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PGA Championship early thoughts

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Replies: 306
By:
Forest000
When: 07 Aug 14 08:34
my plan is to hope woods has a couple of good holes and then trade out and use the profit to trade in-play
By:
maggot
When: 07 Aug 14 08:47
The skybet W/O favourite is definitely without the 4 mentioned on here, although it only pays top 5, and not top 6.

I have backed Kevin Stadler in this @ 150/1
By:
therhino
When: 07 Aug 14 08:48
Moved a bit of Rose to ad Sneds at 120, nice price with him finding a bit of form lately.
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 09:02
double checked and all good ,it is on bet receipts -  Hideki Matsuyama @ 33/1    Without McIlroy Scott Rose and Garcia.
By:
therhino
When: 07 Aug 14 09:03
That's a nice bet vegas.
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 09:06
I KNOW LaughLaugh My biggest problem is , my already obese team has just found the 1/2 price pizza's , and has swelled markedly!!
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 09:21
ooo i'm all excited, just off to pick up my new golf clubs Excited
By:
dave1357
When: 07 Aug 14 10:06

Aug 7, 2014 -- 9:02AM, vegasdreams wrote:


double checked and all good ,it is on bet receipts -

By:
Forest000
When: 07 Aug 14 10:34
vegasdreams, be careful you don't trade based on your skybet bets though, they have a habit of cancelling bets if they were 'put up in error'

don't leave yourself massive red cause of it, is what I mean
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 07 Aug 14 10:57
Just these for now.....will get others in running.

Rickie Fowler
Phil Mickelson
Matt Kuchar
Tiger Woods
Jordan Spieth    
Graeme McDowell
Martin Kaymer
Lee Westwood    
Brandt Snedeker
Nick Watney
By:
the muppet moans
When: 07 Aug 14 11:34
Piercy out to 680 - probably the "wrongest" price I have seen on here for a few years
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 11:35
cheers forest will do - cant be wrong tho as there shorter prices than the W/O RORY markets and main being, the 4 named arn't in the betting!
i just think it's bookies trying to outdo each-other, but in my opinion they've gone a little too much with this one, just wish i'd seen it earlier, dont think i'd have had a bet anywhere else tbh, cue someonne coming on here to explain why it's actually a sh!t bet, really can't see how tho.
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 11:40
@ muppet moans - why we liking peircy? it is u who does the write ups for the majors aint it? where is it man? pull yer finger out!!! LaughLaugh
By:
frames
When: 07 Aug 14 11:47
It was put on here days ago.You must have been busy changing position again.
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 11:49
LaughSad ty i think Happy
By:
Mike-lfc
When: 07 Aug 14 11:51
Lay of Mcilroy makes sense. Very very very very unlikely he wins 3 tournaments in a row.
By:
the muppet moans
When: 07 Aug 14 12:08
Just for you Vegas

