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Calling The Swinging Magpie

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By:
Fastbearform
When: 12 Mar 12 21:21
Good afternoon.

Have been really rough for 11 days now, but feel 'slightly' improved today, having crawled out of bed after 16 hours in it since last night, so yes, I got up at about 2.00 this afternoon!

On a personal level, it seems I'm having nothing but bad luck and bad news at the moment, so hopefully, Cheltenham can be a welcome distraction from all the sh*t that is going on.

I've already made most of my decisions about what I would like to back and don't anticipate any major changes as long as the ones I've pencilled in do run on the day in the correct races. As for Tuesday, a great opening day, and I am 'hopeful' that we will get good runs from my list.  I see no reason not to stick with Cinders in the opener, although I also expect big runs from Trifolium, Steps To Freedom and Tetlami. I've always been on the side of Al Ferof for the Arkle and still feel confident about that one. The Champion Hurdle is tricky, and Hurricane Fly is a very good horse. I've always thought that Rock On Ruby will be suited by this race and I think he can go close. At a big price, I also feel that Brampour can be fighting out the finish and the prices on offer for that, do seem a tad high.

1.30  Cinders And Ashes  9/1    (nb)
2.05  Al Ferof           3/1    (Nap)
2.40  Hold On Julio      13/2
3.20  Rock On Ruby       10/1     

Maybe for later if not demoralised after the first four!             

4.00  Sizing Australia    5/1
4.40  Swincombe Flame     14/1

Happy
By:
jonny40
When: 12 Mar 12 21:37
Good luck guys.

Couple of good e/w bets tomorrow.

Cheltenham

2.40 Zarrafakt

4.00 Garde Champetre


Jon
By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 12 Mar 12 22:25
these are the Cheltenham max 13 pt rated horses for Day 1

1.30 Steps To Freedom & Tetlami
2.05 NQ
2.40 NQ
3.20 Binocular,Hurricane Fly & Zarkandar
4.00 NQ
4.40 Quevega
5.15 NQ
By:
top2rated
When: 13 Mar 12 05:52
    1.30        Steps To Freedom (IRE)         Cinders And Ashes         Trifolium (FR)    
    2.05        Al Ferof (FR)         Sprinter Sacre (FR)         Cue Card    
    2.40        Quantitativeeasing (IRE)         Our Mick         Hold On Julio (IRE)    
    3.20        Hurricane Fly (IRE)         Zarkandar (IRE)         Binocular (FR)    
    4.00        Scotsirish (IRE)         Dancing Tornado (IRE)         Garde Champetre (FR)    
    4.40        Quevega (FR)         Violin Davis (FR)         Alasi    
    5.15        Triolo Dalene (FR)         Hunt Ball (IRE)         Bless The Wings (IRE)    
By:
Fastbearform
When: 13 Mar 12 14:40
Grin
By:
Fastbearform
When: 13 Mar 12 16:01
I think Brampour could be worth an ew and a B to L, way too big a price.
By:
Fastbearform
When: 13 Mar 12 21:12
Good evening.

A nice start to the festival with a couple of nice winners.

Tomorrow maybe a bit more tricky, but hopefully we'll have a bit of luck again.

2.05  Batonnier 9/1
2.40  Bobs Worth  4/1
4.00  Featherbed Lane  16/1

Am not too excited about anything else, so that will do for me.Happy
By:
Fastbearform
When: 14 Mar 12 22:42
Good evening.

A big disappointment today with Batonnier a nonner, but what can you do?

At least a small return from Bobs Worth.

1.30  Champion Court  8/1

2.40  Albertas Run  10/1

3.20  Oscar Whisky  9/2

Happy
By:
Fastbearform
When: 14 Mar 12 22:46
Also think Midnight Chase is well worth a bet in the Gold Cup again, I can see a much bigger run from that one this year.Happy
By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 15 Mar 12 09:47
only the one for me today 1.30 Sir Des Champs 4/1 good luck all
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 15 Mar 12 12:09
Top napping at Cheltenham FBFCool
By:
Fastbearform
When: 15 Mar 12 18:37
Good evening.

Well done BB and thanks DF.

