help him gain experience, develop more physically and allow the jockey to learn more about him in a race. Then the Dante it couldn't be simpler with a horse like him who can cruise then kick.
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yeah cheers for that figgis mate, that was my instinct although unlike you i'm not exactly an expert on this speed stuff.
I think with the speed he's shown he could well take in the guineas. but as you say the logical route by far is just to go to the derby, and when you have such a strong hand like that, why overplay it? I think it would be a very sensible approach to put him away for the year. either way i'm excited about this horse and can't wait to see him again. |
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picture editor is the one to be following
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Excellent info/insight James. Even if Frankel does not look (imo) a fast ground miler, he could well end up starting in the Guineas next season. I think the info you have provided suggests as such.
Eric, why the need to aftertime .. it's totally pointless. |
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Atertime what? If you mean the tennis he hasnt won yet so technically I wont be picking up 2.5k until this evening. Pleased it annoys you though.
James got it badly wrong on last years Guineas cut the cr@p though he is very good with the fillies. Dont agree with him or you but at least he has an idea what he is talking about wheras you dont. |
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Your an absolute pr1ck mate.
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You are an idiot who provokes trouble ... check threads to see who has the first dig .. it is you. You are a clown and troublemaker.
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Just as well I didnt mention the 5k I won on Nadal at Wimbers you would have been psychotic .. oops.
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Eric, i've had one or two arguments on here in the past but no more than that. Every thread you appear on you argue until your biased views are the given.
you accuse someone like James of getting things badly wrong, but hang on .. you got it badly wrong with Steinbeck. You got it bad wrong with Timepiece. You got it badly wrong with Zaynar. And all the while, you tell people about how you won 5k here, and 5k there. It is absolutley laughable to say the least, Walter. |
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Come on chaps this is not the tone we need.
We all talk rubbish on here sometimes, and its just bad for your spirit to take offence and call everyone else names. |
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I didnt get it badly wrong with Steinbeck .. he was a none runner due to a setback. I pointed out Canford was the most likely winner in his absence, James said Canford wouldnt stay a mile and also extolled St Nicks virtues for the race whereas I pointed out exactly what happened subsequently with past stats to back it up.
Zaynar I got it right as based on the previous years field and finishing positions of Celestial and the public form of Binocular, he would have won last years Champion Hurdle due to his position relative to Celestial. The only thing I got wrong was the seconds improvement due to a new training regime when everything pointed to it being the ground on form. Binocular showed astronomic improvement on all seasonal form and is still a mystery. Timepiece I pointed out it was an open race and was not exceptionally strong on her. I did back her the race after she won. All in all I am happy with my analysis last season and will never go for the popular vote as I like to be against the crowd ... it pays. Anyway back to Frankel and maybe you ought to check threads where you take a dig first. If you dont like my views that have paid well over the years for me dont read them you mug. |
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for other idiots and romantics, Frankel is available at 50/1 for the 2000 Guineas/Derby double and 100/1 for the triple crown!
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we'll call it a truce, or whatever the word is, Eric.
For the record, it is not your views/opinions I, and probably others, have a problem with. |
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Would love to see him give the great HRAC an Arc win. That's what excites me the most about this horse, he could be the one to give HRAC what he deserves for his amazing career.
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Others, lol getting your gang together .. typical child-like behaviour from you. Dont read my posts .. end of .. simple, then you cant get annoyed when I have a strong view against a horse you might have backed.
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YBM'S Threads have a habit of this, although i do really like Frankel...............
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..like St Nick in last years Guineas. I was 100% correct on him but my view was very unpopular as tons had backed him and gave me stick for it. They wont admit they were wrong, they will however give more stick if I go against their horse again in future, fact.
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zilzal1 extended that thread discussing the Guineas to around a thousand posts he fancied St Nick so much
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What has Rafa Nadal got to do with next years classics though?????
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Read the context I didnt have time to type a long winded reply to JamesP to point out where I disagreed with his viewpoint as the US semis were on. But now you mention it I also have him in a grand double at Wimbers with a 2000 Guineas horse thanks for asking I might have forgotten about that.
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LOL, Kirkybabes, you are funny. Have another look in the drawer and you might have a treble running on from the "Last Pope market"...............
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And i NEVER fancied st nick, i didnt have a ante post bet on the race
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No definitely dont have the Pope, just checked and it is Timmy Mallett to win I'm A Celebrity Get Me Out Of Here.
They arent offering for the Pope due to suspect insider trading on his price. |
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youre winning 2.5k on rafa kirk? that's nothing i'm winning 5 mill on him [;)]
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12 Sep 10 10:05: LOL, Kirkybabes, you are funny. Ah, it all makes sense now.
For the record, I admit I was completely wrong about both St Nicholas Abbey and Canford Cliffs. The stats strongly pointed to Canford Cliffs (as a son of the speedy Tagula) not staying a mile, but he proved me (and many others) gloriously wrong. St Nicholas Abbey was outpaced in the Guineas and stayed on in the style of a horse that wants a longer trip. As for the debate about St Nicholas Abbey and Steinbeck, I should know better than to rise to the bait, but the formbook states that SNA was beaten just under 2 lengths by Canford Cliffs in the Guineas, while Steinbeck, who has not made the expected progress this season, was beaten 5 lengths by Canford Cliffs in the Irish Guineas and 6 lengths by the same horse at Ascot. The Dewhurst form, which looked a bit sub-standard at the time (with less than a length covering the first four), has taken a few knocks this season: Beethoven has twice been beaten around 4 lengths by Canford Cliffs, Fencing Master finished behind SNA in the Guineas and has proved disappointing subsequently, Xtension ran well in the Guineas (finishing ahead of SNA) but was beaten more than 5 lengths by CC in the Irish Guineas. Dick Turpin has turned out to be the best of the Dewhurst runners. The Racing Post Trophy form has also taken a few knocks, with the fourth and fifth failing to shine this year, though it's a great shame that neither SNA nor Elusive Pimpernel has run since the Guineas. Al Zir, incidentally, was beaten by the same margin in the Guineas (6¼ lengths) as he was in the RPT, so the form isn't that bad. The sixth Shakespearean (beaten 8 lengths by SNA) has won a Group 2 over 7f this year. It will be interesting to see whether SNA takes up his entry in the Diamond Stakes at Dundalk on 1 October (as a prep for either the Champion Stakes or the Breeders Cup). |
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I agree with Figgis, it was a very significant time, but of course it's much harder to post a good time under pressure from reasonable rivals. But taken literally, in my opinion, it's a time good enough to have come 2nd in this year's Guineas.
