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Computer Based 1+ Goals Betting Mk 2
Computer Based 1+ Goals Betting Mk 2
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JOCI, do you not think a lot of the value in this system is on the over 1.5s? Ive been backing 3/4 on over 0.5 and 1/4 on over 1.5. Obviously there would be a few more losers on the over 1.5s but the record is excellent so far. And after the Roda game losing this morning now would be a good time to start backing over 1.5s with a small percentage of your stake. Just a thought..
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Good idea and you're probably right and I might do that in another challenge. I'll stick with this for the time being, but maybe you could post up your 1.5+ predictions so we can see how you go. I like the idea.
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For this afternoon Im on the same games as you, Monchengladbach & Malaga. I also just use flat stakes for every game so its
M'gladbach v Koln 30 @ 1.08 Over 0.5 10 @ 1.3 Over 1.5 Malaga v Sociedad 30 @ 1.09 Over 0.5 10 @ 1.3 Over 1.5 Ive also added a P&L sheet to the excel file which is handy for keeping track of how its going, I have 2 banks of 40 to use, and the goal is to make 100 profit per week. |
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Good luck with that!
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First one in so on to the 2nd :-
1. Celtic v Hearts 0.5+ goals £20 @ 1.08 (1-2) 2. Heracles v Walwijk 0.5+ goals £21.52 @ 1.06 |
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goal in the koln game were on fire!!!!!!!!!!!!
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1-0 Moenchengladbach.
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HB Coge v copenhagen
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Start Bank £10.00
001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0] 002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2] 003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2] 004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3] 005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2] 006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0] 007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1] 008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0] 009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0] 010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06 011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2] 012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3] 013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3] 014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3] 015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1] 016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2] 017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0] 018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1] 019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 [2-2] 020 Groningen v Roda 0.5+ goals £10.29 @ 1.05 [0-1] 021 Utrecht v VVV Venlo 0.5+ goals £10.28 @ 1.04 022 Moenchengladbach v Koln 0.5+ goals £10.77 @ 1.05 023 HB Koge v FC Copenhagen 0.5+ goals £11.28 @ 1.06 |
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Goal at Koge!
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Start Bank £10.00
001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0] 002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2] 003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2] 004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3] 005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2] 006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0] 007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1] 008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0] 009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0] 010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06 011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2] 012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3] 013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3] 014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3] 015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1] 016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2] 017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0] 018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1] 019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 [2-2] 020 Groningen v Roda 0.5+ goals £10.29 @ 1.05 [0-1] 021 Utrecht v VVV Venlo 0.5+ goals £10.28 @ 1.04 022 Moenchengladbach v Koln 0.5+ goals £10.77 @ 1.05 023 HB Koge v FC Copenhagen 0.5+ goals £11.28 @ 1.06 024 Lille v Ajaccio 0.5+ goals £11.93 @ 1.05 |
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Goal at Malaga!
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Just realised forgot to post the Malaga game!
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Start Bank £10.00
001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0] 002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2] 003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2] 004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3] 005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2] 006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0] 007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1] 008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0] 009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0] 010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06 011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2] 012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3] 013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3] 014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3] 015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1] 016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2] 017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0] 018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1] 019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 [2-2] 020 Groningen v Roda 0.5+ goals £10.29 @ 1.05 [0-1] 021 Utrecht v VVV Venlo 0.5+ goals £10.28 @ 1.04 [4-2] 022 Moenchengladbach v Koln 0.5+ goals £10.77 @ 1.05 023 HB Koge v FC Copenhagen 0.5+ goals £11.28 @ 1.06 024 Lille v Ajaccio 0.5+ goals £11.93 @ 1.05 025 Malaga v Real Sociedad 0.5+ goals £10.66 @ 1.04 |
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Start Bank £10.00
001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0] 002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2] 003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2] 004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3] 005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2] 006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0] 007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1] 008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0] 009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0] 010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06 011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2] 012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3] 013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3] 014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3] 015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1] 016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2] 017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0] 018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1] 019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 [2-2] 020 Groningen v Roda 0.5+ goals £10.29 @ 1.05 [0-1] 021 Utrecht v VVV Venlo 0.5+ goals £10.28 @ 1.04 [4-2] 022 Moenchengladbach v Koln 0.5+ goals £10.77 @ 1.05 023 HB Koge v FC Copenhagen 0.5+ goals £11.28 @ 1.06 024 Lille v Ajaccio 0.5+ goals £11.93 @ 1.05 025 Malaga v Real Sociedad 0.5+ goals £10.66 @ 1.04 026 Sochaux v Dijon 0.5+ goals £11.07 @ 1.08 Think that will be the final one for me today.....no other qualifiers. |
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Overs in at Moenchengladbach.
