|
By:
how many runners do people think there will be in the arkle now?? wouldn't surprise me if only half a dozen turn up
|
|
By:
Wont be double figures for sure,only danger to fav is the fences. Tuesday looking pretty crap day normally day i look forward to of all days.
|
|
By:
Not a crap day if you like watching good horses jump hurdles/fences..........watching Douvan, Faugheen and hopefully Annie Power in Festival Championship races is what the games is all about for me. Plenty of other races in the week to lose money on !!!
|
|
By:
Sorry wrong wording uncompetive in Arkle,Champion Hurdle,just disappointed as Tuesday normally my fav day of week. I am looking forward to seeing Douvan and Faugheen win as backed both fwiw.
|
|
By:
On that we do agree stevo. Less competitive than we hoped for that is for sure. Rally thought Ar Mad might be the one novice who could take on Douvan over 2miles and I did hope Nichola Canyon was going to be the real deal that was capable to get Faugheen "at it". No bet races now but great to watch.
|
|
By:
Cant spell, hopefully blip lto for NC backed him in without Faugheen market now 6/1 with PP hopefully shows his form. Got Douvan in few doubles like many others at decent prices. Supreme could be best race of day imo.
|
|
By:
Yeh,I thought Ar Mad could serve it up to Douvan. Maybe Vaniteux can,not much between him and Ar Mad on form.
Could still be an interesting race. |
|
By:
It'd be a gubbing of Western Warhorse/Champagne Fever proportions if Ar Mad were to beat Douvan imo, two racehorses from separate planets. Ar Mad was beaten in a handicap hurdle off 115. If that can then go on to beat Douvan fair and square in an Arkle I'd be absolutely gutted.
|
|
By:
it's moot cos he's out injured but Ar Mad has much better chase form than Western Warhorse had - he's won a Grade 1 and a Grade 2 chase, Western Warhorse had run in and won 1 Class 3 chase.Ar Mad's handicap hurdle defeat is surely no more relevant than Douvan's debut defeat in a 4yo hurdle in France.
|
|
By:
I just mean in terms of disappointment factor. Probably a fair enough point about Douvan getting beat in France and Ar Mad getting beaten early on in career. I dunno, I just couldn't have the beast (Ar Mad). Like Vaniteux, Ar Mad is a perfectly decent horse who you'd love to own but there's 0 star quality there unlike with Douvan imo.
|
|
By:
I still think it could be a decent ish race this Arkle. Ok we have the hot fav that is Douvan and probably would be a shock if any one of the field were to beat him, but now with Ar Mad
out, would connections of Garde La Victoire now be tempted to try it? After all the JLT is looking a hot little race.I can see 6-7 runners at this stage so to get 3 places at 1/4 the odds is still decent. The 6 or 7 i can see rocking up are with my price i backed at in brackets: Douvan NO BET though i had every opportunity to bet it at 5/2 when with a good friend of mine who managed to get 180 on at that price but not after a ptl in shop in Blackpool, again for the 2nd year running i should have took the advice ![]() Vaniteaux (20/1 ew 1/4 1-3) Garde La Victoire (16/1 ew 1/4 1-3 with a small insurance top up at same price in JLT) L'ami Serge (10/1 1/4 1-3 with a top up at 7/1 any race market 1/5th 1-3 and a small insurance bet 12/1 1/4 1-3 jlt) Sizing John Alisier Dirlande Arzal Tell us More ArMad i backed str8 after his last win in Dec' at 10/1 before the Moores said they were worried about going left handed with him .So basically the top of the bf market right now with obvious question marks over LS the w/o market could prove to be where it's at in regards having a bet but even if like me u don't like them markets, how many times every week do we see long odds on shots that shouldn't get beat, for whatever reason or another, get beat ![]() |
|
By:
Sts the game changer I would put in there and arzal was said by connections won't go to the arkle, but the way it's cutting up you never know. Not sure about tell us more, if 6 or 7 line up, 50s ew would look pretty big on his run at the weekend, all the risks involved though and surely something was amiss with ttebob.
|
|
By:
Oh yeah
The Game Changer haha i backed him at 25s 1/4 1-3 as well pmsl ![]() |
|
By:
Can see this race cutting up to the extent where it's Win only!!
Trainer of Arzal confirmed after his Donny run that he goes straight to Aintree while De Bromhead said the following about Sizing John (yesterday I think), "He’s never run beyond two. But if he stays I imagine he could go well in a race like the JLT". Also you've got GLV possibly going for JLT, The Game Changer hasn't run since Oct and Elliott said after his last run that the Grand Annual was a more likely option or he'll be saved for Aintree and Punchy. So lets say they don't oppose, you basically only have Vaniteux and L'Ami Serge with odds which are currently shorter than 50/1. Anybody see any value in the W/O market?! |
|
By:
With all due respect and decent prize money down to 6th there is no way this is a win only race for betting purposes. There will be 7 or 8 runners! There always is. Connections are bound to have a rethink and there will be some owners with no hopers entered keeping a beady eye on things too with a thought of popping round and getting the 5th or 6th prize. A very big annoyance to bookmakers as they will make this race one of the filthiest for each way in the history of the Arkle
![]() |
|
By:
Yeah was saying it a bit tongue in cheek to be honest. Really disappointed about Arzal TBH as he is the one I would take in the w/o market at the prices
|
|
By:
STS looks Vaniteux your only hope of place matey, unless Douvan comes down Sizing John and GLV JLT bound, Arzal not going,Tell Us More big engine but cant jump straight.
