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Faugheen

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By:
McK30wn
When: 06 Jan 14 13:19
Its easy enough saying he is beating trees but it hard not to get away from the fact he has a serious engine and them trees are wee and truly slaughtered! Be very surprised if this horse Doesnt go very close in which ever race he turns up for
By:
duffy
When: 06 Jan 14 13:45
No, I'm not sl@gging the horse per se, I'm simply pointing out (as it's been pointed on this thread that there is a possibility that he could go off short) that he is starting to fit the profile of the the irish, usual mullins horse that has a string of wins over the winter and rocks up a shortie and promptly gets beat when facing a whole different level of opposition and ground for the first time...the judgement call on these types is to oppose....that's not me saying it, it's what we've all learned from seeing it over and over again with horses that I'd guess went to the festival with even better form than this one will have.....whatever happens, his price will be due mainly on visual impression rather than quality of form....which wouldn't make a short price particularly attractive.
By:
rogerthebutler
When: 06 Jan 14 14:53
I want to see what he has off the bridle and to that extent I agree with Duffy (and I've gone balls-deep on him for the Neptune only). Horses don't win at Cheltenham hard held and I would want to see a horse (pre-Cheltenham) win in a scrap and know he's capable of battling, rather than just hacking round to a series of '1's' prior to the big day
By:
cufcno1
When: 06 Jan 14 16:07
briar hill is the battler !
By:
Tory
When: 06 Jan 14 16:43
You can't say that one is a battler and the other is not because nothing has got Faugheen off the bridle yet - he could have a heart like Bobs Worth for all we know.

I'd like to see him have a proper race but it is possible to win his Neptune fairly well held - Simonsig did it. Not saying he's the next Simonsig or anything but it can be done
By:
cufcno1
When: 06 Jan 14 17:15
fair enough,just going on what ive seen !
By:
sj
When: 06 Jan 14 20:43
a out and out stayer for me is Briar Hill
By:
cufcno1
When: 06 Jan 14 20:46
i agree but just over the last week or so,mullins been adding the word 'speed' when talking about him,just wonder whether that will be his excuse after saying he will be a staying hurdler,after all he put the bumper to bed in 5 strides !
By:
buddeliea
When: 06 Jan 14 20:53
yep showed enough speed in the bumper,bit more to this horse than just staying ability.
Still think the supreme is a possibility,although not the most likely after trainers latest comments.
By:
Arklearkle
When: 07 Jan 14 00:02
I think Duffy if you check you may find that those horses which you say "are beating trees" back in Ireland have won 8 of the last 13 runnings of the Supreme and 5 of the last 11 runnings of the Neptune. And WM has won 4 of them during that period as against PFN with 2 and NJH with 1.
By:
Slabster
When: 07 Jan 14 00:08
Faugheen pretty weak on here tonight?
By:
The RealDeal
When: 07 Jan 14 07:06
Correction imo having dropped from 12 to 9.4 after Briar Hill's run on Sunday. Faugheen still has to a) win his trial (in higher class?), b) be nominated for the Neptune (looks the logical choice but when did that come into it?Wink) and c) turn up fit and ready on the day. So plenty of water to pass under the Mullins bridge in the next 9 weeks, quite enjoying the roller coaster ride and the debates thoughCool.
By:
rhinestone
When: 07 Jan 14 17:15
duffy / roger :-

are you questioning what Faugheen finds off the bridle? Confused
By:
duffy
When: 08 Jan 14 12:38
Arkle/rhinestone

I'm talking about faugheen, I'm not generally questioning what he finds off the bridal, and as I've said I'm not sl@gging him per se, I'm picking up on what WC posted earlier with the list of shorties that all came over for the most part and got beat.

Arkle, I pointed out that I'm talking about the relevant short price faugheen could end up if the factors that WC points out come to pass, which could very well happen...all the examples you've cited don't include real shorties...and without going into each and every one of them I'd expect most of them to have had a better line of form than that of faugheen anyhow, certainly at the moment.

There is, as WC has put a list of horses that faugheen could fall into line with regards to the target being announced and the subsequent over plunge occuring over and above what his price says he should be, and at the moment faugheens form suggests he shouldn't in anyway end up a festival shortie. To date, faugheen has beaten trees.
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 08 Jan 14 13:56
To date, faugheen has beaten trees.
Josses Hill's owner will be disappointed if this is true duffy!
By:
duffy
When: 08 Jan 14 14:18
Well I suppose the term beating trees is a derogatory term of course(we all use it)we don't really mean a horse is useless .... we're talking in the context of the quality of race in which we're using it, and we're using it in the context of discussing a potential for winning at the festival and he was beaten in a flat race anyhow.

