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Overturn-arkle

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By:
strontium
When: 01 Oct 12 19:01
^eh?

I doubt Sprinter will run in the Arkle too, but....
By:
giggsy3444
When: 01 Oct 12 20:16
henderson said that BG told him that he needs a fence and that he will be starting him off over 2miles as he has a lot of speed. when he makes his chasing debut and hacks up his price will crumble.
By:
abbott
When: 02 Oct 12 00:29
Time will tell.
By:
giggsy3444
When: 02 Oct 12 22:03
indeed it will.
By:
strontium
When: 02 Oct 12 22:43
Abbott when you said Sprinter did you mean Simonsig?
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 03 Oct 12 13:09
Either he meant Simonsig stront or he doesn't know a lot about the game!

If he meant Simonsig, I'm not sure you can judge his jumping competence from 2 runs in points as a very immature horse with an amateur rider on his back. Until we have further evidence to the contrary, I'd rather stick with the judgement of NJH and BJG who have both said he needs a fence.
By:
abbott
When: 03 Oct 12 17:06
I must hold my hands up to being in Mexico at the moment often posting after one or sometimes two cocktails.
For anybody that hadn't already picked up on it I ment Simonsig.

It's interesting that they both said he wanted a fence before they had any experience of him jumping one, the confidence in these comments doesn't seem to be as strong now.
By:
abbott
When: 03 Oct 12 17:07
P.S. I stand by my comment re Sprinter he has no chance of even turning up in this years Arkle ;)
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 03 Oct 12 19:22
I'd be surprised if Simonsig has even seen a schooling fence at Seven Barrows thus far.
By:
giggsy3444
When: 05 Oct 12 16:13
the way the market is going in the arkle it seems that there must be something more definite about what he's going to be going for this season.
By:
abbott
When: 08 Oct 12 00:04
Festivalfanatic just to point out Simonsig had 3 ptp runs and I'm basing my view on those runs and what somebody close to the horse at that time said about those runs.
Until I see him jump a fence im happy to take this view based on facts as opposed to a trainer and jockey saying 'he needs a fence'.
By:
RyanWe
When: 08 Oct 12 10:20
After seeing Simonsig's PTP wins, I can't help think that he's not going to prove as good over fences. He almost appears to hurdle his fences, which isn't the worst thing in the world if you have a tall horse, but he isn't the tallest of horses. Maybe he is just well measured when jumping fences, but he is practically brushing through the top, and those PTP fences are definitely no where near as stiff than regulation fences, and you could argue they look a few inches smaller too. So although that yogi (bear) bloke can try to change the horse's technique e.g. Change the horse's jump arc to make him jump higher, and land sooner. I would worry that he'll be out jumped by taller horses. 

I'm sure they know better than me though, but these are just my thoughts on what I've seen.
By:
muzza88
When: 03 Nov 12 09:15
Overturn N/R at Wetherby today.
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 03 Nov 12 11:47
Wonder why.....looked to have found a very suitable introduction for him today. Wetherby is a very fair track and the fences much less formidable than they used to be.
By:
muzza88
When: 09 Nov 12 21:29
Sandown tomorrow - project Arkle begins Wink
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 09 Nov 12 21:50
Well he has obviously schooled well enough. Sandown is one of the last places you take a horse that can't jump fences.
By:
muzza88
When: 09 Nov 12 22:01
Agreed. Tomorrow will be interesting.
By:
tweedledumbtweedletwat
When: 10 Nov 12 13:08
todays ground looks softer than wetherbys was..
By:
buddeliea
When: 10 Nov 12 13:20
just about to find out how he jumps,verdict to follow
By:
buddeliea
When: 10 Nov 12 13:24
yep,pretty impressive.
By:
duffy
When: 10 Nov 12 13:28
very impressive.....10's probably won't last long, early days though,but he sets a high bar for starters
By:
muzza88
When: 10 Nov 12 13:31
8's Scared
By:
tweedledumbtweedletwat
When: 10 Nov 12 14:30
i was impressed,reminded me of azertioup attacking the fences
By:
buddeliea
When: 10 Nov 12 14:38
Just trawled through the first few pages of this thread.

Awful lot of people not impressed with Overturn going chasing,and a fair few not rating his chances of success as a chaser at all.
Be interesting what they say now!!

Really goes to show we should wait till voicing strong opinions,which in reality is just guesswork.
By:
duffy
When: 10 Nov 12 14:49
we're all in the guessing businessScared
By:
buddeliea
When: 10 Nov 12 14:58
yeh,we all do a bit of that,but to say he should never go chasing,and wont jump a fence etc??
By:
duffy
When: 10 Nov 12 15:03
phew, just checked to see if i had said anything to add to my ever growing list of wrong guesses, thankfully i have escaped with no comments....i would have said that he'll be a fantastic chaser thoughSillySilly
By:
buddeliea
When: 10 Nov 12 15:08
Laugh

I'm going to give my opinion now.....i reckon he will be a good chaser this one.

Hes gonna be exciting the way he goes off in front.
By:
duffy
When: 10 Nov 12 15:12
Cool
By:
resner not lesnar
When: 10 Nov 12 15:57
Only just watched this. He did look good, no mean feet to jump round Sandown like that in your first race over fences, in ground they may not have been ideal either.

I remember Somersby putting in a similar round of jumping in his novice days at Sandown. I'd actually have him as Arkle favourite on the back of that, so I don't think 8/1 is bad at all. Well played to those who backed him at bigger prices.
By:
Howdi
When: 10 Nov 12 17:27
Hold all bets....Simonsig is a machine . Bet carefully.
By:
flushgordon1
When: 10 Nov 12 17:39
thought sprinter sucker was the machine howdi doody?
By:
resner not lesnar
When: 10 Nov 12 18:06
Howdi, on what we've seen so far over fences, Overturn deserves to be fav in my view.
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 10 Nov 12 18:34
Funny isn't it that Overturn is in to 8's for the Arkle and Simonsig has drifted....erm, well nothing.
By:
Smart Predator
When: 10 Nov 12 18:38
A quick reminder to all who thinks he will win the Arkle..................9 yr olds don't win Arkles!
By:
resner not lesnar
When: 10 Nov 12 19:19
Very rare indeed a 9 yr old winner, however two of the classiest winners were 8 - Moscow Flyer & Sizing Europe, and it would be 25 years since the last 9 yr old. Certainly if you are purely a stats only person you wouldn't go near Overturn
By:
Smart Predator
When: 10 Nov 12 20:08
To be fair as I can see only 2 have run in the last 10yrs one of them being Captain Cee Bee.
By:
buddeliea
When: 11 Nov 12 07:13
Simonsig not jumped a fence yet.
Overturn better form as a hurdler,although obviously not Simons fault.

As for 9yr olds not winning Arkles,maybe thats cos normally they hade already run in the race by then.As been said,hardly had a 9yr old run in the race.

If theres value out of the 2,then has to be Overturn,though personally i'm not getting involved,not yet anyway.
By:
buddeliea
When: 11 Nov 12 08:17
Imagine if Moscow and Sizing had another year hurdling and then ran in the Arkle at 9.
They would have p!ssed in!!

Stats not relevant.

What is relevant is that he has top 2m hurdling form,has a lot of experience as a racehorse,and has just shown us he can jump a fence very well.

Tink i'm talking myself into parting with some money!!
By:
resner not lesnar
When: 11 Nov 12 10:48
The one thing holding me back Budd is I'm too often drawn in by impressive performances at this time of the season. Only to see far better performances over the next few months and to find out what seemed impressive at the time didn't turn out to be.

However, he really did look good yesterday and I think I'm talking myself into backing him too
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