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These 114 comments are related to the topic:
Calling All Settlers DIV 3,2,1 and PREMIER

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Replies: 114
By:
Reged
When: 03 Nov 12 11:37
You're always retiring! Laugh
By:
Lampus
When: 03 Nov 12 11:43
On the last day turn the table upside  down
to  give more people a  chance  to  win  the comp

Viva  Fairness
By:
deadbrain59
When: 03 Nov 12 11:44
i personally,dont like to back every day,but a no post is a -1, so find myself having to.thats why posts of 1/10 or down to 1/3,come in to avoid the -1.simple as.i always back the head of the market,+good form+market moves ,i dont follow napsters,my way of backing,is relentlessly boring,some go odds on some drift,drifters are my bug bear.dont get the sunday optional at all,last 3 days in the month always produces long odds flukes,to get promotion ie lordy/.exellent thread though REGED.MischiefPlain
By:
mr d ferret
When: 03 Nov 12 11:53
A simple answer would be to relegate and promote more people
Example
Relegate bottom 8 from the premier,promote top 8 from div 1 and relegate bottom 10,promote top 10 from div 2 etc
This would force some to be more adventurous with their selections and make it harder to stay in any division for long.
By:
Monte Christo
When: 03 Nov 12 11:58
As a newbie I would have to say leave the system as is.

The reason being that the settlors have enough to contend with without making any changes leading to more work for them.

Everyone has their own system in selecting their daily nap and good luck to them.We were all aware of the rules on signing up so why should they be changed now.

Just my very humble opinion.
By:
madhatter
When: 03 Nov 12 12:16
mr ferrett,

I would think the opposite?

Somewhat bigger leagues with therefore less chance of relegation would encourage people to be more adventurous surely?

Still think it is fine as it is though.

Mad.
By:
Shanelee1966
When: 03 Nov 12 12:16
A socialist utopia Lampus, could work well for me Laugh
By:
undecided
When: 03 Nov 12 12:21
thanks shane, I have read all posts with interest and will put my two penneth in when I get a few moments.
By:
Shanelee1966
When: 03 Nov 12 12:23
Nice one undecided, look forward to your views.
By:
lagmorian
When: 03 Nov 12 18:09
I vote for keeping it as it is, everyone knows the rules and it is a good competition in all leagues with the different styles. Don't change it it ain't broke Cool
By:
undecided
When: 04 Nov 12 18:28
I've read all this and given quite a lot of thought to it, started writing all the pros and cons, found myself rambling on, so there are acres of rough draft notes I'm not going to bore you with.

Reged summed things up pretty well.

Bottom line

This competition has been running, very successfully, pretty much since Betfair forum started, before my time even, that's years of proven performance and numbers of players has held up pretty well.
The structure is a good mix of longer term interest, yearly tables, and shorter term excitement, monthly goals, as well as being manageable for the kind souls that devote time every single day for our enjoyment.
I would suggest that players can find their own path of enjoyment within the current format and try to remember that not everyone has the same mindset.
If the negativity in the Premier bugs you and you can't shut it out, then I'm pretty sure there is no rule to say you have to reside there, drop out, rejoin in Div 3 and enjoy.

The suggestion that caught my interest was switching to Betfair SP.

I'm ready to be corrected by the more knowledgeable, but I think that standard SP disadvantages those looking for the higher odds because there is an EW element bringing down bookies odds and it affects bigger odds more so than shorter, in general.
Betfair SP being win only should give "truer" odds and give that little extra incentive to be more adventurous, or at least reward those that are without the unfairness that artificial bonus points might bring?

I can think of other disadvantages to BFSP though.

Perhaps shanelee1966, PRODELLBOY, man of many moods and Reged should decide between them if they wish to put a possible change to BFSP to the vote, bearing in mind it could be more hassle getting BFSP and inputting it (Don't worry about the spreadsheet for now, I'm fairly sure we could adjust it to take decimal odds).