When researching for this years US PGA Championship it becomes fairly obvious that of the last 15 winners 13 of them had already won that season - the two exceptions were oddly Micheel and Dufner who both won @ Oak Hill. For some reason Americans have a better record in this Major than the others - possibly down to the heat and humidity in August in the states where it is staged and don't be put off by backing outsiders - they have a good record. Lastly seven of the last ten winners had posted at least a top six finish in the Major before. I have come up with five golfers who fulfill at least some of these criteria.
My first selection was Jonas Blixt mainly due to his big price especially when you consider his recent form in Majors. He was a pretty consistent golfer over the last few years winning in both 2012 and 2013 and finishing 4th in this last year. 2014 has not been a great year for the Swede but he did pop up from nowhere on his Masters debut to finish 2nd @ Augusta. At 250/1 he has to be worth a small risk 0.2 ew - now available with 6 places on offer.
Hideki Matsuyama heads to Valhalla with that all important win earlier in the season and it could well be a good omen for him that it came on another Jack Nicklaus course @ Muirfield Village which some people think is a good fit for Valhalla. That win came after a consistent run of form on his return from injury and added to five wins the youngster had already achieved in Japan in his short career. In just 24 starts in the US he can also boast a 3rd a 4th and a 10th in the US Open last year and was an ever improving 12th last week @ Firestone. He is a huge talent and worthy of a decent bet 0.4 ew 66/1 6 places
Scott Stallings' performances on the golf course bear a remarkable similarity to Forrest Gumps' box of chocolates - you never know what you are going to get! However he has that all important win this season - coming in a top class event @ Torrey Pines. He also seems to have a penchant for Jack Nicklaus courses having won @ Annandale, finished 4th @ Muirfield and he should have won when we were on him in the Humana. Being from Tennessee he will be well used to the heat and humidity and if we can catch him on a going week he is a ridiculously big price 0.1 ew 400/1 6 places.
Talking of local players then we simply have to have Kentuckian JB Holmes in our line-up. He returned to form this year after taking time off for brain and elbow surgery and a broken ankle! He won @ Quail Hollow this year after a consistent run of form and that event is often taken by Major performers. He would clearly love to delight the home fans who probably still feel their other home grown player Kenny Perry should have won here back in 2000. Perry was a stalwart in the US Ryder Cup team that easily beat Europe here at Valhalla in 2008 and his efforts were actually surpassed by a young Holmes who was a Captains pick that year. He has been well tipped up because of his local connections which comes as no great surprise 0.25 ew 110/1 6 places.
My big outsider will come as a surprise to most but there is method in my madness so bear with me! Scott Piercy doesn't have a win under his belt this year but then again he did miss a big chunk having gone through elbow surgery - he does however fit the criteria of a top finish in the event before having been 5th @ Oak Hill last season. What first caught my attention was his his from at this time of year - his two Web.com wins came on the 10th and 28th of August and his two PGA wins on the 29th July and 7th August. Whilst looking for similar courses to Valhalla - namely tree lined parkland with elevation changes I identified Hamilton where Piercy won the Canadian Open and you could almost say that the Nicklaus designed Montreux course fits the bill as well - the scene of his other win. He played a couple of Web.com events as allowed on his return from surgery and his only start on the PGA tour was in Canada where he finished 25th. There was however plenty of encouragement in that as his second round 65 was the 3rd lowest of the day and the closing 66 was joint 8th lowest, he also finished 6th in scrambling and 5th for putts per round. Given that he has finished 5th and 6th after the opening rounds in the last two PGA Championships I have backed him in the first round leader market - 0.1 ew 200/1 and outright 0.4 ew 300/1 6 places.
There were numerous other players that nearly made the final list and I have had savers on Reed 100, Cabrera 150 and Ogilvy 250 all on Betfair.
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 12:08
nice write up muppet, peircy eh, may well have a dabble,like the time of year bit, a thing i check quite  early when looking at someone.
also had missed (how i dont know) the fact holmes is a local!! another factor i class quite highly, i think frames is right, i may have been below par dealing with the 687 players i've backed then layed back, then backed again! i do need to find some control lol.
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 12:09
lol - timing on that!! ty mate :)
By:
guru1
When: 07 Aug 14 12:09
Hi seems really funny to be using BF again kinda got fed up when it became a bingo site so just dipping my toe into the sharkpool again. My own thoughts for this week are anything can happen so on side I have Mcdowell,Delaet,Bjorn,Matsuyama,stallings,Henley and some Tiger never thought i'd see the day tiger would trade @ 40+ on BF any way nice to be back :)
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 12:15
hmmm have had a dabble at peircy on here due to the inflated price but just looking at holmes 100 on here or 55/1 W/O big 4 opinions which is the best bet?
By:
Total Bosman
When: 07 Aug 14 12:19
Been looking a lot at Total Driving stat this week.  Much been made of length off the tee, especially as conditions look likely to be damp.  But in wet conditions you don't want to be hitting out of the rough so I've been looking for a compromise of the two.  Obviously Rory stands out the way he's been driving, but always on the lookout for a juicy outsider so....

