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Computer Based 1+ Goals Betting Mk 2

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By:
JOCI Club
When: 14 Apr 12 21:12
Start Bank £10.00

001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0]
002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2]
003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2]
004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3]
005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2]
006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0]
007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1]
008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0]
009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0]
010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06
011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2]
012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3]
013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3]
014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3]
015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1]
016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2]
017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0]
018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1]
019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03

Bank £20.57

0.5+ goals 100% (18/18)
1.5+ goals 100% (18/18)
2.5+ goals 89% (16/18)
3.5+ goals 50% (9/18)

Starting to work through tomorrows games, and the first qualifier I found was Groningen v Roda.
By:
Shazza93
When: 14 Apr 12 21:17
JOCI have you looked at the MLS games?
By:
JOCI Club
When: 14 Apr 12 21:24
Yes, games at Seattle and New York came out with qualifying goal predictions, but I decided to give it a miss as the league has just started and I'd rather have a larger population of games upon which I can place reliance in the stats.

I wouldn't put people off going for those games, but my approach has been pretty cautious to date, and I think I'll stick with that approach.
By:
Shazza93
When: 14 Apr 12 21:28
Thanks, anywhere you'd expect O1.5? Happy
By:
JOCI Club
When: 14 Apr 12 22:14
Seattle & New York, but wouldn't bet on it myself.
By:
bIGcON
When: 14 Apr 12 23:43
This is very impressive stuff JOCI, keep up the the great work
By:
THEBEIRNE
When: 15 Apr 12 00:33
Couldnt get over 1.5 on new york game, but layed 0-0,1-0 & 0-1 so nice profit to end the night!
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 15 Apr 12 00:35
Is this similar to the spreadsheet you had sent me JOCI? I'm impressed by the hit rate on the over 1.5 and excellent results on over 2.5 and 50% hit for over 3.5.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 00:36
Nice way to finish off. Fancied getting on but didn't want to risk it since League in early days.

For tomorrow so far, like:

11:30 Groningen v Roda

13:30 Ajax v De Graafschap
13:30 Utrecht v VVV Venlo

Of the 13:30 kick-offs, I'm favouring the Utrecht game.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 00:38
MiLiTo_22 15 Apr 12 00:35 
Is this similar to the spreadsheet you had sent me JOCI? I'm impressed by the hit rate on the over 1.5 and excellent results on over 2.5 and 50% hit for over 3.5.


It's essentially the same spreadsheet, but I've enhanced it a bit with a couple more 'indicators'. It does lead me to make some different decisions compared to the older version.
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 15 Apr 12 00:38
Check the Spanish games mate. I'm sure you will find one or two good bets :)
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 15 Apr 12 00:39
I still use your spreadsheet sometimes. Really helps in leagues I don't follow very much.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 00:47
I looked at Spain for tomorrow, and found only one qualifier, and that was Malaga v Real Socieded (3.4 goals / 3.9% 0-0 chance). That will be a bet after the Dutch games I think.
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 15 Apr 12 00:53
I will be closely following your choices. I'm trying something similar but at HT so I risk less and get better odds.
By:
Kinners
When: 15 Apr 12 08:38
Well, it's been a while, but I feel the urge to re-join this challenge.

four possibles for me today..

Starting with:

1. Utrecht v VVV 1+ Goal  - £20 @ 1.04
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 08:49
Start Bank £10.00

001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0]
002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2]
003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2]
004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3]
005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2]
006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0]
007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1]
008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0]
009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0]
010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06
011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2]
012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3]
013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3]
014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3]
015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1]
016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2]
017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0]
018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1]
019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 [2-2]
020 Groningen v Roda 0.5+ goals £10.29 @ 1.05

Waiting to be matched on the later Utrecht v VVV Venlo game.
By:
dangray
When: 15 Apr 12 09:44
going well so far JOCI

man Utd is another for me today
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 09:55
Not for me - just looked at it. Decent goal prediction of 3.1 goals, but quite a high % for 0-0 of 14.1%, so no bet. I expect goals, but will not bet on it.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 09:56
Saw something similar yestedayesterday at Bayern Munich where the home team had an off day, and the away side was incapable of scoring.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 09:57
yesterdayyesterday...all my troubles seemed so far away.
By:
dangray
When: 15 Apr 12 09:57
i agree from using your spreadsheet but utd will be all out for it today

im out all afternoon, u got many games lined up joci?
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 10:05
Not been right through the day yet, but the ones I've highlighted so far are:

Groningen v Roda
Ajax v De Graafschap
Utrecht v VVV Venlo
Moenchengladbach v Koln
Malaga v Real Sociedad
Koge v Koberhavn
Lille v Ajaccio

More study required as could be some others.
By:
dangray
When: 15 Apr 12 10:13
so your getting on all those games today where possible?
By:
dangray
When: 15 Apr 12 10:19
just a thought

when u have 2 kick off at the same time thats where you could use your split bank and get on both matches
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 10:19
Probably, if the Groningen game comes through from me, I'll go for both 1:30 Dutch games; preferred Utrecht over Ajax, but will probbaly do both.

Finished the day, and no other qualifiers apart from those above.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 10:20
Yes, I can do that now with the split bank, you're right.
By:
dangray
When: 15 Apr 12 10:21
i definately would be using the split bank when kick offs clash
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 10:23
Out for a run soon with Mrs JOCI Club, then hopefully, when I get back, there will be a goal at Groningen.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 10:31
Any more takers? Would be good to get a few more people joining in and posting up their sequences.
By:
pagy36NR
When: 15 Apr 12 10:34
I am working now on today matches, but I don't know what I have to put in 0-0 predictions, where can I find those stats in soccerstats?
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 10:45
There are instuctions with screenshots in the last tab of the spreadsheet that provides an example.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 10:46
They are all on the Trends page for any particular league in soccerstats.
By:
pagy36NR
When: 15 Apr 12 10:50
I know that you include example in it, but not for added 0-0 predictions.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 10:52
OK later - I will add more to cover this, when I'm back from my run.
By:
pagy36NR
When: 15 Apr 12 10:59
Finaly, i find where that stats are.

Now half a bank on groningen v roda
By:
pagy36NR
When: 15 Apr 12 11:43
12:30 Groningen v roda
13:30 Ingolstadt v Karlsruhe ??(2.8 5,3%)
14:30 Ajax v graaf
14:30 utrecht v venlo
16:00 Malaga v Real Sociedad
16:00 servette - sion
16:00 HB Coge v copenhagen

will search for France games later
By:
dickiebyrd
When: 15 Apr 12 12:05
roda 1-0 great start to the day
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 15 Apr 12 12:09
I think I will go for another after HT.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 15 Apr 12 12:09
pagy36NR - the Ingolstadt and Servette games are just too low for my liking.

Yes, good start with goal for Roda just as I get back from my run!
By:
MiLiTo_22
When: 15 Apr 12 12:15
Is it possible for you to send me the spreadsheet JOCI? Would like to try it out this week on some lesser known leagues and post to you the results.
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