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are you sure you are not just doubling down? many traders have gone bust doing this
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The real test will be if they go a goal down or have to face penalties. If they go a goal down Plan A is out the window and you wonder what the strength of Plan B is. They are not going to dominate many of the teams left in the comp in midfield and the defence will be unprotected and open to the counter like Germany were at 1-0 yesterday.
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I don't actually think their minds will be on anything, other than the Ukraine game, until Sunday. (should they go through)
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Ukraine have been written off already. They will use that.
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this tournie has no standout team
their weaknesses override any overarching positives England are nothing special but they don't need to be they are undoubtedly on the 'easier' side of the draw whoever comes thru from the other side will have earnt their place in the final and would be most people's faves but,at the end of the day you have to win your matches and no team is unbeatable but,aside from the incredible scenes of the night b4 last it has been underwhelming and whichever side wins will not go down in history as anything special but they will be winners at that's what counts. |
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Atkins. Have you laid them for enough to actually want them to lose and are you English ? Forgive me if i sound obtuse but if the answer to both are yes it seems an odd thing to do
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I hope England lose and I have no financial involvement, and I'm English.
If you like, I'll tell you why. |
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atkins how much ££ are you on for. im going to lay eland for big money as a send off.
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I agree with you sparrow, 100%. Totally different player but already an uncanny resemblance to how influential Bobby Charlton was in '66. His input and influence sticks out in this competition.
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Wow.
England are the bankers of the quarter finals. Ukraine double figures to win in 90 mins. ..they think it's all over.. |
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I think the bigger banana skin is the semi-final. There will be huge expectation on England to win that at their home patch, and Denmark have beaten England at Wembley in the last year.
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I'd struggle to make a case against England at this point. People say " yeah but wait till they come up against Italy or Spain"
If you were making an Italian squad of their best 26 players of the last 40 years I don't see the 2021 lot having one player in it. Probably only 5 or 6 of the current Spain squad would have been up to their standard of 10 years ago. Oddly, although Belgium are currently rated inferior to those two, they are the only ones that could be favs against England IMO. If they really played to their potential and blew Italy an Spain away. |
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Belgium have a load of injuries Tobes that's why.
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If they didn't they would be favoured vs Italy and Spain, Spain probs still favs overall from that half due to easier passage to semis.
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Spain look very average to me, they were poor against Sweden, just ok against Poland, beat an extremely average Slovakia team and a Croatian side way past it's best, but their defence looked kamikaze and conceded, Morata was God awful, misses so many chances, any half decent, well organised team would see off Spain.
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You could apply that same logic to England though, looked average in group and beat a Germany side that is living off name.
Spain at least created chances in those group games, lack of a good striker is a problem, on a diff day they would have beaten Sweden 4-0, they created chance after chance. |
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England don't look a side that will really blow anyone away the style they are currently playing, that means games especially vs better sides will be decided on a handful of moments on the day, as the chances of England going out there and blowing any decent side away with the current setup would seem near zero to me. I don't know but I wouldn't be surprised if we have the lowest xG and created chances of sides left, maybe Czech Republic could have lower.
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San Marino could have created chances against those sides, England look a compact, professional side where every man knows their job, which is something I've rarely seen before with an English side, Spain look like a team really off of their name, Morata is the worst striker for a big nation I can think of at this tournament, I know it's fashionable to knock him but watch him closely and he's very poor with his touch and finishing ability, Italy would definitely beat them, Belgium with a full strength side too
I actually think that Switzerland can even turn them over. |
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"Morata is the worst striker for a big nation I can think of at this tournament"
worse than Kane? |
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You're exaggerating with San Marino, but I don't agree with the point anyway. Had England been playing Sweden next round, I'd be amazed if we created as many chances as Spain did against them.
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England's strength is clearly stifling the opposition so far, but as I say, when you play like that you are putting games down to fine margins, you aren't blowing anyone away.
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obviously I'm exaggerating with San Marino
![]() England have not been set up to create untold chances, they've been set up to be create chances at the right time, not every time like say an Italy who just counter attack every single time they have the ball, it's like schoolboy football leaving gaps at the back for old boys Bonnucci and Chiellini, when fit, to deal with. I see England biding their time against Spain, playing the long game whilst Spain huff and puff, they wouldn't cause England many problems at all. |
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Spain have created the most chances in the tournament (and it's not even close) so you are really playing with fire thinking you can just snuff them out imo.
