General Betting
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Start Bank is £300
Will be using the Kelly Calculator , having been influenced by Bacchanal, Lori + JPG.
Mostly on The English Premier League.
Bet 1 : £36.19 Man City v Chelsea
Price after commission is 4.515 (4.7 before) so that requires 12.06% of Bank as i make City 3.17
Will be using the Kelly Calculator , having been influenced by Bacchanal, Lori + JPG.
Mostly on The English Premier League.
Bet 1 : £36.19 Man City v Chelsea
Price after commission is 4.515 (4.7 before) so that requires 12.06% of Bank as i make City 3.17
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There will not be any trading, 'greening up' whatsoever.
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good luck tobermory - cover your balance up with some sticky tape -and do not remove for 1 month
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He needs to see "balance " to do KELLY STAKING :D
Fingers crossed T |
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cheers Brian + DFC :)
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All the very best, tobermory.
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Brave pick, well done.
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The DRAW/MC was around 11.50 ....and MC/MC 9s.........liked the bet T ..wd
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sorry but what is the kelly calc
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http://www.thestakingmachine.com/kelly.php
bit complicated, I like the 5% plan, but it pays good returns if you can pick 'em. |
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well done, you valued man city at 2/1. spot on enjoy your winnings. cant believe some people rated man citys chance of winning 1/7 shot.
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cheers MD , i use that one too
Bank: £427.21 |
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http://seriousbet.com/calculators/kelly_staking as well has a calculator GL
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actually DFC i use your one :)
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:-D
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sorry dec -dint read it fully
just wishing tobermory all the best cos in the past in consec weeks ive won say ----9%----3% 6% and then lost 5% and the chasing comes but with kelly i underst he has to see his balance . |
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Spurs look good tomorrow. :-)
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Interesting thread Tobes. Hope you do well.
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cheers Cat
would have backed Everton as Bet 2 but pc crashed so couldn't get on sight. |
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any more bets tonight tober?
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sight = site ;)
No more today Doyle. I have ratings for all the teams in the Premier Lg which tell me what the prices should be so i'm most confident about those and no games til Saturday. I am intending to complete ratings for the other major leagues but til thats done i'm not too sure about them . Champions League is a possibilty midweek but a bit dubious as last round of games and again not got ratings for all the teams yet. I usually bet lower stakes on CL Games anyway but not sure how that fits in with Kelly Calculator staking right now. Glad Everton don't look like winning :) |
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Good start Tobermory, very good luck to you with this venture.
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Good luck Tober', you'll need it if you'd have backed Everton.
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has the makings of a good thread.
good luck tober |
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what WAS Bet 1 tobers?
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cheers guys
Bet 2 you mean Reyes? Not one yet, midwek earliest , otherwise Saturday :) |
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Bets 2&3....
£33.82 @2.9 (after comm) Hull v Blackburn . I make Hull just over 2.5 here , can't have Blackburn favs away to anyone . £23.45 Everton at Chelsea @15.725 Market i feel making excuses for Chelsea: still priced up as the greatest team ever despite the sort of 3 game run that would be almost inconceivable if they were as good as they're supposed to be. 13.41% of Bank risked today |
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Good luck.
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Bank: £369.94
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solid picks: unlucky.
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Decent start. GL.
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ty
Bet 4: £8.52 @8.55 Stoke away to Villa Bet 5: £33.87 Liverpool @2.67 HT/FT away to Portsmouth Bet 6: £71.21 Arsenal@1.67 HT/FT vs Hull Bank = £256.34 |
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All prices are after comission
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re the Half Time / Full Time bets ,some analysis i did quite some time ago indicated the price to win HT/FT should be 2.3 times the match odds price.
Both Liverpool and Arsenal going by that are much better value for the HT/FT though only slight value for the 90 mins Arsenal HT/FT i make 1.46 Liverpool 2.31 |
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Stoke 9.55 actually
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arsenal 1.4 ht/ft is surely a ridiculous price to be in ur book?
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Good luck with the half time stuff but it's a bet I am always wary of for the simple reason it's not neceassary to be winning at half time to win the match. I've only dabbled in the first half betting in the past and although I made it pay over a few bets, it wasn't a bet I was comfortable with. GL.
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wow - lucky!
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:D
Yeah 48 mins is as late as its gonna get for a HT/FT bet. Also the 2 bets that won both had missed penalties in them that would have been equalizers. I;d be confident that was the correct price Angela . |
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Bank = £375.58
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