Forums

Cheltenham Festival

There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
SoYouThink
16 Mar 13 13:55
Joined:
Date Joined: 14 Jun 11
| Topic/replies: 1,396 | Blogger: SoYouThink's blog
Very early obviously to be starting this kind of talk but there'll be some interesting novice chasers around next season:

Nearly sure I read comments this week suggesting that both Rock on Ruby and Oscar Whiskey could embark on novice chase campaigns.

Champagne Fever and Rolling Star will no doubt go that route.

Jezki, Pont Alexandre, Un Atout, Rule The World, Melodic Rendezvous, Taquin De Seuil, Far West surely a handful of them will be seen over fences.

Must be something that connections of Zarkandar, Cinders and Ashes and Countrywide Flame will give thought to, too.

No doubt a few will stick to hurdles, a few will get injured, a few won't jump and a few will end up in the Jewson.

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
Page 1 of 35  •  Previous 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | ... | 35 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 1,372
By:
SirFresh
When: 16 Mar 13 14:10
Henderson said that Cash And Go will be sent over fences and whatever he did this season over hurdles was just a bonus.

Had some funny runs so far...great seasonal debut and then flattered to deceive in every other race despite starting amongst the favs in top handicaps.
By:
Far From Trouble
When: 16 Mar 13 14:27
Oscar Whisky got nowhere else to go now might be a possible?
By:
Ming_the_Merciless
When: 16 Mar 13 14:33
Got to love a cheltenham 2014 thread :)Love

countrywide flame is the size of a pony so he won't be chasing imho.

I think pont alexander is a beast and should make a decent chaser. champagne fever looks like another exciting prospect and one for the Arkle certainly.
By:
alleged22
When: 16 Mar 13 15:34
grandouet could be sent chasing next year
By:
flyingbolt
When: 16 Mar 13 15:51
Zarkandar and Countrywide Flame are flat bred . Wouldn't be for me over fences.As Ming said it would be unlikely the latter would go that route anyway.Jezki isn't very big either.
Rock On Ruby and Oscar Whisky have both had 3 seasons hurdling so wouldn't be ones I'd be interested in as chasing prospects.
Champagne Fever,Un Atout and Rule The World are tremendous chasing prospects.
By:
Far From Trouble
When: 16 Mar 13 16:01
Rule The World Cool

Pont Alexandre more of an RSA type for me
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 16 Mar 13 19:42
agree about Rule The World - from SYT's list above also think Melodic Rendezvous is a potentially exciting chaser.
By:
unclepuncle
When: 16 Mar 13 20:25
Don't fancy any of the established hurdlers at all - too late for Oscar Whisky, Grandouet etc.

Think Jezki and Un Atout could be better Arkle hopes than Champagne Fever, and also like Chatterbox (should never have run in the Neptune). And though it's unlikely, if they were mine, I'd also go straight over fences with Briar Hill and Golantilla.
By:
booster
When: 16 Mar 13 20:34
Chatterbox one I'd really fancy with a full novice  chase season behind him.
By:
Flemenstar
When: 17 Mar 13 00:00
Golantilla is a live chance for RSA/NH chase next season imo. He absolutely pissed his PTP
By:
Ernie__Bert
When: 17 Mar 13 00:31
360 days 10 hours 50 mins and 17 seconds
By:
Glossy
When: 17 Mar 13 11:35
Vasco Du Ronceray is another who is likely to go novice chasing and could be interesting.
By:
onehundredandeighty
When: 17 Mar 13 12:33
Laugh Ernie
By:
unclepuncle
When: 17 Mar 13 13:04
They should increase the festival to 365 days.Laugh
By:
Graeme83
When: 19 Mar 13 17:35
I'd like to see some plans first. Looking forward to the Arkle already as a betting proposition, possibly more so than any other races at this point.
By:
resner not lesnar
When: 19 Mar 13 18:51
Must admit I thought there was an aim originally to move Rock On Ruby to fences next season but Harry Fry today sounds more inclined to keep him over hurdles.

"Chasing next season is a possibility but we'll take one race at a time," Fry said.

"One thing to say is that he's the best two-mile hurdler in this country so when you've spent all this time making him a top-level hurdler to then change discipline to fences, whether you quite reach the same heights, I don't know. That's the conversation with the owners over the summer to see where we go next season but there are obviously options available."
By:
Howdi
When: 19 Mar 13 19:32
ffs lads I love the game but take a rest Aintree next not the fes
By:
bluebirdfan
When: 20 Mar 13 11:39
Champagne Fever for the Arkle (although the stats boys would hate a front runner!)
Rule the World to follow the FL route and head for the RSA
What about Un Atout?

