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Start Bank £10.00
001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0] 002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2] 003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2] 004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3] 005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2] 006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0] 007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1] 008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0] 009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0] 010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06 011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2] 012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3] 013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3] 014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3] 015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1] 016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2] 017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0] 018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1] 019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 Bank £20.57 0.5+ goals 100% (18/18) 1.5+ goals 100% (18/18) 2.5+ goals 89% (16/18) 3.5+ goals 50% (9/18) Starting to work through tomorrows games, and the first qualifier I found was Groningen v Roda. |
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JOCI have you looked at the MLS games?
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Yes, games at Seattle and New York came out with qualifying goal predictions, but I decided to give it a miss as the league has just started and I'd rather have a larger population of games upon which I can place reliance in the stats.
I wouldn't put people off going for those games, but my approach has been pretty cautious to date, and I think I'll stick with that approach. |
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Thanks, anywhere you'd expect O1.5?
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Seattle & New York, but wouldn't bet on it myself.
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This is very impressive stuff JOCI, keep up the the great work
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Couldnt get over 1.5 on new york game, but layed 0-0,1-0 & 0-1 so nice profit to end the night!
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Is this similar to the spreadsheet you had sent me JOCI? I'm impressed by the hit rate on the over 1.5 and excellent results on over 2.5 and 50% hit for over 3.5.
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Nice way to finish off. Fancied getting on but didn't want to risk it since League in early days.
For tomorrow so far, like: 11:30 Groningen v Roda 13:30 Ajax v De Graafschap 13:30 Utrecht v VVV Venlo Of the 13:30 kick-offs, I'm favouring the Utrecht game. |
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MiLiTo_22 15 Apr 12 00:35
Is this similar to the spreadsheet you had sent me JOCI? I'm impressed by the hit rate on the over 1.5 and excellent results on over 2.5 and 50% hit for over 3.5. It's essentially the same spreadsheet, but I've enhanced it a bit with a couple more 'indicators'. It does lead me to make some different decisions compared to the older version. |
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Check the Spanish games mate. I'm sure you will find one or two good bets :)
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I still use your spreadsheet sometimes. Really helps in leagues I don't follow very much.
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I looked at Spain for tomorrow, and found only one qualifier, and that was Malaga v Real Socieded (3.4 goals / 3.9% 0-0 chance). That will be a bet after the Dutch games I think.
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I will be closely following your choices. I'm trying something similar but at HT so I risk less and get better odds.
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Well, it's been a while, but I feel the urge to re-join this challenge.
four possibles for me today.. Starting with: 1. Utrecht v VVV 1+ Goal - £20 @ 1.04 |
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Start Bank £10.00
001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0] 002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2] 003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2] 004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3] 005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2] 006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0] 007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1] 008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0] 009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0] 010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06 011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2] 012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3] 013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3] 014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3] 015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1] 016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2] 017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0] 018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1] 019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 [2-2] 020 Groningen v Roda 0.5+ goals £10.29 @ 1.05 Waiting to be matched on the later Utrecht v VVV Venlo game. |
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going well so far JOCI
man Utd is another for me today |
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Not for me - just looked at it. Decent goal prediction of 3.1 goals, but quite a high % for 0-0 of 14.1%, so no bet. I expect goals, but will not bet on it.
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Saw something similar yestedayesterday at Bayern Munich where the home team had an off day, and the away side was incapable of scoring.
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yesterdayyesterday...all my troubles seemed so far away.
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i agree from using your spreadsheet but utd will be all out for it today
im out all afternoon, u got many games lined up joci? |
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Not been right through the day yet, but the ones I've highlighted so far are:
Groningen v Roda Ajax v De Graafschap Utrecht v VVV Venlo Moenchengladbach v Koln Malaga v Real Sociedad Koge v Koberhavn Lille v Ajaccio More study required as could be some others. |
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so your getting on all those games today where possible?
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just a thought
when u have 2 kick off at the same time thats where you could use your split bank and get on both matches |
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Probably, if the Groningen game comes through from me, I'll go for both 1:30 Dutch games; preferred Utrecht over Ajax, but will probbaly do both.
Finished the day, and no other qualifiers apart from those above. |
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Yes, I can do that now with the split bank, you're right.
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i definately would be using the split bank when kick offs clash
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Out for a run soon with Mrs JOCI Club, then hopefully, when I get back, there will be a goal at Groningen.
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Any more takers? Would be good to get a few more people joining in and posting up their sequences.
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I am working now on today matches, but I don't know what I have to put in 0-0 predictions, where can I find those stats in soccerstats?
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There are instuctions with screenshots in the last tab of the spreadsheet that provides an example.
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They are all on the Trends page for any particular league in soccerstats.
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I know that you include example in it, but not for added 0-0 predictions.
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OK later - I will add more to cover this, when I'm back from my run.
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Finaly, i find where that stats are.
Now half a bank on groningen v roda |
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12:30 Groningen v roda
13:30 Ingolstadt v Karlsruhe ??(2.8 5,3%) 14:30 Ajax v graaf 14:30 utrecht v venlo 16:00 Malaga v Real Sociedad 16:00 servette - sion 16:00 HB Coge v copenhagen will search for France games later |
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roda 1-0 great start to the day
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I think I will go for another after HT.
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pagy36NR - the Ingolstadt and Servette games are just too low for my liking.
Yes, good start with goal for Roda just as I get back from my run! |
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Is it possible for you to send me the spreadsheet JOCI? Would like to try it out this week on some lesser known leagues and post to you the results.
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