Karlberg no form - > 440 for Nordea Masters.
Karlberg after a top 5 -> 40 for Lyoness in Austria
Karlberg after MC - > 1000 for US Open

Grinder, should trade lower, might not win though =)

I'm expecting a massive week from Ryan Moore. Loves the test of a classic track with accuracy right up is his street. Lead the field in driving accuracy last time out at Memorial. Also putts best on these greens. Backed him a couple of weeks back at 150s for this & again today @ 125s for top 6.

Also expecting a good week from Henryk Stenson. He's been threatening something special for a while. He's up at the top of both Driving accuracy & GIR on PGA tour this season. Throw in that he can actually leave the driver in the bag this week, which has let him down in past years at key times & focus on his 3 wood, along with the fact that he's a top putter & scrambler you can make a great case for him.

Next a hunch for F Molinari. He should take some inspiration from his brother winning US Amateur @ Merion & again his tee to green accuracy should suit.

Finally at this stage looking to top Muppet's 400s on Van Zyl I've thrown a few quid at Justin Hicks at 500s earlier in the day e/w [as it seems have a few other people as his his price has been cut a cross the board]. I'm guessing they've seen what I have, which is that he's another fairways and greens merchant who has been consistent most of this year, has found some form again over the past week, first in US Open qualifying & then at St Jude and who, if memory serves me correctly lead the US Open after a couple of rounds a few years back.

Waiting to see if a couple more I like get pushed out at all and then may well add them.

Good luck all.

Wittenburg@900/1(played ok,the masters)
Brandon grace@310(was hot last year,hope he finds it)
m laird@230(doing ok pga tour)
f molinari@120/1(I feel course will suit his style of play)

I hav a reserve bet on Sunday if these players are out of contention

the real issue is simple. tiger is going to win a major soon and 6/1 this time looks good. i want to be on when it happens.

6/1 tiger,very skinny price

better price in-play

gone for just the one.snedeker.35/1 on here not bad at all.hopefully will stay within 4 shots come sunday keep me interested.

http://www.pgatour.com/tourreport/2013/010/10/tough-rough-last-defense-for-soft-merion.html

Ernie Els agrees with Merson. Doesn't look like a traditional war of attrition, not sure what that does to peoples thoughts on the winner but definitely brings Rory into the mix. A little upset, I love the war of attrition.

Soft greens soft fairways. This helps guys who hit big. Narrow fairways and tough rough flavors accurate golfers, so what we have is just a pretty neutral set of affairs.

I think people put far too much emphasis on course types, lefties or people who can fade or draw the ball. Obviously a tight links course on a windy Scottish day is going to favour a Paul Lawrie a little more than a Casey Wittenburg, but when it comes to Bubba, Tiger, Rory or Luke, whoever brings their A game can win.

If you don't like to go for rank outsiders, then I think there is a good mix of guys between 3 & 400-1 that offer great value on such an equalising course (see below) Jerry Kelly is at over 800-1, a complete outsider I know, but played well at The Heritage, and I think he has the intelligence, demeanor and experience to handle a US Open on a compact course.

I am also backing some early tee time players and late tee time players, a couple at each end, as in very changeable conditions a big advantage may just swing one way or the other.

Mid range guys....
George Coetzee
D.A. Points
Scott Piercy
Nicolas Colsaerts
Robert Karlsson
Branden Grace
Lucas Glover
Jordan Spieth
David Toms
Sang-Moon Bae
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano
John Huh
Carl Pettersson
Robert Garrigus
John Senden
Charley Hoffman

Just hope the weather doesn't bring half the field out of contention like it did a few years ago in Bethpage

Just a question............why are the back 9 groups starting on the 11th tee and not the 10th tee?

I read somewhere Ski it s because the 10th tee is too far from the clubhouse

I remember they had prince Andrew at the open one year,he said everyone should just try playing 13 holes

Ski-wiz, I think they might be using holes from the neighboring course, they are certainly using that for the practice range.

On such a small (comparatively) course, they are making loads of wacky choices on where things are.  Someone called it a 'boutique' open, I kinda like that.

a pick &mix open

This is what i have matched so far:
Douglas LaBelle    1000
Bio Kim    1000
Jose Maria Olazabal    1000
D.A. Points    280
Yoshinobu Tsukada    1000
   
Robert Garrigus    500
Morten Orum Madsen    1000
Brian Stuard    1000
Jerry Kelly    810
Russell Knox    1000
Yui Ueda    1000
Darren Clarke    1000
Hiroyuki Fujita    1000
Paul Lawrie    500
Sang-Moon Bae    292.5
Kyle Stanley    269.9
Matt Bettencourt    1000
Peter Hanson    200
Rikard Karlberg    1000
Edward Loar    1000
Casey Wittenberg    1000
Phil Mickelson    29.54
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano    388.3
Billy Horschel    120
Scott Langley    1000
Jung-Gon Hwang    1000
Hideki Matsuyama    630

Can't believe nobody had mentioned early won the u.s open before . 9th last year won the open and 13th at the masters. Won both the memorial and Buick classic as did david graham both of them north east America as is this us open he won his 1st us open in Pennsylvania and was 6th at the bmw pga 130s is a steal

I think his odds are longer because he has been trying to get away from his belly putter.

Backing bad putters may sound stupid, but I have noticed that it can be an excellent way of making money

My forward divisions look something like this:

Mr Tiger £100 @ 6/1.
Wee Rory £100 @ 26.
L.Donald £36 @ 37.8
Steve Stricker £40 @ 75.
H.Mahan £26 @ 85.
Z.Johnson £37 @ 105.
S.Stallings £10 @ 120.
I.Poulter £10 @ 110.
R. Moore £12 @ 175.
K.Stanley £5 @ 150.
K.Streelman £20 @ 200.
S.Piercy £6 @ 300.
C.Hoffman £5 @ 300.
J.Spieth £6 @ 300.
John Huh £7 @ 290.
L.Glover £4 @ 330.
Gonzo £15 @ 350.
S.M.Bae £2 @ 410.
John Senden £11 @ 400.
Jaco Van Zyl £2 @ 830. (not that left field).
L.Guthrie £2 @ 520.
T.Jaidee £2 @ 530.
M.Hoffman £13 @ 600.
S.Stefani £11 @ 680.
D.Howell £7 @ 900.
J.M.Olazabal £2 @ 1000.
Doug LaBelle £6 @ 1000.
M.Wiebring £2 @ 1000, and
D.Clarke £2 @ 1000.

Liability -£611.05.

I am looking forward to it immensely.

Actually no need to reply, I just looked  it up, it is much better value doing it the way you are.  Nice work.