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1. Utrecht v VVV 1+ Goal - £20 @ 1.04
2. MGB v Koln Lay 0-0 - £20.65 @ 18.5 3. Sochaux v Dijon - £21.78 @ 12 Will start looking at other leagues soon!! We'll end up with the whole thread following one set otherwise.. |
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Goal at Lille!
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Overs in at Koge.
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Overs no longer in at Koge.
FFS Futbol24 took 7 minutes to correct itself. |
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Overs back in at Koge!
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1 Celtic v Hearts 0.5+ goals £20 @ 1.08 £1.52 (1-2)
2. Heracles v Walwijk 0.5+ goals £21.52 @ 1.06 £1.25 3. Freiburg v Hoffenheim IP 0.5 goals £22.77 @ 1.09 |
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You split into 2 £10 now mate?
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I split the bank in half at £20.
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This is the first time one of my games has remained goalless beyond 65 minutes, so it's time to invoke the Lord of Goals.
Lord, your services are now required at Sochaux! Grant a goal. |
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wishes do come true get in there
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Better late than never!!
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Thanks Lord!
Nice to have the backup of the Lord of Goals, if the spreadsheet has a bit of a wobbly! |
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Overs in at Lille.
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Start Bank £10.00
001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0] 002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2] 003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2] 004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3] 005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2] 006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0] 007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1] 008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0] 009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0] 010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06 011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2] 012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3] 013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3] 014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3] 015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1] 016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2] 017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0] 018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1] 019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 [2-2] 020 Groningen v Roda 0.5+ goals £10.29 @ 1.05 [0-1] 021 Utrecht v VVV Venlo 0.5+ goals £10.28 @ 1.04 [4-2] 022 Moenchengladbach v Koln 0.5+ goals £10.77 @ 1.05 [3-0] 023 HB Koge v FC Copenhagen 0.5+ goals £11.28 @ 1.06 [0-5] 024 Lille v Ajaccio 0.5+ goals £11.93 @ 1.05 [4-1] 025 Malaga v Real Sociedad 0.5+ goals £10.66 @ 1.04 [1-1] 026 Sochaux v Dijon 0.5+ goals £11.07 @ 1.08 [1-0] Bank £24.42 0.5+ goals 100% (26/26) 1.5+ goals 92% (24/26) 2.5+ goals 81% (21/26) 3.5+ goals 50% (13/26) Think that's it for today - will have another quick look though. I can only see one for tomorrow, and that's Arsenal v Wigan. Good luck folks! |
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Been looking at this evenings games from top divisions only just now throughout the world.
I've not played these, but they're all within my criteria - Does anyone else look at these leagues? Ecuador - LDU Quito (currently 2 goals) Hungary - Ujpest (currently 1) Romania - Vaslui (currently 1) Considering the following: Mexico - Toluca v Cruz Azul (Toluca never kept a clean sheet all season despite the Lge 0-0 avg being 11.94%!!!! Any thoughts?? |
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1. Utrecht v VVV 1+ Goal - £20 @ 1.04
2. MGB v Koln Lay 0-0 - £20.65 @ 18.5 3. Sochaux v Dijon - Lay 0-0 £21.78 @ 12 4. Toluca v Cruz Azul - +0.5 £23.76 @1.08 |
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Kinners - Mexico is way down on my list of leagues to bet on, but I suppose if you pick the top scoring teams within that League you might be ok. I give it a miss though.
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Cruz Azul Goal :)
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Agreed, they're near the bottom of mine, but i currently have less than 50% of the leagues you look at just now.
Plus that no clean sheet business couldn't be missed  |
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Using my spreadsheet, my first filter (A) is the league; I won't bet on leagues in the 'red zone'.
Next filter proper (B) is the goal prediction - if it's not a prediction of 3+ goals, it gets rejected. The next filter (C) is the 0-0 forecast %age - if it's > 5% rejected. The final filter (D), which is not critical, is the measure in column B, which is a function of games finishing in > 0.5 goals and average goals per game (home and away) of the teams in question. This is not critical, but a 'nice to have' which might help me chose between similar matches. I have to have the two key filters though, (B) and (C) for it to be a bet. |
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One more for me
1. Utrecht v VVV 1+ Goal - £20 @ 1.04 2. MGB v Koln Lay 0-0 - £20.65 @ 18.5 3. Sochaux v Dijon - Lay 0-0 £21.78 @ 12 4. Toluca v Cruz Azul - +0.5 £23.76 @1.08 5. Auxerre v PSG - Lay 0-0 £25.56 @ 13 |
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Some people might want to reject the first filter (A), and play in every league as long as the goals and 0-0 % is fine for the games you're looking at . That would markedly increase the potential number of bets you might have, but also increase the amount of work / analysis / time you'd have to put in.
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