Very unlucky today with two 2nds, but good to be in with a shout with both for most of the way. SDC does look to be very good, and Riverside Theatre, the best two and half miler about (that can't run well at Cheltenham) did!
Oscar Whisky ran a good race but didn't stay the 3 miles, and this one is the best two and half mile hurdler in training. Great to see Big Bucks make it 4/4 though. What a horse!

Tomorrow, things have fallen into place for me with my picks and I just hope I'm not too wide of the mark, with some good prices available.

1.30  Hollow Tree  18/1 ew

2.40  Grand Vision  33/1  ew

3.20  Midnight Chase  12/1  ew

Another good day in prospect for tomorrow, fingers crossed.  Happy
By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 15 Mar 12 23:54
an EW double for me tomorrow, Grumeti in 1.30 @ 7/1 and Kauto in 3.20 @ 7/2.
goodluck with those FB
By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 16 Mar 12 17:23
not a great profit this year FB, hope you did better
By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 16 Mar 12 23:56
a nice ew patent for tomorrow, all max 13 rated.

3.00 Ffos Las At Fishers Cross @ 1.98
3.25 Kemp     Oscar Prairie @ 8.8
2.45 Uttox    Native Gallery @ 6.4

good luck FB
By:
Fastbearform
When: 17 Mar 12 13:10
Good morning.

Utt  2.10 Boston Blue  8/1

Utt  2.45  Native Gallery  6/1

I've come out of the festival ok again this year and will write a bit more about that later, mainly concerning making thbe wrong decisions once or twice.
By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 17 Mar 12 17:40
no winner but all 3 placed so more than doubled my money, disappointed with Oscar Prairie's 3rd
By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 17 Mar 12 17:43
you watch Pensnett Bay win the 17.00 at Uttox. This is a max 13 rated but didn't make my final 3.
By:
Fastbearform
When: 23 Mar 12 20:12
Good evening.

It's that time of year again where the racing is a bit 'iffy' to say the least. However, I still think I've managed to find a couple of interest.
No long write-ups though, I've done the work, I've had a long day and I'm worn out. Need to chill and unwind a bit.

Lingfield 2.25  Pale Orchid  generally 8, 9, and 10/1

Newb  2.40  Josh's Dreamway  generally 12 and 14/1  Happy
By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 24 Mar 12 00:36
I like Pale Orchid FB but I am going to have a daft ew bet on Kickingthelilly in the same race @ 33/1. Jockey and trainer a touch out of sorts but it is a max rated so I cannot resist those odds. Good luck with yours.
By:
Fastbearform
When: 30 Mar 12 17:33
Good evening.

Once again, no long write-ups. Have done the work, and you'll be pleased to know, it's the two hardest races of the day.


Donc  2.05   Kiwi Bay at least 22/1 available.

Donc  3.15   Start Right  generally 12/1.

Other short listed horses for this, Don't Call Me, Stevie Thunder and Shavansky.


Will be keeping stakes sensible being the start of the season. Laugh
By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 30 Mar 12 20:57
nothing for me tomorrow FB, be lucky
By:
Fastbearform
When: 31 Mar 12 14:34
Afters.

Stevie Thunder added on the far side.
By:
Fastbearform
When: 06 Apr 12 19:14
Good evening

Just the two for me tomorrow at Kempton and I think they are both interesting at reasonable prices.

In the 2.05, Maverik returns to Kempton and runs off bottom weight. The second and third from that last race here have both come out and won since and the form seems to be ok. I think the 7/1 on offer seems to be fair and I would be surprised if this one isn't thereabouts towards the finish.

In the 3.15, the Gosden horses will have plenty of supporters and are favs for this at the mo. However, I think the Gary Moore horse, Right Stuff is the one to be on and this one is currently available at 8/1. Again, a big run expected. Happy
By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 06 Apr 12 20:39
Maverik Kempton 2.05 @ 9/1

good luck FB
By:
top2rated
When: 09 Apr 12 10:19
I can only hope and pray that you two have more success with your bets that are not posted here.

Just kidding. Grin

Not wanting to feel left out here's a few for today - 1pt win on each @ BSP.

