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((((( THE OPEN Championship 2014 )))))

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Replies: 232
By:
vegasdreams
When: 14 Jul 14 17:20
why's tiger out to 25? when everyone else was out playing scotland he was plodding round hoylake planning his attack and sounds confident he's almost over the injury

25s gotta be good value - never again!!!!
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 14 Jul 14 17:49

Jul 14, 2014 -- 5:20PM, vegasdreams wrote:


why's tiger out to 25? when everyone else was out playing scotland he was plodding round hoylake planning his attack and sounds confident he's almost over the injury25s gotta be good value - never again!!!!


Ssshhhhhhh

By:
blahblahblahblahblah
When: 14 Jul 14 17:57
My Team;

Ilonen
Fowler
Haas
DJ
Sterne
Scott
Jeong
Holmes
Kuchar
Leonard
Zach J
Bradley
Baldwin
Palmer
English
Snedeker
Mahan
Woodland
Phil
Day
Gmac
Reed
Lowry
By:
verbotene liebe
When: 14 Jul 14 17:59
Done my pre - tourney 11 in the past 24 hrs, have beat the odds on some,lost out on others.
Will dive in again after the cut if none are in reasonable contention.

Jamie Donaldson 90
Joost Luiten 160
Ross Fisher  370
Fredrik Jacobson 400
Chris Kirk 400
J.B. Holmes 570
Shawn Stefani 600
Erik Compton 750
Brendan Steele 800
Ben Martin 900
Scott Stallings 900
By:
kincsem
When: 14 Jul 14 19:10
I posted this elsewhere a few minutes ago.

The Open Championship - a bit of value?
29th June: Quicken Loans National, 74, 68, 68, 70. First play-off hole he puts a ball in the water and loses to Justin Rose.
6th July: 35th in The Greenbriar Classic, 73,67,67,69, 12 shots behind the winner.
13th July: 13th in the John Deere Classic, 73,67,64,66. He started the tournament with 3,9 against par of 5,4.

Ranked number one in driving on PGA TOUR.com today. He has never played in The Open, never been to Europe (?).

Shawn Stefani, 650s on Betfair, might be a good trading opportunity.
By:
Mighty Whites 2008
When: 14 Jul 14 20:55
Ski-Wiz     14 Jul 14 13:22 
Why isn't Stricker playing?........he has qualified according the the PGA leaderboard.


Stricker is semi retired these days and obviously din't fancy all the travel involved.

Ski-Wiz     14 Jul 14 13:35 
Why isn't Seung-Yul Noh playing?........he has won a tournament this year.


He didn't qualify via the world top 50 or any of the qualifiers.

Charles Howell III withdrew for personal family reasons
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 14 Jul 14 21:04
I know Stricker semi-retired but this is the number one golf tournament. Even T. Watson made the effort.

I know Noh isn't in the top 50 or played in any qualifier....but surely anyone who won on tour this year should automatically qualify.
By:
xmoneyx
When: 14 Jul 14 21:08
didn't stricker pull out last year because it was his anniversary
By:
Handles
When: 14 Jul 14 21:10
Stricker's wedding anniversary apparently. Think i remember him missing previous open's for this reason. That's what you get for letting the Mrs set the date..
By:
Handles
When: 14 Jul 14 21:10
beat me to it money!
By:
trebor
When: 14 Jul 14 21:56
They will give many different reasons for not being able to play this week, but the main one for most is that they dislike links golf.
By:
bustino
When: 14 Jul 14 23:19
keeping it simple for starters

dustin 44s
kuchar  55s

have a nice place acc today going on to kuchar for 120 quid with three horses today pp 7 places

will add j day if he drifts a wee bit but chances r palmer will put him up and hell contract.......fancied illonen all year but never got matched so will leave now.........might have a few quid on that young dutch debutant.................

have e serious rethink friday also try and get scott onside inplay
By:
vegasdreams
When: 14 Jul 14 23:41
Just put a large bet on tiger @ 25 and scott @ 19 - I believe they will both be a couple of points shorter come Wednesday night, but will be trading out either way.
By:
vegasdreams
When: 15 Jul 14 01:45
confident mood tigers in!! couple of quotes from his round Saturday -

“This is how I used to feel,’’ he said. “I had been playing with this [back problem] for a while and I had my good weeks and bad weeks. Now, they’re all good.’’

