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12:30 Groningen v roda
14:30 Ajax v graaf 14:30 utrecht v venlo 15:30 mgladbach v kôln 16:00 Malaga v Real Sociedad 16:00 servette - sion (lay the draw) 16:00 HB Coge v copenhagen 17:00 Lille v ajaccio Joci - servette v lion = 3goals 2,2% chance of 0-0, but 92,3 games finished over 0.5 and average goals is 2,62. I don't know, maybe I won't go on this one... |
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It's just under 3 goals (2.996 or something) so just under my threshold, but for the sake of .004, I wouldn't discourage you.
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MiLiTo_22 15 Apr 12 12:15
Is it possible for you to send me the spreadsheet JOCI? Would like to try it out this week on some lesser known leagues and post to you the results. Sent to the 'bandito' address...hope this is still active. |
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Thanks a lot mate. Will post to you the results next week.
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Hope you don't mind me joining in. Don't have the spreadsheet but here goes :-
1. Celtic v Hearts Over 0.5 Goals £20 @ 1.08 |
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Joci did you looked at odds in Ajax match? It is 1.01
Do we take it or we should wait for higher odds? |
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whats everybodys target money wise on this
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quizman 15 Apr 12 12:46
Hope you don't mind me joining in. Don't have the spreadsheet but here goes :- 1. Celtic v Hearts Over 0.5 Goals £20 @ 1.08 The more the merrier! ![]() |
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pagy36NR 15 Apr 12 12:48
Joci did you looked at odds in Ajax match? It is 1.01 Plain Do we take it or we should wait for higher odds? I wouldn't be interested at 1.01. Look at the estimated % chance of 0-0 (2%) and try and at least that, preferably better. I've asked for 1.03 which is not yet matched. |
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Thanks JOCI
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dangray 15 Apr 12 12:49
whats everybodys target money wise on this No long term monetary target for me, just looking to build up the run in little increments, and see where that takes me. Set little interim targets along the way, and the next one for me is £50. |
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Groningen v Roda looks like it might be the first of my selections to be less than 1.5 goals.
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I'd have thought Roda would have conceded at least one.
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but a win is a win joci
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That's what matters!
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Start Bank £10.00
001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0] 002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2] 003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2] 004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3] 005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2] 006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0] 007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1] 008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0] 009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0] 010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06 011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2] 012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3] 013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3] 014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3] 015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1] 016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2] 017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0] 018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1] 019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 [2-2] 020 Groningen v Roda 0.5+ goals £10.29 @ 1.05 [0-1] 021 Utrecht v VVV Venlo 0.5+ goals £10.28 @ 1.04 022 Ajax v De Graafschap 0.5+ goals £10.77 @ 1.03 (waiting) |
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i will wait 10mins
or wait for 1 game to have a goal and get on the other |
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JOCI do you still look for best value from the 4 markets Lay NNG, Lay 0-0, Over 0.5 & Total Goals? Or are you only playing over 0.5?
Saw a big difference earlier on, but that may have closed up with more bets being matched since this AM. Ajax goal already!! |
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goal ajax lol
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Just do over 0.5 now. Might start laying 0-0 once the bank increases if better value.
My Ajax bet went unmatched! ![]() |
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Unfortunately I'll miss getting on the MGB game in Germany.
Hopefully be back in in time for the Koge match. Hope you got matched on Ajax, JOCI? |
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nothing matched...
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Nor me!
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Start Bank £10.00
001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0] 002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2] 003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2] 004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3] 005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2] 006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0] 007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1] 008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0] 009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0] 010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06 011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2] 012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3] 013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3] 014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3] 015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1] 016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2] 017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0] 018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1] 019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 [2-2] 020 Groningen v Roda 0.5+ goals £10.29 @ 1.05 [0-1] 021 Utrecht v VVV Venlo 0.5+ goals £10.28 @ 1.04 022 Moenchengladbach v Koln 0.5+ goals £10.77 @ 1.05 Nice early goal at Utrecht! ![]() |
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i got on utrecht match
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yes, utrecht very nice :)
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I go on over 1.5 in utrecht match. they must score
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Start Bank £10.00
001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0] 002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2] 003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2] 004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3] 005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2] 006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0] 007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1] 008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0] 009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0] 010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06 011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2] 012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3] 013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3] 014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3] 015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1] 016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2] 017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0] 018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1] 019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 [2-2] 020 Groningen v Roda 0.5+ goals £10.29 @ 1.05 [0-1] 021 Utrecht v VVV Venlo 0.5+ goals £10.28 @ 1.04 022 Moenchengladbach v Koln 0.5+ goals £10.77 @ 1.05 023 Malaga v Real Sociedad 0.5+ goals £10.66 @ 1.04 |
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whats the longest run u have had at this joci without a loser
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Nice start
1. Utrecht v VVV 1+ Goal - £20 @ 1.04 2. MGB v Koln Lay 0-0 - £20.65 @ 18.5 And there's the second at Utrecht.. |
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dangray 15 Apr 12 13:53
whats the longest run u have had at this joci without a loser Pre this system, think it was around 37. |
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being selective is key
for example u pick 1 game a day you would be so unlucky to pick a 0-0 |
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unmathced at over 1.5 in utrecht
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It's inevitable you'll hit one every so often, so it's key to have a split bank and just try and minimize the hits by having everything on your side. It's never going to be possible to have the perfect system, but you can have one that gives you a better chance than 'pure chance' if you know what I mean.
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u have a loser now your still in profit just about lol
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That's right...though I'd like to postpone that for as long as possible.
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Overs at Utrecht before half time.
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another thing you could do is betting half the bank and if at ht of example is 0-0...top your bet up ;)
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2-2
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Possible, but losing a bit of discipline. Think only 1 or maybe 2 so far haven't had a goal by half time.
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