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u shud of called it a day on the 3rd of april 2003
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Alvarado.
![]() I agree with aka about the International though. It was run very slowly, something that the Supreme and CH will NOT be, so to take the form literally, ie, Menorah has a good chance of winning CH so Cue Card is a dead cert for the Supreme, is wrong. I still think Cue Card is a good price at 9/4, but not because of his run behind Menorah. The race is not true form and that will be proven over time. |
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Extrapolating from a small field race run at little more than a moderate early pace (the International), to draw conclusions about what is likely to happen in the CH or the SN, is fraught with difficulty surely?
It is quite possible that Menorah will run very well in the CH and Cue Card win the SN, but I am not sure their respective runs in the International make that any more likely to happen or provides some immutable guide to tying in the form each is likely to show at the Festival. |
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Sorry, Wicketd, you beat me to the post.
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Yours obviously worded much better, however.
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Tired of the CC debate,my last word on the subject is that if Cue Card wins the supreme i will happily admit that i know sweet fvck all about racing and that i am the biggest cvnt walking thge face of the earth!
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^^^^^drama queen.
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Nice to see Bothy run well today, another advert for Menorah. I guess that means another advert for Cue Card. As for petulant Joe blanking Richard Johnson, that is probably the biggest pile of manure posted on here for a long time.
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He did blank him to be fair, I noticed straight away and have it recorded.
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Thanks eric, call it a day should do. It was bleedin' obvious.
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Alvarado Joined: 20 Sep 10
Replies: 1018 18 Feb 11 22:39 menorah is the best hurdler ive ever seen hes got everything So i take it this is ur first season ever watching some racing - everything makes sense now ![]() ![]() |
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Shame that Topolski isn't in the Supreme - only just seen it's debut run at Sandown on Friday and it looked very smart beating two good yardsticks.
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bjg fuc k off u fat low life
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Look at how Cue Card jumps the hurdle at the bottom of the hill in the International, thats more akin to the pace in the Supreme, also it was his first proper race where he came off the bridle and had to battle, he was going away from Silviniaco Conti at the finish, really can't see this being beaten, jumps like a stag, will settle in the pack and jump better than Dunguib last year :)
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I can't believe how many poeple say 'can't see it being beaten'. I bet they don't remortgage their houses and put every single penny they have on these unbeatable selections
A bit of perspective would be nice - there are at least 6 horses in the Supreme betting that I wouldn't be at all surprised if they won - and of course theres always the chance a horse I don't consider might win as well (Artic Kinsman, Ebizayan etc) With respect to Cue Card the current market suggests he is twice as likely to lose as win - so go figure?? |
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Uncle
At the risk of repeating myself I firmly believe that if he was trained by Nichols, Henderson or Mullins CC would nearer 5/4 than 5/2. Still more likely to lose than win so I am definitely not in the "cant see him being beaten" camp. There have been many similarly priced Cheltenham favourites in the novice races over the past 20 years with the vast majority (IMO again) having far weaker claims (usually based on small-field performances at slower pace than festival races) than CC brings to the table this year. Thats the closest I am likely to get to a sense of perspective! |
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He is the most likely winner on the evidence to far. However, the winner of this race is going to need the ability to quicken off a fast pace. My recollection of the International is that Menorah went away from him off the final bend in a matter of strides. If the Henderson entries make it to the track along with Zaidpour and John Quinn's horse, then this will be a proper race, no question. I suspect Cue Card might even trade at 3/1 on the day.
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festivalfanatic ... they know to keep Cue Card close to the pace to use his very high cruising speed if not make the running. He will have some stamina imo as a bumper winner would normally so needs to use that high cruising speed and stamina to maximum effect to burn them off. imo that is how he will win the Supreme.
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Think Hardy Eustace but a higher cruising speed.
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..and a bit less kick than Hardy.
.. which is why he needs to be right up there and fending them off for cruising/stamina imo. |
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He just has to repeat his November run. That was good enough to win any supreme.
