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PGA Championship early thoughts

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By:
Super Hans
When: 06 Aug 14 19:09
I assume it's £1 per point?

That's some outlay VegasGrin
By:
vegasdreams
When: 06 Aug 14 19:25
LOL - 5s/100 - 5s/5o - 10s/25 - 20s/10 = outlay £650 - i thought quite reasonable  Grin
By:
vegasdreams
When: 06 Aug 14 19:29
There has deffo been a big hitter on in the last few hours - swallowed up a whole lot of good prices - if yer a backer of big ones and wanting to trade have a look now, u maybe suprised at the price of your runner!!!
By:
vegasdreams
When: 06 Aug 14 19:38
coetzee -600 into 510
gallacher -400 - 270
jaidee - 440 - 370
pablo 1000 - 620

and theres more like that!!
By:
frames
When: 06 Aug 14 19:41
Noticed Gallagher ,was around 540 this morning.
By:
vegasdreams
When: 06 Aug 14 19:50
frames yeah - i actually aired on the side of caution on them, as my memories going but knew they were big moves
By:
Total Bosman
When: 06 Aug 14 20:13
Damn, missed a trick with Tiger.  75-80s earlier was a free bet as there was no way he'd stay that high if playing even if he was taken to the first tee in a wheelchair.  For some reason failed to execute, schoolboy error.
By:
vegasdreams
When: 06 Aug 14 20:26
had a few printouts so had a look - forgetting the 1000/1 shots right at the bottom

so from larrazabel up over out of the next 100 runners 33 have shortened 40 points or more 10+ over a 100 points!!

sometimes wish i was a trader and good at it lol
By:
vegasdreams
When: 06 Aug 14 20:45
Bosman - had a bit of him, sadly started backing at 55 but was always feeling possitive

sad fact is most of those who have brought his price back problbly dont know he's injured!! they only come out at the majors,i still think if he declares himself to play he will start around 40 maybe touch less.
By:
brucewayne
When: 06 Aug 14 21:37
Stenson seems to be attracting some money. The man is far too good a player to not eventually get back playing like he was towards the end of last year. He's up there with the best in terms of driving accuracy and greens in regulation, if the short stick gets hot he could do some serious damage.Excited
By:
vegasdreams
When: 06 Aug 14 21:43
fek me surprised the fact that tiger turned up at Valhalla 4 hours ago, been on the range and having a round with stricker has not been mentioned on here!!!!

useless u are!!
By:
vegasdreams
When: 06 Aug 14 21:46
tut obviously explains the drop from 75 back to 50!!

a very sad note to self - "check in with twitter more often" Cry
By:
therhino
When: 06 Aug 14 22:02

Aug 6, 2014 -- 3:11PM, vegasdreams wrote:


rhino -what sorta stakes do u play to work that sort of book? i'm struggling to wrap my head around how that is even possible!!! ( i am in no way questioning your integrity mate, u been doing this long b4 i turned up) assume your a backer first? how the fook have u predicted players to shorten? nion the fields drifted in the last fortnight!!seriously, some pointers would be massive, i'm with sheppy, everything i touch drifts like a barge!!


yeah backer first 99% of the time. About 2.8K worth this week and all taken out. There were others backed which took a profit on to neutralise the book instead of just stakes back for free greens and a couple were negative but only small. The only lay first was Fowler but it didn't move, and he was one of the negatives, laid 27, backed 26. As for knowing what will shorten and what will drift, is not in my interests to share.

By:
brucewayne
When: 06 Aug 14 22:06
Rhino - thoughts on Leishman? Noticed he's out to 65 on here. I may well have to add himWhoops
By:
therhino
When: 06 Aug 14 22:11
Nice to see you again Batman. Welcome back. Yeah he was one I took profit on. Will start with a small field red on the field to add him again now. Playing some great stuff and fits what I think is the winners profile - length, high ball flight, strong Bridgestone showing, only thing missing is Muirfield Village form. Don't think he will win, but as a back to lay would not put anyone off him.
By:
vegasdreams
When: 06 Aug 14 22:13
what do u mean are we not all friends?? Devil

cheers, very nice if u have the knowledge and knowhow, wd and gl with your next plays.
By:
stonecold-
When: 06 Aug 14 22:18
gone for  the folowing
patrick reed 90/1
ryan palmer 200/1 ew
cabrera 100/1 ew
billy horshel 150/1ew
graham de laet 125/ ew

couple smaller bets bigger prices

scott stalling 400/;1 ew
russel henley 300/1 ew

gl all
By:
brucewayne
When: 06 Aug 14 22:19
It's been a while I must admit, and it's good to be back on the scene. Yeah I completely agree, I thought that at 50's he had settled around about where he should but 65's is just too big a price considering recent form. Always have a soft spot for Scott but he's just too short.
By:
therhino
When: 06 Aug 14 22:20
Laugh Sorry Vegas mate. I have a thing with numbers, mates call me Rain Man, and I can do the voice pretty good to match Grin Also spend too much time perusing markets so have kind of figured out how it all flows, no formula to it. I need this edge because in play I tend to stuff it up.
By:
vegasdreams
When: 06 Aug 14 22:23
Rain man, been a long time since I saw that but I think off the top of my head would be in my all time top 5!!
By:
therhino
When: 06 Aug 14 22:24
K Mart Oak Street Love
By:
vegasdreams
When: 06 Aug 14 22:28
as I say long time, matchsticks??
By:
therhino
When: 06 Aug 14 22:30
I feel like watching wheel of fortune for some reason
By:
vegasdreams
When: 06 Aug 14 22:33
bleedin knew there was a bit of method acting last week, I got well and truly shot down on here when mentioned!!


