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These 865 comments are related to the topic:
India v England: 4th Test, Nagpur

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Replies: 865
By:
nigelpm1
When: 15 Dec 12 13:22
Remember for ENG to win 22 wickets will need to fall
By:
Wallflower
When: 15 Dec 12 13:36
Still have hefty red on India, big green on England/Draw - can still even out small-medium green (2.5% of bank)

Credit to India, they have changed the dynamic - was out last night, didn't get involved just watched this morning.

I'll be toying with two approaches:

(1) Play on the volatility: - even out green at the start and then play (continual back/lay) a potentially volatile market - e.g England wicket, India price crash - lay India immediately etc. England look settled, draw price steadily comes in, get in early and out early, just taking bits. In essence, playing the market with green as opposed to the match
(2) Leave alone, in my staunch belief that the Indian attack just is not potent enough to bowl England out tomorrow, and the pitch unlikely to help them that much

Option 2 is the current preferred approach.
By:
kingmax
When: 15 Dec 12 13:37
why are india 3's and england 6? just loggged in whats going on here..
By:
Wallflower
When: 15 Dec 12 13:41
kingmax, the logic is that if England bat well, they'll bat into tomorrow and ensure the draw - very unlikely to declare and force the result. Plus mug Indian money as wellHappy
By:
Wallflower
When: 15 Dec 12 13:42
tomorrow - meaning Day 5
By:
nigelpm1
When: 15 Dec 12 13:45
Ultimately, it's much harder for ENG to force a result even if they wanted to
By:
worcester sauce
When: 15 Dec 12 14:20
Englands chances of winning depend on how well India bowl and we all know Indias bowling is ****
By:
worcester sauce
When: 15 Dec 12 14:21
lix is right at 1.83 the draw is gr8 value for a trade
By:
Asparagus Man
When: 15 Dec 12 14:24
Draw a big lay for me now.

Bottom line here is that both sides will have to bat at least 80 overs in the 2nd innings for this to be a draw.

England might need to bat 120 to make the game safe.

All this on Day 4/5 for a series decider with all the pressure that entails.

Agree that the England / India differential is wrong currently - for me England the only side guaranteed to have a chance of winning the game - even if England get done for 150 second dig they aren't going to be longer than they are now.
By:
Asparagus Man
When: 15 Dec 12 14:25
Draw could be busted by tea tomorrow WS?
By:
worcester sauce
When: 15 Dec 12 14:30
could also be 1.2 A.M
By:
Lix
When: 15 Dec 12 14:31
india 3.3 feels a free lay until we bat. The market does realise India have Ishant batting right?

He has ZERO shots. none at all. just a pure blocker. eng will be quite happy to see him take time out of the game.
By:
Asparagus Man
When: 15 Dec 12 14:36
Not many scenarios where England end day 4 longer than they are now?

Unless the game is over Shocked
By:
Sudoku_Junior
When: 15 Dec 12 14:38
Ashwin has to go berserk from ball one tomorrow, try and get a quick 20/30, if he gets out in the first over then so be it.
By:
Lix
When: 15 Dec 12 14:48
AM- what about ashwin adding another 70 runs here like he did last test.. Plain
By:
nigelpm1
When: 15 Dec 12 14:49

Dec 15, 2012 -- 8:36AM, Asparagus Man wrote:


Not many scenarios where England end day 4 longer than they are now?Unless the game is over


There's plenty.  particularly if they are 200/5 at close of play.

By:
Lix
When: 15 Dec 12 14:51
eng way shorter than 6.4 if they are 200/5 at close imo.
By:
Sudoku_Junior
When: 15 Dec 12 14:55
Bar in mind, if india have say 60 overs to get 300, they might start out going for it but if they lose a couple i cant see them still trying to chase.
By:
nigelpm1
When: 15 Dec 12 14:58

Dec 15, 2012 -- 8:55AM, Sudoku_Junior wrote:


Bar in mind, if india have say 60 overs to get 300, they might start out going for it but if they lose a couple i cant see them still trying to chase.


yeah. They aren't Ban!

