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Any comments from nicky
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Not heard anything but when I do I very much doubt there will be any talk of the Ryanair!!
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think he will be back in the champion chase ,although he wasnt beaten far and it was by a very good un who he wont face at the festival , however a decent looking crop of 2nd season chasers some of who may have targeted other festival races will be waiting now that aura of invincibility has been lowered and he will have to be at least as good as he has been to win the race again . amazed hendo still talking king george !
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I am not nickys biggest fan but back when he was bolder he did run remittance man in the king George.
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going by hendo post race a rematch with the winner is on the cards at some point possibly the kg
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knowing how much this forum loves the the race I almost dare not say but if they are now not thinking Ryanair as the long term target then they should draw stumps on the horse. I do not even see this as a tricky one. Imo opinion he does not have the pace for a champion chase anymore and will not stay the gc trip
This leaves one race unless they are not going to target the festival. From a pocket point of view it would suit me if they say they are going to target the CC as it helps make the market for others. I feel this is top of WM’s bucket list and he has imo the two likeliest winners. Btw I adore the horse but unlike some he has not been wrapped in cotton wool and in my opinion he is starting to feel his age and the understandable strains of many miles in his legs both racing and training. I hope I am wrong and he storms up the Cheltenham hill for another CC success. He will do so without any of my money but nobody will be cheering louder. |
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i my pocket would like to see him ryanaire , where do they go ? chelt suits him well and he got yesterdays trip well enough just couldnt match what looks an exceptional and fast improving horse in cyrname over that trip ,hendo alludes that altior needed the race and king george still on his mind, thing is he didnt scream 3 miles to me and the winner a lot stronger at the finish and breeding suggests 3 m will be within cyrnames compasss so hard to see him turning it round and thats without the proven 3 milers lining up .
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He is saying bring on round 2 in the King George this morning. Not for me.
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Wouldn't fancy either of them in the KG
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Nothing at all against the Ryanair,in fact its now one of my fav races at the festival,nearly always produces good finishes.
I just think Hendo will not run Altior in the race. If he runs a big race in the KG(if he goes there)then the Gold Cup will be his race I would think. If he patently fails to stay,then I think he will run at Ascot in the Victor Chandler and then Queen Mother. Or he could revert back and run in the Desert Orchid over xmas. The Ryanair may turn out to be the right race for the horse, but I just don't see Hendo running him in it. |
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sadly I suspect you are right Budd. All the evidence that we currently have to me suggests the Ryanair is the most suitable race for him at this stage in his career. The fact that appears to be the least likely of 3 possible festival outcomes speaks volumes. I would rather pull all of my finger nails out than start up another Ryanair debate but I just think it’s sad.
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Even if Cyrname goes there too? I know all about the right hand bias but he is a different animal now.
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I dont think Hendo would be concerned re running against Cyrname at Cheltenham.
Actually when you consider that Nico said that Altior needs to step up,and Hendo seems to agree,then failing to stay well in the KG should really see him in the Ryanair using logic. |
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A tricky race with the doubts about Altior and with Douvan more injury prone than Darren Anderton.
![]() As with the Champion Hurdle it looks like a good year for a changing of the guard. I have thrown a few quid on Kalashnikov at 190 on here. Would have won the Arkle imo if he hadn't been brought down , then won at Aintree and ran a cracker under top weight on his return (a strange race to aim him at imo?).I know he is meant to be being aimed at the Ryanair but a stongly run 2 miles on a stiff left handed track looks his optimum to me. |
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I can see WM breaking his duck in the race this year
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What do we make of the Tingle Creek?
We had last years Champion Chase form ripped to pieces by the performances of SR and Politologue,and an 11 year old(albeit a very good 11 year old)beaten a neck by the now 6/1 3rd fav. All rather confusing in relation to next years Champion Chase imo. |
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In my opinion all form lines point to Chacun Pour Soi. Hammered Defi last year and I see no reason there will be any difference if they meet again.
Forty |
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Waiting tactics might suit Defi better at Cheltenham with such a long run in to catch the leaders. Barry felt it necessary to tackle Un de Sceaux at the last yesterday and he idled. Still not convinced that he has the speed to win a good CC.
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cilaos emery did it well by all accounts ! what a race we have in prospect if even the top half a dozen in the betting turn up ,will surely be race of the festival imagine this lot turning up altior,chacan pour soir ,defi de seul,cilaos emery ,le richeborge ,scau royal ,douvan,dynamite dollars ,throw in the arkle winner and we have a race and a half , unlikely they will all turn up but ya can dream .
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Apart from Altior, how many of them would win an average Champion Chase? It might be exciting but it aint a vintage group of horses yet.
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could be altior has been beating an average lot the last 3 or so seasons, min apart who of that lot he has beat over 2 miles would be considered top class ? true the new lot may not also prove to be top class but improvement likely .
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If he was mine Defi would be Ryanair bound and would be a huge fancy in that race.
I'd worry that he doesn't have the speed for a CC and that the Tingle Creek form may prove to be suspect, even if he was idling on hitting the front. |
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I think Altior has been beating an average lot to be honest, Douvan would have had him in trouble had he not fallen and generally when Altior has hit his flat spot there had been nothing there to take the race away from him at that point, his stamina then kicked in against inferior horses.
