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ATTEMPT 2 USING KELLY CALCULATOR

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By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 13:01
2.20 Jetlag


ATTEMPT 1 Bank : LOST 1,000 points

ATTEMPT 2 Bank = 974.30 points before next race

Available odds: 19.5 (betfair)
My odds: 14-1 (6.67 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 13.25 points WIN
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 13:05
2.30 Ethics Girl

ATTEMPT 1 Bank : LOST 1,000 points

ATTEMPT 2 Bank = 961.05 points before next race

Available odds: 5.1 (betfair)
My odds: 3-1 (25 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 55.21 points WIN
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 13:12
2.40 Golden Future

ATTEMPT 1 Bank : LOST 1,000 points

ATTEMPT 2 Bank = 905.84 points before next race

Available odds: 7.6 (betfair)
My odds: 5-1 (16.67 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 30.61
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 13:25
Huntingdon - Good to Soft

Explains a lot re results so far at that course!
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 13:38
2.55 Haar

ATTEMPT 1 Bank : LOST 1,000 points

ATTEMPT 2 Bank = 875.23 points before next race

Available odds: 3.7 (betfair)
My odds: 2-1 (33.33%)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 64.22 points WIN
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 13:47
3.70 £42
3.75 £497
3.80 £1,040
3.85 £90
3.90 £198
3.95 £539
4.00 £1,833
4.10 £1,957

4.20 £883
4.30 £1,010
4.40 £1,736
4.50 £2,072
4.60 £862
4.70 £455
4.80 £385
4.90 £260
5.00 £2,414
5.01 £4
5.10 £304
5.27 £10
5.29 £4
5.30 £14
5.40 £60
5.41 £28
5.50 £147
5.53 £26
5.60 £161
5.63 £4
5.65 £21
5.70 £0
5.77 £15
5.80 £4
5.89 £12
5.92 £0
6.00 £305
6.05 £14
6.20 £428
6.31 £5
6.35 £36
6.40 £166
6.48 £5
6.60 £96
6.61 £8
6.63 £30
6.77 £42
6.80 £72
6.90 £4
6.91 £1
7.00 £212
7.05 £141
7.20 £47
7.40 £56
7.52 £13
7.60 £109
7.75 £55
7.80 £494
7.81 £7
8.00 £867
8.11 £76
8.12 £3
8.20 £2,786
8.40 £3,300 £516 £4,881
8.41 £4
8.46 £12
8.60 £2,293
8.72 £4
8.80 £1,892
8.81 £22
8.98 £10
9.00 £5,320
9.20 £5,690
9.40 £944
9.60 £404
9.80 £594
10.00 £115
10.50 £150
11.00 £18
11.50 £2
12.00 £97
12.50 £104
14.00 £39
15.00 £0
16.00 £16
16.50 £5
18.00 £20
20.00 £20
21.00 £175
22.00 £4
23.00 £109
25.00 £10
44.00 £4
70.00 £6
1000.00 £5


GOLDEN FUTURE IR win odds
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 13:53
3.05 TOM'S LAUGHTER

ATTEMPT 1 Bank : LOST 1,000 points

ATTEMPT 2 Bank = 811.01 points before next race

Available odds: 13.50 (betfair)
My odds: 7-1 (12.5 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 41.62 WIN
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 13:55
HAAR 2.6 now ...so got in before market move.....hope it stays upright !!!!!
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:01
Hunt 1st Nov - 2m Hcap Chs
Betting on: HAAR IR WIN ODDS
Total matched on this event: £860,040
(Exchange: £847,840, BSP: £ 12,200)
Reduction Factor 32.4%
Betting summary - Volume: £441,807
(Exchange: £437,255, BSP: £ 4,552)
Last price matched: 1,000.00
Betfair Starting Price: 2.66

Inverse Axis

The information on this page may be slightly delayed.

