Football
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We all know the price is wrong each week. Instead of having long running arguments with the same Liverpool fans week in week out of how Liverpool are value its easier to just keep it in one thread.
A £10 bet against Liverpool for each game of the season and we'll see how we fare at the end of the season.
1. Liverpool v Stoke £10 @ 1.43
A £10 bet against Liverpool for each game of the season and we'll see how we fare at the end of the season.
1. Liverpool v Stoke £10 @ 1.43
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Afternoon CJ
There are games when we are a definite lay, but I think Stoke without Pulis may be a very different proposition than in recent seasons Not getting involved tho'...and I won't be wishing you luck with this thread  |
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Not really bothered on the results in the Prem, just trying to settle the arguments.
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Laying 'pool at anfield last season would surely have yielded a big profit, unlikely scenario for 2 consecutive seasons imo. The whole seasons P/L on a bet like this could come down to one dodgy 0-0 at home to palace @ 1.2 or something like that. I like to be on the right side of a season average but this will be swung on just one or two fixtures.
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1. Liverpool v Stoke £10 @ 1.43 = -£4.30
2. Liverpool v Villa £10 @ 2.02 |
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LAY THE ARSE OF LIVERPOOL tomorrow,
signed Liverpool Fan |
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thats a great price to back especially if enrique is dropped
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Liverpool now 1.87. How Villa can be over 7/2 at home after their first two games is beyond me.
I'd make this a 2/1 each of 3 game - so Villa at 4.6 has to be the bet. |
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Liverpool, the most overated team this century, win or lose a most ridiculous price today & will be time & time again this season especially away to anyone other than the top four, so if you lay their other 15 away games I would be amazed if you did not make a profit by the seasons end.
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Liverpool should be 2/1
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Laid @1.9
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2/1!
Credibility well and truly intact there uncle! |
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Just one thing to note:
#LFC’s last 15 competitive games: W10 D4 L1 with 9 clean sheets. |
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No probs CCM the OP is "just trying to settle the arguments" whatever that means
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On a more serious note with the last 15 Prem games a level £10 stake of Liverpool would leave you £24.70 up minus commission(using industry average prices).
Only one odds against winner in that lot was Newcastle away, take that away and the good run Liverpool have had would still be loss making. |
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At least 7 of the last 15 'competitive games' were dead rubbers at the end of last season.
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If we extend it to 20 Prem games(2013) a level £10 stake of Liverpool would leave you out of pocket.
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As expected it was a very even game (a game of two halves in many respectes) and the correct price was 2/1 each of three or thereabouts. 4/5 Liverpool was a poor price irrespective of the result.
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Of course 4/5 was short, but 2/1 Liverpool would have been quite frankly ridiculous.
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i like this thread .
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As I posted on the other thread, Liverpool are too short in almost every single game. But I think they are a no bet team, rather than one to blindly lay every week, as they do win their fair share. You can't eat value etc.
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I backed Villa at 4.6.
Although simply laying Liverpool every game is proven to be profitable over the last few seasons my aim is simply to cover myself for disappointment. I'd have settled for a draw yesterday so the only result that would have upset me was a Villa win so thats what I bcked. Likewise next week against Man Utd I'll be more than happy with a draw so I will be backing Man Utd. The big profits have come when I've backed the opposition at big odds like WBA home and away last year or 14/1 on Cardiff in the cup. |
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I think there will be definite improvements from Liverpool this year. They finished the season well last year after adapting to BR's style of play. Don't think they will get fourth due to the teams above all improving their squads (arsenal apart who I suspect will buy eventually) and Liverpool being unable to attract players due to their abscence from the champs league which is the big draw from the foreign mercenaries. But maybe fifth place with some big scalps along the way.
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Another scrappy game which could of gone either way.Liverpool fail to dominate any teams so some they'll win some they'll lose.6th/7th place again there a mile behind the top 5.
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Layers back in clover.
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1. Liverpool v Stoke £10 @ 1.43 = -£4.30
2. Liverpool v Villa £10 @ 2.02 = -£14.50 3. Liverpool v Man Utd £10 @2.50 |
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It's a shame I didn't make it all games instead of just Prem games.
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i think liverpools price is ridiculous, lay!
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I've simply backed Man Utd @ 2/1 - though they are now 5/2
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are you in profit yet?
or is it a case of abandon ship? |
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3/3 losses so far
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Three good value lays, Liverpool going to be an even better lay in coming weeks with their false position at the top of the league.
You missed laying them in the League Cup as well against Notts County, that would have been a winner. |
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doesn't matter if you lose money on them as long as you got "value"
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Hahahahahahaha
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this an excellent thread. has the making of a top 10 classic.
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Agreed with letsalldance, only sets up for better lays in the coming weeks. Pool were VERY lucky that Stoke missed a last minute pen, Villa were unlucky to lose and I can't comment on yesterday as i haven't seen it. If you think a whopping 30 quidnis damaging CJ's bank then you're horribly misguided
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You know when you bang your head on the celling...your reactions instantly take over which makes you CROUCH a little, letting out a painful oww!...Thats what will happen to liverpool in their next game.
. . . . . City traders say its the opposite of the dead cat bounce. Next bet Swansea v Liverpool |
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you havent updated your profit/loss after the united game.
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Agreed with letsalldance, only sets up for better lays in the coming weeks
price / perceptionwise it may seem like it. problem is if you dont understand the factors you could come unstuck what you have to ask yourself is this. are Liverpool improving? if yes why? a pointer as to why we seem more mentally tough than last season is this. LUCAS  |