It always made me laugh when some compared him to Sprinter, the truth is that SS would have demolished Altior as he went through his flat spot and the race would have been over. Hendo confuses me when he is at pains to stress just how quick he is and how heart stopping he is to see on the gallops, he looked plain slow at Ascot the other day, I don't see how dropping him back in trip will help him. That being said, the opposition over 2 miles have their own questions to answer, Chacun could be that classy traveller that just kills them but he has it all to answer and I'd want him to show me the Punchestown run again before I believe in him. I've been more put off DDS after the week end, I'm not sure about his jumping over 2 miles and I hate the fact that he'll also have to be delivered just right and there would also a big enough question about him even running in the race for me, there's enough against him, 5/1 now is horrible. The two at the prices are Le Richebourg and Footpad. 20's and 25's. Le Richebourg was the clear leading novice last year before injury ruled him out of the festival, he's the forgotten horse but is likely to be back at Xmas or just after, if all goes well for him and he progresses on from where he left off I don't see how DDS gets shunted to the Ryanair. I'd like Footpad in either the CC or Ryanair, last year was a clear write off but he looked back to form with that powerful display on his comeback, I remain convinced that his performances as a novice mark him down as real top class on his day despite the fact you could knock the form, you are getting the prices now with both these two horses. 20's and 25's against the field looks more than fair to me. |
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It made me laugh also Duffy
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Anyone would think this so called flat spot went on for any length of time!! He just runs a bit lazily and the jockey has to shake him up,and when he does it’s race winning time......again and again!! And by the way....Douvan not in the same league as Altior at their best in my humble opinion.
And do we really need to pooh pooh opposition just to have a pop at a great champion??? |
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he looked plain slow at Ascot the other day,
duffy is you're post above some kind of joke? time may prove altior had no chance the other day against a horse i believe to be a monster in a very fast time...times don't lie and altior has proved to be one of the best 2 mile chasers we have seen or i have seen, who could of won a champion hurdle if he wanted. it's like saying istabraq beat nothing in his champion hurdle successes. the demolition of un de sceax was some performance and ok you may want to knock last years win but a lot of the stable were suffering with the flu jab, apart from that he has put every horse away he has run against apart from the young horse at ascot. even at the age of ten next year i'd still make him strong favourite in the queen mum if he turned up |
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Yes it was some performance(along with many others) and that would be the same Un De Sceaux that demolished Douvan end of last season.
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Woah, steady on chaps, I didn't say he was a bad horse did I? Of course he is a very good horse, I was talking about him in the context of an all time great as some people categorize him and IMO he's not in that category, in recent years I'd have SS ahead of him and Masterminded too, perhaps not longevity but that first win was awesome, going back a little further and Moscow Flyer and Viking Flagship who would be a very similar horse in run style I'd like more. Altior is a very good horse but not in the best of the best division...for me
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I see this quite differently Duffy. Of course on official ratings Altior is a fair bit below both mm and ss but I think that doesn’t tell the full picture. I have never seen a horse quicken up the Cheltenham incline (let’s face it it’s not a hill) like Altior. His jockey trusts his finishing kick implicitly so knows there is absolutely no point taking unnecessary risks and trying to win his race too early. He keeps his powder dry and then leashes his electric finishing kick. Why wouldn’t you ride the horse this way it a) lessens the risk of making race ending errors and b) increases the longevity of the horse as it minimises the chance of having hard races.i absolutely do not see it that he outstays his opposition, he simply outspeeds them at the end of the race. This way of riding the horse will never result in flashy ratings but results in win after win and guess what that’s exactly what has happened. I believe that the rider would and could adjust his game plan if faced with better opposition and I simply think you would see him sacrifice a little of that electric kick by using a little more petrol up to stay in touch with a better class horse. We of course will never know but I think it a little harsh not to credit this horse as a quick horse with finishing kick as his chief weapon. I woul loved to have seen whether he could have been close enough to ss or mm coming to the last because imo they would need a good few lengths to see him off up the incline. I for one think of three of them as great and certainly wouldn’t expect ss to come out anywhere near 13 pound superior in a head to head.
All that said I think Altior is not quite as good as he was and I think the altior of two years ago would comfortably beat this years model. Just a view. I just hope that I’d he does run in the cc and disappoint that it doesn’t reflect on his legacy and how he is seen in the all time pecking order. |
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The analogy I would use. Altior is like mo farah. Never posted fast times but always won because he knew all he had to do was stay in touch till the last lap and outspeed them every time. He is quite a way down all time list of fastest times but nobody could beat him. He also beat many people that have posted faster personal bests.
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Very fair Milton, I believe though that SS would force Altior out of his comfort zone and would ask him to use himself earlier than he would like, this would IMO have an effect on him come the end. Of course Altior may well be able to just up his game and travel through that period and still be able to finish the way he did, but at some point a certain level of quality opposition would be able to power through the race to a degree where it would compromise Altior and the way he goes, so what's the tipping point? I think that SS and MM would have provided that tipping point.
It hasn't helped Altior that he has run against sub standard fields, the horses above won in better renewals of the race. |
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The analogy I would use. Altior is like mo farah
Hendo been sending him to Salazar has he, no wonder he can get up the Cheltenham hill the way he does. ![]() |
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Class
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Lay Altior.
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Clarence House tomorrow.
If UDS beats DDS then he has to be in the mix for the Champion Chase. Without Altior I think hes the next best if he don't get beat tomorrow. Chucked a few bob on him on here at around 23. |
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Would need it all in his favour though especially re the ground....at his age!!
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Fair enough !!
Bless him though,thought he put on a great exhibition of jumping from the front,main reason why I have loved this horse. I will miss him when he retires. |
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I thought that was an un de par un de sceux and defi an overreaction from bookies. That said big fan of DDS.
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Would have been interesting if he had jumped the 2nd last as well as Defi did.
Like Sandown he was closing at the end. Yeh,although he jumped well till the 2nd last,he's probably as good as that at the age of 12. |
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I really hope they can get Altior back for March
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