Nov 11, 2016 -- 11:43PM, detraveller wrote:

Ive backed the draw wake me up on day 5 please. Goodbye lads.

#prayforDET

Nov 12, 2016 -- 5:37PM, DAN1974 wrote:

is it raining ?

We will need to do even more praying for det if it isn't.

Nov 12, 2016 -- 7:39PM, pxb wrote:

looks like most of the rain will fall overnight, can't see a whole day being lostI expect the whole day to be lost.

Yeah looks that way now!

Nov 12, 2016 -- 9:20PM, pxb wrote:

Waiting for the draw panic when TV shows it p'ing down.

With the very low temps and lack of sun, any chance of a delay tomorrow?

Nov 12, 2016 -- 9:30PM, jucel69 wrote:

Nov 12, 2016 --  9:28PM, pxb wrote:Some light rain overnight forecast, but I think a wet outfield Monday unlikely. But only the groundsman really knows.How low do you see the draw, if today is a washout?I haven't got a clue! Interesting to see as a whole day of rain often sees massive movements!

Slightly tough one to call as the draw price already clearly reflects a very high expectation of rain today. It would be at 15s or so with a clear forecast, I'd estimate. Still, the reality of it hammering it down all day seems almost bound to move the market, at least a little. I've bought in a reasonable amount of it and am risking going slightly red even on SA with a final order hoping I can start laying off somewhere in the high 3s perhaps right down to 3. Worth saying that even with showers tomorrow costing a session total and the pitch flattening out, a draw seems pretty unlikely with the game so far advanced. Australia would have to bat five sessions or more, even before you account for making time up and then SA could still lose 15 wickets themselves in the rest of the time to lose themselves. I can't see a draw without a lot of lost time tomorrow too, which seems like it would need a lot of water logging. I don't know enough about Hobart to know how likely that is but seems unlikely even with a load of rain, because the water table won't be high and the ground staff aren't West Indian or South African. I'm not risking going £5k red on draw this time though.

Nov 12, 2016 -- 10:08PM, DAN1974 wrote:

i cant see a draw at all, no way, not with at least 2 and a half days play left, but at the moment i'm trying to trade this weather, i've backed the draw at 4.3 quite big after trading it for small amounts all day. i'm looking to lay it at around 3.7.

That's what I've done, minus the playing around all day, which on reflection is a bit inept of me, although good for you as you'd not have done so well with competition. I've got a 3.8 lay in and like you, don't really believe it will go as low as 3, although I will set up lays at 3 and a bit below in addition to several in the 3s and risk going pretty red on the draw if they get taken.