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MrBen, Menelaus caught you with your pants down
![]() dollar trading as of 2pm today at 1.0052, slightly above parity, but up 4 cents on its week low. as for stocks, a wise man would make sure he has invested in Australian stocks if italy collapses. scare mongers do more damage than good, this country is expected to grow 3.25% next year with the government allowing for damage done in europe. even new housing increased 5.5% this year. RBA are tipped to drop interest rates by .05% in december. china off loads only 25% of our iron ore and as i said,contracts in iron ore to fill 2012,13,14 are in full swing ensuring a massive trade uplift in exporting. the strongest ecconomy in the world will not go into a recession. |
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and those who say betting on major racing carnivals are down?...of cause they are, TAB doesnt have a monopoly anymore, ever heard of online betting companies???
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Hey megsy you seem to know. Whats your call on ES ?
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megsy ur starting to look not so smart.stick with the sts, they are undisputable
dollar trading at 100.20 @ 4 pm who's pants are down now megsy ![]() make your call on ES megsy and expose if your smart or not. ![]() |
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hey Mrben , always thought it was a bad idea to declare a position. You are married to it even if you change your mind :) I bet you don't trade solely on fundamentals. Or maybe I'm wrong.
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Megsy: If you call the Coles/Woolies war competition , wait till all the SB's are fkd and closed....see how much competition their is then
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Mrbean
can you back this statement up with any facts? "betting figures are plummetting- no cash" |
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megsy you saw what happened to our market with the problems in Greece
can u please tell me why a collapse in Italy, a country with a GDP 7 times that of Greece, the 8th biggest economy in the world, will be bullish for aussie stocks?? |
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im no expert, im like most who keenly follow world financial problems and this discussion thread was made on ones opinion which gives everyone the right to reply with their opinion.
the writer states scare mongering opinions, until Australia goes under how MrBen describes, i will state how healthy this great country is compare to the world. personally its hard to see europes leaders not find a solution to italys woes as it benefits all european countries if they do, hence avoid a repeat of 2008 |
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dollar trading at 100.20 @ 4 pm
who's pants are down now megsy MrBen after that response to a 0.0032 drop, you are a nitwit. leave you to you scare mongering thread, enjoy |
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make your own opinion.
Italy has accelerated the IMF talks after the European Central Bank and Germany made clear last week they would not support Rome directly, the IMF source added. But Italian officials questioned the point of a rescue plan for Italy alone when the whole of the euro zone is at risk. The EU official said it made more sense for both Rome and Madrid to receive precautionary support, potentially involving the euro zone's rescue fund providing partial insurance for their bonds alongside the IMF-supervised credit. Reuters reported exclusively on Nov. 17 that euro zone and IMF officials have discussed the idea of the ECB lending to the IMF, to provide the fund with sufficient resources for bailing out even the biggest euro zone sovereigns. However euro zone officials said on Tuesday this would only be a last resort. "If Italy gets into trouble, euro zone countries can decide to increase the resources of the IMF to provide money for the bailout, and they can do that through national central banks, who would simply print the money," one euro zone official said. "This idea has been discussed, but it is in the background, it is not the main scenario," the official said. A second euro zone official said the loans could be channeled to the IMF through the New Arrangements to Borrow. The gambit could be a way of getting around legal restrictions on the ECB financing government borrowing or lending to the EFSF rescue fund |
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lets see- BHP and RIO had earnings downgraded today.
aussie house prices down 4% for the year. aussie stocks down, wait for it- 15% since april S&P index usa had its worst week since september 1932 last week Italy commences talks withIMF for aid- today 15 usa banks downgraded last night Pesident Obama expresses concern that europe will go into serious recession. Treasurer swann expresses concern at possible world recession in his mid budget speech. mmm thats news in the last week or so. megsy- not to put too fine a point on it- when you want to talk about something you really SHOULD know something about it, that is, AUD is 99.70 tonight- a long way from pants being pulled down methinks. ![]() I will accept your apology should you have the good manners to post it. VK- IMO! no I don't < i lifted that info from the source of impecible information- the betfair forum. ![]() Harry- agreed. if you declare a postion on a forum the uninformed will rally against you.Most spewing forth what they heard from tracy grimshaw or read in the daily telegraph. Thats ok I need them to take the other side of the trade ![]() Re fundamentals- very important in creating the trend.Don't give too much away harry.For further discussion IM me.Look 4ward to your thoughts. megsy- we are going under, thats the point.If you wait "until australia goes under" it will be too late to save yourself. We can remain "healthy" in the same way that having a cold is "healthier" than having pnenomonia |
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You are all clueless. Benny, megsy, the whole lot of you. You should stick to trading tips on the runners and leave commenting on financial matters to those who know what they are talking about.
