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Bravado is going Pro...
Rugby World Cup
Scotland +11 looks very big to me. It is going to be a tight game and Scotland simply have to win to stay in the tournament. England were given a severe test in 6 Nations this season by Scotland and Scotland should have also beaten Argentina. This is going to be a close game and I can see Scotland even winning Mischief

Italy also look big on the handicap. They should have beaten Ireland in 6 Nations this year and it is going to be extremely difficult for Ireland. Unlike against Australia they will not be getting any cheap penalties in Scrum and it will prove a competitive match.

New Zealand should also obliterate Canada.

Football - Premier League
I always hate backing teams to win after a mid week European fixture, so the following are tentative thoughts but unsure if I will risk my hard earned - will probably depend on how my Rugby bets are going. If I am up then I will likely play, if not I will leave it.

Chelsea should have far too much for rock bottom Bolton and 8/15 is a fair price on the team 3rd in League. If Fulham had not played away in Scandinavia on Thursday I am certain they would be reasonable odds on against QPR so the slight odds against makes them value - 4/6 would be a fairer price.

Finally Wigan are a poor team who travel even more poorly. Villa should be too strong for them, but I make the available 4/6 too short and would have had them priced 10/11. I do expect Villa to win though.

National Hunt Racing

There are some interesting races this weekend as the Jumps season finally gets underway properly in my eyes. Rubi Light v Sizing Europe is a fascinating contest over 2m 4f on Saturday. I honestly have no idea who will win, if I get involved it will be because the prices are wrong. SE should be no bigger than Evens and if I can get 3/1 or bigger on Rubi or 6/4 on Sizing I will play.

I fancy Luska lad to go close on Sunday in an intriquing Tipperary Hurdle and expect big things from First Lieutenant over Fences. I expect him to be aimed at The Arkle at Cheltenham and expect him to be outpaced and finish just outsaide of the places, before making the step up the following year over a longer distance. However, he features heavily in RSA betting which would be very interesting.

Cheltenham Festival

Champion Hurdle - Hurricane Fly is the one to beat, injury looks the most likely reason for him to be beaten. However, of the up and coming novices - Oscar Wells (would have won the Neptune had he not slipped at the last) and Spirit Son (Ran the Supreme in a faster time than Champion Hurdle along with Al Ferof - Sprinter Sacre not too far behind either) look the two that could give him the most to do. I am on Oscars Wells @ 20/1 and Spirit Son @ 25/1 (post aintree win when it was declared he would stay hurdling)

Queen Mother Champion Chase - Sizing Europe is going for the Gold Cup this year and the first and second in last seasons Arkle won the race in a faster time than the established stars. At 10/1 and 12/1 respectably Finians Rainbow and Captain Chris are fair prices.

World Hurdle - Can anyone beat Big Bucks?! No Idea, Oscars Whiskey looks the most likely to challenge but no involvement from me at this stage.

Gold Cup - Straight after last years race Stan James put up Long Run at 3/1 and Weapons Amnesty at 33/1. The last time these two horses met Weapons Amnesty destoyed Long Run, Burtons Port 25/1 also finished in front of Long Run on that day with the latter two missing last years Gold Cup due to injury. I have helped myself to the big prices on those two as I feel I would be follish not too given all evidence seen on their one meeting so far! Last years novices look a very evenly matched bunch - but I dont think any of them are up to much, but I hope to be proven wrong as it will make for a very competitive race. Quito De La Rogue won me a lot of money last year and I would love to see him progress.
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