Exchange Traded And Available Betfair Starting Price
Price To back To lay Traded Backers' Stake Layers' Liability
1.01 £4,899 £115
1.02 £45 £7,102
1.03 £8 £7,595
1.04 £139 £1,431
1.05 £287 £3,651
1.06 £783 £1,783
1.07 £1,750
1.08 £90 £944
1.09 £1,894
1.10 £111 £16,050
1.11 £5,463
1.12 £401 £10,377
1.13 £111 £6,972
1.14 £2,830
1.15 £779
1.16 £1,122
1.17 £792
1.18 £1,383
1.19 £893
1.20 £7,877 £9,634
1.21 £200 £1,091
1.22 £187
1.23 £488
1.24 £158
1.25 £6,547
1.27 £2
1.28 £721
1.30 £4,857
1.31 £10
1.32 £347
1.33 £221
1.34 £348
1.35 £430
1.36 £226
1.37 £804

1.38 £12
1.40 £14
1.41 £4
1.42 £1,684
1.43 £36
1.44 £25
1.45 £4
1.46 £69
1.47 £863
1.48 £29
1.49 £7
1.50 £2,846
1.51 £242
1.52 £192 £20
1.53 £671
1.54 £93
1.55 £112
1.56 £110
1.57 £2,138 £581
1.58 £13
1.59 £437
1.60 £140
1.61 £11
1.62 £225
1.64 £40
1.65 £4
1.66 £24
1.67 £165
1.68 £186
1.69 £117
1.70 £912
1.72 £36
1.73 £8
1.74 £80
1.75 £5
1.77 £178
1.80 £996
1.81 £204
1.82 £540
1.83 £65
1.84 £76
1.86 £10
1.87 £32
1.88 £1,440
1.89 £11
1.90 £10 £620
1.91 £390
1.95 £11
1.96 £10
1.97 £4
1.98 £213
2.00 £89 £4,349
2.02 £1,556
2.04 £511
2.06 £544
2.08 £19
2.10 £1,872
2.12 £11 £725
2.16 £0
2.18 £4
2.20 £882
2.22 £17
2.24 £195
2.26 £16
2.28 £248
2.30 £166
2.32 £457
2.34 £75 £70
2.38 £537
2.40 £908
2.42 £1,205
2.44 £901
2.46 £1,940
2.48 £1,464
2.50 £7,867
2.52 £1,259
2.54 £1,557
2.56 £997
2.58 £1,630
2.60 £3,296
2.62 £16,344
2.64 £28,439
2.66 £25,377 £1,272 £5,446
2.68 £7,853
2.70 £4,134
2.72 £5,342
2.74 £8,155
2.76 £10,405
2.78 £8,163
2.80 £6,543
2.82 £3,988
2.84 £5,569
2.86 £6,548
2.88 £6,832
2.90 £11,587
2.92 £2,756
2.94 £6,081
2.95 £4
2.96 £5,270
2.98 £1,292
2.99 £230
3.00 £3,475 £9,235
3.03 £1,057
3.05 £21,975
3.07 £1,896
3.10 £21,904
3.11 £2,129
3.13 £31
3.14 £116
3.15 £2 £41,495
3.19 £2,088
3.20 £6,508
3.21 £43
3.22 £4
3.23 £1,416
3.25 £44 £1,497
3.27 £1,097
3.28 £4
3.30 £459
3.34 £152
3.35 £43 £293
3.40 £382
3.41 £2
3.44 £10
3.45 £16
3.47 £480
3.50 £233
3.53 £259
3.61 £37
3.67 £86
3.68 £18
3.74 £60
3.78 £16
3.80 £22
3.87 £107
3.90 £540
3.93 £88
4.00 £1,566 £18
4.01 £25
4.06 £14
4.10 £33 £10
4.14 £24
4.16 £4
4.30 £20
4.40 £88
5.00 £40 £10
5.60 £88
6.00 £96
6.40 £4
6.60 £7
7.00 £50
8.00 £50
8.80 £48
9.00 £24
10.00 £8
11.00 £4
13.00 £80
14.00 £182 £242
15.00 £5
16.00 £40 £4
18.50 £2
20.00 £4
21.00 £12
26.00 £47
32.00 £4
34.00 £450
44.00 £36
50.00 £131 £4
60.00 £43 £14
100.00 £116
190.00 £160
900.00 £0 £40
1000.00 £104 £779


No doubt at all that i would have layed that one IR at low odds with real money ...due to nature of race in conditions !
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:05
3.15 Rate of Knots

ATTEMPT 1 Bank : LOST 1,000 points

ATTEMPT 2 Bank = 769.39 points before next race

Available odds: 5 (betfair)
My odds: 3-1 (25%)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 40.29 points WIN
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:07
6.00 £49 £2
6.20 £33
6.40 £12
7.00 £40
7.20 £81
7.60 £11
8.20 £4
8.60 £155

