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im maxed out or i'd lay that till the cows come home
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Totally agreement with you guys and position is held as such
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india are right in this match contrary to whats been said recently personally i would not be laying them max
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give me a scenario that supports the theory then
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I dont think you're telling the truth PTTT
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14 wickets down in two days...cant see this as a draw
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thing is how many of the 14 wkts were down to the pitch and not just poor shots/bad decisions?
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draw terrible value at 3.0 with 270 overs left in match was value last night at 4.0 captain please read earlier posts and you will see who made money today
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not as terrible as indias price though
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disagree completely on that as do sporting index who have england with roughly a 1st innings lead of 50 which is not 5.5 verses 2.08
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actually think england are fair value which makes india even better value based on the 2.08 verses 5.5
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dont agree, it will be a terrific effort to only have a 50 run deficit, but those 50 runs will be like gold dust to england and i just cant see india getting a sniff, they would have to bowl out england for less than 150
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and you also have to factor in for india
ineptitude lack of interest poor body language loss of confidence pressure of playing for their futures |
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oh and batting 4th on a wicket that will deterioriate
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then if you beleive what you say then draw is poor value at 3.0 which makes england or india value
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hmmm in normal circumstances yes, but england will strive to bat and bat and bat without pushing for a win
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personally think batting was harder today and will get progressively so think batting for time will prove to be dangerous for england
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you see for a draw england will need to bat around 120 overs that is provided india bat around 150 which is a lot of time at the crease
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india will have to bat all day for parity,day 4 england back all day for 240,day 5 back for 1 session,320 should be enough to help my england lay.
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do not think india will bat all day if they do then it will be excellent batting personally i am not an england layer at this stage as think they are fair value
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PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH
14 Dec 12 11:42 Joined: 17 Nov 01 | Topic/replies: 2,844 | Blogger: PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH's blog draw terrible value at 3.0 with 270 overs left in match was value last night at 4.0 captain please read earlier posts and you will see who made money today Made no comment on how much money you made or otherwise PTTT. |
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personally i think the draw will trade odds on at some point this game cant see england setting a total that India can possibly chase hopefully India can take another 50 overs minimum out of the game tomorrow then England bat for 100 + overs second dig
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thought you were having a dig captain not my style talking about making money as i know there will be losers on the other side, been a long night / morning please excuse me
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maybe WS just think the end result should not be a draw given how much time left
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i agree PTTT but plenty mileage in it cook and england would settle for a 2-1 series win and with Kohli Dhoni Jadaja and ashwin all capable of holding a bat (dont think England going to steam roller them in morning)draw seems fair bet to me at moment
one things for sure though tomorrow any one that sleeps in does so at the risk of losing all cuz all 3 results very much possible |
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i agree all 3 results possible but just dont feel 5.5 represents indias true chances
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India should be around 15 sweetchild imo but thats gr8 that they are 5.5 cuz it means value on draw and England just got to make your choice and take your chances
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iv got england and the draw as a toss of a coin, so thats why ive just gone in head down on the india lay
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india - £477
Eng + £259 draw + £696 thats how my book looks pretty happy with it but will be getting up early in morning just in case |
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As expected 300ish for England be decent score. Better bowlers now making more of conditions.
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hope you get your draw W.S.
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Finally got involved in this Test after the missus woke me by talking too loudly on the phone in the next room. Just as well she did, though, as I switched on Sky-Go on the iPad in bed and my mobile to check the latest odds.
If you think Sky Sports' coverage is delayed, try Sky-Go (slow). With Monty and Anderson all over Sachin like a rash, I attempted a lay of India at around 4.00 . . . only to miss the boat. Sachin was still playing and missing a few minutes after the India price flew out to 5+. Anyway, my fault obviously for not getting up and going downstairs to watch the telly. Have now laid India with a lump to leave my book looking like this: India -£1,600 England +£656 Draw +£239 Wish I had more to lay India with. Not even going to set the alarm tomorrow and don't expect to be watching this game on the scheduled Day 5. |
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Upset with myself that I didn't lay ind after day 1 - as some people mentioned - woke up to a score I expected eng 7 down .
Unfortunately at horrible work but did manage to scramble in to an ok ish position, - 200 ind and draw , 200 profit eng . May lay more India - going to watch highlights later but eng looked well up for it in what I saw - only worry for eng win is if they just bat time as mentioned previously |
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There is a sense of destiny that England will win this match.
I have lumped @ 1.98 |
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If someone wants a fixed odds bet, then laying India is decent value.
If someone wants a trade, there's a strong reason why all three prices will move in both directions. And that's why love BF.. |
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For Ind to move in they will need significant contributions from their next 3 partnerships - kohl I / dhoni / jad / ash - if eng can knock 2 over and avoid a batting collapse they take the test and series
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Very well done on the lay one a day KC.
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Sorry wrong forum.
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India -1,510.30
England +1,792 draw + 534.70 laid india heavily around 2.2 last night to change my position, before was big red on draw now question is what to do, option to go £800ish green very tempting and right thing to do, when i get greedy i lose, so green out or rely on England, looked at options yesterday changed red around and looking good but what will tomorrow bring india will need all day for parity, in that case Eng will need to bat 90 overs min leaving just less than a day to bowl india out, draw good fav then Eng skittle india inside tea tomorrow, and have 175-185 lead at close, probably still bat most of day 4 bar last 40 mins leaving 100 0vers to bowl india out, still draw good chance regardless of indias score Eng going to need min 200 for safety, if india bat day 5, so i suppose danger of indian win will only happen if Eng get skittled for 160 or less which is possible, really it is, see i'm talking myself into a bigger indian lay level head thoughts pls not just patriotism |
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Cunning - my plan would be to green out and move on to the next match.
You've 'won' the bet. Why try to call the next 3 days right again and again? Asking for trouble imo. Take the win and move on. GL. |