Football
Lay Liverpool - Season thread
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i dont give a fcuk
you can keep calm and convince yourself you are right when its obvious you are full of BS i'm not surprised i'm losing my rag because you seem to think its because of a liverpool fans reaction rather than a logically thinking persons reaction. |
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i read what you say btw i just struggle to believe that you are not having a laugh with this.
it seems the results dont matter as long as you keep saying the prices are always wrong each game its ok   |
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its nowt to do with liverpool fans
christ sakes, though obviously you have a real fcuking problem with liverpool! He's a Thatcher lover and vehemently anti liverpool / northern see his posts in politics forum explains alot |
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Yes. You are having a pop in this thread as Liverpool or on a winning run, when they lose you'll be nowhere to be seen.
i think you'll find thats complete t0ss and those on here that really debate properly with me will know i won't be like that. keep getting the value me old son, it doesn't matter if you are losing money at least you are the clever one  |
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the record of the thread speaks for itself
you are the one blindly laying all i am saying is blindly laying is for mugs you are win win, if the thread shows a profit you are right and if it continues to show losses you claim you are right, nice stance indeed |
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trouble is cj those spells have been very limited as shown by the p&l
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i'm on here and the lfc thread rain or shine
and we've had some monsoons in recent times  |
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I am so glad I don't favour ANY P/L
side. It can't be fun. |
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This thread would probably have been profitable in the past 25 odd seasons or so to be fair. I blame you CJ70 for starting it ffs.
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CJ70 - betting because of hate is only going to cost you money - try using your brain.
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not at all
i've said on this thread that we were often too short in games at home especially against the lesser teams my issue has been that this season these games have not caused the same problems, (due to the team scoring more goals than any other in the league) so i dont know what prices you are expecting in some of these games because liverpool have been different this season |
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I'm laying each week because they are short each week. I know you'll disagree and think it's madness because you think they'll win.
Both wrong. Bets should be based on prices available and 9 times out of 10, they are correct, (no bet) |
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i think they are more realistic given the performance of the team this season
ie 1/3 against dross at home when you have dropped only 5 pts is more realistic than 1/3 in past seasons when we have had a very poor home record |
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ken you keep stating the obvious
the long run market is virtually perfect, there will be fluctuations but blanket backing or laying of anything should not yield long run profits. must always be selective |
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if only this were not true
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How's this thread doing? A quick P&L would be nice.
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* was to my earlier comment not your reply cj
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There are thousands of supporters of all P/L sides who bet on their team every week because they want them to win. They ignore all betting logic. I didn't realise until just reading thru this whole thread that there were people like CJ who hate a team so much that they also ignore betting logic and lay that team every week. I support Arsenal and hate both MU and Liverpool but don't bet blindly on Arsenal
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I don't hate Liverpool. Although many of the fans in this thread probably means I should.
The price is just wrong. |
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i know its after the event cj
but liverpool were pretty much 2/1 away at utd last week how did you price this up on this seasons evidence ? |
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fwiw the 1.41 at cardiff is a very poor price imo
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BJ69 YX:YX has fully exposed himself of this thread as a complete betting BUFFOON
unable to grasp the concepts of successful betting and with an even more limited grasp of simple mathematics Even at £2 a throw I am really glad that he loses his benefits laying Liverpool  BJ69 YX:YX is also a forum bore with tired, pointless and boorish posts Perhaphs though, the most unsavoury aspect of BJ69 YX:YX is that he has also been exposed as a thatcher lover and a bigoted one eyed hater of Liverpool and Northern folk  nice!!!! (not) |
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The price(s) of Liverpool will sometimes be on the
short side but not always. There are too many 'shrewdies' around for many of them to be wrong. |
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liverpool should be about 1.75 against cardiff
the 2/1 against the mancs on the relative form and performances of the 2 sides this season was certainly not too stingy (hard to say this after the game obviously but there was a complete class difference and energy level, as has been the contrast with both this season so far!) 1.41 away is poor though against anyone. you'd have had your arms bitten off giving 3/1 at OT in that game, seriously would have been flattened in the stampede. |
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i think this is the main problem i have
there will be games when i'd agree with the price being wrong but games when i think its right. as ken said earlier a lot of games would be no bet games as the prices would look spot on. certainly can't have it that the price has been too short every week. |
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Striding, to suggest Liverpool should be
around 1.75 against Cardiff is ridiculous. |
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You can scrap all the away games for being decent odds as Liverpool's away form has been absolutely tragic for most of the season even when picking up 3 points. We are looking at home games where the Liverpool price could be value and it's just all so ridiculously short.
The only game that looks relatively close to being value is the home game against Man Utd and that's only with the benefit of seven months worth of results. |
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ok its near the price i'd want to back them at
i would never back them away against anyone in the league at 1.41 |
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BJ69 YX:YX has fully exposed himself on this thread to be a complete betting BUFFOON
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