If so, start a thread where everyone can post pros and cons, and then hold a vote open to all.
By:
Reged
When: 04 Nov 12 19:43
Well said that man ... shane, you OK to organise that? Obv shout if there's anything I or others can do to help.
By:
Shanelee1966
When: 04 Nov 12 20:07
Will do Reg
By:
madhatters
When: 04 Nov 12 22:27
Some good points about
& everyone has a right to their opinion

Dubai (OP) is quite right in his comments
Only 5 of Prem ended up in profit in Oct
Doesn't really stand up as a Premier comp !! Sad

From what i have seen when i decided to have a look at comps was that there was a very poor success rate all round
Check yearly tables - think it was less than 10% in profit
Reged could throw more light on this as may have some figures ?
Altho dropouts, name changers etc will have affected that

Each to their own system as has been said in many posts
My mindset is trying a few diff ideas in a competitive environment per month
Its proved very hard btw to stay profitable with one a day

Conclusions -
The system has been around for a long time
People know how to play the system (I don't see it myself but hey its free world)
I've seen the long term odds on figures as Reged says & they pants !
Maybe they run tipping lines & Betfair Premier Division has some clout or status significance ?
Which ones Thommo btw ?
Its a BF forum so why not use BFSP - AW comp has just got some financial backing (so they say- evidence not seen from a BCM btw) so why not the cream of comps - this one btw Grin

Its really down to the poor standard of (consistent) tipping that has led to this debate
If the bods below are good enough then the Prem stars will have to shake there game up - China Castle etc as mentioned
If the lucky big hitters were consistent enough they would be winning the leagues every month
Its down to the rest of us in leagues to make it interesting
& a very big thanks to all the settlers for their unpaid VOLUNTARY hard work sorting all the stuff out

Suggestion -
One poster put up what may be a good idea
May have been done before ?
A Monthly review where all leagues are combined
Settlers to decide what is possible or not ?
This may keep some entrants longer altho it may be their minus accounts that make them not come back

From this - A Wild Card into Premier for highest profit per month
If its Prem Laugh then status quo
If its Div 1 then status quo

Wake up call for all
If you tipping daily & not making a profit
Sayonara !
By:
petemac
When: 04 Nov 12 23:50
IN FAVOUR OF BFSP
STARTING JAN 1ST
By:
salmon spray
When: 05 Nov 12 00:15
I`m not.
Pinstickers paradise imo. A 33-1 ISP can be 100s BF. Everybody else gives up.
By:
man of many moods
When: 05 Nov 12 08:18
Playing in Divisions 1, 2 and 3 is very different from playing in the Premier. The object of the exercise is to gain promotion and move up through the Divisions to the Premier. This competition is not about finding who the best overall monthly or annual tipster is. It's about winning the Premier title in any given month. That's the challenge. It's all about tactics on a monthly basis, not an annual one.

Winning Divisions 1 ,2 or 3 is very much a secondary goal which players really only have a go at once they feel they've done enough to secure promotion. Sure, it feels good to win a Division but it's not something we pay much attention to. I don't ever recall seeing any lists of Divisional winners other than the Premier. It's not important, whereas promotion is. And you can get promoted with a total of say £5.00 when the Div winner has scored £45.00. It's a big difference, but to all intents and purposes you're on an equal footing - you both get promoted which was the ONLY object of the exercise. Odds-on selections can play a very important part in gaining that promotion, whether it's simply to try and hold position on the table sometimes by not slipping down £1, or to string a few of them together and make a bit of movement up the table. It's all about tactics, and as I say, odds-on shots can play a significant role in Divs 1, 2 and 3.

It's a different game in the Premier. Just being in the Top 4 or 5 counts for absolutely nothing. There's nowhere to be promoted to! The only thing which matters in the Premier is winning. To achieve that you have to find quite a few decent priced winners, and we all know how tough that is. And with only 25 players instead of 30, it's all too easy to be near the top of the table one minute and then suddenly 3 days later you find you're battling to avoid relegation. And yes, a lot of the Prem players do fight hard to avoid relegation. The ultimate goal is win the Premier, and you can't win it if you're not in it. So odds-on shots can be a vital part of that battle for survival for some players.

On the last day of August I was in the top half of the table but with a negative score, and needing at least a 33/1 shot to win the Premier title. I couldn't find one and any random winner I managed to pick at that price would have been an outrageous fluke and not the way I'd want to win. So I settled for trying to finish in the black with the yearly tables in mind. Which I did with an 8/1 winner. And I daresay I'm not the only one who's ever thought like this even though the annual tables are not actually a part of the monthly competition.

So, banning odds-on winners? No. They have their role to play.
BSP? No, definitely not. Too much difference in the outsider prices.