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not really that race was horrendous for a grade 2 at chelts.
hes not that good the most over hyped horse ever he was thrashed by menorah and cue card is now exposed place lay for me cant have it on my mind at all rubbish jock/trainer exposed horse 2/1 no thanks |
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No need to talk like that Alv. The 'rubbish jock/trainer' actually got him to 2/1f for the Supreme so they can't be that bad.
You think it's a lay well that's OK just no need to slag off a pretty good small outfit. |
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Alvarado Joined: 20 Sep 10
Replies: 1153 25 Feb 11 18:43 not really that race was horrendous for a grade 2 at chelts. hes not that good the most over hyped horse ever he was thrashed by menorah and cue card is now exposed place lay for me cant have it on my mind at all rubbish jock/trainer exposed horse 2/1 no thanks And still we wait for the piece of form that a novice has bettered that this season, still we wait |
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spirit son 31l beating of 130 rated cedre bleu better than anything done by cue card
zaidpour 50l win a grade 1 vs 125 horses also better |
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One thing that Cue Card ain't is exposed ffs
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spirit son beat cedre bleu who is a 3 mile chaser in the making an wouldnt get near menorah and as for zaidpour horse runs like wichitea lineman on an off the bridle all race an surely is better over further,Cue Card has the best form an course form by long way imo an his current price is better than i could imagine but the favs in this race have a bad ratio but im more than happy with 5/2- 11/4 CC if i can get it
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Alvarado Joined: 20 Sep 10
Replies: 1154 25 Feb 11 19:33 spirit son 31l beating of 130 rated cedre bleu better than anything done by cue card zaidpour 50l win a grade 1 vs 125 horses also better So Zaidpour is going to finish in front of him with what he's done since? Wow. You're discrediting CC for a 4 length beating by Menorah just admit that its nothing to do with form and you're taking him on blind cos he's a short fav. There is no method in your take on |
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Sorry eric,but if you think that a horse with a high cruising speed and a little bit of stamina can win a supreme then you are very much mistaken,this race is about a finishing burst of speed at the end of the race and that is one thing CC has proven not to have in his locker over 2 miles and whoever said CC was not exposed then more fool you,at this trip he has been very much exposed,all CC backers are going to be proven idiots come race day
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Leonardo
One thing that Cue Card ain't is exposed ffs I actually think he is exposed now - he is exposed as being a very high class novice with proven course form, so clearly the one to beat ![]() The question is whether the unexposed horses (in particular Sprinter Sacre and Spirit Son) can improve past him. I'm still hoping Sprinter Sacre is the 2nd coming ![]() |
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TheFormMan you have a very valid point. The Supreme there is something breaks for pace you are right.
However I think, if ridden well to maintain a high tempo, Cue Card will play to his strengths and stretch them out as a bumper winner with some stamina and his high cruising pace made Menorah and Silviniaco look pedestrian at various points. All about the ride he is given imo. |
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thats exactly my point uncle we know his limit now hes very good but certaintly not unbeatable and a shade of top class spirit son could be anything so too could sprinter
some idiot put up on here all he needs to do is run to what he did at chelts in november im sorry but beating a very poor field and dunraven storm by 8l will not even get u placed in the supreme there was a massive overreaction to that race timeform saying its the greatest performance ever no its not that was a shocking race i cant have al ferof but even he would beat dunraven 8l or more |
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Funny that, I also remember an idiot on here spouting off about Zaidpour being a monster. What did he do, bite your wallet?
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And doesn't this topic just go to show why betfair was created and why Cheltenham is so special, differing opinions that are stressed months and weeks before a 4-5minute race, bring it on! I said I couldn't see Cue Card being beaten, in the sense that the only dangers to my eyes are the 2 Hendersons and I'm of the opinion that neither would have done any better than Cue Card did against Menorah.....