9.00 £221 £936 £7,386
9.20 £523
9.40 £1,184
9.60 £888
9.80 £1,304
10.00 £4,067
10.50 £3,330
11.00 £2,456
11.50 £2,245
12.00 £2,062
12.50 £2,975
13.00 £4,583
13.50 £3,727
14.00 £2,567
14.50 £1,301
15.00 £1,017
15.50 £4


TOM's LAUGHTER never really got in it ....still win odds reduced IR
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:12
3.30 Barnhill Brownie


ATTEMPT 1 Bank : LOST 1,000 points

ATTEMPT 2 Bank = 729.10 points before next race

Available odds:2.78 (betfair)
My odds: 1-1 (50 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 148.97 points win
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:15
Must admit that again....due to nature of race.....I would probably just lay stakes off IR at 1.60 to have a "free bet"....but not for purposes of this thread.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:23
Carl 1st Nov - 3m2f Hcap Chs
Betting on: RATE OF KNOTS IR WIN ODDS
Total matched on this event: £827,894
(Exchange: £811,665, BSP: £ 16,229)
Reduction Factor 19.6%
Betting summary - Volume: £300,175
(Exchange: £295,872, BSP: £ 4,303)
Last price matched: 1,000.00
Betfair Starting Price: 4.9

Inverse Axis

The information on this page may be slightly delayed.

Exchange Traded And Available Betfair Starting Price
Price To back To lay Traded Backers' Stake Layers' Liability
1.01 £4,861
1.02 £1,140
1.03 £4,073
1.04 £273
1.05 £314
1.06 £871
1.07 £557
1.08 £50
1.10 £1,717
1.11 £282
1.12 £236
1.14 £22
1.15 £264
1.17 £78
1.19 £150
1.20 £106
1.21 £390
1.22 £27
1.23 £38
1.25 £1,575
1.26 £114
1.27 £9
1.30 £323
1.31 £22
1.32 £40
1.33 £56
1.34 £367
1.36 £505
1.38 £126
1.39 £8
1.40 £91
1.42 £69
1.43 £2
1.44 £42
1.45 £2
1.46 £14
1.50 £561
1.51 £262
1.52 £43
1.53 £12
1.55 £60
1.56 £32
1.58 £14
1.59 £5
1.60 £161
1.62 £121
1.63 £18
1.65 £2
1.66 £708
1.67 £150
1.70 £76
1.71 £6
1.72 £44
1.75 £27
1.76 £29
1.77 £35
1.79 £20
1.80 £107
1.84 £10
1.85 £4
1.86 £121
1.87 £21
1.90 £18
1.94 £8
1.95 £18
1.97 £10
1.99 £3
2.00 £1,944
2.02 £150
2.04 £100
2.06 £100
2.08 £6
2.10 £110
2.12 £445
2.14 £48
2.16 £0
2.18 £5
2.20 £60
2.24 £0
2.30 £50
2.32 £80
2.34 £103
2.40 £469
2.44 £150
2.46 £3
2.48 £2
2.50 £779
2.54 £40
2.56 £3
2.58 £51
2.60 £310
2.66 £1
2.68 £40
2.70 £4
2.72 £35
2.74 £27
2.78 £10
2.80 £4
2.82 £5
2.84 £20
2.90 £108
2.98 £120
3.00 £615
3.10 £276
3.15 £15
3.20 £89
3.25 £44
3.35 £43
3.40 £56
3.50 £259 £44
3.55 £4
3.60 £416
3.70 £60
3.75 £20
3.80 £108
3.85 £6 £104
3.90 £42 £92
3.95 £139
4.00 £47 £462
4.07 £2,450
4.10 £82 £375
4.16 £2,125
4.20 £24 £325
4.25 £1,047
4.30 £1,159
4.34 £786
4.40 £13,851
4.43 £2,078
4.50 £11 £33,653
4.52 £3,076
4.60 £15,565
4.70 £25,466
4.78 £551
4.80 £49,105
4.87 £112
4.89 £745
4.90 £60,278 £2,264 £7,953
4.96 £52
4.99 £928
5.00 £3 £38,504
5.04 £29
5.08 £1,187
5.10 £14,891
5.14 £2
5.18 £19
5.20 £
6,911
5.22 £2
5.30 £2,837
5.32 £18
5.40 £2,476
5.50 £1,175
5.60 £718
5.70 £764
5.80 £411
5.90 £96
6.00 £1 £680
6.20 £32
6.40 £1,307
6.60 £780
6.80 £38
7.00 £3,242
7.20 £2 £657
7.40 £25 £268
7.60 £69
7.80 £81
8.00 £2 £1,708
8.20 £93
8.40 £43
8.60 £447
8.80 £17
9.00 £7 £317
9.20 £4
10.00 £33
11.00 £15
12.00 £151 £476
12.50 £19
14.00 £10
15.00 £9
16.00 £33 £110
18.00 £6 £16
20.00 £17 £91
21.00 £5
22.00 £9
23.00 £0
30.00 £2 £36
40.00 £150
44.00 £7
60.00 £50
75.00 £5 £12
80.00 £0
95.00 £7
150.00 £2
190.00 £40
210.00 £0 £4
600.00 £4 £7
1000.00 £391 £9
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:24
Lingfield 3.05 Full Result
1st 1 Green Manalishi 10-3 F
2nd 4 Fantasy Explorer 7-1
3rd 2 Toms Laughter 15-2 never threatened to win
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:28
3.40 Sister Clement