My whole point though is his form in relation to the price e could go off if these circumstances that WC happen...I'm not critising him..if he goes off an 8/1 shot, then the level of form can be offset against his potential blah blah, and he's more backable....but if he goes off a real shortie then he should have already proper decent grade 1 form on a couple of occasions beating his direct peers in the process for the price to be justified.
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 08 Jan 14 16:20
There's no way Faugheen should be shorter than The Tullow Tank in the Neptune betting for starters. I've got him at 10-1 so we can get that out the way for starters but backed him in expectation he does something of note before Cheltenham cos what he has shown so far simply ain't that special. And if he was trained by say D Bridgwater 90% on here would have it down as nothing special.
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 08 Jan 14 16:23
I also wonder how much people on here have on Faugheen....surely if yer on every other day discussing the beast youve got at least 150/200 on him? How much has everyone got on this thing?
By:
Arklearkle
When: 08 Jan 14 16:38
Bally the point is he is not trained by D Brigdwater. There are thousands of trainers some better and many worse than DB but 98% of them will never win a grade 1 novice hurdle at the festival.
By:
Tory
When: 08 Jan 14 16:53
9/10 had won over 2.4m or further - would be a concern if The Tullow Tank runs in Deloitte next.

Granted he looks good, but no one has actually seen his stamina tested yet over further than 2m. He looks like he could improve for the trip but you just don't know
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 08 Jan 14 17:05
That's true yep but double figure odds are just too big at present for me. He would have to prove stamina but looks as if he would improve for it.
By:
rhinestone
When: 08 Jan 14 17:18
I also wonder how much people on here have on Faugheen....surely if yer on every other day discussing the beast youve got at least 150/200 on him? How much has everyone got on this thing?

you don't wanna know Ballydoyle Silly
By:
Tory
When: 08 Jan 14 18:50
Just watched TTT's races from his bumper onwards - he is really impressive. Actually think his first run this year was the best due to the way he got trapped, had to take a pull and come wide, and still win.

I know he stayed on in very soft ground last time, but he doesn't lack speed at all and it wouldn't surprise me if he ended up in the supreme - can see him storming up the hill. Don't know if the extra 4f will suit TBF. Definitely like him more than apache stronghold
By:
alleged22
When: 08 Jan 14 22:10
faugheen has overtaken my jackpot horse ballycasey I just cant see it being beaten, neck on line .......LaughLaughLaugh
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 08 Jan 14 22:30
In what race?Laugh
By:
alleged22
When: 08 Jan 14 22:31
Neptune of course bally LaughLaugh
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 08 Jan 14 22:34
Hehe...how much we talkin about here?
By:
alleged22
When: 08 Jan 14 22:41
no scattergun approach here matey faugheen Neptune will be my only bets antepost on this race, if he becomes a non runner dough done..... simples..... you win some you lose some.... its gambling Laugh
By:
Arklearkle
When: 08 Jan 14 22:51
Alleged you have the correct race he only has to win now.
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 08 Jan 14 23:16
Well if you win I also win but I'd be surprised if he ran in Neptune as why run over 2n 6f 3m etc if he's a Neptune horse and stablemate running at around the Neptune trip?step forward the cheeky AB bet
By:
rhinestone
When: 09 Jan 14 16:47
He has way more speed then Briar Hill and any other Mullins novice.
By:
cufcno1
When: 09 Jan 14 17:00
he wouldnt beat briar hill in any race at cheltenham !
By:
rhinestone
When: 09 Jan 14 17:10
Laugh
By:
cufcno1
When: 09 Jan 14 17:23
it cant jump for a start lol !
By:
Tory
When: 09 Jan 14 17:34
It jumps better the quicker it goes. Best round of jumping so far was the 2.2m race. Did clout the third last but in the main it was a good round of jumping
By:
alleged22
When: 09 Jan 14 17:39
deloitte will tell us all a lot more regarding faugheen
By:
alleged22
When: 09 Jan 14 17:42
if he loses some of us will have done their dough, if he wins on the snaff again some of us are going to look rather shrewd, its betting and why I love Cheltenham antepost Excited
By:
rhinestone
When: 09 Jan 14 17:46
The shorter the trip the more impressive Faugheen will be.
By:
cufcno1
When: 09 Jan 14 17:57
on good ground at cheltenham...ha ur having a tin bath,its going for the ab lol !
By:
CVByrne
When: 09 Jan 14 18:04
Faugheen doesnt jump that well when going slow. He's got plenty of stamina and speed so Neptune is clearly the race for him. A race Mullins loves to target his best at. I'm very confident he'll run there and not remotely worried barring an injury to Briar Hill that he'll run anywhere else.

I do understand lots of people have vested interests - myself included - based on what race they've backed him for. So it's not going to be a thread full of unbiased opinions.

For what its worth I've topped up again for the Neptune today, taking advantage of the indecision people have over his target giving the best odds available here on betfair.
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