    Missing Agent         2.10 Warwick    
    Shop Til You Drop         2.10 Warwick    

|\        ||        ||
    Nubar Boy         2.45 Warwick    
    True Blue (IRE)         3.15 Fakenham    
    Joe Le Taxi (IRE)         3.35 Yarmouth    
    Novikov         4.00 Chepstow    
    Ghost Train (IRE)         4.10 Yarmouth    
    Shoegazer (IRE)         4.35 Chepstow    
    Landaman (IRE)         5.05 Warwick    
    Got The Urge (IRE)         5.10 Chepstow    
    Mrs Peacock (IRE)         6.00 Plumpton    
By:
top2rated
When: 09 Apr 12 10:24
Not sure where the \ came from but this table should look tidier.  Serves me right for taking the mickey albeit lightheartedly. Laugh

    Missing Agent         2.10 Warwick    
    Shop Til You Drop         2.10 Warwick    
    Nubar Boy         2.45 Warwick    
    True Blue (IRE)         3.15 Fakenham    
    Joe Le Taxi (IRE)         3.35 Yarmouth    
    Novikov         4.00 Chepstow    
    Ghost Train (IRE)         4.10 Yarmouth    
    Shoegazer (IRE)         4.35 Chepstow    
    Landaman (IRE)         5.05 Warwick    
    Got The Urge (IRE)         5.10 Chepstow    
    Mrs Peacock (IRE)         6.00 Plumpton    
By:
Fastbearform
When: 10 Apr 12 14:31
Hello again.

Grand National.

You may remember sometime ago about me banging on about Planet Of Sound for the Hennessy and how I was confident he should run a big race in that. Well, he didn't win, but, he did run well as expected in second for a nice ew return. The reason for my confidence was his record at tracks like Newbury. His record there or at similar now reads 122111112.

Once again on Saturday, he is set to run in the biggest chase of his life at the biggest galloping track he will ever run at and providing he puts in a clear round, I am very hopeful he will at the very least run into a place. At current odds of 40/1, I think it is well worth the risk and a big run is once again expected based on previous exploits. Obviously, on trends and other criteria, there are several others I could mention as well, suffice it to say, my pick is one of the few class acts in the race, and as over recent years the winning weight appears to be creeping up, I don't think 11st 5lbs is a major problem. 40/1 is simply to big to ignore and he is certainly good enough to win this.

Bet: Planet Of Sound  ew @40/1 generally. Happy


t2, as for the lack of success since Cheltenham, it was to be expected!Laugh

I expect things to settle down shortly and have been betting to low stakes since then. Most of my time is spent laying and trading anyway nowadays.

Am happy enough at the mo, anyway. Happy
By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 10 Apr 12 17:56
I backed Cappa Bleu back in Feb @ 25's, I think it is about 18's at the moment
By:
Fastbearform
When: 11 Apr 12 18:11
Good luck with that BB.

As for tomorrow, I couldn't resist a nibble on What A Friend in the Bowl at 3.05. 9 or 10/1 is way too big a price and he should go well. Too many question marks over many of the others. Happy
By:
Fastbearform
When: 13 Apr 12 19:02
Good evening.

Grand National 4.15: Planet Of Sound. Still a bit of 40/1 floating around. Feeling quite good now with the Hobbs horses running well.

In the 3.25. Found what I think is a good bet, but have missed the best prices earlier. Someone else obviously likes this.

A small pattern maybe developing on sharp tracks for this one and is worth chancing at 12/1. The horse is Saint Are and I think a good run could come from this one in what is quite an awful race. We shall see.Happy
By:
Fastbearform
When: 20 Apr 12 18:29
Good evening,

In the main, a pretty good day last Saturday, with Saint Are running a great race and winning at a good price. That of course, set things up nicely for a potential big priced double in the big race, but alas, it was not to be, although I thought Planet Of Sound ran a cracking race as expected, only to run out of petrol close to home. I'm sure that one could well have another decent win in him under the right circumstances.

As for tomorrow in the Scottish National at 3.25, I've looked long and hard at this, and of course there are several that have great claims including Merigo who is sure to go well at Ayr yet again. However, I keep coming back to Portrait King which seems to be a different horse since stepping up in trip to these sort of distances and hopefully will run another big race. 8 and 9/1 is currently available for this one.