ATTEMPT 1 Bank : LOST 1,000 points

ATTEMPT 2 Bank = 580.13 points before next race

Available odds:4.2(betfair)
My odds: 2-1 (33.33 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 66.13 to win
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:30
3.40 Requisite


ATTEMPT 1 Bank : LOST 1,000 points

ATTEMPT 2 Bank = 514.00 points before next race

Available odds: 19 (betfair)
My odds: 9-1 (10 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 24.35 points WIN
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:38
2.14 £0
2.16 £4
2.20 £28 £8
2.22 £44
2.24 £14 £76
2.26 £112
2.28 £69
2.30 £37
2.32 £173
2.34 £5 £393
2.36 £429
2.38 £4 £404
2.40 £50 £76

2.42 £308
2.44 £104 £166
2.46 £34
2.48 £145
2.50 £1,873
2.52 £170 £534
2.54 £283
2.56 £351
2.58 £398
2.60 £14 £397
2.62 £200
2.64 £5 £83
2.66 £158
2.68 £2 £668
2.70 £7,426
2.72 £16,338
2.74 £16,586
2.76 £15,548
2.78 £12,757
2.80 £12,243
2.81 £2,058 £4,482
2.82 £5,935


Some of BARNHILL BROWNIE win odds IR
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:41
3.50 Lindseyfield Lodge

ATTEMPT 1 Bank : LOST 1,000 points

ATTEMPT 2 Bank = 489.65 points before next race

Available odds: 16 (betfair)
My odds: 6-1 (14.29 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 40.52 points WIN
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:45
3.50 More Shennanigans


ATTEMPT 1 Bank : LOST 1,000 points

ATTEMPT 2 Bank = 449.13 points before next race

Available odds: 7.8 (betfair)
My odds: 4-1 (20 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 34.21 points win
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:49
4.00 £57 £9
4.20 £128
4.50 £10
5.00 £26
5.20 £6
5.50 £78
5.70 £1
6.00 £24

7.00 £40
7.20 £12
8.40 £20
8.60 £20
9.00 £4
9.20 £12


Some of REQUISITE odds IR in win market
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:49
Lingfield 3.40 Full Result
1st 1 Sister Clement (IRE) 5-2 F
2nd 5 Titus Gent 6-1
3rd 12 Forest Dane 7-1
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:52
BANK before 3.50 race was 414.92 points

STAKE BACK RE WIN SISTER CLEMENT 66.13
PROFIT ON WIN 66.13 X 3.2 - 5 % 201.03
---------------
BANK before 3.50 race 682.08 points
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:56
4.00 Finnish Melody

ATTEMPT 1 Bank : LOST 1,000 points

ATTEMPT 2 Bank = 682.08 points before next race

Available odds: 16.5 (betfair)
My odds: 12-1 (7.69 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 9.69 points win
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:58
8.00 £71
9.00 £28
9.20 £116
9.40 £203
9.60 £6
9.80 £131
10.00 £403
10.15 £4
10.50 £7
11.00 £727
11.32 £2
11.50 £231
11.71 £8
12.00 £466
12.06 £728 £8,049