We are all going down. DMs, EMs, the whole lot. We already are in a global depression it's just that most people haven't clued in yet (READ THE WORKS OF YOUR OWN BRILLIANT ECONOMIST STEVE KEEN). But not for the reasons that benny thinks. It's not what Obama or the IMF or the CBs or the OECD say that matters, they are all looking backwards, it's understanding how we got to this point and we can no longer sustain that matters. We have attained this high level of life style in the DMs, which pulled the EMs along, on the back of an enormous pyramid of debt (that's what our monetary system is) and cheap oil. The debt pyramid has collapsed and cheap oil is gone. Forever. There are profound changes coming out way. Protect yourselves. Here's one of my recent posts on the financial forum to help you understand: Menelaus Joined: 03 Feb 05 Replies: 1298 22 Nov 11 17:12 melv, the system is failing......because it was designed to fail from the outset. The bankers know that, the public evidently still doesn't. Money is created as DEBT. Debt is a claim upon future GROWTH.......that is what the interest is. Exponential growth is needed in the current monetary system to pay the coupon. That's how compounded interest gets paid. The minute real organic growth stops, the system collapses. The government in order to prolong the status quo......BORROWS ON YOUR BEHALF whether you like it or not. This kicks the can down the road for a while. The problem being that this kind of borrowing leads to malinvestment, capital misallocation and more debt that can not be serviced. Accelerate the rate of the demise by the madness of morphing that debt into 40 or 50 times the money in an ever increasing pyramid of debt, layer on top of that the disappearance of cheap oil which inhibits real growth, and...........boooooom, the ponzi system collapses onto itself. This is where we are at now, it's just that most people haven't clued in yet. Hyperinflation.....is how this ends. What confuses people are the bouts of deflation in between. This stuff is not rocket science FFS. |
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thanks Mrb for that honest response as the only way that can be confirmed is by having data from all betting agencies
I always thought people bet more when times are tough |
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AUD hitting 1.03
Nice call Benny. ![]() ![]() ![]() It's called policy response Benny, and unless you start to factor that in your childish analysis you'll continue to be fodder for the big boys. Don't say I didn't warn you Benny: Menelaus Joined: 03 Feb 05 Replies: 1310 20 Oct 11 13:09 Even at that he gets it wrong as to how events will unfold because he assumes policy makers and central banks will sit on their hands while deflation sets in. I'll say no more though, I've decided to stop being in the business of opening eyes that are firmly shut. |
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Not sure exchanging insults with your pc displays the emotional fortitude to successfully trade Menelaus but I'm frequently wrong.
I think long term you may be right Mrben but (aftertiming permited)bad news has been followed by intervention for a while now not to mention the traditional Santa rally ... Bureaucrats will defend their fiat currencies to the end and well they may either win or lose , I know I don't understand it. In 08 it was companies and now it's countries that get bailed. i trade ascending/descending triangles via an algo through IB. Algo still needs some work but it's getting better,hard codeing it at this stage in life but i can leave it unattended now. txt msg's me and dual connection for safety. Asc Tri Look AAPL exchange time ,29/11 12:59 -->14:28 1 minute data. Desc Tri YMZ1 30/11 10:00 --> 12:20 5 minute data. You need to hold your head at 45 degrees ,right eye squinted , tongue out the left lip to see them clearly. I'm generally in and out before you can say "Economists agree, the market is right". |
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7.15 am this morning.......EUROPEAN shares have rocketed and the euro has leapt above $US1.35 ($A1.35) as leading central banks pumped liquidity into the financial system to prevent a second credit crunch linked to the eurozone debt crisis.