Asked if he is limited in any way, Woods said, “I can do whatever I want. I’m at that point now.’’ Shocked

even indirectly complimenting REED ....(230) I've had a nibble Wink

“This course is giving it up,’’ Woods said. “There’s lots of roll, even though we just got rain.’’

Woods was in a relaxed mood, bantering with his caddie, Joe LaCava, with Reed and even with reporters. After Reed hit a line-drive tee shot off the 18th, Woods sarcastically cracked, “Try to hit it a little lower. That one almost went under the ground.’’

“It felt good,’’ Woods said of getting onto the course again. “I remember most of the holes, which is nice. It was a little different seeing it under these green conditions. We had summer earlier in the day and now it’s cool and rainy.

“I just wanted to get out here and get a feel for the golf course. I just kind of wanted to get out here and get my feet wet … and literally I actually did.’’
By:
ashleigh
When: 15 Jul 14 08:28
fred going e/w 8 places from 8am today to midnight wednesday max £100.
By:
vegasdreams
When: 15 Jul 14 08:39
fek me - upping my stakes today!!

my boy 8,a min ago, having his brekky, I walk past he holds up a playing card, says what is it? wiggled me fingers a little , touched me bonce and announced queen of clubs, oi oi !!! his 1st pack of cards aswell got em yesterday, never done b4!
hard to please kids like, he just immediatley put the card down said yeah, held up another as if normal, right boasted of my power, now what to bet on? :)
By:
xmoneyx
When: 15 Jul 14 10:19
easier to put what your not betting vegasWink
By:
therhino
When: 15 Jul 14 12:07
1st round leader top 5 market Shocked About time Excited

E-mailed BF and requested it a couple of weeks ago, and got told no Crazy
By:
therhino
When: 15 Jul 14 13:56
The punters are coming for Scott, rightfully so. Should be at the very least equal fave IMO.
By:
Handles
When: 15 Jul 14 14:17
Yeah Scott ticks every box, wouldn't be suprised to see him go off fave. Also, he's the headline pick for Elliot and Chapman this week. So that helps!!
By:
j murtagh
When: 15 Jul 14 15:09
Lads are 7/2 tiger to miss the cut, can be backed to make it on here at 1.4+
By:
frames
When: 15 Jul 14 15:19
McIroy drifting a fair bit.
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 15 Jul 14 15:22

Jul 15, 2014 -- 10:19AM, xmoneyx wrote:


easier to put what your not betting vegas


Just wait for Quincy.....he will have have an army of 60+ this weekWinkWink

By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 15 Jul 14 15:27

Jul 15, 2014 -- 3:19PM, frames wrote:


McIroy drifting a fair bit.


Can not understand why. It will with 95% certainty go like this.
Thursday -3 to -8....price under 10.
Friday +3 to +8.....price over 20.
Saturday/Sunday.....up to Rory Boy.