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Guineas , Derby double.
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Looking like Royal Lodge then Racing Post Trophy.
Perfect prep |
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I remember looking at the time compared to others that day and it did seem quite decemnt for a three horse race, and especially so for a race that was won in that style. Frankel could have certainly put another 4 lengths maybe considerably more between himself and the other two, He never really came off the bit and had any amount in hand.
Howellsey, can I ask you (and Figgis too for that matter) what sort of time would Frankel have done if he had won by another 5 lengths? I don't do times much and lengths per second is beyond me. I do know he was value for at least another 4 lengths though so could certainly have covered the 7 furlongs in a much quicker time has=d be been asked to do so. I know that its easy to build up hoirses that win maiedens and lesser races like this quite a lot, but the chance really does remain - this just could be the one! Having availed myself of 100/1 about the triple crown I of course rather hope so! |
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mordin doesn't seem that impressed:
FRANKEL NEEDS TO DO MORE FRANKEL (36) was certainly impressive when winning at Doncaster last week. But a victory in an unlisted race where he had only two moderate opponents hardly justifies promoting him to Derby favouritism. The early pace was pretty slow but they picked up from halfway and Frankel was sprinting at full tilt for the last quarter mile or more. So Frankel had a decent opportunity to clock a time representative of his ability. The fact that he could only run a Group 3 class time therefore makes me want to see him do more before jumping on the bandwagon. Frankel doesn't wear that cross noseband for nothing. He's clearly a keen going sort. The fact he was able to sprint at such speed in the closing stages, covering the last three furlongs 2.5 seconds faster than White Moonstone, suggests to me he may well have as much difficulty as his half brother Bullet Train in stretching his stamina to a mile and a half. He's heavily muscled just like that colt. Bullet Train did manage to win the Lingfield Derby Trial but that was off a slow early pace. He tired to run unplaced over a mile and a half in his subsequent three outings and will surely be cut back to ten furlongs if he stays in training next year. Frankel is strong and very mature. Clearly he's a smart prospect. I just don't think he's a Derby prospect, and I need convincing that he's Group 1 class. although the real question is, do we care [smiley:crazy] btw i'll be surprised if he runs in BOTH the royal lodge and the racing post trophy |
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"Sprinting at Full Tilt"
Absolute bo11ox Mr Mordin ! |
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oops my mistake [:x]
FRANKEL LIKELY FOR LODGE By Ashley Iveson, Press Association Sport The Galileo colt made a winning debut at Newmarket and then propelled himself up the ante-post lists for both the 2000 Guineas and the Derby with a brilliant display at Doncaster. The youngster holds a number of Group-race entries for the remainder of the campaign, but at this stage he looks set to head to Ascot before stepping up to the highest level for the Racing Post Trophy on October 23. Teddy Grimthorpe, racing manager for owner Prince Khalid Abdullah, said: "Frankel's fine and everyone seems happy with him. "At the moment Henry is more keen to go to the Juddmonte Royal Lodge and then possibly the Racing Post Trophy. "He's looking at that route rather than the Dewhurst, but he is in the Dewhurst if he decided to go that way." agreed dd, could have pulled out more probably although mordin rightly points out in the same article that white moonstone is one to follow |
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bit late...but backed @14s today for derby...i'd prefer to see him skip the lodge...and just romp home in the racing post...
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bit late trev
![]() I think i'd rather him not run in both the Royal Lodge and Racing Post, don't need to. |
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mordin "Frankel was sprinting at full tilt fore the last quarter mile or more".
Did he really say that? I mean I know he does say dome pretty daft things but still. Look at the race yourselves and judge. He was never asked a question by the jockey and was not actually of the bit. He was very clearly cruising and making no effort at all. he had a ton in hand. The form is very dicey and the race a nothing sort of race - all agreed. But if Frankel was "at full tilt" then Lester Piggott was a poor jockey and Vincent O'Brien couldn't train a racehorse! |
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i wouldnt say he was making no effort at all, you couldnt clock those last couple of furlongs racing on the bridle
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Naturally I wouldn't expect everybody's standard times to be exactly the same but Mordin's Doncaster standards must really need some work if he has Frankel's time as an ordinary one.
COT, while I always prefer to see a horse win as easily as Frankel did, because obviously the horse is still fresh for another day, I don't upgrade its rating as I've usually found that when a horse clocks a fast time on the bridle it usually doesn't find much more than a pound or two when eventually hard ridden. Maybe Frankel will be one of the rare ones though. I've seen quite a few fast 2yos over the years that burned out quickly, SNA is still fresh in the memory, so I'm not getting carried away just yet, but he's a very promising young horse at the moment. |
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Royal Lodge Stakes surely the kiss of death. Winners of that race hardly ever make up into anything.
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