The European Central Bank, the US Federal Reserve and central banks in Japan, Britain, Canada and Switzerland unveiled co-ordinated lending action overnight to reduce strains on financial markets. In response, stock markets surged. London's FTSE-100 index of leading shares finished the day up 3.16 per cent at 5505.42 points, while in Paris the CAC-40 jumped 4.22 per cent to 3154.62 points. In Frankfurt the DAX 30 ended up 4.98 per cent at 6088.84 points after having been over five per cent. Madrid climbed 3.96 per cent and Milan gained 4.38 per cent. The European single currency hit a one-week peak of $US1.3533, from a level of around $US1.33 moments before the news. At 5pm GMT (4am AEDT) the euro was trading at $US1.3462, still up from $US1.3317 late on Tuesday local time. Start of sidebar. Skip to end of sidebar. End of sidebar. Return to start of sidebar. Across the Atlantic, Wall Street also shot higher after the six central banks announced co-ordinated measures that are aimed at ensuring the financial system could weather the severe stress in the eurozone. Approaching midday the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 3.74 per cent to 11,987.82 points while the broader S&P 500 had climbed 3.49 per cent to 1236.88 points and the tech-heavy Nasdaq added 3.57 per cent to 2605.38 points. "Another co-ordinated central bank intervention, and one that caught markets completely off-guard," said analyst David Morrison at GFT trading group. "The move brings relief as it removes immediate liquidity fears." European stocks had begun overnight by trading in negative territory as eurozone finance chiefs struggled to boost the firepower of a bailout fund for indebted members at a key gathering in Brussels on Tuesday. But following the central banks' action, Richard Hunter, head of equities at Hargreaves Lansdown Stockbrokers, said: "The world's central banks have shown the European area the meaning of decisive and coordinated action." The central banks said in a joint statement that they were acting in a coordinated way to reduce strains on the financial markets and boost lending to businesses and consumers. They added that they were lowering the cost of providing dollars to banks, and were engaging in "coordinated actions to enhance their capacity to provide liquidity support to the global financial system". "The purpose of these actions is to ease strains in financial markets and thereby mitigate the effects of such strains on the supply of credit to households and businesses and so help foster economic activity," they said. The arrangement allows the central banks to lend dollars to commercial banks that might be finding it hard to borrow them directly from other banks and is aimed at easing tensions in the crucial interbank lending market. The banks added that they were not only reducing the cost of this operation, but also extending it until February 1, 2013. European stock markets began their rebound in late morning deals after China unexpectedly cut its ratio of obligatory bank reserves, offsetting concerns about the eurozone debt crisis. China's central bank said it will cut the reserve requirement ratio for the country's banks by 0.5 per cent, in the strongest move yet to ease restrictions on lending. |
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well there you go, seems people actually realise how important it is that Europe doesn't fall over and will act to save it - will it work? wait and see i guess but let's all hope so
in the meantime - RELAX, we're doing fine ![]() |
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I think the Europeans could have a chance in the cup this year.
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Dead Cat Bounce
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UPDATE 10.35am: source , heraldsun business... THE Australian stock market soared 3 per cent on opening after global markets rallied strongly overnight as central bankers unleashed a new campaign to rebuild the shattered confidence of investors around the world.
Financial and miners led the charge, boosting the value of Australian companies by almost $35 billion after Wall Street registered its biggest one-day rise this year. The benchmark ASX 200 index jumped 2.8 per cent to 4237 points on opening. |
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good call megsy- hope you made a fortune.I was stopped out.
![]() stay tuned next week for the corresponding 500 point fall. |
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more news.....RETAIL spending rose 0.2 per cent in October, which was lower than market expectations, according to official figures.
Retail trade rose in the month to a seasonally adjusted $20.951 billion, compared to a downwardly revised $20.899 billion in September, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said today. Economists' forecasts had centred on a 0.4 per cent rise in retail sales in the month of October. AUSTRALIAN residential building approvals fell 10.7 per cent to 10,484 units in October. This compares to a downwardly revised 11,740 units in September, seasonally adjusted. In the year to October, building approvals were down 29.8 per cent, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) said today. |
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building approvals down 30%, maybe I should retrieve my pants from the bonfire
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Houses are not designed to go up every year, stupids. We have many young married couples ready to get their opportunity as first home buyers when prices start to decline, ones in secure jobs should take advantage when the time is right. Its all part of the game. Labor has done a great job reducing interest rates to record lows.
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interest rates at record lows ...
and building approvals down 30% ... something not good is going on ![]() |
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didn't they change the rules around foreign ownership?
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my opinion we have a new educated generation, times are changing,in a nutshell,Days of living off credit cards are slowing.
people have money, but aint spending. whereas history of recessions, people spend spend spend,interest rates rose,inflation soared,imports doubled exports, hence the economy burns out. research revealed unprecedented increases in deposits by both households and especially businesses. “Households added over [b]$190 billion of deposits in the last three years, compared to just over $110 billion for the three years preceding that,” RateCity’s CEO Damian Smith said.[/b] “Again, the story with businesses is even more stark. Businesses added nearly $50 billion in cash deposits in March 2011 vs March 2010, with nearly $120 billion added over the last three years,” he said The comparison with borrowing is even more stark with Australia now having the slowest increase in overall borrowing for the last seven years. “Household borrowing grew from $832 billion in August 2005 to $1.3 trillion in August 2011; but the growth in the last 12 months has been just 5 percent or $66 billion, the slowest growth since 2005,” he said. “The slowdown in business borrowing has been even more pronounced – in fact, we’ve had negative growth over the last 3 years. “Businesses had $65 billion less of debt in August 2011 compared to August 2008. This not only reflects the fact that many small-to-medium enterprises haven’t been able to get access to credit since the onset of the GFC – it shows that many businesses have been actively reducing debt, either by paying it down or by raising equity,” he said Borrowing by households and businesses may have turned the corner in recent months. But these changes will impact the economy for years to come, according to Mr Smith. “Borrowers showed signs of returning to the market in August with 7.4 percent more home loans settled compared to July 2011 – just 20 percent of which were taken up by first home buyers. “But Australians are now more cautious about taking on debt; saving for longer periods before entering the property market and allowing for a financial ‘buffer’,” he said |
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Australia's big four banks have had their credit ratings downgraded by Standard & Poor's as the agency changes its criteria for assessing banks.