The ONLY thing I can see which would make a difference and bring back a bit more of a challenge to the Premier would be rewarding placed horses. Make every selection, whatever the price, £1ew instead of £1 to win. This wouldn't be a choice that the player could make. It would be compulsory. So it would be of little advantage to odds-on selections but would give a small but significant enough bonus to players prepared to take more of a risk in the quest to win the title. There have been many times when I've found a suitable ew chance, but have had to go for a shorter price instead simply because there's no reward for a 16/1 shot finishing in the frame, beaten by only half a length.

The more I've thought about it, the more I like the idea.
When I get a chance I'll pick an old month at random and see what difference it might have made (bearing in mind that selections would have been very different if this rule was in force).
By:
deadbrain59
When: 05 Nov 12 08:33
yes to bsp,i dont use bookies.HappyGrin
By:
Reged
When: 05 Nov 12 08:38
Excellent post MoMM. Very interesting idea at the end.
By:
History Maker
When: 05 Nov 12 11:48
I disagree with those in favour of the Industry SPs because it's a measure which incorporates each way bets, whilst betfair SPs, and the naps comp, do not. I think that, in an ideal world, either betfair SPs should be used or people should be allowed to bet 50p each way (choice not compulsion). I far prefer the BSP idea though.

If either is too tricky to implement, then forget it.

I am strongly opposed to either bonus points or banning odds on shots.
By:
FCH
When: 05 Nov 12 21:25
I understand the reason for Dubai's original post.  Having had a couple of years out of the premiership, I got promoted back into it ealier this year and was staggered at the number of odds on shots that are now being posted, which just looks like  survival tactics to me.  I for one want to win it, and not to just survive, and I guess that the current tactics reduce the likely winners and so should be good for me Grin

The one change I agree with is MOMM's suggestion that the stake each day is £1 e/w.  This would reward those going for the longer priced ones that just get beat, which requires more skill than picking a 1/5 shot.
By:
DubaiPrince
When: 05 Nov 12 22:40
A fantastic read this thread has been with some very interesting ideas/thoughts being put forward and of them all i very much like MOMMs idea of making your selection a £1 ew stake which seems a win win situation to try and freshen things up a bit.People have argued the case that it takes a certain skill to pick the right odds on shots which is fair enough comment -but on the other side of the coin it takes a bit more bravado and no less skill(indeed i would say even more skill) to find a bigger priced selection but as it stands with the current "criteria" in the Premiership being one of survival at all costs i felt (as clearly many others do) that it has become demeaning to the spirit of the competition .People have said that "if its not broken then no need to fix it"-however the very essence of entering a competition is surely to try and win it or am i missing something there and too many people make no attempt whatsoever to win it even if they are relatively safe using the yearly totals as an excuse to hide behind when offering up their reasons for their selections when in fact the yearly totals are meaningless as all newcomers are penallised 10pts for every month they have not participated in during the calendar year so unless you have been around for over 1year then you are unlikely to "trouble the judge" as it were .
All that is happening month on month is that as people get promoted to the Premiership the vast majority get to the stage whereby they are posting up "safe" selections following the crowd as it were which to me is having a negative effect on the competition and thats why i suggested a shake up to the format.
To use football as an example when it started to become too negative they came up with the idea of 3pts for a win rather than the 2 on offer which was met with cries of disapproval in many corners from people against change .But whether you think of football as a sport i think its hard not to argue that a simple change brought new life and vigour to the leagues .
So as previously mentioned why not look to try something new from the start of the new year and what better way than to implement the £1ew stake whereby the "odds on punters" could play safe as per the norm  for the draw but  those that wanted to go for it could be suitably rewarded for going for it .
Again though just my opinion and i will abide by whatevers decided  but as it stands at present things will only continue to go in a negative way within the Premiership as i see it  .
Great debate though all the same
By:
petemac
When: 05 Nov 12 23:09
MoMM a good write up. It seems to be just the premiership that needs a change and i agree with your suggestion for a £1 e/w nap for premiership only but i believe this should be by choice not compulsory, we all think we are good tipsters who are supposed to know what we are talking about and for anyone interested in joining us i dont think a look at the premiership table seeing a £1 e/w bet on a 4/9 shot would look like anything other than a JOKE why would we be putting a bet on like that? It would not be a good advertisement for new recruits. It would make the competition look farcical.
By:
salmon spray
When: 05 Nov 12 23:12
You sound just like your brother-in-law Dubai Prince.
By:
petemac
When: 05 Nov 12 23:22
Ok Salmon you aint taking the bait, good night.
By:
DubaiPrince
When: 05 Nov 12 23:25
Thats rather the point though petemac as i see it -the current situation is crazy in the Premiership as people are getting promotion to it and then quite quickly just falling into the "survival at all costs mentality" to the detriment of the competition.Yes its hard to get there which probably explains peoples reluctance to be relegated but by freshening it up and making it more a game of skill -after all a placed 16/1 shot in a "pinstickers" impossible to fathom hcap would return a better return than tipping up the obvious 1/6 shots day in day out would it not -and look at the other side of the coin-if you were taking chances on bigger priced horses but bombing out all the time you are losing 2pts per selection whereas the "safe " punters would be making hay -but just that one simple tweak to the rules woulkd liven up the whole competition and breathe new life in it right upto the end at both ends of the tables right to the end of the month
By:
DubaiPrince
When: 05 Nov 12 23:37
Strange comment  salmon spray?  -you have lost me -im just voicing an opinion on what i feel is wrong with the current state of affairs with the competition -you seem to have a different view which is fine but lets not be getting personal eh ? -its supposed to be an open debate is it not. I have no intention of getting into a betfair forum fight with anyone hence the reason i rarely post - i have made my views clear and i have enjoyed reading other peoples thoughts on the matter -nothing more nothing less
Good night guys and i look forward to reading other views tomorrow
By:
petemac
When: 05 Nov 12 23:37
Its difficult and it didn,t go unnoticed that Hong Kong Fuey was forced into picking a 1/3 shot last month.
By:
salmon spray
When: 06 Nov 12 00:08
Do you remember who your brother-in-law is DB ?
And I think at least one person is making it personal against me.
By:
salmon spray
When: 06 Nov 12 00:09
Sorry DP. I must have been round the vodka           Grin
By:
josh monk
When: 06 Nov 12 01:00
I think the naps comp works perfectly well as it is. If people want to nap odds on chances then why shouldn't they, though I don't think it's a method that would suit me, as you need to be right far too often in order to show a profit.

