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Computer Based 1+ Goals Betting Mk 2
Computer Based 1+ Goals Betting Mk 2
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Start Bank £10.00
001 Sheff Weds v Oldham 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.05 [3-0] 002 Go Ahead Eagles v Dordrecht 0.5+ goals £10.47 @ 1.03 [4-2] 003 Spurs v Norwich 0.5+ goals £10.76 @ 1.04 [1-2] 004 Young Boys v Lausanne 0.5+ goals £11.17 @ 1.06 [1-3] 005 Emmen v Telstar 0.5+ goals £11.81 @ 1.04 [0-2] 006 Malaga v Racing Santander 0.5+ goals £12.27 @ 1.05 [3-0] 007 St Pauli v Union Berlin 0.5+ goals £12.85 @ 1.05 [2-1] 008 Mainz v Koln 0.5+ goals £13.46 @ 1.05 [4-0] 009 Barcelona v Getafe 0.5+ goals £14.10 @ 1.02 [4-0] 010 Karlsruhe v Dynamo Dresden 0.5+ goals £14.36 @ 1.06 011 Breda v Heracles 0.5+ goals £15.19 @ 1.05 [1-2] 012 Wolves v Arsenal 0.5+ goals £15.90 @ 1.04 [0-3] 013 Oss v Fortuna Sittard 0.5+ goals £16.52 @ 1.04 [1-3] 014 Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin 0.5+ goals £15.70 @ 1.05 [3-3] 015 Leeds v Peterborough 0.5+ goals £17.90 @ 1.05 [4-1] 016 Young Boys v Grasshoppers 0.5+ goals £18.75 @ 1.04 [2-2] 017 Feyenoord v Excelsior 0.5+ goals £19.46 @ 1.03 [3-0] 018 Real Madrid v Sporting Gijon 0.5+ goals £10.01 @ 1.03 [3-1] 019 FC Twente v Breda 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.03 [2-2] 020 Groningen v Roda 0.5+ goals £10.29 @ 1.05 [0-1] 021 Utrecht v VVV Venlo 0.5+ goals £10.28 @ 1.04 [4-2] 022 Moenchengladbach v Koln 0.5+ goals £10.77 @ 1.05 [3-0] 023 HB Koge v FC Copenhagen 0.5+ goals £11.28 @ 1.06 [0-5] 024 Lille v Ajaccio 0.5+ goals £11.93 @ 1.05 [4-1] 025 Malaga v Real Sociedad 0.5+ goals £10.66 @ 1.04 [1-1] 026 Sochaux v Dijon 0.5+ goals £11.07 @ 1.08 [1-0] 027 Arsenal v Wigan 0.5+ goals £12.21 @ 1.04 |
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1. Utrecht v VVV 1+ Goal - £20 @ 1.04
2. MGB v Koln Lay 0-0 - £20.65 @ 18.5 3. Sochaux v Dijon - Lay 0-0 £21.78 @ 12 4. Toluca v Cruz Azul - +0.5 £23.76 @1.08 5. Auxerre v PSG - Lay 0-0 £25.56 @ 13 Current Bank £27.58 Night all.. |
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Well played!
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thanks for info aniella
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quizman 15 Apr 12 16:48
1 Celtic v Hearts 0.5+ goals £20 @ 1.08 £1.52 (1-2) 2. Heracles v Walwijk 0.5+ goals £21.52 @ 1.06 £1.25 3. Freiburg v Hoffenheim IP 0.5 goals £22.77 @ 1.09 Unlucky with that last one quizman - give it another go! |
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First one today will be
1. Utrecht v VVV 1+ Goal - £20 @ 1.04 2. MGB v Koln Lay 0-0 - £20.65 @ 18.5 3. Sochaux v Dijon - Lay 0-0 £21.78 @ 12 4. Toluca v Cruz Azul - +0.5 £23.76 @1.08 5. Auxerre v PSG - Lay 0-0 £25.56 @ 13 6. Zorya v Shaktar Donetsk +0.5 £27.58 @ 1.05 (unmatched) Have a couple of others but shift dependant.. |
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Now matched
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001 Arsenal v Wigan 0.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.04
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I have 3 other ''qualifying'' games
Dresden 3.14, Tier 2 Probability Concordia 2.99, Tier 4 Probability - Strictly Speaking no Bet... Arsenal 3.15, Tier 1 Probability Any other interest in these?? |
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Hi Kinners, what is the definition of your "tiers"?