I did back Dunguib mind, but lets not go there about the ride that got!!! ;) |
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Christ whats up with some of you lot? Interesting debate equals [:D]. But childlike tit for tat playground bickering equals
.I have to say Cue Card is a better price than you would expect given what it's done this season compared with some of the previous favs of late and their comparative merits. Alvarado I wouldn't be so quick to put down Dunraven Storm either. The race before getting beat 8 lengths by CC it beat Recession Proof 4 lenghts off levels. That form is pretty solid wouldn't you say? They have put Dunraven away because there was clearly something up when it ran last time out and I wouldn't be surprised to see it run a really solid race in the Supreme. |
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why cant zaidpour be a monster i dident know he raced at a proper pace and on decent ground hes got scope unlike CC who was thrashed in the bula
dunravens decent but any horse out of the top 10 in beating would beat him just as easily as cue card did |
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Just because his last run against Toubab was below par it doesn't spoil Dunraven's previous form. This is from the RP in Dunraven's last run including a quote from Hobbs:-
As they travelled down the back, the pace remained sedate with the four runners closely grouped. Several slick jumps in the back straight saw Dunraven Storm jump into a share of the lead. However, the slow pace clearly hampered the favourite's chances and as they quickened in the home straight he was left behind. "He lost his race at the start," said Philip Hobbs. "He boiled over beforehand and then pulled too hard in the race. He ran miles below his true form and we'll give him a break now." Dunraven has already beaten Recession proof off levels and he's 4th in the betting ffs! That's a strange comment you have just made above. I find some of your comments in this thread a little peculiar if I'm honest, you knock CC for being "a shade short of top class" and go on to point 2 horses out that could be anything as a reason for it's weakness. Just come out and say you are out to get it beat because your arguement for CC being a bad bet aren't too great at the moment. CC is a shade short of Champion Hurdle class at 5 ffs, that is rare for a novice and deserves respect. The form with Dunraven is very solid and there are always plenty of horses in the supreme that are unkowns that could be anything. The race is very tough to win and just saying it's a hard race for a fav to win and I'd rather look elswhere for the value would be sufficient fella. Trying to come with poor reasons to knock a horse who is a very worthy favourite and probably a shade bigger in the betting than he should be given what stupid prices some favs have gone off at in the last few years seems a waste of time. I have always tried to get the fav beat in this race and I very much doubt I'll be backing Cue Card but I really fear him. For me it's not a race to get too heavily involved in because of all the unknowns, I will probably back Dunraven's ew because he is amazing value for one below par effort. There is a small chance that 4 races in 6 weeks was too much for Dunraven so early in the season, it is also possible that he could be a good deal closer to CC than he showed in their race because he it was his 3rd race in just over a month a at the time. |
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That shouldn't read small chance that 4 races......
I got ahead of myself, I was thinking about Dunraven's form with CC and thinking there is a small chance that they are closer than the bare form would suggest and stuck the words small in ahead of where I should have.[smiley:crazy] |
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For CC backers like me the defeat by Menorah was a good thing. His price would be 4/5 without that, whether he wins or not.
Trainers are still learning about these new novices just like NH did with Binoular. It took 3 seasons for him get it right. The Tizzards did the right thing by a)running him fresh and b)not going for the CH. Also with NH having so many easy winners helps the price. Pity the bookies don't push him out accordingly. Maybe on the day he will drift a little, Dunguib went from 4/6 to 4/5 on the day so, although I've backed him already I will top up on the day at BOG. Unless he loses a leg first, of course. |
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Alvarado Joined: 20 Sep 10
Replies: 1157 26 Feb 11 00:25 why cant zaidpour be a monster i dident know he raced at a proper pace and on decent ground hes got scope unlike CC who was thrashed in the bula dunravens decent but any horse out of the top 10 in beating would beat him just as easily as cue card did So CC was thrashed in the Bula> Four lengths is now a thrashing? Also Zaidpour can still be a monster? WOW blind faith |