By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 15 Dec 12 14:59
you cant get 300 off 60 overs on this pitch sudo imo..not when you can bowl legitimate wides and use delaying tactics
By:
worcester sauce
When: 15 Dec 12 15:49
if parity reached and england 200-5 at end of play draw will be lot shorter and so would england India a price
By:
skips21
When: 15 Dec 12 16:00
Im out of this match

Getting up last three mornings at 4am have taken its toll Crazy

Level greened up job done

Cant pick a winner from here got a feeling theres gonna be some twists and turns yet
By:
sageform
When: 15 Dec 12 16:33
Either batting gets really hard and England get out for 160 and then get India out for less or it keeps palying as it has and England get 250 in 4 sessions and it is a draw. Unless our batting completely implodes, India can't win.
By:
Millionaire_Morse
When: 15 Dec 12 16:42
ENGLAND CANNOT WIN
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 15 Dec 12 16:44
no **** sherlock Shocked

mind you posting that has just given england backers a huge boost
By:
kingmax
When: 15 Dec 12 16:46
i dont see how india have more chance of winning than england..
By:
Millionaire_Morse
When: 15 Dec 12 16:49
india are the only side that can win . that is obvious .
england are playing for a draw .
By:
kingmax
When: 15 Dec 12 16:51

Dec 15, 2012 -- 10:49AM, Millionaire_Morse wrote:


india are the only side that can win . that is obvious .england are playing for a draw .


bollox...

By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 15 Dec 12 16:58
morse if india skittle england cheaply, then the wicket will have worsened..if thats the case, then india could just as easily crumble...however the law of averages say you will finally win a bet this series
By:
Mariner Paul
When: 15 Dec 12 17:41
Was hoping for a lay in tomorrow. Cry
By:
PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH
When: 15 Dec 12 17:42
England will have to bat a minimum 100 overs to save the game and win the series assuming their r/r will be similar to that in their 1st inns Shocked no lay in tomorrow and its saturday night Cool
By:
PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH
When: 15 Dec 12 17:45
and if india need around 250 / 275 in 60 / 70 overs they will go for it as must win Happy
By:
Mariner Paul
When: 15 Dec 12 18:20
My only red is India now and it's quite significant. I'm tempted to bail out.
By:
skips21
When: 15 Dec 12 18:38
If you can get all green i would do paul

England aint had a batting collapse for a while one is overdue

Could see them being all out for 220 giving india a day to get it

Sehwag and gambhir go nuts early and set a platform for the rest of the team

Virat and MS got some confidence now after two great knocks

Im all of a sudden talking myself into dipping my toe in the market again Crazy think the next two days will be a minefield

3 days of your hard work could be undone and some
By:
PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH
When: 15 Dec 12 18:43
you see MP personally i do not think it will be a draw as India must go for win whilst england batting 100 overs or so will be tricky as their intent from day one was to win the series Skips has summed it up well and in the main share the same view as well as india will bowl 4 spinners from memory and will bowl most of the overs so could get an extra 5 overs if not more at england tomorrow as like on day 1
By:
PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH
When: 15 Dec 12 18:45
having said that the draw will trade shorter at some point so its really when the best time to lay Happy
By:
Mariner Paul
When: 15 Dec 12 18:47
Well it's gonna be an interesting day tomorrow. All of a sudden England's batting line up doesn't look great in this situation.
By:
PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH
When: 15 Dec 12 18:50
not against 4 spinners with the ball starting to turn slowly can see england just surviving but will be a tall order to survive minimum 100 over imo say england out 270 ish which is reasonable and india say 30 / 40 for 0 the market will all want to be with india and rightly so
By:
skips21
When: 15 Dec 12 18:53
Cook will be they key he brings confidence and belief to the team

If he goes early i fear for them

Bell has the backbone of a snake

Compton i still dont trust

Kp could do something silly

Trott not in great nick

Root fair play to the lad different kind of pressure second time around

Then the tail prior and swann are useful but if they 6 down again the pressure will be immense

The indians will come alive the crowd will come alive

The two english batsman at he crease will just want the ground to open up there will be appeal's galore
By:
Mariner Paul
When: 15 Dec 12 18:55
I'm gonna hang fire until close of play tomorrow and reassess. Nobody can say for certain what will happen. The Dhoni / Kholi partnership was totally unexpected. Praying for rain here! Laugh
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