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@jeyton, I think Kinners is referring to the leagues 0-0/goals rankings, which takes into account avg. goals p/m and 0-0%. Holland is top as they have least 0-0% and highest gpg. The higher the league in the rankings the more suitable it is for an over 0.5 bet.
As for todays matches, I've got the Dresden game as very borderline on all requirements, Shakhtar game was always a cert for a goal but odds made it pointless. Arsenal game is probably the best of the day I've found but have yet to look at the odds. |
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thanks:)
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Also LASK Linz v BW Linz looks a cert for goals. Hard to get concrete stats and averages, but looking at their h2h and seasons results, hard to see a 0-0. only one between them all season. Plus the odds are reasonably good.
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thanks for the info THEBEIRNE, I got on the LASK game :)
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Yup me too :) thanks
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Will try to do better this time
1 Banik Ostrava v Slovan Liberec 0.5+ goals £20 @ 1.08 |
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I think the Arsenal match will be good for goals.
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well done quizman :)
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a goal for kalmar ff aswell were off again
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1. Utrecht v VVV 1+ Goal - £20 @ 1.04
2. MGB v Koln Lay 0-0 - £20.65 @ 18.5 3. Sochaux v Dijon - Lay 0-0 £21.78 @ 12 4. Toluca v Cruz Azul - +0.5 £23.76 @1.08 5. Auxerre v PSG - Lay 0-0 £25.56 @ 13 6. Zorya v Shaktar Donetsk +0.5 £27.58 @ 1.05 7. Dresden v Dusseldorf Lay NNG £28.82 @ 12 (unmatched) If there's an early goal, then it's on to Arsenal.. |
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Thebeirne, What %age are using to define borderline on 0-0?? I think JOCI is using
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Thebeirne, What %age are using to define borderline on 0-0?? I think JOCI is using
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ok, i guess im not allowed more than 1 line anymore!!
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is using less than 5%, think the less than sign is confusing the posts!! Im curious if others have a higher threshold??
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some explain the algorithm in short?
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7 minutes, Nice
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Kinners, Im using 5% as well as a general guide, but obviously if a game fitted the requirements but had a 7-8% 0-0 chance, it would depend on the odds, Id take it if i could get 1.15 or so.
BlueViru, theres a few checks we do mainly around the average home/away goals. The 0-0% is just % home clean sheets x % away clean sheets (i.e Probability of both teams keeping a clean sheet). Its a rough estimate but when combined with the other check it usually makes for a solid prediction of whether there will be a goal. |
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Good call on the Dresden game btw
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Basically it takes the averages of teams scoring and conceding at home or away in contrast to the average goals scored and conceded in the league, this probability is then multiplied by avg goals per game to give a predicted goals figure.
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Unfortunately, i was too greedy on the odds and never got matched before the goal
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I've broken the rules already and gone for
7b. Dresden v Dusseldorf Lay 1-0 IR £28.80 @ 13 |
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Are you watching the Dresden game Kinners? much action?
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no i cant get the stream to load,
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Second one is Shamrock v Derry £21.52 @ 1.1
Internet playing up at moment , so slow. Hope its back to normal soon. |
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Evening Goal Seekers! Good luck with bets tonight. Let's hope for goal action at Arsenal soon!
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Phew, I was starting to get twitchy then, just in time for Arsenal!!
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0-1 wigan
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didnt even have time to post the bet!!
8. Arsenal v Wigan +0.5 £31.17 @ 1.04 |
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Joci you are the man
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