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Computer Based 1+ Goals Betting Mk 2

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By:
pagy36NR
When: 15 Apr 12 12:23
12:30 Groningen v roda
14:30 Ajax v graaf
14:30 utrecht v venlo
15:30 mgladbach v kôln
16:00 Malaga v Real Sociedad
16:00 servette - sion (lay the draw)
16:00 HB Coge v copenhagen
17:00 Lille v ajaccio


Joci - servette v lion = 3goals 2,2% chance of 0-0, but 92,3 games finished over 0.5 and average goals is 2,62. I don't know, maybe I won't go on this one...
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 12:30
It's just under 3 goals (2.996 or something) so just under my threshold, but for the sake of .004, I wouldn't discourage you. Happy
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 12:31
MiLiTo_22 15 Apr 12 12:15 
Is it possible for you to send me the spreadsheet JOCI? Would like to try it out this week on some lesser known leagues and post to you the results.


Sent to the 'bandito' address...hope this is still active.
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 15 Apr 12 12:42
Thanks a lot mate. Will post to you the results next week.
By:
quizman
When: 15 Apr 12 12:46
Hope you don't mind me joining in. Don't have the spreadsheet but here goes :-

1. Celtic v Hearts Over 0.5 Goals £20 @ 1.08
By:
pagy36NR
When: 15 Apr 12 12:48
Joci did you looked at odds in Ajax match? It is 1.01 Plain Do we take it or we should wait for higher odds?
By:
dangray
When: 15 Apr 12 12:49
whats everybodys target money wise on this
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 12:53
quizman 15 Apr 12 12:46 
Hope you don't mind me joining in. Don't have the spreadsheet but here goes :-

1. Celtic v Hearts Over 0.5 Goals £20 @ 1.08


The more the merrier! Happy
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 12:54
pagy36NR 15 Apr 12 12:48 
Joci did you looked at odds in Ajax match? It is 1.01 Plain Do we take it or we should wait for higher odds?


I wouldn't be interested at 1.01.

Look at the estimated % chance of 0-0 (2%) and try and at least that, preferably better. I've asked for 1.03 which is not yet matched.
By:
quizman
When: 15 Apr 12 12:55
Thanks JOCI
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 12:56
dangray 15 Apr 12 12:49 
whats everybodys target money wise on this


No long term monetary target for me, just looking to build up the run in little increments, and see where that takes me. Set little interim targets along the way, and the next one for me is £50.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 13:05
Groningen v Roda looks like it might be the first of my selections to be less than 1.5 goals.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 13:08
I'd have thought Roda would have conceded at least one.
By:
dangray
When: 15 Apr 12 13:09
but a win is a win joci Excited
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 13:10
That's what matters!
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 13:27
Start Bank £10.00

001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0]
002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2]
003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2]
004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3]
005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2]
006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0]
007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1]
008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0]
009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0]
010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06
011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2]
012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3]
013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3]
014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3]
015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1]
016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2]
017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0]
018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1]
019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 [2-2]
020 Groningen v Roda 0.5+ goals £10.29 @ 1.05 [0-1]
021 Utrecht v VVV Venlo 0.5+ goals £10.28 @ 1.04
022 Ajax v De Graafschap 0.5+ goals £10.77 @ 1.03 (waiting)
By:
dangray
When: 15 Apr 12 13:32
i will wait 10mins

or wait for 1 game to have a goal and get on the other
By:
Kinners
When: 15 Apr 12 13:33
JOCI do you still look for best value from the 4 markets Lay NNG, Lay 0-0, Over 0.5 & Total Goals? Or are you only playing over 0.5?

Saw a big difference earlier on, but that may have closed up with more bets being matched since this AM.

Ajax goal already!!
By:
dangray
When: 15 Apr 12 13:33
goal ajax lol
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 13:36
Just do over 0.5 now. Might start laying 0-0 once the bank increases if better value.

My Ajax bet went unmatched! Happy
By:
Kinners
When: 15 Apr 12 13:37
Unfortunately I'll miss getting on the MGB game in Germany.

Hopefully be back in in time for the Koge match.

Hope you got matched on Ajax, JOCI?
By:
pagy36NR
When: 15 Apr 12 13:37
nothing matched...
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 13:38
Nor me!
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 13:44
Start Bank £10.00

001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0]
002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2]
003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2]
004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3]
005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2]
006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0]
007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1]
008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0]
009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0]
010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06
011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2]
012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3]
013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3]
014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3]
015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1]
016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2]
017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0]
018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1]
019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 [2-2]
020 Groningen v Roda 0.5+ goals £10.29 @ 1.05 [0-1]
021 Utrecht v VVV Venlo 0.5+ goals £10.28 @ 1.04
022 Moenchengladbach v Koln 0.5+ goals £10.77 @ 1.05

Nice early goal at Utrecht! Cool
By:
dangray
When: 15 Apr 12 13:44
i got on utrecht match
By:
pagy36NR
When: 15 Apr 12 13:45
yes, utrecht very nice :)
By:
pagy36NR
When: 15 Apr 12 13:47
I go on over 1.5 in utrecht match. they must score
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 13:48
Start Bank £10.00

001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0]
002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2]
003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2]
004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3]
005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2]
006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0]
007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1]
008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0]
009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0]
010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06
011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2]
012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3]
013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3]
014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3]
015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1]
016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2]
017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0]
018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1]
019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 [2-2]
020 Groningen v Roda 0.5+ goals £10.29 @ 1.05 [0-1]
021 Utrecht v VVV Venlo 0.5+ goals £10.28 @ 1.04
022 Moenchengladbach v Koln 0.5+ goals £10.77 @ 1.05
023 Malaga v Real Sociedad 0.5+ goals £10.66 @ 1.04
By:
dangray
When: 15 Apr 12 13:53
whats the longest run u have had at this joci without a loser
By:
Kinners
When: 15 Apr 12 13:53
Nice start

1. Utrecht v VVV 1+ Goal  - £20 @ 1.04
2. MGB v Koln Lay 0-0 - £20.65 @ 18.5

And there's the second at Utrecht..
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 13:54
dangray 15 Apr 12 13:53 
whats the longest run u have had at this joci without a loser


Pre this system, think it was around 37.
By:
dangray
When: 15 Apr 12 13:55
being selective is key

for example u pick 1 game a day you would be so unlucky to pick a 0-0
By:
pagy36NR
When: 15 Apr 12 13:56
unmathced at over 1.5 in utrecht
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 13:58
It's inevitable you'll hit one every so often, so it's key to have a split bank and just try and minimize the hits by having everything on your side. It's never going to be possible to have the perfect system, but you can have one that gives you a better chance than 'pure chance' if you know what I mean.
By:
dangray
When: 15 Apr 12 14:04
u have a loser now your still in profit just about lol
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 14:05
That's right...though I'd like to postpone that for as long as possible. Wink
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 14:06
Overs at Utrecht before half time.
By:
dangray
When: 15 Apr 12 14:08
another thing you could do is betting half the bank and if at ht of example is 0-0...top your bet up ;)
By:
dangray
When: 15 Apr 12 14:09
2-2
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 14:10
Possible, but losing a bit of discipline. Think only 1 or maybe 2 so far haven't had a goal by half time.
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