I virtually never back a horse that is at under 2/1, so I certainly wouldn't be putting one forward as a nap.

Clearly remaining in the Premier is a goal for some players and is obviously an excellent measure of consistency. That is just not my aim in playing.

I can see the logic in switching to Betfair SP, provided it was practical and the settlers were able to make the change without increasing their workload. However, it is obviously something that in theory would favour my way of playing and if the majority prefer to stick with the present format that's fine by me.

The one change I would like is introducing a minimum requirement for the number of naps per month (25, except 24 in Feb, perhaps) and getting rid of Sunday as an optional day. During the winter the racing on Monday is generally poor and weighted heavily in favour of all-weather in which I have no interest at all. Sundays often feature good jumping cards, particularly in Ireland. If the weather resulted in a blank day, then the monthly minimum could be reduced by one.
By:
Reged
When: 06 Nov 12 09:36
The idea of replacing the optional Sunday rule is ok, except the current rule means a nice light Sunday for a settler, which is frankly a bonus.
By:
josh monk
When: 06 Nov 12 11:17
Reged,

good point, and one that has to be paramount in all this discussion. We're extremely lucky that the settlers give up their time in the way that they do.
By:
History Maker
When: 06 Nov 12 11:30
As the person who suggested the Sunday change, I should stand up and be counted...

I'd happily take on Sunday settling for a division or two if that change was made. I'm running Excel 2010, so if the spreadsheets are compatible with that, then I could take it on. I couldn't promise to be quite as prompt with an up to date table as the current settlers are. I'd aim for midday on Monday except for the last Sunday of the month which I'd make a proper effort to get up as soon as racing ends. If Reged is happy to give that a go we could trial it on a non-promotion/parallel basis for Div 3 in December, and if it seems popular implement it fully in January for division 3 in January.

The idea is definitely most pertinent to Div 3 because I suspect that a lot of people lose interest when they miss a couple of naps and just stop betting at the bottom end. I say that because I've done it several times in the past. If the comps were run on the aforementioned 25 bets a month basis, I'd probably have been a constant participant for the last 4 years or so.
By:
salmon spray
When: 06 Nov 12 11:46
You are actually allowed to have 10 unnamed selections per month. I appreciate people haven't always got the time or simply forget on odd days but certainly in the premiership quite a lot of people have standing instructions to meet such eventualities and I presume Reged does the same in Div 3 if asked.
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