Backed Chappell (11th TD) heavily early in the week around the 600 mark and resisting temptation to trade now he's shortened to a more realistic price, and was somewhat excited when Stefani (1st TD) got added, especially at 1000.  Sitting on both for 6-figure wins, so here's hoping.

Good luck to everyone this week.
By:
guru1
When: 07 Aug 14 12:20
Why not do both Vegas JB loves this course will def be in amongst them is my tuppence worth
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 12:25
an extra bet guru, well why not, i have been playing this one a little tight! Shocked

gl bosman - it's nice to have one or two winning that life altering obscene amount :)
By:
incaseof
When: 07 Aug 14 12:26
Backed to many at +500ish a week it feels like its all about the top 5 in market, well well gl guys and hopefully a bunched up leaderboard on sunday!
By:
sickoflayinwinners
When: 07 Aug 14 12:28
heres my  small bets(total £100) for what its worth, casey@280ish, illonen @800,  na@330, snedeker110, streelman 780, kj choi 570.only added sneds today as hes  gone beyond what I thought he should be, na was a totally ludicrous price as I think casey(deffo finding bits of old form) was.in truth  nearly all of the front end of market players are I form but all trading so much shorter tha ever before so ive avoided em.heres hoping  rory doesn't shoot 66 or better to spoil the fun.
By:
sickoflayinwinners
When: 07 Aug 14 12:29
added Harman @600, I know hes a shoprt hitter and probably at a big disadvantage but at those prices  you don't get everything!!!!!!
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 12:34
can't wait for saturday try-out my new irons! not for greeds sake but got 2 sets as i'm sorting a mate, i'd actually tried and picked out mine - the yonex ezone sd - the other set is the wilson staff DI11s , i'm pretty sure i'm gunna keep the yonex but looking forward to trying both.
anyone used or got an opinion on these two?
By:
Back High Lay Low
When: 07 Aug 14 12:38
Hunter Mahan (PGA)
Colt Knost (Web.com)
By:
sheppy123
When: 07 Aug 14 12:43
I'm going to risk sounding like a complete idiot now but have they started???

There's no activity on Shot Tracker yet???
By:
ifeellikemoney
When: 07 Aug 14 12:43
I play with the yonex ezone irons. One of the best set of irons I've had. Long and forgiving. Got to love Japanese technology .
By:
Geesyerdosh
When: 07 Aug 14 12:43
Well after spending the last 3 days trading what seems like nearly every player bar the below 100s and the 1000 shots, some good some bad, I ended up with a team of about 30. Seemed too much so decided to keep the ones I liked the best and take a profit. One of the other's will probably win now but what can you do.

Bubba +3350
Reed +3000
Horschel +3510
Senden +6910
Hoffman +6299
Chappell +6210
Martin +5900
Palmer +7699
Steele +6979
Piercy +21497

Field +500


gl everyone
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 07 Aug 14 12:44
added....Miguel Angel Jimenez
By:
therhino
When: 07 Aug 14 12:46
excellent work geesyerdosh
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 12:47
yeah appealed massively to me because they are insanely light! from the little go i had, i'm looking at 20 yards further! was the main reasoning, sick to death of seeing mates use 7 iron and i'm stood with the 5!! all because of my little girlie slow swing speed.
By:
Forest000
When: 07 Aug 14 13:16
ive had a tiny bet on piercy due to the above excellent post
By:
pokeron
When: 07 Aug 14 14:20
show us this swing vegas!
By:
sheppy123
When: 07 Aug 14 14:46
If you'd had told me years ago that I was gonna spend all day watching bars on the screen (Shot Tracker) I would've said "Don't be fooking daft!!!"

LaughLaughLaugh
By:
Forest000
When: 07 Aug 14 14:55
anyone got link to the best leaderboard to use?   the pga one keeps opening up stats on the #1 player and its fooking annoying
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 15:46
other thread above has links mate
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