Down at Newbury in the Spring Cup at 3.45, I am sure the rain softened ground will only aid the claims of Fury who I am sure is due to run a big race with conditions greatly in his favour. His third last time out was a good run and I'm sure that race will have put him spot on for this. Over recent years the race seems to have started to favour better quality horses, and to be honest, this race isn't exactly overflowing with decent horses, so if Fury can't win this, then I really don't know what he's likely to win this year apart from some weak conditions race maybe. 6/1  at the mo having missed the 7's earlier which didn't last long.

3.25  Portrait King 9/1
3.45  Fury  6/1

Happy
By:
Fastbearform
When: 27 Apr 12 18:39
Good evening.

Just the two for tomorrow, up at Ripon in the 2.20, The Osteopath still has conditions to suit, and although starting to get on in years, can run another big race off a winning mark. 9/1 still available and I am sure this one will go well again.

In the Whitbread at Sandown, due off at 3.10, one leapt off the page at me earlier in the week and I'm not changing my mind. Philip Hobbs knows what it takes to win this and he can take  this race again with the lightly raced Roalco De Farges off a decent weight and is available at 10/1. Happy
By:
Fastbearform
When: 04 May 12 19:04
Good evening.

The flat racing really takes off this weekend at Newmarket with some top quality races due to take place with of course, the 2000 Guineas tomorrow and the 1000 Guineas on Sunday.

There are quite a few I like the look of for tomorrow including Meandre (Newm), Vita Nova (Goodw), The Osteopath (Thirsk) and Margot Did (Newm).

However, I only want to back a couple tomorrow, and I've decided to go with Fury again in the 2.00 at Newmarket to start with. I am confident this one is a winner waiting to happen now and I think if ridden a bit closer this time, the extra furlong and the still favourable ground will see this one run well again tomorrow. 5/1 is a fair price.

In the 2000 Guineas at 3.10, I have long been a fan of Power, and on my figures anyway, I think this is the one they all have to beat. Still available in double figures and I will be surprised if he's not in the frame.

I'll finalise my selections for Sunday, tomorrow evening. Happy
By:
Fastbearform
When: 12 May 12 11:03
Good morning.

Decided to go for the hardest races of the day, which I found easy to sort out?!

In the Victoria Cup at Ascot 3.25, Bonnie Brae has a good draw, likes the ground, with best speed figures on the current going, has a good jockey and assuming the horse is fit enough, being fto, should go close in this I think. 12/1

At Haydock in the 3.40 Ubi Ace should have his ground again on a track that should suit. I think his last 2 runs can be safely ignored and if back to his best, should go very close today. 14/1
By:
edbetpost
When: 12 May 12 13:04
Follow Ed Telfer @ edbetpost on twitter for winners...3 out of 4 bets won and 7 out 9 lays succesful...I have worked for Paul Nicholls, Henry Cecil, Richard Hannons and Milton Harris..i have ridden many good horses such as Timepiece, silverburn, twist magic and i was man behind the red rum chase winner chaninbar.. me and paco boy
By:
edbetpost
When: 12 May 12 13:04
Follow Ed Telfer @ edbetpost on twitter for winners...3 out of 4 bets won and 7 out 9 lays succesful...I have worked for Paul Nicholls, Henry Cecil, Richard Hannons and Milton Harris..i have ridden many good horses such as Timepiece, silverburn, twist magic and i was man behind the red rum chase winner chaninbar.. me and paco boy
By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 12 May 12 14:02
gl FB, I've just had Beachfire today 3.45 Ling but a bit worried about the lay off it's had
By:
top2rated
When: 13 May 12 07:36
Which one's Paco Boy?





Grin
By:
Fastbearform
When: 18 May 12 20:52
Good evening

A near miss last week, and of course, one that's been backed twice this season, Fury, goes and wins un-backed at York!

A usual, two for tomorrow, one at Newmarket and one at Newbury.

2.45  Newm  Dark Castle  16/1

3.05 Newb  Expense Claim  8/1 Happy
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