We could possibly see a much more competitive Arkle next year but still think the Jewson massively ruins it these days
By:
rogerthebutler
When: 20 Mar 13 12:25
Depends if wimpy connections get 'scared' by one horse like they did this year.
By:
wellchief
When: 24 Mar 13 22:06
I think any renewal of the Arkle will be better than that p!ss poor one we've just had.
By:
Glossy
When: 24 Mar 13 23:12
I see Champagne Fever being upped in trip. Mullins has more or less said that it would have been Neptune bound had it not been for Pont Alexandre. For me, CF is a future Gold Cup winner and the most obvious route would be to go for the Jewson or even the RSA.
By:
tweedledumbtweedletwat
When: 26 Mar 13 23:12
glossy
i have the opposite view,im certain cf will stay at 2m.
By:
Ming_the_Merciless
When: 27 Mar 13 12:37
ffs guys - it's hard enough to second guess Mullins a week before the festival LaughSilly
By:
Glossy
When: 27 Mar 13 19:15
You're certain are you twedle? Laugh
By:
Brooksielad
When: 28 Mar 13 00:42
even though CF won the supreme still think he ran em in the wrong races, CF neptune, Pont Alexandre in AB :S
By:
Glossy
When: 28 Mar 13 22:22
I'm not so sure. Whilst I think that CF's future lies beyond 2m, I think this year's Supreme was just about perfect for him. Setting a strong pace on ground that suited found a lot of horses that hadn't faced that sort of test before in trouble relatively early on. If it had ran in the Neptune on an improved surface, I do think the toe of The New One could have found him out in the run in. Similarly, I don't know whether PA would have outstayed At Fishers Cross in the conditions that the race was run in.

Out of the novice hurdle winners, I think The New One will prove to be the most successful over timber in the course of time. I genuinely think it will win the CH next year. Champagne Fever will go on to be an outstanding staying chaser if he stays sound. At Fishers Cross is a difficult one in that he's probably the most ground dependant of the 3 but could go on to great things if getting his ground in either staying hurdles or chases in a few years. I'd like to see him given a chance in the World Hurdle next year, a race that is likely to be as open as it was this year. ATF is definitely a course specialist who relishes the hill but if there's a course to specialise at, it's NH HQ.

Mouthwatering stuff for next year.
By:
sj
When: 29 Mar 13 18:20
If he goes the chasing route I really like Rock on Ruby at 10-1
By:
horse9
When: 29 Mar 13 19:57
Can't believe the number of experts that think Champagne Fever is expected to go Arkle route, his targeted trip this season was 3m and only because Ms Ricci had Pont Alexander and Ballycasey in the Neptune and A Bartlett did they run Champagne in the Supreme.
That tells me how good Champagne Fever really is - the speed to beat true 2m horses (who may well go on to win Champion Hurdles) in MTOY and Jezki yet a full mile less than his optimum trip.
I wouldn't mind a few quid on him going down the RSA route next year though with teh Jewson expected to convert to G1 status the shorter trip remains an option (though looking at Sir Des Champs this season I'm sure they'll want to fully test his stamina before a Gold Cup bid).
By:
Stake & Chips
When: 29 Mar 13 20:00
...but won't there be the same problem next year with Pont heading to RSA, so CF ending up in Arkle?
By:
wellchief
When: 30 Mar 13 11:54
Champagne Fever reminds me a lot of Al Ferof (maybe because they're both greys).

Both clearly have stamina, but both had the speed to win a Supreme, and both relish a battle up that hill.

I can see Champagne Fever running in the Arkle and then stepping up to Gold Cup trips the year after.  Pont Alexandre will be the stable RSA horse this year, and if they want to up Champagne Fever in trip, I can't see a Supreme winner running in the Jewson, so I think they'll definitely run in the Arkle.