Some of Lindseyfield Lodge odds IR
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 14:59
4.30 £356
4.40 £198
4.50 £216
4.60 £20
4.70 £75
4.80 £426
4.90 £113
5.00 £302
5.10 £246
5.20 £682
5.30 £109
5.40 £342
5.50 £62
5.60 £1
99
5.70 £374
5.80 £15
5.90 £3
6.00 £146
6.20 £66
6.40 £26
6.60 £465
6.80 £49
7.00 £1,222
7.20 £1,278
7.40 £10,516 £834 £6,038
7.50 £0


Some of More Shennanigans odds IR
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 15:04
4.10 Gross Prophet


ATTEMPT 1 Bank : LOST 1,000 points

ATTEMPT 2 Bank = 672.39 points before next race

Available odds: 5.2 (betfair)
My odds: 3-1 (25 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 41.71 points win
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 15:05
5.30 £7
5.40 £39
6.00 £39
6.20 £40
6.40 £22
7.00 £322
7.20 £11
8.00 £491
8.20 £49
8.40 £28
9.00 £34

9.20 £4
9.80 £78
10.00 £55
10.50 £92
10.92 £8
11.00 £4
11.34 £137
11.50 £135
11.76 £6
11.80 £6
12.00 £84
12.21 £16
12.42 £6
12.50 £16
12.62 £3
12.79 £3
13.00 £26
13.02 £26
13.43 £37
13.44 £226
13.50 £51
13.83 £28
13.86 £317
14.00 £224
14.25 £21
14.28 £110
14.50 £252
14.70 £105
15.00 £0 £1,283
15.12 £8
15.50 £2,108
15.51 £1
16.00 £4,013
16.50 £2,571 £272 £4,680

Some of FINNISH MELODY odds IR win market
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 15:11
4.20 Royal Swain


ATTEMPT 1 Bank : LOST 1,000 points

ATTEMPT 2 Bank =630.68 points before next race

Available odds: 3.05betfair)
My odds: 3-1 (50 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 153.42 points win
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 15:11
Should read

4.20 Royal Swain


ATTEMPT 1 Bank : LOST 1,000 points

ATTEMPT 2 Bank =630.68 points before next race

Available odds: 3.05betfair)
My odds: 1-1 (50 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 153.42 points win
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 15:13
Still picking wrong one of two too often ...changed my mind on MISS SOPHISTOCAT .....eeeeeeejiiiiitttttttttt
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 15:15
Gotta do a SFC cover bet on 4.20 race with 1-6 for 30 points
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 15:19
WAs torn between 2 again and MCCOY due a winner......the distance of race being 1 M 6 F for bumper makes it trickier to guess which 1 of 2.......and going must be near heavy....

Would not be surprised if something out pack wins...hope not though!
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 15:25
Betfair Starting Price: 4.1 ROYAL SWAIN ........


Me posting early cost 153 points in lost return :(
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 15:26
Carlisle 4.20
1st 6 Royal Swain (IRE) 11-4
2nd 10 Vannin (IRE) 10-1
3rd 3 Eagle Owl (IRE) 12-1
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 15:26
Carlisle 4.20
1st 6 Royal Swain (IRE) 11-4
2nd 10 Vannin (IRE) 10-1
3rd 3 Eagle Owl (IRE) 12-1
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Nov 09 15:30
So BANK was before 4.20 race 447.26 points

STAKE RETURN ON WIN ROYAL SWAIN 153.42
WIN PROFIT 2.05 X 153.42 - 5% 298.78
--------------
BANK now 899.46 points



The 153 points lost is just a cost of operating this thread and posting early...............

Away to watch footy

Cheers the nooooooooooooo
By:
Mudflaps
When: 01 Nov 09 18:22
Evening DFC - didn't post today and I did much better. Maybe you should post a P&L after racing and concentrate on the action? I doubt anyone would accuse you of not being genuine and you may improve your results.

By the way I mentioned you in my blog today hope you don't mind! (nothing offensive)
By:
top2rated
When: 01 Nov 09 18:37
DFC

Have a look at this staking plan....

http://www.rsbweb.com/IE/IE_index.htm

Click on LearnBook and staking planAPP1:Staking Plan

It may be of interest.
By:
top2rated
When: 01 Nov 09 18:41
Greater than sign didn't appear in above post, sorry. Try this.

Click on Learn, then click on Book and staking plan and finally on APP1:Staking Plan
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