Westpac Banking Corporation, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, ANZ Banking Group and National Australia Bank all had their issuer credit ratings downgraded by one notch from AA to AA minus. Macquarie Group had its long-term rating downgraded from A minus to BBB. http://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/S-P-cuts-ratings-big-four-aap-954052976.html?x=0 |
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our impregnable banks downgraded!!!!
![]() why? Because the future looks bleak. one of my gf's works for one of the big 4 in lending.She told me that borrowing has been on the slide all year.The biggest growth in lending has been people borrowing to pay tax liabilities and in the last few months small retail borrowing to - pay the rent. ![]() The bank has about 2 weeks ago changed policy and will no longer lend for tax liabilities. its the recession. ![]() |
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if i was a politican ... i'd probably be pushing for a pay rise about now
(as no chance once the fan is full of muck) ![]() |
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i see the scare mongering continues.
![]() By Larry Schlesinger Friday, 02 December 2011 Australia’s four biggest banks have played down a decision by Standard & Poor’s to downgrade their long term credit rating as part of a global re-rating of the world’s 37 largest banks. AA- is the lower limit of Standard & Poor’s “high-grade” category, indicating a “very strong capacity to meet financial commitments”. The Big Four banks join 15 banks in Europe and the United States that have been downgraded under the revised criteria. A ratings downgrade could potentially increase the cost of borrowing money, making it more likely that banks won’t pass on future interest rate cuts to consumers. The new criteria place heightened emphasis on economic risk and industry risk in setting the starting point or “anchor” in rating a financial institution with the aim of increasing transparency. The anchor is then adjusted for bank-specific factors, such as capitalisation, management and risk position. Lastly the ratings are adjusted for potential government support and corporate group support. Putting the downgrades into perspective, Westpac acknowledged that its rating had been lowered by one notch, but said it “remains one of a small number of banks worldwide within the Rating Agency’s AA categories”. Commenting on ANZ’s rating downgrade, chief financial officer Peter Marriott also highlighted that it “remains one of a select group of banks globally that have a AA category rating under S&P’s new bank ratings criteria”. “We continue to be regarded as amongst the strongest banks globally and with a return to the rating we held until the beginning of 2007, we are one of the few banks in the world to have come out of the global financial crisis with the same rating as we went into it with,” he says. Commonwealth Bank group treasurer Lyn Cobley says the bank does not expect the downgrade to have any material impact on its funding plans or expected pricing of new debt issuance. NAB chief executive Cameron Clyne says NAB is a “highly rated bank by global standards, is well capitalised, has strong funding and liquidity positions, and remains well-placed to continue to support customers”. |
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The nation’s four “pillar lenders,” so named for a law that prevents them from buying each other, were among global lenders that suffered when credit markets froze after Lehman went bankrupt in September 2008.
Australian banks have reduced their reliance on global debt markets as they obtain more funds from Australian households, which are saving at about the highest rate in a quarter-century. |
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was it paul keating who bought inthe 4 pillars law? Who ever it was it was a stroke of genius.
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British banks are being asked to increase their capital and prepare for a "systemic crisis" which might include the break-up of the eurozone.
Speaking overnight, Bank of England governor Mervyn King warned UK banks to start stockpiling money. Describing the eurozone debt problems as "extraordinarily threatening", he urged banks to limit bonuses, stop paying dividends, and ask their shareholders for more capital so they can survive the economic gale blowing in from Europe. http://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/UK-banks-told-stockpile-money-abc-166078542.html |
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if you guys have a mortgage, car insurance,home and contents insurance, superannuation, you can apply to have your fees refunded.
each year you are charged fees to fund these and now you can claim them back.link below explains. http://www.mymoney.com.au/Trailing-Commission-Refund.aspx |
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this is the more favourable link.
http://www.yourshare.com.au/default.aspx |
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interesting for sure megsy ... i hadn't heard of that
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thebas, me either until a few weeks ago and its legit, im in the process of filling the forms out myself. anything money returned is good money.
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from mymoney website.
Register for MyMoney....It’s as simple as 1, 2, 3. 1. Get a recent product statement – it has all the information you will need for registration. 2. Register with MyMoney - fill in the details of the products that you want to recover commission payments for. 3. Return the forms – print, sign and return the forms to start receiving your monthly cash back. MyMoney will do the rest....... Have any questions? - Phone: 1300 655 143 or, email support@mymoney.com.au |