|
|
By:
I would expect that there will be about 8 runners. There will be good money to be got for running down the field. I'd imagine that before the race we all considered Western Warhorse a hopeless rag. There are very few handy grade ones at the festival and if one sluices in hard held it probably means he's a good one - not many do. I sympatise with those who backed AR Mad and get no run but I couldnt see a right-handed jumper winning this Arkle - those who say he only jumped a little right or that he jumped straight at some were/are fooling themselves as under pressure at Cheltenham it would have been far worse. Tbf there was value to be had in that one was backing a good horse and anything could happen and sometimes/often does.
|
|
By:
Yeah stevo1, Arkle been a graveyard for me recent years. But still i come back for more trying to eek out the filth each way at antepost prices and hoping for 2 places or the win, (odds onners that look bomb proof do get beat too, how many a week) I didn't back Western Warhorse his year either
![]() |
|
By:
I don't mean to worry anyone but
Douvan has just been done at 1.99 ![]() |
|
By:
Good spot again STS and again there's next to nowt waiting to back - has a look of the Faugheens about it.
It couldn't be, could it? |
|
By:
yeah well spotted sts , usefull to have someone hot on the markets on here ! thanks
|
|
By:
I suppose the difference is that the stable has nothing else for the race.
With Faugheen, although it drifted a little, what happened was that the likes of AF got backed. This lad is pretty much their sole representative, so I'd expect him to drift more markedly if there was a problem. Maybe some thoughts about a CH re-rout, which would be preposterous! Unless of course he is going to do both, now that the 'cap is the third race, he'd get an hours rest ![]() |
|
By:
I laid the fiver at 1.81 that was there, just to see what happened next.....
|
|
By:
That fiver was mine haha
![]() |
|
By:
Douvan1.81 £5.00 £4.05
Ref: 62694018899Matched: 11:56 19-Feb-16 |
|
By:
LOL, you ramping tw4t. Hook, line and sinker
![]() ![]() ![]() Is that other fiver yours as well now? 'Cos you can feck off! |
|
By:
I dunno. A poster gets himself a reputation as the guardian of the forum, letting us know when the jollies are on the drift.
Then BLAM, he thieves £4.05 off an unsuspecting traveller, daft enough to put his trust in one seemingly so benevolent! |
|
By:
LOL i was just testing the water cos ive been like i do with all the shorties every fez laying him since he went to odds on. I stuck a tenner up at 1.7 and it was took within a couple of mins and then that fiver at 1.81.
I basically go along the lines of if nothings up and the market is merely adjusting to possibility of runners coming in and out, they would have sat there for hours/days without being matched until the percentage got close to the price needing to be at that spot. I have all the major markets open at all times, its the way i roll, when something i think needs flagging up happens i flag it up on here. When i am out i either have me phone or the wife in the house with instructions. I am what you call a bit OCD with my market watching especially this close to the fez when so much is riding antepost. |
|
By:
Oh, it was yeah
but ive since cancelled it and put it on 1.9 ![]() |
|
By:
You've trained the missus to watch the markets when you're out
Yes pal, that qualifies as OCD! For that commitment alone, you're welcome to my £4-05, you've earned it! I'd never give my missus access to my account. For one, she really doesn't need to be knowing about how much I invest in this - none gamblers don't understand how you could risk so much, in my experience. They liken it to one-armed-bandits or other such games of chance, not appreciating the effort that goes into these decisions. Secondly, as with everything else, she would develop an 'opinion' and I'd come back to a pile of bets on Venetia Williams' and Rebecca Curtis' yaks, as we need to be 'supporting women in such a male dominated sport', or some such b0ll0cks. |
|
By:
Nah, my missus don't touch anything guess im really lucky with that regard. Nothing is a secret in my house. She has full access to all the files of bets losses and winnings on my computer. I guess it helps that they show a green portfolio and she gets her holiday in the summer each year after Cheltenham though lol
![]() |
|
By:
Well, the money is back now. Drama over, whatever it was.
Well done to the 1.99 backer, oh and the 1.81 backer ![]() |
|
By:
STS
That really deserves a place in the top 10 aftertime, that's another classic from you there...you're a natural. ![]() ![]() |
|
By:
I think you could get some 1.8 ish on the day as punters will look to get him beat. 1.66 to lay ATM no reason to be alarmed just think it's the pure fact of a novice being short enough albeit in a weak arkle. I for one think it's a certainty
|
|
By:
![]() |
|
By:
Alisier D'Irlande running tomorrow at Leopardstown. Have taken some of the 20's in the w/o market NRNB.
More likely to go straight to Aintree based on trainers comments today but if he runs very well tomorrow they may well take a chance and no doubt his odds will be shorter on the day, plus money back if he doesn't run. |
|
By:
Alisier D'Irlande easy winner again, but will wait for Maghull Novice Chase at Aintree.
|