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Bravado is going Pro...

Thoughts on the weekend

07 Oct 11 07:13
Well being honest it has been a very quiet week in the world of Bravado up to this point, other than work, training, a quick and uneventful pint with a mate to catch up and tentatively having a date with a French girl on Saturday, I have nothing to report - have not even had anything to bet on this week either.

So my thoughts turn to the weekend...

Euro 2012 Qualifiers

Two prices stand out for me this weekend - Spain are 4/5 and Germany a best priced 13/10. Now we are talking about two of the best sides in the world both unbeaten in the group stages of qualifying with 100% records who are playing Turkey (Lost to Azerbaijan, Drew with Belgium) and Czech Rep (Lost to Lithuania and struggled to get a draw against Scotland!) respectively. Those prices seem very big to me!

Rugby World Cup Quarter Finals

Ireland should have far too much for Wales and I can make a strong case for Ireland going very close to winning the World Cup. They have a group of players who since the last world cup have won the grand slam and I think it 3 of the last 4 Heineken cups (the rugby champions league). As such I can see them making the final and at 12/1 they are the value for me to win it, but have gone e/w so it is 1/3 of the odds for making the final.

My head says England will beat France, however England are becoming a very short price and I think anything 2/1+ on France will be value/insulting.

South Africa are a scary proposition in knock out rugby and this is going to be close but I expect them to edge it. I have been against Australia every since I watched Quade Cooper play the All Blacks twice in the tri nations. He is a liability and he is going to crumble under pressure and cost them the game - whether it is against SA or NZ (if they get that far) I dont know but he is not someone I would want on my team in a tight game.

New Zealand will beat Argentina - however I think the handicap of -27 is a tad insulting to how far Argentina have progressed over the past few years. If it was a group game I can make a case for a score being racked up - but in knock out rugby its usually a lot closer.

National Hunt Racing

The 1535 Chepstow (Saturday) is a fascinating race on Saturday and will be the first big clue to The Arkle. Cue Card v Silviniaco Conti v Champion Court v For Non Stop. All are highly regarded, however I feel the first two named are more likely to go close as the latter two would want further than the 2m 3f I expect Cue Card to be a short price but would not be suprised to see SC turn him over if he takes to fences.

The 1705 Limerick (Sunday) sees another interesting contest with Loosen My Load and Realt Dubh lining up against each other. Realt Dubh is the superior animal and by a decent amount imo.

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