By:
the muppet moans
When: 15 Jul 14 15:32
Part 1
It's finally here - one of my favourite weeks of the year as the 143rd Open Championship comes to us from Royal Liverpool - probably better known as Hoylake. It is a little tricky for me writing a preview about my betting tips when the first bet was struck months ago so I will do a split preview - firstly looking at the bets placed so far, the reasons behind them and what price they are now. I will then look at further bets added this week once side markets etc are all formulated.
Mikko Ilonen was the first player to go in my book as long ago as late January when he got into a playoff in Qatar. He would go onto lose that but has had a great year resulting in a second win in twelve months in Ireland just a few weeks ago. He was always going to be a pick for me having won the Amateur Championship around Hoylake back in 2000. He played here back in 2006 and was in a strong position going into the weekend but faded. He is a much better player now and as a great wind player is totally suited to links golf.
Original bet 0.3 ew 150/1 - Best price now 100/1 Stan James 6 places
Patrick Reed was second man to be backed when he was winning his third event in seven months at Doral in March. He has since taken time off and become a father but the signs are there in recent weeks he could be up for another win. People will tell you that debutants don't win and he has no experience of travelling the world however one little known fact about Reed is that he won the Junior British Open at Heswall just down the road so he will have positive memories of the area
Original bet 0.3 ew 125/1 - Best price now 150/1 Boyles 6 places
Angel Cabrera has been well known as a Major specialist - indeed until just last week his only wins in the States were the US Open and US Masters but he put that behind him with a confident win in the Greenbrier Classic. Not many players win two Majors so could he add a third and indeed a different one? Well I wouldn't put it past him as his record in this event is not that bad with 4th at Carnoustie and 7th here in 2006 his best finishes
Original bet 0.2 ew 125/1 - Best price now 70/1 Bet365 7 places
Michael Hoey was added just last week when he opened up with a fine 66 around Royal Aberdeen but he then went into reverse gear. He really is a very difficult player to catch right but with five wins on tour he is well worth a saver especially on links golf which he can on a good week play really well. The only Opens he has played he missed the cut at Lytham but maybe Hoylake will bring better fortune
Original bet 0.2 ew 250/1 - Best price now 200/1 Stan James 6 places
Tommy Fleetwood is a player I backed last week as I thought he may have found some form after a spell in the doldrums - sadly it was not to be as he didn't fire in Scotland. One positive we still have going for us is that he grew up in Southport playing links courses and knows Hoylake well. If he can use that knowledge and take inspiration from playing at home then maybe this wager isn't quite dead in the water yet!
Original bet 0.25 ew 200/1 8 places - Best price now 250/1 various 6 places

Part 2
A lot of people will say that you cannot back Americans making their debuts at Open Championships as you don't know how they will take to links golf. I think maybe it is better to take the opposite view and back them because their prices are artificially high because of this fact and there are plenty of examples who have taken to it like a duck to water. We have already backed Reed but I have added two more players in the shape of Walker and Todd who could easily make a mockery of their prices. Rather than randomly back any old American I have chosen these two as I think they will take to links golf which is a good starting point!
Jimmy Walker was a journeyman pro who finally found the knack of winning and winning and winning again! His three wins in just eight events came at courses he had done well on before and the more astute will notice that the wins in Hawaii and Pebble Beach came right next to the ocean on courses he had played well before on. He also has a great record at Torrey Pines so maybe he likes the sea air. Those three wins have spurred him on to be competitive in big events and since then he has been 8th at Augusta on his Masters debut, 6th at Sawgrass and 9th in the US Open. Maybe he can go rapidly from journeyman to Major contender - he certainly now seems to have the demeanour 0.35 ew 100/1 6 places
Brendon Todd is another player who took a while to find the winning thread despite being a very bright prospect but since his win at the Byron Nelson his game has gone from strength to strength. He has followed that win with finishes of 5th, 8th, 17th, 5th and 4th - making him one of the most consistent players on the planet at present. I tipped him up for the US Open and for three rounds he played superbly - he failed notably on Saturday when paired with Kaymer in the final two ball but he seems to have bounced back from that and will have learnt a lot. To my mind his game will be well suited to Hoylake as he is a short, accurate hitter who scrambles and putts well - the attributes which got him into contention at Pinehurst which had a strange linksy feel to it. Although I got 200/1 for him for the US Open he was well backed around the 100/1 mark so I really don't understand his price this week - it can only be the American Open Championship rookie which can be keeping it high - don't be put off 0.5 ew 125/1 6 places
With Majors it is always difficult to find bets in the plethora of side markets as it is easy just to carry on backing the same players you already have so I have added just one further bet on wily old veteran Miguel Angel Jimenez in the first round leader market. He sat 2nd here back in 2006 and since then has more often than not put in a low one on Thursday in this Major with finishes of 8th, 15th. 1st, 74th, 3rd, 54th and 4th. Despite reaching fifty he is still very much a player to keep onside and 100/1 6 places seems worth a 0.2 ew bet (even 80/1 is fine)
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 15 Jul 14 15:32
Hope you're right ski. Backed him first round leader at 20's e/w
By:
xmoneyx
When: 15 Jul 14 15:39
open can be a skinner--Darren Clarke