Tiger “I’m going to try to go out there & win this

I am completely pain free!!!
By:
vegasdreams
When: 06 Aug 14 22:45
Tiger sounded upbeat after playing 9 holes...said back issue at Firestone was unrelated to surgery...."I'm pain free...I feel good"

If Tiger is worried about taking it easy... doesn't appear to be the case so far. This warm-up session is like full-out practice.

certainly sounds like he's ready, don't think he will win anyway, but think the 44 will be gone 36 would be my guess.
By:
Forest000
When: 06 Aug 14 23:06
I got on tiger at 75's, so really hope he plays
By:
vegasdreams
When: 06 Aug 14 23:57
deffo declared he's playing now , its on the official sites.

I'm now actually thinking of waiting a little longer b4 bailing out, he tee's off early, if he manages a birdie or two he will half again, only for a few holes so unless he really screws it bogey's and the like, a few pars wont affect getting out.
defiantly have to get out of it tho, with all the stuff going on it would be silly to risk it too long.
I kinda have 71 runners till I get some greens, and the only reason he's there is to trade was never a bet, fook who am I trying to convince, gone to 48 so putting it in now at 44!!!
By:
pokeron
When: 07 Aug 14 01:58
i've gone full ret@rd on mr ogilvy (you want a high ball flight?) at current prices.

only backed three players. abstinence of steel!

phil, blubba and mr ogilvy.
By:
Colldogg
When: 07 Aug 14 02:43
Ok then, done my picks, 9 in total. Can't say I'm expecting a great deal back but hope I get a run for  my money off them all. They are all E/W top 6 apart from Bradley.

Keegan Bradley 3 points outright @ 42
Harris English 1.5 points ew at 125/1
Victor Dubuisson 1.5 points ew at 90/1
Scott Stallings 0.5 point ew at 300/1
Russell Henley 0.75 points ew at 250/1
Seung Yul Noh 0.5 points ew at 200/1
Brooks Koepka 0.75 ew at 150/1
Branden Grace 0.5 points ew at 300/1
Thorbjorn Oleson 0.5 points ew at 300/1
By:
Colldogg
When: 07 Aug 14 02:45
Also got a mythical 2 ball acca on day 1 of

Woodland over Simpson
English over Walker
Matsuyama over Cabrera
Dubuisson over Reed
By:
Canaletto .
When: 07 Aug 14 06:56
My team is set. Equal stakes on the following.

Bubba

Kucher

Oosthuisen

Westwood

Reed

Bradley

Not each way. To win on the nose.
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 07:20
A couple of books doing W/O RORY - these seem remarkably good odds even match the win bok on a few!!!

Adam Scott 9/1..............11/1
Justin Rose 12/1 ...........15/1
Sergio Garcia 14/1..........17/1
Rickie Fowler 16............19/1
Phil Mickelson 25       28
Henrik Stenson 22       28
Matt Kuchar 30          33
Keegan Bradley 33       33
Bubba Watson 33         33
Charl Schwartzel 33     33
  Jim Furyk 33          35
Jordan Spieth 33        45
Martin Kaymer 33        50
Tiger Woods 33         45
Graeme McDowell 33      40
Marc Leishman 40        50
Brandt Snedeker 40      40
Hideki Matsuyama 40     50
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 07:39
in the form Rory is at present, we all know he's a more than worthy favourite, is there any of them which u would go for the market with rory?? don't think there is for me.
just need betfair to put one up now and match them prices Happy
By:
Forest000
When: 07 Aug 14 07:53
I just cant back Rory at those odds.  He could easily have lost last week without a couple of lucky bounces, and his odds wouldn't be so low now
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 08:03
sh!t I need to stop looking - I believe I have found the best value bets for this years pga!!!!

sky-bet - W/O TOP 4 (rory/rose/scott/Garcia)

still offering 22/1 BUBBA - 33/1 MATSUYAMA - 18/1 PHIL - LEISHMAN 33/1!! the list goes on, dunno if I'm still tired but these look feking incredible value to me!!!
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 08:08
Holmes 55/1 Na 100/1 !!
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 08:15
will someone confirm that this offer W/O top 4 is stupidly good!! only one bookie offering it, just took a couple to win a grand, would suspect u wont get much higher but I'm in shock lol - as I say only had 2 hours kip maybe my heads not working yet Confused
By:
sheppy123
When: 07 Aug 14 08:22
I've just been on Sky and it just says 'without favourite' not W/O Top 4 like it says on oddschecker.

Maybe they've changed it??? Or I'm stupid!

Probably the latter!Laugh
By:
vegasdreams
When: 07 Aug 14 08:29
little question mark on sky tells u
By:
Forest000
When: 07 Aug 14 08:33
I cant find the market at all
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