Not saying he will be campaigned exclusively at 2m all year, and may run in a few slightly longer trips in Ireland, but I think he'll go off favourite on the Tuesday.
By:
horse9
When: 30 Mar 13 12:29
S&C , in theory yes, but as novices (1st or 2nd year under rules) I guess every race is a an education and fact finding mission for connections, I'm convinced Ms Ricci took the Giggingstown approach at Cheltenham of a runner in each race and Champagne Fevers speed surprised them.
I truly believe the Supreme and Neptune will turn out to be well above average, I'd be backing MTOY before I back Our Connor in next years Champion, different subject but any 4yo that relishes 17f on soft ground is unlikely to have the speed to beat top 2 milers for me, but the fact Champagne was able to outbattle 2 outstanding horses in the Supreme is just a bonus - I know connections back in December (before his infection) were aiming the horse at the A Bartlett and the talk in the stable was that he's be even money on the day, so my point is when you have a horse so adaptable at distance why would you focus on the speed race when in 2 years time the intention is to win a Gold Cup ?
Ms Ricci's embarrassment of riches almost backfired this year, but if I was the horses owner I'd be looking at mid distance/staying novice chases next season and give teh horses every chance of showing/developing/improving his staying ability
By:
baNjackst
When: 20 May 13 15:55
Just how many 2 mile races at a Cheltenham festival does Champagne Fever have to win to convince some people that he's not short of speed, he won what in time will prove the best supreme for some years. Forums do show up people's ignorance.
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 27 May 13 09:14
By: This user is offline. baNjackst
Date Joined: 20 Jun 11 Add contact | Send message When: 20 May 13 15:55 Joined: Date Joined: 20 Jun 11 | Topic/replies: 166 | Blogger: baNjackst's blog
Just how many 2 mile races at a Cheltenham festival does Champagne Fever have to win to convince some people that he's not short of speed, he won what in time will prove the best supreme for some years. Forums do show up people's ignorance.

Better than 2011 with Sprinter Sacre in 3rd and Cue Card in 4th? We'll see.
By:
baNjackst
When: 27 May 13 13:48
Point taken re Sprinter Sacre who was a big backward type according to all connections prior to his run in supreme, cue card was a free running sort  who pulled very hard when he ran and has improved no end since settling better.
O.k Ive no crystal ball about how good this years supreme will turn out but what were your thoughts festie after the 2011 race, were you predicting that sprinter sacre would turn out to be the monster he is, or cue card an above average beast.
I clearly stating that Champagne Fever ain't slow and if people want to believe that he'd have run in other race if stable mates didn't exist thats their misfortune. Willie has a habit of misleading people and the avalanche of money that went on him in 24 hours before race suggested the shrewdest stable knew what alot of us didn't that Fever was indeed fast enough to win a 2 mile race round cheltenham, yes something your aforementioned horses couldn't do.
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 27 May 13 17:54
It was the jumping world's worst kept secret that Hendo thought the monster was the best he'd had for a long time, possibly ever and that was before his novice hurdle campaign. He was narrow and weak in the Supreme but I really think that does a disservice to Al Ferof and Spirit Son. The latter subsequently demolished Cue Card at Aintree, sadly never to be seen since and Al Ferof looked the real deal over fences once upped in trip. His performance lumping a big weight in the Paddy Power was an outstanding effort and one which Long Run failed to match in his first season out of novice company.

It could well be that Champagne Fever and MTOY are special.....time will tell. I'll be surprised if they can match the efforts of the school of 2011, never mind surpass them.
By:
baNjackst
When: 27 May 13 19:48
i noticed you thankfully don't mention jezki as you seem to know it all. And the monster was 11/1 to win the supreme, a worlds worst secret my ars e, it was acknowledged at the time even on this site on live cheltenham preview that Sprinter was a big backward baby who would be a better horse the following year, hence he was 10/1 for arkle after 2011 season, i 'm sure like the rest of us you took this price with the knowledge you had. I'm sure if requested betfair have interviews in their archive.

Your a rocket scientist who can states obvious after the fact info and can give no assistance to anyone about the future.
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 27 May 13 20:30
You have an opinion that the quality of the 2013 Supreme was better than 2011. I don't share it. You obviously don't like having your opinion challenged but that's all it is. We are all entitled to a view.
By:
baNjackst
When: 27 May 13 20:46
And you have an opinion that the worlds worst kept secret prior to the 2011 supreme was that 11/1 chance Sprinter Sacre not riden by stable jockey barry geraghty was the monster we all know today. And Nicky was telling the world this.
Don't be pretending to having this knowledge because as I already stated it was known that alot was thought of sprinter sacre, although a big immature baby in 2011 the stable were hopeful he'd be the one that would develop the most but No one could have foreseen the horse turn into a racing monster. I just don't believe you had this knowledge festie. I don't believe you.
By:
unclepuncle
When: 12 Aug 13 16:43
I was calling Sprinter Sacre the best horse prospect around well before the 2011 Supreme - this based purely on my own analysis. Whether Henderson, Gerraghty etc thought he was extra special at the time I don't know.

As for the 2014 Arkle I've backed one already who reminds quite a lot of SS at the same stage and I see this as an asset in my antepost portfolio.Wink
Page 1 of 35  •  Previous 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | ... | 35 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
‹ back to topics
www.betfair.com