also weather can hugely affect outcome

rory--a gale
woods--driving rain.sleet

as long as there is no run away winnerPlain
By:
bannahan
When: 15 Jul 14 15:57
I have decided to only cover longuns until Saturday night/Sunday morning this year in the hope i can get a couple in the mix at long odds and save some artillery for the later stages. Should one of the shorter priced bunch tear it up i will most likely be left behind, should there be many in the mix i will be able to pick and choose my plays pre 4th round and cross fingers. Of the longuns i have played

Hunter Mahan 142
Louis Oosthuizen 142
Jonas Blixt 182
Rafa Cabrera Bello 225
Thorbjorn Olesen 355
Branden Grace 365
Harris English 205
Harris English 205
Bernd Wiesberger 410
Brendan Steele 455
Richard Sterne 785
Russell Henley 665



Should be a cracking 4 days golf......best of luck Wink
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 15 Jul 14 16:04
Muppet.

Reed - 220
Hoey - 290
Fleetwood - 480
Walker - 120
By:
limited ability
When: 15 Jul 14 16:16
Adam SCOTT for me Excited

Also had a fiver on Brett RUMFORD @ 1000 Crazy

LA Grin
By:
limited ability
When: 15 Jul 14 16:26
Oh and a score on TIGER @ 26

Just in case Devil
By:
donny osmond
When: 15 Jul 14 16:36
snedeker, jacobson, de jonge, reed........outright
jacobson,wood,de jonge , mcilroy...........first round leader



not too many joining the knight on the no chance list

a great field !
By:
1st time poster
When: 15 Jul 14 17:25
backed him last week so muppet and ski have convinced me to add walker at 100,s ew 1st 6
By:
andjayten
When: 15 Jul 14 18:43
Stenson
Kaymar
Rose

Couldnt have Woods or Scott
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 15 Jul 14 19:04

Jul 15, 2014 -- 5:25PM, 1st time poster wrote:


backed him last week so muppet and ski have convinced me to add walker at 100,s ew 1st 6


No No NNNNNNNNNOOOOOOOOOOO.

I was merely pointing out that Betfair's prices are much higher than what Muppet quoted.

By:
1st time poster
When: 15 Jul 14 19:11
if you leave it alone must be a winner,law of sod and all that
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 15 Jul 14 19:14
That depends if i get matched at the correct price.
By:
kincsem
When: 15 Jul 14 19:39
In order of green

Shawn Stefani 629.7
Brendan Steele 761.3
Matthew Baldwin 470.4
Oliver Fisher 615
Erik Compton 702.9
Matt Jones 571.2
Charley Hoffman 510
Matt Every 447.3
Darren Clarke 430
Ben Curtis 811.6
Kevin Stadler 400.9

I'm looking to trade Happy
By:
saxon farm
When: 15 Jul 14 20:04
8/1 an albatross with s**bet is too big.

All 4 par 5's are very reachable.

Been 5 albatrosses in Open since 2000.
By:
frames
When: 15 Jul 14 20:33
Looks a decent spot that Saxon.Doubt too many of the Open venues have four par 5's.
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