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Denamrk, Italy, Spain are the top 3 for shots, shots on target and goals in the tournament
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Of the teams remaining England are the lowest in all 3 categories. 27 shots, 9 on target, 4 goals.
Italy - 87, 23,9 Spain - 68, 29, 11 Denmark - 77, 30, 9 |
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I've seen those stats, but I imagine Greece in 2004 and Portugal in 2016 were similarly low in general.
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Both were fortunate to win though. I mean of course KO football is like that to an extent, but it's what I mean by England's games are ones of fine margins due to their style of play, that doesn't mean England can't win it playing like this though of course, it's very possible.
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On the flip side, England are yet to let a goal in. Admittedly, it's goal has led a somewhat charmed life.
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The way England set up so negatively, I don't know what will happen if they go one behind and have to come out of their shell? If they get past Ukraine in Rome, semi and final at Wembley a massive bonus. I could see it being a Spain vs England final.
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every tournament winner has luck along the way.
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Anyone backing England to win this at 3.15 needs to withdraw funds, close account, give up the betting game. Thank me later.
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Strange to rely upon stats
from 4 games played between different teams. What about quoting shots faced or touches allowed in box. If you go fishing you are unlikely to bring home rabbit for tea. |
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I'm going to have to give Southgate some credit here, he's basically said, right we have all these flashy creative players but we have in the past too and when we try to play like a good side and go onto the front foot we never seem to make the whole as good as the sum of the parts.
So he takes the view when we come up against more serious opposition to play like a poor side , be hard to beat and try and play on the counter. Not the most exciting but if it works no-one will care, but it does have to work. Against Ukraine I would expect him to play an extra attacking player though as I don't think that even Southgate will be too fearful of them |
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The shots stats were all against different sides, yes, but they all played inferior sides in the group and even still England's numbers are remarkably low but not surprising given the way they have played. They also show that the likes of Denmark, Italy, Spain are likely to give England's goal more of a threat out of the remaining teams. I don't have the stats for shots faced, they might be out there, and it's likely those sides have faced more shots than England but it's also likely England aren't going to be the team to trouble their goal as much as other sides too.
'So he takes the view when we come up against more serious opposition to play like a poor side' - he has played consistently throughout - like he's playing a KO match against superior opposition even in group games at home to inferior sides like Scotland and the Czechs. It's not limited to 'more serious opposition', it's the same regardless and I think he's been planning this all along, 1-0 against any team is more than enough for him, even in the warm-up friendlies. He didn't really play an extra defender against Germany. It wasn't 5 at the back it was more 3-4-3 to mirror Germany and negate their full-backs, who really hurt Portugal, and he did that very well with Shaw and Trippier keeping Kimmich and Gosens pushed back and largely confined to their own halves with Shaw and Trippier getting forward more than they did and had more of a midfield position than a defensive position like the 3 CHs. They were helped by Saka and Sterling, Sterling had a lot more freedom tho as he's not as good defensively as Saka, who has played as a wing/full back at Arsenal (a big factor in his selection imo) and he didn't want them both not providing much of a threat at the other end. Sterling had the freedom to come infield off his wing a lot, which he did for his goal and his early shot in the first half. |
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I think only the Italian goalie fielded
fewer shots than pickford. |
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I think his intention was to play a more attacking approach earlier with an extra forward thinking player in the side but it just did not work, making it look awful and unadventurous.
Against the Germans it was intended to be more cautious, the Germans were that poor though, they couldn't dominate the ball even when it was handed to them on a plate. |
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Best not forget the match was 0-0 until the 75th minute.
It was a good England performance, not a dominating performance. |
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They may not have conceded yet but I still feel that England are soft through central defence. Stones just can't concentrate totally on defending, often daydreams and always wants to look like a footballer at the wrong time. Big Maguire turns as slow as a carthorse. I would imagine other sides will be looking at the move which saw Muller blow the best chance the Germans had and be looking to emulate/repeat it.
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England just don't score and if they win it its another Greece type winner in my eyes
Portugal will always be the worst winners of this, how the heck you can go through an entire tournament with 1 sodding win (With a last 16 match in there to boot) is ridiculous |